earnings results: september quarter and fiscal...
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TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: AMTD). Brokerage services provided by TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC, and TD Ameritrade Clearing, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC, subsidiaries of TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. TD Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2016 TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. All rights reserved. Used with permission.
Earnings Results: September Quarter and Fiscal 2016
1
October 24, 2016
Tim Hockey, President and CEO Steve Boyle, EVP and CFO
This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. In particular, any projections regarding our future revenues, expenses, earnings, capital expenditures, effective tax rates, client trading activity, accounts or stock price, as well as the assumptions on which such expectations are based, are forward-looking statements. These statements reflect only our current expectations and are not guarantees of future performance or results. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or performance to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include, but are not limited to: general economic and political conditions and other securities industry risks, fluctuations in interest rates, stock market fluctuations and changes in client trading activity, credit risk with clients and counterparties, increased competition, systems failures, delays and capacity constraints, network security risks, liquidity risks, new laws and regulations affecting our business, regulatory and legal matters and uncertainties and other risk factors described in our latest Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on Nov. 20, 2015 and our latest Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed thereafter. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which the statements were made. We undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by the federal securities laws.
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Safe Harbor
*Certain totals may not foot due to rounding. **Changes based on rounding numbers to the nearest $ millions. ***See Appendix for footnotes’ descriptions.
September Quarter 2016 Key Highlights
3
Record client assets of $774B, up 16% year over year
Net new client assets(1) of $15.1B, 8% annualized growth rate(2)
Record fee-based investment balances(3) of $170B, up 12% year over year
Record interest rate sensitive assets(4) of $119B, up 10% year over year
Net revenues of $829M, slightly down year over year
Average client trades per day of 444K, down 7% year over year
Diluted earnings per share of $0.35, down 13% year over year
September Quarter 2016 Summary of Notable Items in the Quarter
4
Notable operating expense items of approximately $46M, impacting earnings per share by $0.05 unfavorably Terminated various projects and contracts Better positioned to implement strategic plans
Notable tax items of approximately $17M, impacting earnings per share by $0.03 favorably Incentives on software development Impacts go-forward tax rate assumptions
Fiscal 2016 Key Highlights
5
Average client trades per day of 463K, up slightly year over year Net new client assets(1) of $60B, 9% annual growth rate(2)
Client assets of $774B, up 16% year over year Fee-based investment balances(3) of $170B, up 12% year over year Interest rate sensitive assets(4) of $119B, up 10% year over year Net revenues of $3.3B, up 2% year over year Record diluted earnings per share of $1.58, up 6% year over year Capital Deployment – returned ~80% of net income excluding amortization
of intangible assets(5) through dividends and share repurchases Paid $0.68 per share in cash dividends ($362M) Repurchased 12.0M shares ($352M) FY17 – increasing quarterly cash dividend by 6% to $0.18/share
Funded account growth and volatility are key drivers
360 374
427
462 463
36%
39% 41%
43% 44%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
