eco strategist in brief extra
TRANSCRIPT
EcoStrategist in briefEconomic and Financial Bulletin
ECOFLEXTRA
Sébastien Mc Mahon, M.E.Sc., PRMEconomist • Industrial Alliance Insurance and Financial Services Inc.
[email protected] or inalco.com/economy
August 31, 2014
In the financial world, all eyes are on the European Central Bank. The ECB is currentlyapplying exceptional measures, including a negative interest rate on bank deposits and alow-interest rate lending program to stimulate the credit market. Despite these newmeasures, the possibility that it will also introduce its own quantitative easing programis on everyone’s lips, even though ECB President Mario Draghi has repeatedly stated thathe wants to first assess the impact of the measures already announced. In fact, it is notvery likely that a U.S.-style quantitative easing program would have such a miraculouseffect on the real economy, given that European interest rates are already very low and,especially, that in Europe, business financing tends to come from banks rather than fromthe bond market. On the other hand, with inflation expectations fast droppingdangerously below the 2% threshold, the ECB does not really have any other choice butto use all the tools at its disposal until one of them, or a combination of them, providesthe much-needed boost that will prevent the region from falling into deflation andstagnation.
Canada: A strong second quarter
• The Canadian economy accelerated to an annualized rate of 3.1% in the secondquarter, a two-year high that exceeded expectations. Almost all segments of theeconomy contributed to this performance, but the 17.8% leap in exports was no doubtthe highlight. Given the combination of a low starting point due to weak world demandin the first quarter and the positive effects of a weaker loonie, the much-anticipatedrotation of the economy toward exports is playing out rather smoothly. However, thehousehold savings rate plummeted to 3.9%, its lowest since 2010.
United States: Good things expected for year’s second half
• U.S. GDP growth in the second quarter was revised upward by two tenths to 4.2%,boosted by more business investment than initially anticipated as well as a narrower
trade deficit. It look like this positive trend will continue into the second half of theyear, with household confidence at its highest level in seven years and a strongperformance in durable goods orders.
• The job market delivered its best performance since 1997. For a sixth consecutivemonth, more than 200,000 jobs were added, with the creation of 209,000 new jobs inJuly. In addition, positive revisions to the last few months show that employmentgrowth is even more robust than previously estimated. The positive tone on the jobmarket is also attracting more participants, swelling the ranks of the unemployed to6.2%, as many people who had given up job-hunting are now resuming their search.
• The poor performance of retail sales, which did not progress in July, casts a shadowover the picture. After six consecutive months of growth, this pause indicates that U.S.consumers are perhaps not yet ready to resume their old habits and that caution isnow the norm. While some observers say feeble wage increases are to blame, a glanceat savings rates shows that households are mostly being careful.
• The real estate sector continues its recovery. Construction starts, building permits andsales of existing homes are all gradually returning to last fall’s levels. Moreover, theslowing in price increases bodes well for property access. Construction of multi-family units remains vigorous, reflecting the new reality of young families who have adistinct preference for renting rather than buying a residence.
Europe: Time for quantitative easing?
• Disappointments are piling up in Europe. There was no GDP growth in the secondquarter, Germany’s economy contracted, and Italy entered its third recession since2008. Add to this 0.3% total inflation that is moving toward zero, and it seems thatEurope is heading straight into deflation (see graph).
