The Future of Social Objects
Nov 10, 2010, London
<0> Warmup<1> Nature Doesn’t Care<2> Change<3> Today<4> Tomorrow
David OrbanFounder & Chief Evangelist
davidorban
Please connect, now!
<0>
Warmup
27 > 100
..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128
... 0.0156250.031250.06250.1250.51...
Questions
Answers
Ignorance
Kevin Kelly - kk.org
</0>
<1>
NatureDoesn’t Care
How it Used to Be
“Mother NatureIs a Bitch!”
Edward A. Murphy, Jr. - 1949 ca.
</1>
<2>
Change
What Changed?
...Then Changed...
...And Changed Again
Technology Isthe Means
Barriers to Adoption
SocialLegal
...
...Infrastructural
Economic
</2>
<3>
Today We Can Fail
"The formula for success? Double your rate of failure."
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate,
without increasing the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow
<Example>
<Yesterday>
Columbus
Water Hemisphere
<Today>
Web 2.0 Startups
</Example>
William Gibson
The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet
Fred Armitage
The Open Internet Of Things
Evolving Devices
Spime = SPace + tIME
Bruce Sterling
Spime
memorycomputation
communicationlocationsensor
Social Object
a spime participating in structured groups w i t h h u m a n s , o r other spimes
1
UbiquitousConnectedness
IPv4
IPv6
Atoms
≈ 109
≈ 1038
≈ 1080
A Granular World
IPv6 & Our Cells
IF we assign a unique address to each cell in the human body
THEN we can handle a septillion individuals (10^24)
WITHOUT resorting to NAT! :)
Drawing Fine Lines
Wonderlane
2
Tight Feedback Loop
Necessary Autonomy
Platform Orders of magnitude
PCs ≈ 108
Mobiles ~ Humans ≈ 109
Spimes > 1010
Around Us Already
Ryan Harvey
3
Constantly Measuring Interaction
Network Evolution
Generation Isotropy Access
Web data knowledge
Web 2.0 applications social
Spimes sensors world
Redundancy of spimes
NASA JPL
4
Realtime Data
Changing Dialogue
Generation Bandwidth M2M Index
Industrial apps Kb/s 1%
Realtime Web Mb/s 10%
Spime Networks Gb/s 99%+
M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications among machine in proportion to those with humans
Data deluge
µµ
5
New ClassesOf Useful Objects
Not Blind Anymore
Object # sensors
Mobile phone 10
Car 50-100
Awareness
Volvo
Awareness
NY Times
6
Common Sense Understanding
privacyrelationships
needsemotions
Empathy
Engaget
</3>
<4>
What Will Be Next?
What’s On Your Radar
Banksy / Robbiedangerous
Originality & Inventiveness
Work
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimfischer/248752580/
Food & Shelter
http://www.flickr.com/photos/hamed/1552383685/#/
Democracy
http://www.flickr.com/photos/latitudes/135745767/
New Social Contract
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gsfc/4866242774/
</4>
</end>
Thank You!
widetag.comdavidorban.com