300
350
400
450
500
550
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Avg. Client Trades Per Day (K)
Trading
6
% Derivatives(7) of Total Trades per Day Outlook Range (K)(6)
505
475
Fiscal 2016 Average client trades per
day of 463K Record derivatives - 44%
of DARTS(8)
Record mobile - 19% of DARTS
Sep Q – 1 day with intraday volatility at least 2.0%
Fiscal 2017 Commissions per trade(9)
of $11.50-$11.75(6)
October month-to-date 431K
Growth Rate(2)
Asset Gathering Focused on increasing growth rates
7
Net New Client Assets ($B)(1)
$55 $41
$50 $53
$63 $60
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
$85
7-11%(6) 10% 10% 10% 11% 9%
Outlook Range ($B)(6)
Fiscal 2016 $60B NNA, 9% growth rate Retail/institutional split
approximately 30/70 Both retail and institutional
solid results and strong client satisfaction scores
Fiscal 2017 Evolution of LTI continuum
$196
$250
$309 $334
$374
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Investment Product Fees(10) Continue to Build-out
8
Outlook Range ($M)(6) Investment Product Fees ($M)
CAGR: 18%
Avg. Bal. ($B) $86 $113 $137 $156 $161 $178-$186(6)
$430
$405
Fiscal 2016 Record revenue, up 12% Amerivest and
AdvisorDirect continue to drive revenue growth
Fiscal 2017 Continued focused on
guidance products growth
DOL – New Fiduciary Rule Update
9
Business model well-positioned to adapt to new rules IRA assets represent ~30% of client assets
− Retail - predominantly self-directed − Institutional - operating under fiduciary standard
Working through execution phase to prepare for April 2017
Strategies developed for IRA rollovers and Advisory products
Developing marketing approach
Evolution of LTI guidance model will position us well
Financial impact to FY17 won’t be significant
Strategies developed to comply and capitalize on the potential disruption
Sep Q '16 Sep Q '15 Variance % Variance FY16 FY15 Variance % Variance
1 $336 $364 ($28) (8%) Transaction-Based Revenues $1,372 $1,401 ($29) (2%)2 $479 $455 $24 5% Asset-Based Revenues $1,895 $1,795 $100 6%3 $14 $12 $2 17% Other Revenues $60 $51 $9 18%4 $829 $831 ($2) 0% Net Revenues $3,327 $3,247 $80 2%
5 $487 $422 $65 15% Operating Expenses, excl. Advertising(5) $1,749 $1,674 $75 4%6 $59 $49 $10 20% Advertising $260 $248 $12 5%7 $546 $471 $75 16% Total Operating Expenses $2,009 $1,922 $87 5%
8 $283 $360 ($77) (21%) Operating Income $1,318 $1,325 ($7) (1%)
9 $13 $13 $0 0% Other Expense $53 $37 $16 43%
10 $270 $347 ($77) (22%) Pre-Tax Income $1,265 $1,288 ($23) (2%)11 33% 42% (9%) Pre-Tax Margin 38% 40% (2%)
12 $185 $216 ($31) (14%) Net Income $842 $813 $29 4%13 $0.35 $0.40 ($0.05) (13%) EPS $1.58 $1.49 $0.09 6%14 15% 17% (2%) ROE(11) 17% 17% 0%
Cash-generation statistics:15 $197 $230 ($33) (14%) Net Income excl. Amortization of Intangibles(5) $895 $868 $27 3%16 $0.37 $0.42 ($0.05) (12%) EPS excl. Amortization of Intangibles(5) $1.68 $1.59 $0.09 6%17 $327 $405 ($78) (19%) EBITDA(5) $1,496 $1,512 ($16) (1%)18 39% 49% (10%) EBITDA/Net Revenues 45% 47% (2%)
Financial Overview
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(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts) Quarter Comparison Full Year Comparison
Balance growth is key
$59
$68 $73 $76
$84 1.37%
1.17% 1.11%
1.09% 1.09%
0.95%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
IDA(12) Net Revenue
11
Outlook Range ($M)(6) IDA Net Revenue ($M)
Outlook Range ($B) Avg. IDA Balance ($B) Net Yield Outlook Range
$870 $828 $804 $820 $839
$926
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
$955
$90
$94
Fiscal 2016 Record average balances Stable net yields Record client net buying
activity 8 bps decline from Jun Q to
Sep Q including 4 bps due to higher balances and 3 bps due to increased FDIC insurance
Fiscal 2017 Balance growth expected to
compress yields
1.00%
Margin and stock lending the major drivers
$15 $16
$19 $20
$23
2.97%
2.92% 3.09% 3.03%
2.59% 2.50%
2.30%
2.50%
2.70%
2.90%
3.10%
$10
$14
$18
$22
$26
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Net Interest Revenue
12
