the success of international development projects, trust and communication: an african perspective
TRANSCRIPT
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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
3 November 2004; Disk UsedARTICLE IN PRESS
www.elsevier.com/locate/ijproman
International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx
PROJECTMANAGEMENT
OF
The success of international development projects, trustand communication: an African perspective
Amadou Diallo, Denis Thuillier *
Universite du Quebec a Montreal (UQAM), Ecole des Sciences de la Gestion, Dept. Management and Technologie,
315 Ste Catherine East, CP 6192, Montreal, Que., Canada H3C 4R2
Received 18 June 2003; received in revised form 16 January 2004; accepted 8 October 2004
OCTED
PRAbstract
Project success is strongly linked to communication and co-operation between stakeholders. This research explores the relation-
ship between trust and communication and tests the influence of these factors upon project success and success criteria for interna-
tional development projects financed by multilateral institutions in sub-Saharan Africa. The research analyses the coordinators�perceptions of project success, communication climate and interpersonal relationship between himself and his stakeholders (task
manager in the multilateral agency, national supervisor) and within the project team. Data were collected from questionnaires com-
pleted by project coordinators of development projects. The statistical analysis confirms that trust and communication between
players are proxy variables. Trust between the task manager and the coordinator is the key success factor, whereas team cohesion
is the second most important factor. Trust between the coordinator and his national supervisor does not play a prominent role,
although the task manager considers significant local autonomy for the coordinator, a prerequisite for funding a subsequent phase
when the project comes to an end.
� 2004 Elsevier Ltd and IPMA. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Project success: Criteria: Success factors: International development: Trust: Communication: Stakeholders: World bank: Project manager:
Africa
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E1. Introduction
Most international assistance provided to developing
countries is managed by projects. These projects are fi-
nanced by multilateral development agencies (the WorldBank, the European Union, the United Nations Devel-
opment Program, the Inter-American Development
Bank, the African Development Bank, the Asian Devel-
opment Bank, etc.), bilateral agencies (USAID, the
French Cooperation, CIDA) and the many organiza-
tions and departments of international cooperation
established by former colonial rulers and the industrial-
ized countries. Over the last few decades, international
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0263-7863/$30.00 � 2004 Elsevier Ltd and IPMA. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ijproman.2004.10.002
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 514 987 3000x7783.
E-mail address: [email protected] (D. Thuillier).
aid programs were successful in helping developing
and emerging countries to make real progress in the
health system, in agriculture and in the education sys-
tem. However, it is clear that the effectiveness of eco-
nomic reform projects is still being debated. Povertyreduction remains a long-term objective [1–5].
Our intention here is not, however, to assess the
validity of development policies implemented by multi-
lateral institutions [6,7]. The success of an international
development project – its long-term impact on the pros-
perity of the local population – surely depends on how
well it was prepared, and the policies behind its design
(a project is always a more or less appropriate responseto specific needs). However, international development
projects (ID projects) are identified, prepared and imple-
mented within a specific context [8]. There are many
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stakeholders, there are significant political risks, and
there are demanding local constraints. The local mem-
bers of the project management unit may have limited
project management skills and the economic rationality
on which project management is based does not always
fit with local values [9,10]. The stakeholders belong todifferent cultures, and finally, to make matters worse,
those preparing and conducting transactions are sepa-
rated by huge distances. Given this context and the very
‘‘transaction-based’’ nature of assistance projects, one
might wonder whether the quality of interpersonal rela-
tionships and of communication between key players are
not critical success factors, independently of the specific
knowledge, skills and competencies required. This is pre-cisely the focus of this research, which aims to assess the
influence of interpersonal relationships, trust and com-
munication, on the success of ID projects.
The paper is organised into five parts. The first
section provides a review of the project management
literature on success, success criteria and success fac-
tors. The second section presents the unique charac-
teristics of international development projects andthe third section begins with a review of the literature
on the role played by trust between individuals, with-
in work groups and within project teams. This discus-
sion leads to the formulation of the principal issues
addressed in this research. The fourth section covers
the methodology and the statistical strategy used
and the final section presents statistical results and re-
lated comments. The conclusion is a discussion of theresearch results and their implications for ID project
management.
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RRE2. Project success, success criteria and success factors
There is an abundance of literature on project success,
success criteria and success factors for traditional pro-jects. Success criteria correspond to the dimensions (or
measures) on which the success of the project is judged
whereas success factors are key variables that explain
the success of the project. In other words, they are in-
puts to the management system that lead directly or
indirectly to the success of a project [11].
Success can indeed be evaluated only when the cri-
teria are adequately defined. For the project manager,success criteria generally correspond to the traditional
constraints: time, cost and compliance with the client�sterms of reference or ‘‘quality’’. In construction and
engineering, success is evaluated primarily through
the assessment of the output quality, and through
the evaluation of the project management performance
whose criteria are objective, well-accepted and measur-
able. But as the field of project management now in-cludes sectors like biotechnology, information
technology, process reengineering, institutional
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strengthening, social work, etc., the client�s agenda is
different. Whether it is a private firm or an institution,
the client cannot evaluate the success of its project
without referring to the objectives that governed the
identification, the preparation and the project design.
Beyond time and costs, the raison d�etre of a projectlies in its objectives as stated in the logical framework:
project management success does not mean project
success [12] although in the case of construction pro-
jects they are closely linked [13]. Furthermore, success
criteria will differ or will be weighted differently,
depending upon whether the evaluation is performed
by a project manager, a client, or one of the key stake-
holders. Each stakeholder perceives the success accord-ing to criteria (and a hierarchy of the criteria) that
comply with its own agenda. There is no ‘‘absolute’’
success or consistency in success appreciation over
time: there is only ‘‘perceived success’’ [14–16]. Even
when everybody agrees on a list of criteria, determin-
ing the success ‘‘rate’’ still remains a rather difficult
task. Schedule and budget management may be as-
sessed through direct measures while quality manage-ment may be assessed through pass or fail criteria.