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As at As at2014-08-311 2013-12-31
Canada - Unemployment rate 7.0% 6.9%Canada - CPI (year/year variation) 2.1% 0.9%Canada - GDP (year/year variation) 3.1% 2.7%U.S. - Unemployment rate 6.2% 7.0%U.S. - CPI (year/year variation) 2.0% 1.2%U.S. - GDP (year/year variation) 2.5% 2.0%2-year Canada Bonds 1.11% 1.14%10-year Canada Bonds 2.00% 2.78%Oil (West Texas) ($US) 95.8 99.2Gold ($US) 1,287.9 1,207.9CRB Commodities Index ($US) 292.8 280.2Exchange rate $CA/$US 1.0879 1.0623
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ce: I
AIM
Economic and Financial Statistics
1 Most recent data available at such date
Spotlight on the European Central Bank
Continued on last page
Focus Prudent
Focus Moderate
Focus Balanced
Focus Growth
Focus Aggressive
Selection Prudent
Selection Moderate
Selection Balanced
Selection Growth
Selection Aggressive
Money Market
Short Term Bonds
Bonds
Strategic Corporate Bond
Tactical Bonds (Aston Hill)
Real Return Bond
Diversified Security
Diversified
Diversified Opportunity
Fidelity Canadian Asset Allocation
Canadian Balanced (QV)
SRI Balanced (Inhance)
Diversified Income
Global Diversified (Aston Hill)
Tactical Income (Aston Hill)
Strategic Equity Income
Dividend Growth
Canadian Equity (Leon Frazer)
Canadian Equity Index
Select Canadian4
Canadian Equity Value
Canadian Equity (Taylor AM)
Canadian Equity (Jarislowsky)
Canadian Leaders
Fidelity True North®
Canadian Equity Growth
Fidelity Canadian Opportunities
Canadian Equity Small Cap (QV)
EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra Individual Investment Funds August 31, 2014
Table of net returns as at August 31, 2014 - Classic 75/75 Series
Unit Net assets1 Simple returns2 Compound annual returns Investmentvalue in millions 1 month 3 months YTD1 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years MER3 Advisor$ $ % % % % % % % %
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
IA Clarington
Aston Hill
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
QV Investors Inc.
Vancity
Industrial Alliance
Aston Hill
Aston Hill
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
IA Clarington
Industrial Alliance
Leon Frazer
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Taylor AM
Jarislowsky
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
QV Investors Inc.
2.51
2.52
2.60
2.68
2.71
1.36
2.13
2.11
2.12
2.16
2.20
2.45
2.50
2.56
2.75
2.52
2.75
2.60
2.62
2.49
2.53
2.54
2.48
2.58
2.68
2.67
3.00
3.28
2.42
2.79
2.64
2.80
3.04
ECOFLEXTRAEcoStrategist in brief
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
2.30
2.55
2.63
2.72
2.80
FOCUS FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
16.13 198.0 1.1 1.7 5.8 9.0 4.5 4.3 3.9*
17.06 293.5 1.3 2.0 6.5 11.2 5.9 5.2 4.3*
17.92 499.5 1.6 2.2 7.1 13.4 7.3 6.0 4.7*
18.77 167.5 1.8 2.4 7.7 15.6 8.7 6.8 5.1*
19.64 71.5 2.0 2.7 8.4 18.0 10.2 7.7 5.5*
SELECTION FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
10.68 21.3 1.2 2.3 6.5 - - - -