Outlook Range ($M)(6) Net Interest Revenue ($M)
Outlook Range ($B) Avg. Net Interest Balances($B) Net Yield Outlook Range
$585
$450 $469
$581 $622
$595
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
$710
$23
$25
Fiscal 2016 Record average balances Average margin balances
of $11.8B, down 2% year over year
Fiscal 2017 Balances expected to be
flat-to-up Yield expected to stabilize
2.80%
$63 $73 $75 $80
$90
$15 $17 $19
$22
$25
$5
$5 $6
$6
$4
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
Sep '12 Sep '13 Sep '14 Sep '15 Sep '16
Money Market Mutual Funds
Interest Earning Assets
IDA
Interest Rate Sensitive Assets(4)
13
Ending Balances ($B)
Immediate benefit with Fed Funds increases
Benefit over time with Yield Curve due to re-pricing of laddered investment portfolio
Float $29B
$100 $108
$96
$119 Balance of $119B, up 10% year over year Ending client cash as % of
client assets 14.6%
Each of the next two 25 basis points Fed rate increases expected to add $0.08-$0.10 EPS annually(14)
(12)
Fixed$61B
$83
(13)
Float $21B
Fixed$59B
Float $18B
Float $16B
Float $5B
Fixed$57B
Fixed$57B
Fixed$58B
Good Stewards of Shareholder Capital
14
Strong Cash Generation and Strong Financial Position
(3)
$0.6 $0.7
$0.8
$0.9 $0.9
$0.3
$0.5
$0.7 $0.7 $0.7
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Net Income excl. Amort. of Intangibles ($B)
Returned/Deployed ($B)
51% 79% 64% 87%
(15)
S&P “A”, Moody’s “A3” Fiscal 2016
Paid $0.68 per share in cash dividends ($362M)
Repurchased 12.0M shares ($352M)
Fiscal 2017 Targeting 40%(6) of net income
excluding amortization of intangible assets • Recurring dividend ~ 40% • No share repurchases
Increased quarterly cash dividend by 6% to $0.18/share
80%
(5)
Fiscal 2017 Outlook Range(6)
Financial Macro Assumptions Key Metrics
High
$1.80 EPS 10% Market Growth NNA(1) $85B / 11%(2)
42% Pre-Tax Margin
Increasing Fed Funds Increasing Yield Curve
TPD 505K
Operating expense growth of 3% NIM(16) 1.38% / IDA(12) 1.00%
Low
$1.50 EPS 0% Market Growth NNA $55B / 7%
38% Pre-Tax Margin
No change in Fed Funds, flattening Yield Curve TPD 475K
Operating expense growth of (1%)
NIM 1.27% / IDA 0.95%
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Conclusion
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Plans for fiscal 2017 – scale and speed are key Execution: focused on increased nimbleness, agility and throughput Investments: technology, sales people Priority: organic growth in trades, client assets Key initiative: building out solutions for investment guidance/advice Key opportunity: DOL Fiduciary Rule implications for the industry
FY17 outlook range(6) of $1.50-$1.80
Closing out a good fiscal year, core strategy does not change
Appendix
17
Sensitivity
3K average client trades per day = $0.01
$3.8B fee-based assets(17) = $0.01
$0.6B spread-based assets(18) = $0.01
+25bps interest rate move = +$0.08-$0.10(14)
Estimated annual impact to EPS
18
382
414
492
401 403
457
477
434
479
438
509
462
444
350
375
400
425
450
475
500
525
Sep Q'13
Dec Q'13
Mar Q'14
Jun Q'14
Sep Q'14
Dec Q'14
Mar Q'15
Jun Q'15
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Trades per Day
Thirteen quarter average 446K
13 Qtr. Avg. Trades per Day
446
FY17 Outlook Range(6): Avg. Trades Per Day (K): 475-505
Avg. Trades Per Day (K)
19
$72.5 $74.9 $75.8 $75.0
$76.8
$80.9 $83.6
$85.8
$90.2 $91.6 $91.8 $91.7 $93.7
$95.7 $95.1 $95.1
$99.3 $102.6
$106.0 $106.6
$110.5
18.1%
18.8%
17.6% 16.9% 16.8%
17.1%
16.7% 16.4% 16.7% 15.9%
15.2% 14.5% 14.3% 14.4%
13.9% 13.5% 14.4%
14.8% 15.4%
14.7% 14.6%
10%
15%
20%
25%
$60
$65
$70
$75
$80
$85
$90
$95
$100
$105
$110
$115
Sep Q'11
Dec Q'11
Mar Q'12
Jun Q'12
Sep Q'12
Dec Q'12
Mar Q'13
Jun Q'13
Sep Q'13
Dec Q'13
Mar Q'14
Jun Q'14
Sep Q'14
Dec Q'14
Mar Q'15
Jun Q'15
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Cash as % of Client Assets Range 13-18% Based on Current Mix
Avg. Client Cash ($B) Avg. Client Cash as % of Avg. Client Assets
20
NIM(16) compression likely to continue due to mix
$74 $84
$91 $96
$106
1.69%
1.50% 1.51% 1.50%
1.41% 1.27% 1.25%
1.50%
1.75%