However, the client�s satisfaction is not objectively
measurable and the same applies to the knowledge
or the experience accumulated throughout the project,
the magnitude of organisational impacts, or of any
other intangible benefits induced.
The success factors themselves have made the object
of several studies [17–25]. Pinto and Slevin [17,19] sug-gest that success is linked to exogenous and endogenous
factors. These factors include the control level (espe-
cially schedule and cost), the impact on the client, the
support of the general management of the organization,
communication, etc., but also less controllable factors
such as the environment, the political context, the com-
petence of the project manager, etc. The diversity of the
factors mentioned by the project management literatureis considerable: these depend on the scope, the nature
and the originality of the projects. However, one is
struck by the fact that research reported in the project
management literature only rarely examines the link be-
tween the success factors and the success criteria (or
dimensions). However, it is obvious that one factor will
explain one or more success criteria, but not all of them
[24,25].The literature on success factors and success criteria
for international development projects is scarce and
the empirical research specifically dedicated to manage-
ment of ID projects is even more rare. This lead us to
undertake a preliminary exploratory investigation of
the success criteria (dimensions) for ID projects in sub-
Saharan Africa and an investigation of the criteria hier-
archy each stakeholder uses in assessing project success[26]. More specifically, our goal was to understand how
project coordinators perceived the success of their pro-
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ject and how they perceived the main stakeholders�assessment of project success. We focused on an analysis
of perceived success (at least as it is perceived by the
coordinator who is the central stakeholder). We relied
on the coordinator�s understanding with, as a premise,
the commonly accepted principle that individuals act(and therefore manage a project) according to their
own perceptions of reality and act based on their percep-
tion of how the most influential stakeholders feel. The
results of this preliminary investigation showed that
coordinators of development projects assessed project
success only with two criteria: the management perform-
ance (time, cost and ‘‘quality’’) and the project�s ‘‘pro-
file’’: the visibility and/or the reputation earned bytheir project. The project impact, which captures the
performance of the project with respect to its objectives
as stated in the logical framework, was not a significant
criteria. 1
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NCOR
RE3. The characteristics of ID projects
According to Youker [8] international development
projects are medium to large public projects and/or pro-
grams financed by multilateral development banks, the
United Nations associated agencies, bilateral agencies,
non-governmental organizations and government
departments in developing countries. Like others, ID
projects deliver goods or services. Originally, most pro-
jects were ‘‘hard’’ projects like civil works, railroads,power plants, etc., but the portfolio has changed to in-
clude an ever-increasing portion of ‘‘soft’’ projects in
education, health, human development, capacity build-
ing, etc.
ID projects are managed either by national project
management units acting with autonomy, or by teams
of nationals embedded into ministries, national depart-
ments, or institutions. The management of the projectcan also be delegated (as often occurs in bilateral assist-
ance) to executing agencies that may be private compa-
nies (such as engineering or consulting firms), NGOs or
international cooperation departments within various
institutions (i.e. universities and colleges for projects in
education, or hospitals for health and nutrition
projects).
In fact, the project management unit of an ID projectonly manages administrative processes (as is also the
case for ‘‘classic’’ projects). Within the framework of
multilateral agency guidelines, the project team is in-
volved in the procurement, organisation and control of
activities carried out by engineering firms, subcontrac-
tors, consultants, etc. Five stakeholders are directly in-
volved in processes in ID projects:
U 264265266
1 Diallo and Thuillier [26] discuss possible reasons for such
surprising result.
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1. The national project coordinator (or project man-
ager), who is the person responsible for the day-to-
day management. He or she is in charge of the oper-
ations and leads the project team.
2. The task manager located in the headquarters of the
multilateral development agency, who supervises theproject�s implementation and makes sure that the
guidelines of the international institution are strictly
respected by the project�s national management unit.
3. The national supervisor, who is the high-ranking civil
servant (a national department director or sometimes
the minister himself) to whom the national coordina-
tor reports.
4. The project team, which is under the coordinator�sauthority. The team is not exactly an external player
but no matter what its influence, the coordinator can-
not function effectively without the project team.
5. The various firms (engineers, subcontractors, consult-
ants, etc.).
It may come as a surprise that the real client does not
appear on this list. In multilateral aid projects, the clientis usually the country�s residents or a sub-set thereof
called ‘‘the beneficiaries.’’ The beneficiaries, who may
sometimes participate in the project identification phase
(needs assessment), can rarely be effective as clients once
a project is in execution. This is due to the lack of rep-
resentative authorities or organisations, especially when
it comes to validating the quality of the project outputs.
There are exceptions. Some projects, like the ‘‘SocialFunds’’ are designed and managed under a so-called
‘‘participative approach’’. This aims to enhance the
position of the beneficiaries as real stakeholders. They
remain, in spite of their success, limited to social inter-
ventions [27].
International development projects follow transac-
tional processes that have been codified by the lending
institutions under guidelines in order to guarantee thatprojects maintain rigor and transparency in how tasks
are performed and contracts awarded. For example, a
multilateral institution or its technical representative
(the task manager) will not intervene directly in the pro-
ject�s day-to-day management. However, he or she is up-
dated on each step of the project, and the coordinator
must ask the task manager for a ‘‘no objection’’ when
it comes to proceed with major transactions (terms ofreferences, short lists, contracts awards, etc.). The task
manager can reject the coordinator�s request but such
decision is not made without good reason. Generally,
a rejection means the project team has strayed too far
from guidelines or that the process itself includes an
activity that was inadequately planned or simply does
not conform to the project plan. When the task manager
does not grant his no-objection, the process must be re-peated at the local level and face local constraints again
before the coordinator makes a second request for a
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‘‘no-objection’’. This will result in a delay that disrupts
the project schedule and carries all the related impacts.
The effectiveness of actors and, by extension, the suc-
cess of the project itself is therefore very dependent on
the quality of interpersonal relationships and communi-
cation between stakeholders. The purpose of this studyis to examine the quality of interpersonal relationships,
trust and communication between coordinators and
their task manager, between coordinators and their na-
tional supervisor, and within members of the project
team. The goal is to identify the ‘‘soft’’ factors that
can play a decisive role in the overall success of a pro-
ject, or explain performance according to different suc-
cess criteria.
