economic analysis of automobile industry

9
Title: End term Assignment for project report groups Subject: Managerial Economics Prepared by: Nimisha Agarwal 2013173 Section-D Total words in assignment: 2000 Automobile Industry: Toyota Motor Corporation

Upload: nimisha-agarwal

Post on 05-Jul-2015

113 views

Category:

Economy & Finance


4 download

DESCRIPTION

Economic analysis of automobile industry with the example of Toyota Motor Corporation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Economic analysis of automobile industry

Title: End term Assignment for project report groups

Subject: Managerial Economics

Prepared by:

Nimisha Agarwal

2013173

Section-D

Total words in assignment: 2000

Automobile Industry: Toyota Motor Corporation

Page 2: Economic analysis of automobile industry

1. Brief Background of the Firm:

Toyota Motor Corporation is a Japanese multinational automaker headquartered in Toyota,

Aichi, Japan. In 2010, Toyota employed 325,905 people worldwide, and was the third-

largest manufacturer in 2011 by production behind General Motors and Volkswagen

Group. Toyota is the eleventh-largest company in the world by revenue. In July 2012, the

company reported it had manufactured its 200-millionth vehicle. The company was founded

by Kiichiro Toyoda in 1937 as a spinoff from his father's company Toyota Industries to

create automobiles. Three years earlier, in 1934, while still a department of Toyota Industries,

it created its first product, the Type A engine, and, in 1936, its first passenger car, the Toyota.

Toyota Motor Corporation group companies are Toyota (including

the Scion brand), Lexus, Daihatsu, and Hino Motors, along with several "nonautomotive"

companies. TMC is part of the Toyota Group, one of the largest conglomerates in the

world. The thrifty Corolla was introduced in 1968 and, like the Corona, was a huge success

with American drivers. Corolla has since become the world’s all-time best-selling passenger

car, with over 30 million sold in more than 140 countries. In 1972 Toyota sold its one-

millionth vehicle. By the end of 1975, Toyota surpassed Volkswagen to become the No. 1

import brand in the United States. Three years later, in 1978, Toyota won the "Import Triple

Crown" by leading all import brands in sales of cars, trucks and total vehicles.

As Toyota celebrated its 25th anniversary in America during 1982, it opened a new national

sales headquarters complex that it occupies today in Torrance, Calif. May 2001 marked the

incorporation of Toyota Motor Sales de Mexico, Toyota's new sales and marketing subsidiary

in Mexico. By the end of the year, Toyota had grown to become the third-best-selling

automotive brand in the United States, surpassing Dodge with best-ever sales of 1,741,254

vehicles. In December of 2002, Toyota delivered its first two zero-emission, market-ready

hydrogen fuel cell vehicles to customers in California for real-world testing. The next year,

Toyota's new, breakthrough hybrid technology, "Hybrid Synergy Drive," debuted in the all-

new 2004 Prius. Toyota's growth in America continued in 2003 when Toyota launched Scion

as its third line of vehicles. In 2005, Toyota continued expanding its environmentally

advanced line-up with the introduction of the world’s first luxury hybrid, the Lexus RX 400h,

and a hybrid option for the Toyota Highlander. Toyota added a hybrid option to its popular

Camry sedan in 2006 and began building it in the United States at its massive Kentucky

plant. The company also opened up its 10th U.S. plant in San Antonio, Texas, to build

pickups. During 2007, its 50th year in America, Toyota introduced its largest pickup truck

ever as well as the second-generation of its iconic Scion xB urban utility vehicle and the

world’s first V8 hybrid, the Lexus LS 600h.As a result of an economic recession, Toyota’s

sales were down in 2008. In 2009, Toyota launched two all-new gas/electric hybrids. During

2010; Toyota began production of the third-generation Sienna at its Indiana plant. Toyota has

factories in most parts of the world, manufacturing or assembling vehicles for local markets.

