erfaringer med vindkraft og veien videre for offshore vind

ERFARINGER MED VINDKRAFT OG VEIEN VIDERE FOR OFFSHORE VIND

Eivind Torblaa, Head of Asset Management - Wind

Det Norske Videnskaps-Akademi

3 oktober 2014

Agenda

Litt om Statkraft

Vind i Statkraft

- Tilbakeblikk

- Hva skjer for øyeblikket

- Hva gjør vi fremover med fokus på offshore vind

2

European leader within renewable energy

Environment-friendly power generation: 56 TWh

- *Norway: 81%

- *Other Nordic countries: 10%

- Other European countries: 4%

- Rest of the world: 5%

Gross operating revenues 2013: NOK 49 564 mill

3,600 employees in more than 20 countries

Main power supplier to Norwegian industry

100% owned by the Norwegian state

3 * Including district heating

Statkraft’s production

Peru

163 MW

(+ project)

Chile

94 MW

Turkey

20 MW

(+ projects)

Nepal 23 MW

Philippines

149 MW

Brazil

86 MW

Panama

(project)

Zambia

6 MW

Norway

12 518 MW Sweden

1 315 MW

UK

273 MW

Laos 100 MW

Germany

2 692 MW

India

91 MW

Installed capacity

17 600 MW

Power production

56 TWh

97% renewable

energy

3 600 employees

SN POWER/

AGUA IMARA

STATKRAFT

Albania

(project)

*

* 2013 figures. Includes: - Statkraft/SN Power’s share of installed capacity

District Heating

Strategic directions

European Flexible Generation

Wind Power

International Hydropower

Market Operations

-

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

2 010 2 011 2 012 2 013

MW

Global wind power 2010-2013

Europa USA Kina Resten av verden

Global development of wind power

More than 300 GW of wind power

installed globally.

The annual growth in wind power in

Europe the last years has been

between 10-13 GW.

6

+22%

+21%

+13%

Kilde: IHS Emerging Energy Research

Make Consulting’s forecast of global onshore wind

deployment…

7

8

Make Consulting’s forecast of global offshore wind deployment…

The wind power markets

76 560

61 789

33 925

22 794

20 269

8 744

8 149

7 694

6 425

4 723

4 418 41 553

Onshore windpower 2013 [Σ= 297GW]

China

United States

Germany

Spain

India

Italy

France

Canada

United Kingdom

Portugal

Sweden

Other

9

3 870

1 267

940

580

497

241 215

Offshore windpower 2013 [Σ= 7.7GW]