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4. Trust and communication between individuals and
within the project team
4.1. The work groups
A work group is a social system in which individu-als with specific but interdependent roles collectively
share responsibility for the production of goods or
services [27–30]. A project team is a work group,
but the reverse is not true. A project team is set up
to achieve specific objectives under constraints and
within a given period of time. Moreover, the entire
group of actors in ID projects (coordinator, project
team, task manager and national supervisor) alsomeets this definition, even if the task manager and
the national supervisor are more functional than oper-
ational and could therefore be considered more as
stakeholders than full members of the team. This is
a semi-autonomous team (control is exercised by the
coordinator and team activities are regulated by the
task manager) with only one key member, the task
manager, occasionally working locally. The literatureon project teams and on work groups in general
should provide enough theoretical background to
grasp the nature of the problem presented by interper-
sonal relationships and communication, their impact
on project success and on success criteria.
There is no shortage of literature on work groups. The
subject has been examined by social psychologists or
organisational psychologists and according to differentschools (human relations, system dynamics, and behav-
iourism). The empirical literature is abundant. The con-
cept of team originated in the 1930s in the United States.
It proved of great economic value, and was developed
mostly with diverse but complementary approaches.
Once the mechanism of work groups had been under-
stood, research focused on group productivity or effec-
tiveness. Management literature naturally took over,gradually putting the accent on groups of managers or
other professionals (and on research and development
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teams). Comprehensive literature reviews can be found
in [31–33].
4.2. The project team
Literature on project teams is less wide-ranging, ofuneven quality, and remains quite undifferentiated.
One is obliged to cull work that distinctly resembles a
‘‘guru of the month’’ approach (the expression from
[34]), the kind found in some professional publications.
A more scientific approach does, however, exist. It fo-
cuses on processes and attempts to:
� identify the performance factors and the methodsused to speed up the ‘‘team building’’ or ‘‘team devel-
opment’’ process, in order for the group to quickly
achieve a high level of effectiveness [35–40];
� understand the role of the project manager, the kind
of person who is suitable for this position, the charac-
teristics of leadership and their effect on the team�seffectiveness and on project success [41–43].
This literature identifies many factors that explain
team performance. It is impossible to thoroughly sum-
marize the research, particularly since it includes
descriptive factors (such as the team�s structure, organ-ization or diversity), support factors (competencies,
communication) and more abstract factors that are dif-
ficult to grasp, such as cooperation, team members�commitment or empowerment. These are latent varia-bles or complex constructs (concepts) of which only
manifestations may be observed. But constructs bound-
aries are unclear and ‘‘new’’ constructs are built upon
‘‘parts’’ that well accepted constructs have in common.
All this makes the emergence of fundamental explana-
tory factors especially challenging. The authors do not
always make a clear distinction between support and
process factors (team building or team development)and, in any event, one influences the other. Further-
more, the residual influence of time has received little
direct attention; in other words, the influence that
would be independent of its implicit role in the proc-
esses mentioned above [44]. Guzzo and Dickson [33]
in a attempt to built a taxonomy of team performance
factors suggest that factors may be classified into three
categories:
� organisational design (autonomy, interdependence,
definition of responsibilities),
� contextual or support variables (such as competencies
or communication),
� mediating variables such as cooperation, mutual aid
or cohesion.
But each variable in a given cluster also clearly de-
pends on other factors. The level of team cooperation
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depends on factors such as the team�s composition,
members� status, or their shared history. Autonomy on
the other hand is related to how professional the mem-
bers are. It will increase with the level of each member�sknowledge and competence (contextual variables) and it
will depend on trust among team members (see below).The interdependence required is a function of the com-
plexity of the team�s tasks and, last but not least, the
maturity of the team has an effect on cooperation, mu-
tual aid and communication. In spite of many excellent
attempts, a truly thorough listing of interpersonal fac-
tors of team effectiveness and of project success still re-
mains to be established.
4.3. Trust, communication, and the research questions
The concept of trust is not a new one. However it
is worth mentioning that it has only recently been the
focus of research in project management [45,46]. Each
member of a team begins a project with some con-
cerns about what they can expect of their colleagues,
carries expectations concerning their work relation-ships and, due to his or her own individual nature
or circumstances, is inclined to behave in certain ways.
When team members meet for the first time, trust,
communication and cooperation within the team and
between the major stakeholders are not taken for
granted. But without trust, communication and coop-
eration, a team cannot be effective in accomplishing
goals.Trust is a psychological state in which Individual
A, given a specific situation, takes the risk of assum-
ing that Individual B�s first reflex will be to adopt a
behaviour (judgement, a position or action) that
meets Individual A�s expectations. Trust takes the
form of a wager on the behaviour of another. A cer-
tain amount of risk is accepted (i.e. individual A is
somewhat vulnerable . . .) in exchange for a reductionin the transaction costs associated with the manage-
ment of the situation [47–52]. The concept of trust
is integral to what have become Blau�s classic theories
of social exchange [53], and to the transaction costs
theory developed by Coase [54] and Williamson
[55,56]. Beccera and Gupta [57] have made an at-
tempt to integrate the concept of trust into these con-
ceptual frameworks.Trust between individuals is either affect-based
(emotional) or knowledge-based (the result of a cogni-
tive process) and both can interfere [58–60]. Affect-
based trust could be considered in certain extent as
being similar to ‘‘trust at first sight’’ while knowl-
edge-based trust is built steadily on ongoing relations
between the parties over time. Knowledge-based trust
emerges through communication (particularly profes-sional communication) in which each player implicitly
reveals to the other his or her values, expertise, integ-
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rity, consistency, loyalty, sense of justice, etc. [50,63–
67]. A perception of the other�s trustworthiness devel-
ops over time, uncertainty over basic issues gradually
disappears, and a sense of trust becomes established.