Toyota has manufacturing or assembly plants in Japan, Australia, India, Sri Lanka, Canada,

Indonesia, Poland, South Africa, Turkey, Colombia, the United Kingdom, the United States,

France, Brazil, Portugal, and more recently, Argentina, Czech Republic, Mexico, Malaysia,

Thailand, Pakistan, Egypt, China, Vietnam, Venezuela, the Philippines, and Russia. Toyota's

management philosophy has evolved from the company's origins and has been reflected in

the terms "Lean Manufacturing" and Just in Time Production, which it was instrumental in

developing. Toyota's managerial values and business methods are known collectively as the

Toyota Way. In April 2001, Toyota adopted the "Toyota Way 2001", an expression of values

and conduct guidelines that all Toyota employees should embrace.

Page 3: Economic analysis of automobile industry

2. Market Structure and Pricing Policies of the Firm:

1. Destinations of the firm’s products or services:

Toyota as an automobile firm serves both local and global market.

2. Competitors

a) National Level

The Japanese automotive industry has been one of the most important and largest industry in

the world. Japan has been able to maintain its position as the top automobile manufacturer

since last 50 years. Japan is now placed at 3rd position in the list of automotive producer in

the world with an annual production of 9.9 million automobiles in 2012.

Major competitors of Toyota in Japanese market include:

Nissan

Mazda

Suzuki

Honda.

http://www.jama-english.jp/index.html

b) International Level:

Toyota is one of the top 5 large firms that dominate global industry. The annual production of

automobiles has reached to 81.5 million in 2012.

Major competitors in international arena are:

Ford

General Motors

Honda

Page 4: Economic analysis of automobile industry

Direct Competitor Comparison

Toyota Ford GM Honda Industry

Market Cap: 196.93B 64.37B 47.25B 65.77B 21.50B

Employees: 333,498 171,000 213,000 190,338 62.72K

Qtrly Rev

Growth (yoy): 0.14 0.15 0.04 0.16 0.42

Revenue (ttm): 289.95B 142.50B 152.84B 130.58B 65.16B

Gross Margin

(ttm): 0.17 0.14 0.09 0.25 0.19

EBITDA

(ttm): 36.35B 11.99B 7.90B 11.86B 5.59B

Operating

Margin (ttm): 0.08 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.07

Net Income

(ttm): 15.68B 6.07B 4.53B 4.55B N/A

EPS (ttm): 9.90 1.52 2.79 2.52 2.90

P/E (ttm): 12.56 10.76 12.23 14.46 13.87

PEG (5 yr

expected): 0.32 0.77 0.57 0.58 1.05

P/S (ttm): 0.68 0.45 0.31 0.50 0.61

http://finance.yahoo.com/;_ylt=An_OhXZ9NTXkqISYTK_Oov_p8rcF

3. Demand and cost curves:

The reaction of rivals to a price change depends on whether price is increased or decreased.

The demand curve will be kinked, at the current price.

Page 5: Economic analysis of automobile industry

4. Market structure:

An oligopoly is a market structure in which a few firms dominate. When a market is shared

between a few firms, it is said to be highly concentrated. Although only a few firms

dominate, it is possible that many small firms may also operate in the market.

Now if we analyse global automobile industry we find following facts:

Market share by manufacturer:

-http://www.edmunds.com/industry-center/data/

On calculating total concentration ratio of top 5 firms we find that top 5 firms control 67.86

% of the market share and even though there are many other small firms operating as well,

these five firms dominate the market.

As we stated earlier this is how an oligopoly market operates so we can clearly say that

Toyota has been operating in an oligopoly market.

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

Page 6: Economic analysis of automobile industry

5. Pricing policies

1) Toyota Motor Corp is most willing to compensate suppliers for rising raw material

costs, according to a survey by IRN Inc. The Grand Rapids, Mich., consulting firm

polled 92 suppliers in May and June about the raw material pricing policies of nine

automakers that assemble vehicles in North America. Sixty percent of respondents

said Toyota was very likely to "satisfactorily offset raw material price increases.

Toyota leads the pack

Toyota: 60% BMW: 33

Ford: 51 GM: 31

Honda: 43 Nissan: 28

Chrysler: 37 Mercedes: 14

Hyundai: 13

Source: IRN Inc.

2) Although prices in the automobile market are traditionally negotiated, Toyota are

selling their vehicles at a "no-haggle" or fixed price.

