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CNBC’s Investor Camp,Varanasi
Trading index futures using
channels
By Ashwani Gujral
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Why the nifty?
'ifty reains the (est ris) reward trade
*xtree le+els in nifty corres,ond with )ey
stoc)s -t reduces ris) (ecause of (eing di+ersified
ot sie reains extreely anaga(le
-ts i,ortant to leash the nifty
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Types of markets
Trending ar)ets
Trading or cyclical ar)ets
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Trending market
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Trending market
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Some questions?
When is the net !u"" market #oming?
Wi"" $e go to %&&&?
'as the market !ottomed out?
Is this primary or a se#ondary ra""y?
If inf"ation goes do$n, mkt goes up?
If #rude goes do$n, mkt goes up?
If $e have a sta!"e government, mkt goes up? What if !ehen(i is the net )*?
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The most "ike"y ans$er
Bu"" markets need "iquidity
*a(or g"o!a" finan#ia" institutions $i"" take
years to re#over +o$ in -./ $as at &&&, in -0& again
&&&
+o$ $as at /& in -, again /& in -11
*arket remains a trading market for a "ong
time
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The #on#"usion of a!ove
We $i"" take "onger than most peop"e
think, to re#over
2earn s$ing trading, if you $ant to remainin the !usiness
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Trading market
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Some definitions
"i+ots
3p pivot +o$n pivot
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4BCs of sto#k moves
Trending marketTrading market
4
B
C
+
4
B
C
+
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4BCs of trend #hanne"s
3ptrend
4
B
C
+
5
5ntry "ine
)rofit !ooking "ine
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4BCs of trend #hanne"s
+o$ntrend5ntry "ine
"rofit (oo)ing line
4
B
C
+
+
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6u"es for trend #hanne"s
oin at least three ,i+ots to draw a channel
Act only at range extrees
se oscillators to identify extreesBoo) ,rofits in the direction of the ar)et
3wing traders loo) for a trade o,,osite to the
,re+ailing oentu
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Ist trade
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IInd trade
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1%
IIIrd trade
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1$
IVth trade
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1#
Vth trade
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VIth trade
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2ets "ook at a"" the trades no$
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5it strategy
"rofit (oo)ing easuring i,lication5 width of channel
3tochastic (ecoes o+er(ought/o+ersold
"rices get to soe o+ing a+erage
oosing trade
"rices get to the other end of the channel ou loose 27 of ca,ital or 100 ,oints of nifty
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Taking a "onger perspe#tive
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Con#"usion
-t is ,ossi(le to trade any ar)et ,ro+ided
you understand its structure
se si,le techni8ues li)e trendlines and
channels
ou do not need a (ull or (ear ar)et to
a)e oney
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Thank 7ou