Trust (of any kind) speeds up negotiation processes
and in most cases, cuts transaction costs. Trust is aprerequisite for autonomy (hence the definition of
trust; if you trust me, you will let me act independ-
ently). Trust is necessary for cooperation, which is in
turn the social lubricant that allows autonomous
but interdependent group members (see the definition
of the project team above) to achieve common goals
harmoniously [61,62]. Technically dependent members
of a group must cooperate, because cooperation is anindispensable part of the relational dependence re-
quired for their group to be truly functional. It is
also likely that, given the above definition, trust and
cooperation among group members become more
important as their tasks require more interdependence
in their working relationships. Trust may be consid-
ered an independent variable when it is affect-based
and a dependent variable when it is knowledge-based.A minimum of trust is essential because fair commu-
nication cannot occur if information exchange is
clouded with doubts over motives. In the analysis
which follows, we take trust to be an independent
variable that generates autonomy, cooperation and,
as a result, effectiveness. But we will also consider
trust a dependent variable that can be explained by
the quality of communication between stakeholders.As it was the case for ID projects success, success cri-
teria and success factors, we were unable to find research
papers on ID project teams and interpersonal relation-
ships between main ID projects stakeholders. Therefore,
building on the literature presented in the above sec-
tions, we are interested in:
(a) The main characteristics of interpersonal relation-ships between the coordinator of an ID project
and the task manager, between the coordinator
and his national supervisor, and among members
of the project team.
(b) The influence each of these characteristics may have
on the quality of communication between the coor-
dinator and the project stakeholders.
(c) The influence of communication and interpersonalrelationships between stakeholders on ID projects
performance, both in terms of success and of suc-
cess criteria.
This is an exploratory investigation. However, it is
our hope to confirm through statistical analysis that:
Assertion 1:
communication, trust and autonomy are virtually inter-
changeable, i.e. they are almost perfectly correlated.
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Assertion 2:
trust and autonomy accorded by one actor to another is
the result of communication experiences; i.e. it develops
over time.
Assertion 3:
in ID projects, trust is a significant success factor
(although not the only one), both the trust between the
project coordinator and his task manager and the trust
between the coordinator and his national supervisor.
Assertion 4:
Trust within the project team (or any other proxy varia-
ble) is strongly associated with the success of the project
and the various success criteria of ID projects.
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2 Multilateral development agencies suspend disbursements when
debt repayments are overdue without just cause or when the local
political situation is beyond control.3 Drawing on nominal regression it appears that the MANAGE-
MENT criteria was the most significant (p < 0.000). Visibility (PRO-
FILE) came second (p < 0.002) and, surprisingly, as already mentioned
in note 1 Section 2, the IMPACT criteria did not appear to be
significant (p < 0.264). [26] includes a discussion of this last result.
UNCO
RRE
5. Methodology
Diallo and Thuillier [26] provide a description of the
survey�s database. We collected data by way of question-
naires delivered by mail. We received 93 completed
questionnaires from about 600 sent out to African pro-ject coordinators (350 were sent to Francophones, 250
to Anglophones). The apparent response rate, modest
as it was (15%), is satisfactory considering that a number
of questionnaires were sent to postal boxes in institu-
tions where such mail does not necessarily reach the in-
tended recipient. The postmarks on responses indicated
that the questionnaires came from at least 26 countries
most of them south of Sahara. Francophone and Anglo-phone response rates were proportional to linguistic
populations in sub-Saharan Africa. Diallo and Thuillier
[26] provide a discussion of possible biases arising from
the response rate and non-respondents, the geographical
representativeness of the sample, the distribution of pro-
jects by sector and systematic bias due to ‘‘socially desir-
able’’ responses. As a result of this discussion,
generalisation of findings to the overall population ofprojects in sub-Saharan Africa is considered reasonable.
However, we will elaborate more specifically on the
robustness of empirical estimates in Section 6. Appendix
A presents the projects� main characteristics and a
description of project coordinators� status and income.
The research uses data from nine of the thirteen sec-
tions in the questionnaire. Listed in the order they ap-
peared in the questionnaire, these sections provideinformation on:
� General project description, such as the sector, dura-
tion, amount of funding awarded and respective con-
tributions of the principal donor agencies.
� The global judgement of the coordinator on the suc-
cess of his project as he perceives it.
� The coordinator�s appreciation of statements (items)that make reference to success criteria (such as time,
budget, reputation and the beneficiaries satisfaction).
CTED
PROO
F
The factorial analysis performed in the above men-
tioned research provided three ‘‘macro-dimensions,’’
(or coordinator�s success criteria. . .) to be discussed
later.
� The coordinator�s opinion on statements concerning
the nature and quality of interpersonal relationships,trust and communication between:
– the coordinator and the task manager in the mul-
tilateral development agency,
– the coordinator and his national supervisor,
– the members of the project team (see Appendix B).
� Information on specific contextual events, including
the country�s suspension 2 by donors and stakeholder
turnover.� The coordinator�s opinion on how the stakeholders
judge the success of his project, in particular the task
manager in the international development institution,
his national supervisor and the members of the pro-
ject team.
� Socio-demographic information on the coordinator�sage, sex, professional training, previous project man-
agement experience, professional status and wages.
Information that refers to a subjective judgement was
rated on a Likert scale from 1 to 5 (i.e. from ‘‘strongly
disagree’’ to ‘‘strongly agree’’) or on a binary scale
(0,1) when it was required to answer without any subjec-
tivity. It was mentioned above that the questionnaire in-
cluded a series of statements about the project�s successcriteria. We will not review here the statements in detailor the factorial analysis of these elementary dimensions
(see [26]). We would just say that the factor analysis re-
vealed three principal components or ‘‘macro dimen-
sions’’ (projects success criteria): MANAGEMENT,
PROFILE and IMPACT. Nominal logistic regression
show that only the MANAGEMENT 3 and PROFILE
criteria explained the coordinator�s judgement of the
project�s success, at least as it was perceived by the coor-dinator according to his or her response to the first
assertion in the questionnaire:
My project is a success (SUCCESS).