United Kingdom

Denmark

Germany

China

Belgium

Netherlands

Sweden

Japan

Finland

Ireland

Norway

Portugal

Kilde: IHS Emerging Energy Research

Wind Power in The European energy-mix

10

47 %

25 %

16 %

6 % 4 %

2 %

Production of electricty in Europe 2012

Termisk*

Atomkraft

Vannkraft**

Vindkraft***

Bio

Sol****

Geotermisk

* Coal and Gas

** incl pumped-storage and small scale hydro

*** onshore and offshore

**** PV and CSP

-

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

MW

Construction of new wind power in Europe 2000-2012

Onshore Offshore

Source: IHS Emerging Energy

Research

Thermal *

Nuclear

Hydro **

Wind ***

Bio

Solar ****

Geothermal

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Kjøllefjord

Hitra Mörttjärnberget

Em

Baillie

Berry Burn

Alltwalis Sheringham Shoal

Dudgeon

Dogger Bank

In operation

Under construction

Under development

Stamåsen

Björkhöyden /

Ögonfagnaden

Tollarpabjär

Smøla

Statkraft’s wind power portfolio Norway MW Statkraft share

Smøla 150 MW 100%

Hitra 55 MW 100%

Kjøllefjord 39 MW 100%

Under dev. Norway 2000 MW -

UK MW Statkraft share

Alltwalis 23 MW 51%

Baillie 53 MW 51%

Berry Burn 67 MW 51%

Under dev. Onshore 100 MW -

Dudgeon (WO)* 560 MW 30%

Sheringham Shoal (WO)* 317 MW 50%

Dogger Bank (WO) 9632 MW 25%

Sweden MW Statkraft share

EM (Södra) 9,2 MW 90%

Tollapabjär (Södra) 2,3 MW 90%

Stamåsen (SCA) 60 MW 60%

Mörttjärnberget (SCA) 85 MW 60%

Björkhöjden (SCA) 270 MW 60%

Ögonfägnaden (SCA) 99 MW 60%

Under dev. Sweden 1300 MW -

* In partnership with Statoil

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1990 2000 2012

€/M

Wh

Development of cost of energy in Onshore wind

Technology- and cost development Increased capacity of the turbines

and bigger turbines increases

production …

… contributes to lower cost over

time

12

Source: Bloomberg New Energy

Finance

Capacity

factor

Good wind conditions are crucial for windpower

13

A= 10029

m²

H= 171,5

m

h= 115 m

Stamåsen Wind farm

D= 113

m

Onshore wind power in Norway, Sweden and UK

Developing onshore wind power

through SAE Vind and Fosen Vind in

Norway, and in cooperation with SCA

and Södra in Sweden

Norway

- Hitra, Kjøllefjord and Smøla

(installed capacity: 244 MW)

Sweden

- Em, Stamåsen, Tollarpabjär and Mörttjärn-

berget (installed capacity 171 MW)

UK

- Alltwalis, Baillie and Berry Burn

(installed capacity 143 MW)

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Operational Asset Norway

Vindkraft i Statkraft

Hitra wind farm:

- Capacity: 55,2 MW

- Production: 138 GWh

- Statkraft’s share: 100 %

- In operation: 2004

Kjøllefjord wind farm

- Capacity: 39,1 MW




Smøla wind farm

- Capacity: 150,4 MW



- In operation: 2002/2005

Em wind farm

- Capacity: 9,2 MW


- Statkraft’s share 90,1 %

- Partner (9,9% %): Södra


Operational Asset Sweden


Stamåsen wind farm

- Capacity/production: 60 MW/200GWh


- Partner (40 %): SCA


Mörttjärnberget wind farm

- Capacity/production: 85 MW/280 GWh

- Investment (100%): 1650 MSEK



- In operation: Q4 2013

17

Tollarpabjär

- Capacity: 2,3 MW

- Production: 6 GWh

- Statkraft’s share 90,1 %

- Partner (9,9% %): Södra


Operational Asset Sweden

Operational Asset UK


Alltwalis wind farm

- Capacity: 23 MW




Baillie wind farm

- Capacity/production: 52.5MW/170 GWh

- Investment (100%): 60 MGBP


- Partner (20 %): Landowner


Berry Burn wind farm

- Capacity/production: 66.7MW/184 GWh


- In operation: Q1 2014

Projects under construction

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Björkhöyden wind farm


- Investment (100%): 3800 MNOK



- In operation: 2014/2015

Ögonfägnaden wind farm


- Investment (100%): 1400 MNOK




http://www.vindkraftnorr.se/img/vindparker/Bjorkvattnet_5_S.jpg

http://www.vindkraftnorr.se/img/vindparker/Ogonfagnaden_bodhogarna_3_S.jpg

Konsesjoner i Fosen/Snillfjord/Hitra/Frøya-regionen SAE Vind

- Storheia - 220 MW *)

- Kvenndalsfjellet - 120 MW *)

- Geitfjellet – 170 MW **)

- Svarthammaren – 150 MW **)

- Hitra 2 - 75 MW **)

Zephyr

- Remmafjellet – 130 MW **)

Sarepta

- Sørmarkfjellet -150 MW

- Roan - 280 MW *)

- Harbaksfjellet - 90 MW

- Frøya – 60 MW **)

Statkraft

- Hitra – 55 MW (eksisterende anlegg),

kan være aktuelt for fornying **)

*) Prosjekter som inngår i Fosen Vind samarbeidet, samlet ca. 620 MW

**) Prosjekter aktuelle for innmating i Snillfjord, samlet ca. 640 MW

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SAE Vind

Andre aktører

Testing new turbine technology in Sweden

Due to long transport on narrow

roads the supplier had to come up

with an alternative solutions on

towers

The solution was shell towers –

transported in «flat-packs» and

bolted together

This is also the first Statkraft

windfarms with direct drive turbines

21

Shell Tower

22 30 Aug 2012

Lead operator in offshore wind power in UK

25

Owner* and operator of Sheringham

Shoal offshore wind farm (317 MW)

Offshore wind farm Dudgeon**

is under construction (402 MW)

Several 1200 MW-projects on

Doggerbank*** under development

* In partnership with Statoil

** In partnership with Statoil and Masdar

** With partners through Forewind Ltd

Statkrafts offshore wind strategy

26

Sheringham Shoal:

Partner during construction, operator in operational phase

(50%)

Dudgeon:

Integrated partner (30%)