2.00%
$50
$70
$90
$110
$130
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Spread Based Revenue
21
Outlook Range ($M)(6) Spread-Based Revenue ($M)
$1,278 $1,273
$1,401 $1,461
$1,521
$750
$1,000
$1,250
$1,500
$1,750
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
$1,665
$1,455
Outlook Range ($B) Spread-Based Balance ($B)(18)
NIM Outlook Range NIM
$113
$119
1.38%
Fiscal 2016 Record revenue and
average balances
Fiscal 2017 Stable-to-declining NIM Balance growth
continuing from record levels
0.13 0.35 0.37 0.41
0.50
0.61 0.66 0.70
0.41 0.41 0.41 0.44
0.40
0.60
0.74 0.86
1.11
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Dec Q'16
Mar Q'17
Jun Q'17
Sep Q'17
Forwards GI Low GI Base
Fed Funds
0.75
1.18
0.84 0.73
1.07 1.11 1.15 1.19 1.14
1.30 1.43 1.51
1.01
1.26 1.40
1.59
1.77
0.50
0.70
0.90
1.10
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Dec Q'16
Mar Q'17
Jun Q'17
Sep Q'17
Forwards GI Low GI Base
Libor/Swap Yield Curve(19)
Nine quarter trend
22
2 Year Swap
5 Year Swap 7 Year Swap
1.38
1.74
1.17
0.98
1.30 1.34 1.38
1.42
1.21 1.19 1.27
1.50
1.18
1.46
1.61
1.82
2.02
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Dec Q'16
Mar Q'17
Jun Q'17
Sep Q'17
Forwards GI Low GI Base
1.70
1.95
1.39
1.15
1.45 1.49 1.52 1.56
1.27 1.26 1.33
1.52 1.30
1.57
1.73
1.94
2.12
0.90
1.10
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.10
2.30
Sep Q'15
Dec Q'15
Mar Q'16
Jun Q'16
Sep Q'16
Dec Q'16
Mar Q'17
Jun Q'17
Sep Q'17
Forwards GI Low GI Base
Important Information
23
1. Net new assets (NNA) consist of total client asset inflows, less total client asset outflows, excluding activity from business combinations. Client asset inflows include interest and dividend payments and exclude changes in client assets due to market fluctuations. Net new assets are measured based on the market value of the assets as of the date of the inflows and outflows.
2. NNA growth rate is annualized net new assets as a % of client assets as of the beginning of the period.
3. Market fee-based investment balances plus money market mutual funds. Ending balances as of Sep. 30, 2016.
4. Interest rate sensitive assets consist of spread-based assets and money market mutual funds. Ending balances as of Sep. 30, 2016.
5. See attached reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures.
6. FY17 forecast per 10/24/16 outlook statement.
7. Derivatives include options, futures and foreign exchange (Forex) trades per day.
8. Total revenue-generating client trades divided by the number of trading days in the period. This metric is also known as average client trades per day.
9. Average commissions and transaction fees per trade.
10. Market fee-based plus money market mutual fund revenue.
11. Return on average stockholders’ equity (annualized).
12. Client cash is held in FDIC-insured deposit accounts (IDA) at TD Bank, N.A. and TD Bank USA, N.A. TD Ameritrade, TD Bank, N.A., and TD Bank USA, N.A. are affiliated through The Toronto-Dominion Bank.
13. Ending balances as of Sep. 30, 2016 consisted of $11.8B in client margin balances, $8.7B in segregated cash, and $4.1B in other balances.
Important Information
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14. Impact on spread-based and money market mutual fund revenues in the next twelve months following an interest rate increase. Assumes fed funds increase results in a parallel shift to the LIBOR/SWAP yield curve. Range impacted by client sharing assumptions. Over 90% of the benefit in year one is attributable to short-term rates. EPS range corresponds to $65-$80M of revenue. Model updated as of 10/24/16.
15. Cash used for share repurchases and dividends divided by net income excluding amortization of intangible assets. Excludes shares repurchased for payroll taxes on equity award distributions.
16. NIM (net interest margin) is a measure of the net yield on our average spread-based assets.
17. Client assets invested in money market mutual funds, other mutual funds and Company programs such as AdvisorDirect and Amerivest, on which we earn fee revenues.