Assertions describing the relationship between stake-
holders were tested for consistency by calculating Cron-
bach�s alpha for the total sample and for random sub-
groups. The results were satisfactory, always exceeding
0.80 in those groups of statements that were finally re-tained. For each of the research questions (a, b and c)
579
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581
582
583584
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591592
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597598
599600
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611612
613
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619620
621
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623
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627628
629
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631
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635636
637
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A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx 7
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listed at the end of Section 4, the analysis proceeded
with a simple and direct statistical strategy:
� Factor analysis with the statements (Appendix B) in
order to identify meaningful latent variables or ‘‘con-
structs’’ that drive interpersonal relations betweenstakeholders and within the project team.
� Nominal regression 4 with the communication
between stakeholders and within the team as the
dependent variable and the components of the inter-
personal relations as factors.
� Nominal regression with the success criteria (MAN-
AGEMENT, PROFILE, IMPACT) and the success
(SUCCESS) as dependent variables and the qualityof communication between stakeholders and within
the team as factor.
� The same as above but with the components of inter-
personal relationship as factors of stakeholder com-
munication and team communication.
The most significant results are discussed in what fol-
lows. For better understanding please note that TMstands for task manager, CR for project coordinator,
NS for national supervisor of the coordinator and TE
for project team. Appendix B includes a complete
description of the questions the coordinators were asked
to respond to.
641
642
643644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
E
6. Results of the empirical (statistical) analysis
6.1. Components of relationships between stakeholders
6.1.1. The coordinator–task manager interpersonal
relationship
Optimization after orthogonal rotation revealed
three components. Co-ordinates lower than 0.5 after
rotation were removed in order to improve the emer-gence of the constructs, whose meanings are discussed
later:
UNCO
RR 653
654
655
656
657
658659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666667
668
4 Statistical analysis of Likert scales data is not tractable with
classical multivariate regression owing to the violation of usual
assumptions. Multiple discriminant analysis or multinomial logistic
regression stand as accepted alternatives for such surveys. These
techniques are common in business research, marketing, psychology or
medical sciences. Logistic regression does not require a normally
distributed dependant variable, linearity between dependent and
independents, homoscedasticity, independents to be intervals, etc.
However, logistic regression is sensitive to multicollinearity and sample
size (as maximum likelihood estimation implies asymptotic normality).
Reliability of our estimates may be altered by correlation between
variables and by the limited number of cases in our sample for each
combination of independents. For this reason, we tested robustness on
random sub samples to assess the stability of estimations before
jumping to premature conclusions.
CTED
PROO
F
Component 1: TM AUTONOMY, TM TRUST, TM
RELIABILITY, TM RESPECT, TM VALUES, TM
UNDERSTANDING
his proved to be a very significant and consistent
component. It demonstrates the quality of relation-
ships and, after rotation, explains 37% of the commonvariance in responses to the statements in the ques-
tionnaire. The combination of these particular charac-
teristics is not only intuitively appealing but it is also
supported by the specific literature (see Section 3).
Non-parametric correlations show that trust and
autonomy are very highly correlated in our population
(a Kendall�s s of 0.652), and the same is true of trust
and reliability between these two stakeholders (aKendall�s s of 0.584). These variables are virtually
interchangeable. We call this component TM TRUST
(for trust between the coordinator and the task
manager).
Component 2: TM AGE, CR VISITS TM, TM
FAMILY
The coordinators and their task managers are
approximately the same age. Coordinators visit theirtask managers in the headquarters of the multilateral
funding institution, and also visit their task managers
at home (although this does not apply for each case)
during work-related visits. The variance explained by
this component, which we label CR VISITS TM, repre-
sents 17% of the common variance.
Component 3: TM VISITS CR, TM IN MY HOME
Component 3 is the reciprocal of component 2. Thetask managers supervise project activities by regularly
visiting the project team and local officials. They also
make social visits to the home of the project coordina-
tors, as is the customary in Africa. This component,
which we call TM VISITS CR, explains 13% of the com-
mon variance.
6.1.2. The coordinator–national supervisor relationship
In this case more statements were tested and retained
for analysis since we were trying to understand the influ-
ence of phenomena such as actors having known each
other as students (which may have given them more
interests in common than just belonging to the same
generation) or having a language in common other than
French or English, which might indicate that they be-
long to the same ethnic group (see Appendix B). Optimi-zation after orthogonal rotation again produced three
distinct components.
Component 1: NS RELIABILITY, NS TRUST, NS
AUTONOMY, NS INFORMED, CR VISITS NS, NS
VALUES, NS VISITS CR
Just as in the relationship with the task manager, this
component exerts a strong influence. Again we found a
correlation between trust and autonomy (with a Kend-all�s s of 0.578). Professional visits, both of coordinators
to meet their national supervisors and vice versa, show
669
670
671
672
673
674675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698699
700
701
702
703
704
705706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762763
764
765
766
8 A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
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CORR
E
up in the same component. In fact, this variable cap-
tured frequent contacts between local actors. Sometimes
visits are informal or even impromptu (coordinators� of-fices are never far from the supervising departments). It
therefore makes sense that these variables become
grouped into the same component. Given this compo-nent�s similarity to the first component revealed in the
analysis of task manager-coordinator relationship, we
name it NS TRUST. It explains 30% of the common
variance.
Component 2: STUDIES, NS AGE, NS IN MY
HOME, NS FAMILY
This is a homogeneous group of variables that can be
understood in terms of friendships between the coordi-nators and the national supervisor. They share common
backgrounds. Their relationship goes beyond profes-
sional ties. The phenomenon of actors having known
each other as students in the same school (STUDIES) 5
and the fact that they both socialise at the family level
lead us to call this component NS FRIENDSHIP. It ac-
counted for 14% of the common variance.
Component 3: NS VALUES, NS RESPECTThe variable LANGUAGE was not included in this
construct because it weighted only 0.481, hence slightly
under the limit of 0.500 (which is arbitrary. . .). Thereis clearly a group ‘‘values-respect-language’’. We believe
that this construct captures the fact that both the coor-
dinator and his or her national supervisor belong to the
same cultural community. Since values and culture (and
language) are closely related, this component is namedhereafter NS CULTURE. It accounted for 12% of com-
mon variance.