Next project:

operator/ industrial role

Dogger Bank:

Operator on one of four projects

MAIN FOCUS IN OFFSHORE WIND POWER

Build capabilities, and institutionalise

learning from the Sheringham Shoal

project as a basis for taking a leading role

in future offshore wind power projects

Develop Dudgeon together with Statoil

Find other projects to help build capability

Develop the Dogger Bank projects up to

consent

27

THE SHERINGHAM SHOAL OFFSHORE WIND FARM

Key facts:

50/50 JV Statoil and Statkraft

Installed capacity: 317 MW

Annual production: 1,1 TWh

Capex: ~10 bill. NOK (1,2 bill. €)

In operation

Responsibilities:

Operator in construction: Statoil

O&M operator: Statkraft

29

Knowledge transfer

Several staff who has worked at

Smøla for 10 years has been used

in building up the operation at

Sheringham Shoal

This is to secure valuable

knowledge of wind turbines and

operation of wind parks are being

transferred into the offshore wind

sector.

Picture shows Arild Soleim who has

been power plant manager at both

Smøla and Sheringham Shoal.

30

Facts

Allocation round UK R2

Area 55 km2

Waterdepth 18-27 m

Installed capacity 402 MW

Offshore cable 42 km

Onshore cable 47 km

Turbine 6.0 MW Siemens Direct drive

Foundations XL monopiles

31

Dudgeon

Dudgeon in numbers

67 6MW DD turbines w/ 154m dia.

90 km export cable

47 land owners

Monopiles >1000 tonn

>90 000 tonn steel

500 major lifts

30 000 lifts offshore (large potential

for optimisation/reduction)

More than 5000 vessel days offshore

32

Siemens new 6 MW DD turbine

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT ON DOGGER BANK

Project development in Forewind Ltd

- Jointly owned company between Scottish & Southern Energy, RWE Innogy,

Statoil and Statkraft

- Statkraft holds a 25% share in Forewind

Key figures:

- Distance to shore: 125-290 km

- Water depth: 18-63 m

- Extends over nearly 9,000 km²

Status

- Secured grid connection for 6 x 1000 MW

- Two offshore meteorological masts installed on innovative suction buckets in

2013

- First consent application for 2 x 1200MW was submitted August 2013

- Next consent application for 2 x 1200MW was submitted March 2014

- First consents expected Q1 2015, investment decisions would follow as

appropriate

33

http://www.npower-renewables.com/

Haugøya test turbine at Smøla

Final consent received July 2014.

Preliminary milestones:

- FID in Q1 2015.

- Site completed winter 2015/16

- WTG installation in 2016.

- Operational in 2016.

34

Turbine power: 6 - 8 MW

Hub height: 100 - 130 m

Rotor diameter: 140 - 180 m

Yearly production: 20 - 25 GWh

Why Haugøya at Smøla?

Onshore testing has lower cost and

risk compared to offshore testing

Smøla has very good wind conditions

and is well suited as test site

Haugøya can easily be facilitated for

barge transport for turbine, tower and

required equipment

Statkraft can utilize its existing

operational organisation at Smøla

There exist attractive support regimes

for test facilities in Norway

35

http://sharepoint.statkraft.com/sd/multimedia/Statkraft Photo/Havvind-1.jpg

COAL CCGT Nuclear Wind on Wind off Sol PV Coal CCS

Levelized Cost of Energy

Decommissioning

CO₂ costs

Fuel costs

Variable costs

Fixed costs

CapEx

CHALLENGES FOR OFFSHORE WIND POWER

Statkraft believes that wind power will be

an attractive and profitable industry for

players that develop strong capabilities

across the value chain

The industry is still immature, with

technical risk and supply chain

bottlenecks

New projects on deeper waters, and

increased distance from shore

The cost of offshore wind power is high

compared to other power generation

technologies

We expect cost reductions through more

efficient technology and gradual maturing

of the industry

Source: Statkraft

COAL CCGT Nuclear Wind on Wind off Sol PV Coal CCS

Levelized Cost of Energy

Decommissioning

CO₂ costs

Fuel costs

Variable costs

Fixed costs

CapEx

Cost of

Energy

Cost of energy for different technologies

36

LCoE scenario 2014-2035

37

2014 2020 2025 2030 2035

LCoE - UK

Coal, UK

Onshore wind, UK

Offshore wind, UK -base CAPEX

Cost reductions are key – R&D plays a vital role

38

www.statkraft.com

THANK YOU

erfaringer med vindkraft og veien videre for offshore vind

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