3) As the demand of hybrid cars is elastic in nature so it is best in favour of Toyota to

have a penetration pricing strategy instead of skimming pricing strategy.

a) The most important reason is that because hybrid cars is a relatively new venture,

people are just a bit cautious while going for it.

b) The market penetration pricing strategy would allow the company to get into the

masses with the label of low price.

c) The auto luxury segment demand analysis suggested an almost perfect strategy for

Toyota marketing high performance cars presumably equal in quality to Mercedes and

BMW, but priced somewhere between those and such luxury U.S. models Cadillac and

Lincoln.

d) Although Lexus started approximately in the same price range, they used different

approaches when promoting their models. Toyota also allowed for more price variation,

using price haggling deals and equipping the models with additional luxury accessories

Page 7: Economic analysis of automobile industry

3. Present Challenges Faced By the Company:

North American Pressure

Toyota’s Prius accounts for about 12% of the carmaker’s total American sales, however its

dominance could fade as rival automakers introduce new and improved hybrids and electrics.

Toyota’s star seller, Camry, is under considerable pressure now that the refreshed models of

Honda Accord and Ford Fusion have been introduced. North America accounts for about a

fourth of Toyota’s global sales so any disruptions here will have a significant impact on its

total sales.

Negative Japanese Market

Japan’s economy suffered in 2011 due to natural disasters like earthquakes and a tsunami. To

help lift the automobile market, the government provided tax incentives to encourage people

to buy cars. The buyers rushed to purchase new vehicles before the subsidies ended in

September, and now with its expiry the market is expected to decline next year.

Tensions between China & Japan

Sales of Japanese automakers have suffered due to an anti-Japanese backlash in China. As a

result, Korean and German automakers are benefiting at the expense of Japanese automakers

in this region. Sales figures are getting back to normal and Toyota had earlier targeted sales of

1 million vehicles, but now has lowered it to 800,000. China is the world’s largest automobile

market and Toyota’s inability to capitalize on this huge, growing market will have a

considerable effect on its long term profitability.

Exodus of Top Executives

In just the past three months, three senior executives in Toyota's North American business

abruptly left for rivals. These high-profile defections underline a new danger looming for the

Japanese automaker — the lure of U.S. companies wooing the best in its ranks. The executive

exodus signals Toyota Motor Corporation's growing pains overseas.

Page 8: Economic analysis of automobile industry

ATC = Average Total Cost

MR = Marginal Revenue

MC = Marginal Cost

Note that where MC rises above MR, the firm would incur greater costs than it would

receive in additional revenue, which is why the firm maximizes its profit by producing

only that quantity where MR = MC, and charging the corresponding price.

1 Productive Efficiency: MC = Minimum ATC

2 Allocative Efficiency: MC = Market Price

Oligopoly Profit = (Price - ATC) x Quantity

-http://thismatter.com/economics/oligopoly-pricing-models.htm

Through above graph we can predict that the company faced the problem of allocative

efficiency i.e. due to negative Japanese market and tension between China and Japan as the

marginal cost curve never intersects the market demand curve; therefore, the company

produce less product than what the market desires.

5. Toyota Resolution & Strategies to Combat North American Pressure

o V E H IC LE EF F IC IE N C Y & EM IS S IO N S

Toyota engineers are continually looking for ways to increase fuel economy and

reduce emissions of pollutants from our vehicles. Vehicle weight, engine output, the

application of new technologies and other factors are all evaluated to optimize fuel

economy and tailpipe emissions, all before a vehicle is built.

O F UE L E C O NO M Y A N D G H G EM IS S IO N S

The standards present a significant challenge for the engineers and they expect multiple

vehicle and powertrain technologies will be necessary to meet the challenge. Using Toyota

Way principles, they evaluate vehicle powertrains, weight, aerodynamics and other design

factors to find fuel-efficient combinations for the vehicles.

Page 9: Economic analysis of automobile industry

O C H EM IC A L M A N AG E ME N T

Toyota uses the International Material Data System (IMDS) as the primary tool for

tracking the chemical composition of parts and accessories.

The above graph depicts that the company can go in for new technology i.e. fuel efficiency to

counter challenge which results in increase in marginal cost of the production and thus the

effect on profit maximising output and price would not be much.