6.1.3. Relationships in the project team
Members of a project team are generally appointed
by the local government, but coordinators may be given
the opportunity to participate in the selection process.
Most of the team members are civil servants or civilservants seconded to the project but sometimes contract-
uals from the private sector are hired for the duration of
the project. Statements in the questionnaire therefore
took this into account. They also included assertions
dealing with interpersonal relationships between team
members (see Appendix B).
Component 1: NO ABSENTEEISM, ATMOS-
PHERE, NO RIVALRIES, MOTIVATION, TEAUTONOMY, MUTUAL AID
This component is homogeneous and very strongly
weighted by the first four variables. The component,
which we label TE COHESION, explains 29% of the
common variance.
UN5 African francophones have an expression to describe the shared
background resulting from completing part or all of their studies
together; they call the person their ‘‘promotionnaire,’’ which refers to
being of the same group of scholars.
CTED
PROO
F
Component 2: KNOW EACH OTHER, CR
KNOWS THEM
These statements reveal the background or the com-
mon heritage shared by team members. We call this con-
struct TE BACKGROUND. It explains 16% of the
common variance.Component 3: TE FAMILY, TE SOLIDARITY
This factor shows the presence of relationships be-
tween team members that went beyond professional
connections. They have personal relationships that in-
clude knowing each other�s families and providing
assistance to each other. We name the construct TE
LINKS. It accounts for 15% of common variance.
Component 4: CHOICE, CONTRACTUALThe coordinator may have chosen individuals in the
team, so factor analysis associates this with the presence
of contractual team members in the project implementa-
tion unit. We label the component TE CHOICE. It ex-
plains 12% of the common variance.
6.2. The communication and the interpersonal
relationships components
Communication was found to be characterised by how
well information circulated among the actors, between
the coordinator and the stakeholders, as well as among
the members of the project team. Since the coordinator
is the team leader and also belongs to it as a member,
we did not consider the communication between them.
The project team is not an exogenous stakeholder fromthe coordinator�s point of view; the coordinator leads
the team and carries responsibility for what it does.
Therefore his or her judgment vis-a-vis the team is biased.
On the other hand, the coordinator is perfectly capable of
judging how well information circulates within the team
without the risk of any such bias.
By making communication variables (TM COMM,
NS COMM, TE COMM) between stakeholders depend-ent, we assumed that it was explained a priori by the
characteristics of the relationship, in particular by trust.
We have also seen that the opposite may be true; trust
can be established through professional communication
(see Section 4.2). Non-parametric tests were conducted
to discern any significant changes in trust (and in com-
munication) between the coordinator and the two prin-
cipal stakeholders that might have occurred over time. 6
The level of trust between actors was not found to have
changed; a result that supports the hypothesis that trust
between actors is more affect-based than founded in
communication. In this context, it is reasonable to think
6 Taking care to select only those cases where neither the task
manager nor the national supervisor changed since the beginning of
the project. The questionnaire included contextual variables: see
Section 4.
OOF
767
768
769
770
771
772773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797798
799
800
Table 1
Hierarchy of communication factors between stakeholders
Pseudo R2 (Cox and Snell) Coordinator Task manager
TM COMM
Coordinator National
supervisor NS COMM
Project team TE COMM
n = 86 n = 83 n = 86
1 Global 2 1 Global 2 1 Global 2
0.649 0.676 0.625
TRUST 0.000 0.000 0.000
CR VISITS TM ns ns ns
TM VISITS CR 0.001 0.001 0.035
NS TRUST 0.000 0.000 0.000
NS FRIENDSHIP 0.037 0.020 Ns
NS CULTURE ns ns Ns
TE COHESION 0.000 0.000 0.000
TE BACKGROUND ns ns ns
TE LINKS ns ns ns
E CHOICE ns ns ns
NB: Figures correspond to the probability of the null hypothesis. The lower the probability (particularly when under 0.05), the stronger the
component�s influence on communication.
ns: non significant.
A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx 9
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
3 November 2004; Disk UsedARTICLE IN PRESS
Eof trust more as a variable that can explain communica-
tion than the reverse. 7
Nominal logistic regressions were conducted to find
relationships between the quality of communication
and interpersonal relationship components identified in
Section 4.1. Nominal regression requires a minimumof respondents in the classes of variables retained. We fi-
nally re-coded the quality of communication (1, 2, 3) be-
fore proceeding. Score 3 represented very good
communication; score 2, satisfactory communication
and score 1 was reserved for a communication ‘‘failure’’.
As usual the score 3 (i.e. for the dependent variable the
coordinator strongly agrees that his communication
with his or her stakeholder is very good) acts as theomitted score and thus acts as a reference in the statisti-
cal analysis. 8 Results are seen in Table 1.
These results lead to the following observations:
UNCO
RR
801
802
803
804
805806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813814
815
816
817
818
7 However we were able to show that the statements ‘‘My task
manager has confidence in me’’ and ‘‘My national supervisor has
confidence in me’’ are strongly linked to ‘‘We have common values’’
and ‘‘We have a relationship of mutual respect.’’ Hence recognizing
another�s values requires the passage of time and communication. We
could therefore conclude that knowledge-based trust plays a part in
total trust. It is very possible that our data�s basic unit for the variabletime, a year, is too long to capture the establishment dynamic of
knowledge-based trust through communication, a phenomenon that
would undoubtedly occur in the first months of a project.8 The distribution across groups 1, 2 and 3 is not, however,
homogeneous. Groups (1) that correspond to a lack of communication
between stakeholders are under-represented (about 20% of the total
population). It should be noted that it was the communication within
the team that was the least likely to be rated ‘‘very good.’’ This should
not come as a surprise; there are in effect many members on a team,
and it only takes one of them holding back information to erode the
quality of communication across the team.