10.77 53.4 1.5 2.8 7.0 - - - -
10.90 70.5 1.7 3.2 7.6 - - - -
10.98 27.5 2.0 3.7 8.2 - - - -
11.06 8.5 2.3 4.1 8.8 - - - -
INCOME FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
16.99 323.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0*
15.45 370.6 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.5 1.3 1.8*
27.73 2,571.5 0.8 1.5 5.1 5.7 2.3 3.1 3.4*
11.98 480.2 0.6 1.0 5.2 8.4 - - -
11.05 100.4 0.2 0.3 2.4 2.9 2.6* - -
9.34 32.9 0.6 3.1 11.6 8.7 0.9* 4.6* -
DIVERSIFIED FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
20.20 344.3 1.0 2.6 7.6 12.2 5.2 4.7 4.3*
38.60 1,853.4 1.0 3.0 8.3 16.4 7.6 6.2 5.2*
24.63 272.9 1.1 3.3 10.2 19.5 8.5 6.9 5.7*
19.06 377.4 2.0 5.5 12.0 18.7 6.5 6.0 6.1*
14.07 216.1 0.9 3.5 7.1 13.6 8.8 7.9* 5.1*
13.23 11.6 2.0 3.7 7.6 15.6 8.2 - -
24.52 200.8 1.5 4.2 9.9 20.0 8.9 9.7 8.1*
12.12 104.7 1.7 1.5 2.1 7.5 7.4 7.7 -
17.53 200.2 1.5 3.4 8.0 13.8 6.8 7.8 -
CANADIAN EQUITY FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
15.18 223.4 2.2 4.8 12.4 20.8 13.3 10.0 5.9*
17.88 784.8 1.9 6.5 13.0 24.0 10.7 9.5 8.5*
20.59 236.2 2.1 6.2 15.7 24.0 9.8 10.8 -
21.64 233.3 1.4 7.2 14.5 23.5 7.5 6.6 6.4*
30.72 34.0 1.3 5.9 14.7 25.4 7.4 7.1 6.7*
45.75 373.0 1.4 5.3 12.5 22.6 7.8 6.5 5.3*
20.12 513.1 3.6 5.0 11.2 17.1 5.0 6.0 8.6*
18.06 145.6 1.7 7.0 12.0 23.7 11.5 8.3 7.2*
16.34 8.4 1.3 6.2 14.1 25.3 8.1 5.4 -
32.05 255.2 1.2 6.0 11.1 20.6 11.5 9.6 8.2*
28.01 411.7 1.1 5.9 14.1 26.1 9.6 8.9 8.9*
33.52 164.7 0.0 2.6 4.1 12.2 7.0 10.9 8.8*
27.75 173.9 1.9 5.0 13.3 29.8 22.8 18.5 11.4*
U.S. & INTERNATIONAL EQUITY FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
12.98 67.7 1.9 0.5 1.5 15.9 10.6 9.1 -
18.46 11.2 2.1 2.0 4.7 14.5 13.0 9.7 4.2*
16.23 110.6 1.7 0.7 5.7 19.6 14.8 8.5* -
14.87 289.3 1.4 (0.7) 6.2 22.5 18.6 9.5 3.8*
16.73 19.4 2.1 1.2 2.1 12.4 12.3 8.0 3.9*
16.01 96.6 1.5 3.9 11.3 26.4 18.9 12.7 6.1*
13.19 140.3 2.5 0.2 1.0 17.4 14.9 11.2 -
8.69 20.4 (0.7) (1.9) 3.0 16.8 12.5 5.3 2.3*
15.81 231.1 0.3 (2.7) 1.5 15.2 10.4 6.3* -
16.20 67.8 (0.1) (2.0) 2.6 17.0 13.6 5.7 2.5*
11.88 14.3 0.3 (3.2) 0.4 13.3 11.5 5.0 2.3*
11.80 68.0 (0.7) (5.2) (3.1) 12.9 14.8 7.3 6.5*
12.33 70.2 3.4 3.8 10.0 24.8 21.0 13.1 3.1*
13.42 413.6 3.2 4.0 10.4 24.8 20.4 11.8* -
13.50 86.8 2.9 3.0 10.4 20.6 17.7 9.6 2.4*
19.09 137.1 3.0 2.2 3.2 12.6 14.9 14.9* -
Global Dividend (Dynamic)
Global Equity (QV)
Global Equity
Global Equity (Templeton)
Global Equity (Mackenzie Cundill)
Fidelity NorthStar®
Global Equity Small Cap (Deutsche AWM)
International Equity Index
International Equity
International Equity (Templeton)
International Equity (MFS)
Fidelity European Equity
U.S. Equity Index
U.S. Equity
U.S. Dividend Growth
U.S. Equity (Sarbit)
EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra Individual Investment Funds August 31, 2014
Table of net returns as at August 31, 2014 Classic 75/75 Series (continued)
Returns after deduction of MER (Management expense ratio). Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.
The EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra economic and financial bulletin, produced monthly, and its more exhaustive annually version, are available on the Company's website under InvestmentVehicles and Publications.
1 Total net assets of the fund including individual and group contracts.2 The rates for the period are non-annualized.3 Management expense ratio (GST and HST included). These fees may vary at any time.4 Not offered in registered contracts and TFSAs.* Simulation of past returns as if the fund had been in effect for these periods.
Index funds: Simulation of past returns from the return of the index that the fund aims to reproduce.
Unit Net assets1 Simple returns2 Compound annual returns Investmentvalue in millions 1 month 3 months YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years MER3 Advisor$ $ % % % % % % % %
Dynamic
QV Investors
Industrial Alliance
Templeton
Makenzie Cundill
Fidelity
Deutsche AWM
BlackRock
Industrial Alliance
Templeton
MFS
Fidelity
SSgA (State Street)
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Sarbit
2.92
3.19
2.76
2.77
3.03
2.97
3.41
2.66
2.81
2.88
3.27
2.87
2.66
2.80
2.63
2.81
ECOFLEXTRAEcoStrategist in brief
FOCUS FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
16.08 198.0 1.1 1.7 5.6 8.7 4.4 4.2 3.9*
16.99 293.5 1.3 1.9 6.2 10.8 5.8 5.1 4.3*
17.84 499.5 1.5 2.1 6.8 12.9 7.2 5.9 4.7*
18.69 167.5 1.7 2.3 7.5 15.2 8.5 6.8 5.0*
19.55 71.5 1.9 2.6 8.1 17.5 10.0 7.6 5.4*
SELECTION FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
10.66 21.3 1.2 2.2 6.2 - - - -
10.74 53.4 1.4 2.7 6.8 - - - -
10.87 70.5 1.7 3.1 7.4 - - - -
10.95 27.5 1.9 3.6 8.0 - - - -
11.03 8.5 2.2 4.0 8.5 - - - -
INCOME FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
16.98 323.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0*
15.43 370.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.4 1.3 1.8*
27.67 2,571.5 0.8 1.4 5.0 5.5 2.3 3.1 3.4*
11.94 480.2 0.6 0.9 5.0 8.1 - - -
11.01 100.4 0.1 0.2 2.2 2.5 2.4* - -
DIVERSIFIED FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
20.12 344.3 1.0 2.5 7.3 11.8 5.0 4.6 4.2*
38.44 1,853.4 1.0 2.9 8.0 16.0 7.4 6.1 5.1*
24.55 272.9 1.1 3.2 10.0 19.1 8.4 6.8 5.6*
18.96 377.4 2.0 5.4 11.7 18.2 6.3 5.9 6.0*
13.98 216.1 0.8 3.4 6.7 12.9 8.6 7.8* 5.1*
13.17 11.6 2.0 3.6 7.3 15.2 8.0 - -
24.47 200.8 1.4 4.2 9.8 19.8 8.8 9.7 8.0*
12.05 104.7 1.6 1.3 1.7 7.0 7.2 7.6 -
17.40 200.2 1.4 3.3 7.6 13.1 6.6 7.6 -
15.79 9.3 1.5 2.6 5.0 10.1 7.3 6.7 -
CANADIAN EQUITY FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
15.18 223.4 2.2 4.8 12.4 20.8 13.3 10.0 5.9*
17.83 784.8 1.9 6.4 12.8 23.7 10.6 9.4 8.4*
20.45 236.2 2.1 6.0 15.2 23.3 9.6 10.6 -
21.61 233.3 1.4 7.1 14.4 23.4 7.4 6.6 6.4*
30.64 34.0 1.3 5.9 14.5 25.1 7.3 7.0 6.6*
45.56 373.0 1.3 5.2 12.2 22.2 7.6 6.4 5.3*
20.06 513.1 3.5 4.9 11.0 16.8 4.9 5.9 8.6*
18.06 145.6 1.7 7.0 11.9 23.7 11.5 8.3 7.2*
16.26 8.4 1.3 6.0 13.8 24.7 7.9 5.3 -
31.84 255.2 1.1 5.8 10.7 19.9 11.2 9.4 8.1*
27.93 411.7 1.1 5.8 13.9 25.8 9.5 8.9 8.9*
33.31 164.7 0.0 2.4 3.7 11.6 6.7 10.7 8.7*
27.68 173.9 1.9 4.9 13.2 29.5 22.7 18.4 11.4*