18. Client and brokerage-related asset balances, including client margin balances, segregated cash, insured deposit account balances, deposits paid on securities borrowing and other cash and interest-earning investment balances
19. Source: Bloomberg end of period rates.
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
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2016 2015 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
Net income 185$ 216$ 842$ 813$ 787$ 675$ 586$ Adjustments:
Amortization of acquired intangible assets 20 23 86 90 90 91 92 Income tax effect of above adjustment (8) (9) (33) (35) (35) (35) (35)
Net income excluding amortization of intangible assets 197$ 230$ 895$ 868$ 842$ 731$ 643$
Diluted earnings per share 0.35$ 0.40$ 1.58$ 1.49$ 1.42$ 1.22$ 1.06$ Adjustments on a per share basis:
Amortization of acquired intangible assets 0.04 0.04 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 Income tax effect of above adjustment (0.02) (0.02) (0.06) (0.06) (0.06) (0.06) (0.07)
EPS excluding amortization of intangible assets 0.37$ 0.42$ 1.68$ 1.59$ 1.52$ 1.32$ 1.16$
$ % of Net Rev. $ % of Net Rev. $ % of Net Rev. $ % of Net Rev.
Net income 185$ 22.3% 216$ 26.0% 842$ 25.3% 813$ 25.0%Add:
Depreciation and amortization 24 2.9% 22 2.6% 92 2.8% 91 2.8%Amortization of acquired intangible assets 20 2.4% 23 2.8% 86 2.6% 90 2.8%Interest on borrowings 13 1.6% 13 1.6% 53 1.6% 43 1.3%Provision for income taxes 85 10.3% 131 15.8% 423 12.7% 475 14.6%
EBITDA 327$ 39.4% 405$ 48.7% 1,496$ 45.0% 1,512$ 46.6%
2016 2015 2016 2015
Total operating expenses 546$ 471$ 2,009$ 1,922$ Less: Advertising (59) (49) (260) (248) Operating expenses excluding advertising 487$ 422$ 1,749$ 1,674$
September 30,
Operating Expenses Excluding Advertising (3)
20152015
EBITDA (2)
Quarter EndedSeptember 30,
Fiscal Year Ended
2016 2016
TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATIONRECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
Dollars in millions, except per share amounts(Unaudited)
Net Income Excluding Amortization of Intangible Assets (1)
Quarter EndedSeptember 30,
September 30, September 30,
September 30,
Quarter Ended Fiscal Year Ended
Fiscal Year Ended
EPS Excluding Amortization of Intangible Assets (1)
Note: The term "GAAP" in the following explanations refers to generally accepted accounting principles in the United States.
(1)
(2)
(3)
Net income and earnings per share (EPS) excluding amortization of intangible assets are non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. We define net income excluding amortization of intangible assets as net income adjusted to remove the after-tax effect of amortization of acquired intangible assets. We consider net income and EPS excluding amortization of intangible assets important measures of our financial performance. Amortization of acquired intangible assets is excluded because management does not believe it is indicative of underlying business performance. Net income and EPS excluding amortization of intangible assets should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, GAAP net income and EPS.
EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) is considered a non-GAAP financial measure as defined by SEC Regulation G. We consider EBITDA an important measure of our financial performance and of our ability to generate cash flows to service debt, fund capital expenditures and fund other corporate investing and financing activities. EBITDA is used as the denominator in the consolidated leverage ratio calculation for covenant purposes under our senior revolving credit facility. EBITDA eliminates the non-cash effect of tangible asset depreciation and amortization and intangible asset amortization. EBITDA should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, pre-tax income, net income and cash flows from operating activities.
Operating expenses excluding advertising is considered a non-GAAP financial measure as defined by SEC Regulation G. Operating expenses excluding advertising consists of total operating expenses, adjusted to remove advertising expense. We consider operating expenses excluding advertising an important measure of the financial performance of our ongoing business. Advertising spending is excluded because it is largely at the discretion of the Company, varies significantly from period to period based on market conditions and generally relates to the acquisition of future revenues through new accounts rather than current revenues from existing accounts. Operating expenses excluding advertising should be considered in addition to, rather than as a substitute for, total operating expenses.
27