CTED
PR1. The pseudo R2 are high. The degree of correlation
between trust and communication leads us to con-
clude that they are proxy variables (proving Assertion
1). Here we are assuming that trust is a factor of good
communication, but the literature suggests that
knowledge-based trust results from communication(Assertion 2, to be tested below).
2. The overall quality of communication between the
coordinator and his or her task manager (TM
COMM) is explained primarily by the task manager�strust in the coordinator (TMTRUST) and (although
to a lesser extent) by how frequently the task manager
comes to visit the project implementation unit (TM
VISITS CR). The importance of TM TRUST con-firms that it is a determining factor, but the coordina-
tors� visits to the offices of the funding institution (CR
VISITS TM) had no significant effect on the quality
of communication.
3. The same can be said for the quality of communi-
cation between coordinators and their national
supervisor (NS COMM). The strength of this link
is even stronger than that with the task manager,although this does not appear in Table 1 because
we only calculated the probability of the null
hypothesis to three decimal places. It is interesting
to note that a good friendship (NS FRIENDSHIP)
excludes the possibility of a complete lack of com-
munication (3–1 is significant). Nevertheless the fact
that a coordinator and his or her national supervi-
sor are good friends and are approximately thesame age does not automatically imply that they
communicate very well (3–2 is no significant).
Finally, belonging to the same cultural community
(NS CULTURE) does not appear to have a signif-
icant effect on communication.
F
819
820
821
822
823
824825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838839
840
841
842
843
844
845846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896897
898
899
900
901
Table 2
Communication, project success and the success criteria
Pseudo R2 (Cox and Snell) SUCCESS MANAGEMENT PROFILE IMPACT
n = 77 n = 85 n = 85 n = 85
0.279 0.133 0.341 0.307
1 Global 2 1 Global 2 1 Global 2 1 Global 2
TM COMM 0.003 0.002 0.567 0.106 0.198 0. 448 0.000 0. 000 0.139 0.092 0.096 (0.664)
NS COMM 0.175 0.331 0.260 0.167 0.276 0.147 0.533 0.797 0.906 0. 161 0.000 0.001
TE COMM 0.046 0.083 0.103 0.109 0.214 0.441 0.031 0. 074 0.306 0.005 0.009 0.186
NB: Figures correspond to the probability of a null hypothesis. The lower the probability (particularly when under 0.05), the stronger the
component�s influence on communication.
10 A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
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UNCO
RRE
4. The quality of communication within the project
team (TE COMM) appears to be linked only to cohe-
sion (TE COHESION), which confirms what we
already knew and justifies any efforts needed to secure
team building at the outset of a project. We did not
specifically introduce the concept of trust as a specificstatement when describing relationships within the
project team. Nevertheless, it is clear that there can
be no cohesion in a team without trust between its
members, and that cohesion is a good proxy variable
when trust is not explicitly specified.
6.3. Communication, project success and success criteria
Interpersonal factors explain the quality of communi-
cation between actors, and the quality of communica-
tion between actors determines some aspects of project
success, whether it is the project�s success or some of
its criteria. We ran nominal logistic regressions to assess
the influence of the quality of communication on success
or success criteria. The results are shown in Table 2.The following observations can be made:
1. The project SUCCESS
In general terms, a statistically significant link was
found between the success of the project and the quality
of communication between the coordinator and the task
manager. A slightly less significant link was found be-
tween success and the quality of communication amongmembers of the project team. The quality of communi-
cation between coordinators and their national supervi-
sor does not appear a key factor. This is not surprising,
since the organisational context of aid projects is such
that the coordinator–national supervisor professional
relationship is more based on functional responsibilities
than operational concerns.
2. The MANAGEMENT criteriaThe quality of communication between actors did not
have a significant effect on the MANAGEMENT crite-
ria, but TM COMM and TE COMM were both very
close to the threshold of statistical significance in the ex-
treme case (from 3 to 1). It is interesting to note that
CTED
PROO
communication would appear to more readily explain
project SUCCESS (see below) than the MANAGE-
MENT criteria specifically (although the coordinator
believes that), among the three criteria of success (as
drawn from the project coordinator�s understanding),
MANAGEMENT is the one that best explains the suc-cess of the project (see note 3 Section 5). Communica-
tion between the coordinator and the task manager
should therefore explain the project PROFILE variable,
another important success criteria as perceived by the
coordinator. As we will see this proves to be true.
3. The PROFILE criteria
TM COMM and, to a lesser extent, TE COMM
are linked to the project�s visibility. This is under-standable. On the other hand, no significant relation-
ship was found between project PROFILE and NS
COMM, which is surprising, considering the role that
a hierarchy can play in the political amplification of
project achievements. But the VISIBILITY variable
is made up of an ‘‘internal’’ or national visibility
and an ‘‘external’’ visibility with respect to the donor
agency (see Section 6.1). Non-parametric correlationsshowed that internal visibility is explained by the qual-
ity of communication with the task manager or the
fact that the task manager often visits the project,
more than it is explained by the quality of communi-
cation with the national supervisor. Communication
with the minister or department director would there-
fore appear to have little impact on the project�s inter-
nal or overall visibility. Nevertheless it is true that ifthe quality of communication does not play a decisive
role, this does not mean that the quality of the rela-
tionship between the coordinator and his or her na-
tional supervisor does not have an effect on the
PROFILE variable. The possibility to secure eventu-
ally additional funding for the project (ADDFUND
is one of the three components of PROFILE) is clo-
sely linked to the climate of trust and the correlativeautonomy that the minister grants the project coordi-
nator and the support shown by the minister for the
coordinator and the project. The non-parametric cor-
relations clearly show that funding of project subse-
quent phases is conditional upon coordinator
902
903
904
905
906
907908
909
910
911
912
913
914915
916
917
918
919
920
921922
923
924
925
926
927
928929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936937
938
939
940
941
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943
944945
946
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954955
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960
961
962963
964
965
966
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968
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970971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978979
980
981
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983
984
985
986987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994995
996
997
998
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E
autonomy. Task managers give up when the project
coordinators face excessive control or pressure from
their local hierarchy.