Focus Prudent
Focus Moderate
Focus Balanced
Focus Growth
Focus Aggressive
Selection Prudent
Selection Moderate
Selection Balanced
Selection Growth
Selection Aggressive
Money Market
Short Term Bonds
Bonds
Strategic Corporate Bond
Tactical Bonds (Aston Hill)
Diversified Security
Diversified
Diversified Opportunity
Fidelity Canadian Asset Allocation
Canadian Balanced (QV)
SRI Balanced (Inhance)
Diversified Income
Global Diversified (Aston Hill)
Tactical Income (Aston Hill)
Strategic U.S. Growth & Income
Strategic Equity Income
Dividend Growth
Canadian Equity (Leon Frazer)
Canadian Equity Index
Select Canadian5
Canadian Equity Value
Canadian Equity (Taylor AM)
Canadian Equity (Jarislowsky)
Canadian Leaders
Fidelity True North®
Canadian Equity Growth
Fidelity Canadian Opportunities
Canadian Equity Small Cap (QV)
EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra Individual Investment Funds August 31, 2014
Table of net returns as at August 31, 2014 - Guaranteed Surrender Series
Unit Net assets1 Simple returns2 Compound annual returns GSB Fund Investmentvalue in millions 1 month 3 months YTD1 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years MER3 Fee Rate4 Advisor$ $ % % % % % % % % %
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
IA Clarington
Aston Hill
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
QV Investors Inc.
Vancity
Industrial Alliance
Aston Hill
Aston Hill
IA Clarington
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
IA Clarington
Industrial Alliance
Leon Frazer
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Taylor AM
Jarislowsky
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
Industrial Alliance
Fidelity
QV Investors Inc.
2.80
2.91
2.99
3.07
3.11
1.60
2.29
2.30
2.43
2.53
2.82
2.87
2.87
3.19
3.11
3.15
2.76
3.16
3.13
2.81
2.52
2.79
3.07
2.91
2.91
3.02
3.25
3.32
2.89
3.36
2.89
3.36
3.27
0.60
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.20
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1,00
1.20
1.20
1.20
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
ECOFLEXTRAEcoStrategist in brief
2.69
2.83
2.94
3.06
3.16
0.60
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.20
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
Various Managers
U.S. & INTERNATIONAL EQUITY FUNDS ECOFLEXTRA
12.96 67.7 1.9 0.5 1.4 15.8 10.5 9.0 -
18.45 11.2 2.1 2.0 4.6 14.4 13.0 9.7 4.2*
16.17 110.6 1.7 0.6 5.4 19.2 14.7 8.4* -
14.77 289.3 1.3 (0.8) 5.7 21.7 18.4 9.3 3.8*
16.65 19.4 2.0 1.1 1.8 11.9 12.1 7.9 3.8*
15.94 96.6 1.5 3.8 11.0 25.9 18.7 12.6 6.1*
13.19 140.3 2.5 0.2 1.1 17.4 14.9 11.2 -
8.66 20.4 (0.7) (1.9) 2.8 16.5 12.3 5.2 2.2*
15.77 231.1 0.3 (2.8) 1.4 14.9 10.3 6.2* -
16.10 67.8 (0.2) (2.1) 2.2 16.4 13.4 5.6 2.5*
11.88 14.3 0.3 (3.2) 0.4 13.3 11.5 5.0 2.3*
11.73 68.0 (0.7) (5.3) (3.4) 12.3 14.6 7.2 6.5*
12.29 70.2 3.4 3.7 9.9 24.5 20.9 13.0 3.1*
13.37 413.6 3.2 3.9 10.1 24.4 20.2 11.7* -
13.40 86.8 2.8 2.8 9.9 19.8 17.4 9.4 2.3*
18.99 137.1 3.0 2.0 2.9 12.1 14.7 14.8* -
DISTINCTION FUNDS** ECOFLEXTRA
14.56 5.3 1.3 2.5 7.1 12.0 6.7 5.7 4.2*
15.40 8.3 1.4 2.8 7.6 13.8 7.3 6.1 4.7*
16.59 36.3 1.5 2.9 7.7 15.5 8.8 7.4 4.9*
17.42 16.9 1.7 3.3 8.5 17.8 10.2 8.0 4.5*
18.18 3.3 1.8 3.5 8.6 18.9 11.2 8.5 5.1*
Global Dividend (Dynamic)
Global Equity (QV)
Global Equity
Global Equity (Templeton)
Global Equity (Mackenzie Cundill)
Fidelity NorthStar®
Global Equity Small Cap. (Deutsche AWM)
International Equity Index
International Equity
International Equity (Templeton)
International Equity (MFS)
Fidelity European Equity
U.S. Equity Index
U.S. Equity
U.S. Dividend Growth
U.S. Equity (Sarbit)
EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra Individual Investment Funds August 31, 2014
Table of net returns as at August 31, 2014 Guaranteed Surrender Series (continued)
Returns after deduction of MER (Management expense ratio). Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.
The EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra economic and financial bulletin, produced monthly, and its more exhaustive annually version, are available on the Company's website under InvestmentVehicles and Publications.
1 Total net assets of the fund including individual and group contracts.2 The rates for the period are non-annualized.3 Management expense ratio (GST and HST included). These fees may vary at any time.4 The GSB fund fee rate (guaranteed surrender balance) is used to determine the GSB Fee based on the year-end GSB. The GSB fund fee rate applies to the Guaranteed Surrender series only.5 Not offered in registered contracts and TFSAs.* Simulation of past returns as if the fund had been in effect for these periods.
Index funds: Simulation of past returns from the return of the index that the fund aims to reproduce.** Distinction Funds are only offered in the Guaranteed Surrender Series.
Unit Net assets1 Simple returns2 Compound annual returns GSB Fund Investmentvalue in millions 1 month 3 months YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years MER3 Fee Rate4 Advisor$ $ % % % % % % % % %
Dynamic
QV Investors
Industrial Alliance
Templeton
Makenzie Cundill
Fidelity
Deutsche AWM
BlackRock
Industrial Alliance
Templeton
MFS
Fidelity
SSgA (State Street)
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Sarbit
3.20
3.20
3.10
3.39
3.45
3.38
3.38
2.94
2.94
3.45
3.24
3.40
2.90
3.12
3.28
3.25
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
ECOFLEXTRAEcoStrategist in brief
Distinction Prudent
Distinction Conservative
Distinction Balanced
Distinction Growth
Distinction Bold
2.90
3.00
3.04
3.21
3.26
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.20
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
Industrial Alliance
F95
-21A
(5)
(14
-09)
EcoStrategist in Brief | Ecoflextra Individual Investment Funds August 31, 2014
ECOFLEXTRAEcoStrategist in brief
Total Return Reference indexes - Returns as at August 31, 2014
INDEXES RELATED TOINCOME FUNDSFTSE TMX Canada 91 Day T-Bill IndexFTSE TMX Canada Short Term Bond IndexFTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond IndexS&P/TSX Capped Income Trusts (Total Return)SB - World Government Bonds (Can. $)
INDEXES RELATED TOCANADIAN EQUITY FUNDSS&P/TSX 60S&P/TSX Completion IndexS&P/TSX Composite IndexS&P/TSX Capped Composite IndexS&P/TSX Small Cap Index
INDEXES RELATED TOU.S. & INTERNATIONAL EQUITY FUNDSS&P 500 (Can. $)S&P 500 (Can. $) (Reuters)MSCI - World (Can. $)MSCI - World Small Cap. (Can. $)MSCI - EAFE (Can. $)MSCI - EAFE (Can. $) (Reuters)MSCI - Europe (Can. $)
EXCHANGE RATE (Can. $ / US $)As at August 31, 2014: 1.0858
EXCHANGE RATE (US $ / Can. $)As at August 31, 2014: 0.9210
www.inalco.com
Continued from first page
Simple returns2 Compound annual returns1 month 3 months YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years
% % % % % % %
0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 2.00.2 0.5 2.2 3.3 2.4 3.0 4.01.1 2.0 6.6 7.6 4.3 5.2 5.52.6 3.8 12.3 20.0 11.4 18.9 12.90.2 0.2 6.7 8.4 3.5 2.5 2.6
1.7 8.1 16.8 27.2 10.5 9.7 9.63.1 6.7 17.1 27.0 9.3 14.1 9.42.1 7.7 16.9 27.1 10.2 10.7 9.32.1 7.7 16.9 27.1 10.2 10.7 9.32.5 6.9 17.9 28.2 3.8 11.8 5.7
3.7 4.6 12.2 28.9 24.9 16.6 6.33.6 4.6 12.2 28.8 24.9 16.6 6.31.9 2.3 9.0 24.6 19.6 12.1 5.62.8 2.8 7.6 24.7 20.9 15.6 8.2(0.4) (1.3) 4.7 19.8 15.3 8.0 5.0(0.5) (1.3) 4.7 19.7 15.3 7.9 4.90.1 (3.5) 4.5 21.9 17.2 9.1 6.0
Variation Compound annual variation1 month 3 months YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years
% % % % % % %
(0.3) (0.1) 2.1 2.9 3.5 (0.2) (1.9)
0.3 0.1 (2.0) (2.8) (3.4) 0.2 2.0
• Confidence is melting like snow in the sun in Europe, mainly in Germany, where it iscurrently at its lowest since 2012, in reaction to the situation in Ukraine and thedarkening economic outlook. The ZEW index dropped for the eighth consecutivemonth, falling to its lowest in two years.
World: China showing no clear direction
• The Chinese credit cycle is clearly slowing down, and there are concerns that the realestate sector is entering a correction phase. Sales of new homes are plummeting, asare prices, which means the government will very likely have to beef up its economicstimulus program.
• We now know the impact of the sales tax hike in Japan: GDP was down 6.8% in thesecond quarter (annualized rate), a performance that by and large exceededexpectations of -7.1%. All eyes are now on the third-quarter data: everyone hopes tosee a rebound in activity, if they are to continue believing in the chances of the Abeplan’s success. At the time of writing these lines, early signs did not quite meetexpectations, causing serious doubt as to the ultimate success of the plan.
Financial markets
• The S&P/TSX Composite Index continued to climb in August, with a monthly gain of2.1%. The return for the year to date is now 16.9%.
• It was a very positive month for the S&P 500 as well, up 4.0% (3.7% in Canadiandollars) in August. Since the start of the year, the U.S. index has increased 9.9% inlocal currency (12.2% in Canadian dollars).
• World indices MSCI - EAFE and MSCI - World posted returns of 1.0% and 2.6%respectively (-0.4% and +1.9% respectively in Canadian dollars). The emergingmarkets, measured by the MSCI - Emerging Markets Index, gained 2.0% (2.0% inCanadian dollars).
• The Canadian bond market, measured by the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index,was up 1.1%.