4. The IMPACT criteria
Communication between actors is a significant factor
of project IMPACT. This result is difficult to interpret,given that these are medium- and long-term impacts.
IMPACT is made up of components 9 upon which the
quality of communication between actors would appear
to have little effect. We have some difficulty explaining
this result.
6.4. The interpersonal relationships, the project success
and success criteria
Intuitively we know that the interpersonal relation-
ships between stakeholders have an influence on the
project�s ultimate success. This is clearly documented
in the literature (see Section 4). We conducted nomi-
nal regressions of success criteria (MANAGEMENT,
VISIBILITY and IMPACT) and of the SUCCESS it-self 10 on factors of the stakeholder-to-stakeholder
relationship, and retained only those factors that were
significant in these regressions. Then we estimated a
model that only specified those significant factors as
explanatory variables for each success criteria and
for the success itself.
1. The MANAGEMENT criteriaGenerally speaking, trust between the task manager
and the coordinator (TMTRUST) and team cohesion
(TE COHESION) are significant factors of project man-
agement performance. A high level of trust between the
coordinator and the task manager makes a serious pro-
ject management failure unlikely (thus explaining pro-
ject success).
However, the more often the coordinator visits thetask manager or the funding agency headquarters, the
poorer the project management. Poor project manage-
ment (MANAGEMENT from 3 to 1) in particular is
very strongly associated with frequent coordinators
visits. One could expect the opposite to be true. It
would appear that the cause-and-effect link for visits
must be analysed differently according to their mean-
ing: visits by the task manager, even though theydid not have a significant effect on the MANAGE-
MENT variable, have a beneficial effect (it is worth
noting that TM VISITS CR explains communication
between both, see Section 6.3), while the coordinator
UN
999
1000
1001
10021003
1004
9 IMPACT is a function of SUSTAIN (the project built institu-
tional capacity), IMPACT (the project has a visible impact on the
beneficiaries) and BENSATIS (beneficiaries are satisfied). See [26].10 As in the previous section, we re-coded the dependent variables,
or SUCCESS and its criteria, on (1, 2, 3).
CTED
PROO
F
could be visiting the donor agency because the task
manager called a meeting to fix a management prob-
lem. Hence the phenomenon appears especially signif-
icant when it involves a critical management issue
(from 3 to 1) and not minor problems (from 3 to
2). Again, remember that CR VISITS TM does notimprove their communication, which is consistent with
this result, see Section 6.3.
2. The PROFILE criteria
Generally speaking, the analysis shows that visits by
the task manager (TM VISITS CR), the task manager�strust in the coordinator (TM TRUST) and the national
supervisor�s trust (NS TRUST) have positive effects on
the project PROFILE The significance of other varia-bles is weak.
More specifically, the task manager�s trust, frequent
visits to the project, and the national supervisor�s trustin the coordinator make poor visibility unlikely, i.e. they
play a fundamental role in explaining a project�s high
PROFILE. We found factors that explained successful
project management (see above). But it is interesting
to see the effect a national supervisor�s trust can haveon the ‘‘surface’’ of the project. Earlier we saw that
the national supervisor�s trust, like the coordinator�sautonomy, is indispensable in securing subsequent fund-
ing; multilateral institutions are not fond of dealing with
situations that are complicated or clouded with local
power struggles.
Cultural affinities between the coordinator and his or
her national supervisor appear to have a negative impacton project PROFILE, and very close cultural ties be-
tween these actors have an even more important effect
on the probability of the project�s relative visibility
(from 3 to 2). This result was not expected, and we have
not found a satisfactory explanation.
3. The IMPACT criteria
The IMPACT is explained by team cohesion, the na-
tional supervisor�s trust (local factors) and to a lesser ex-tent by the task manager�s trust. However, the influence
of interpersonal factors on IMPACT is not a direct one,
as IMPACT is not exactly an ‘‘operational construct’’.
Some caution is required therefore in interpreting poten-
tial meanings.
4. The project SUCCESS
The projects success factors are: the team cohesion,
the task manager�s trust (TM TRUST) and the make-up of the team (TE CHOICE), which has a negative ef-
fect. We did not expect that when coordinators partici-
pate in the selection of their collaborators and/or
project team, including the possibility to hire contrac-
tual employees (team members who are not civil serv-
ants), it would have a negative effect on project
success. This component affects project SUCCESS but
surprisingly is not a factor of any success criteria. Wetested for causality between TE COHESION and TM
CHOICE, thinking that differences in salary or behav-
1005
1006
1007
1008
1009
10101011
1012
1013
1014
1015
1016
1017
1018
1019
1020
1021
1022
10231024
1025
1026
1027
1028
1029
1030
10311032
1033
1034
1035
1036
1037
1038
10391040
1041
1042
1043
1044
1045
1046
10471048
1049
1050
1051
1052
1053
1054
10551056
1057
10791080
1081
1082
1083
1084
1085
1086
10871088
1089
1090
1091
1092
1093
1094
10951096
1097
1098
1099
1100
1101
1102
11031104
1105
1106
1107
1108
1109
1110
1111
1112
12 A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
3 November 2004; Disk UsedARTICLE IN PRESS
UNCO
RRE
iour between the two groups might lead to tensions or
conflicts in the team, but no evidence was found. TM
CHOICE is not affecting the quality of communication
within the team, either. It is unlikely that the coordina-
tor would support hiring incompetent contractual
employees, even though we know that contractualemployees are sometimes not always hired only on the
basis of their competencies. This is therefore a phenom-
enon that cannot be explained at this time, given the
information in this database.
6.5. Summary
A number of results emerged as significant. They are
summarised here in the same order as our research ques-
tions and/or assertions were presented at the end of Sec-
tion 4:
(a) Trust, which in this case is a construct made up
of elements such as trust stricto sensu, delegated
autonomy, and reliable behaviour, constitutesthe overriding factor in the coordinator�s relation-
ships with the task manager and the national
supervisor. Team cohesion (which presumes a cli-
mate of trust) characterises relationships between
team members.
(b) Communication between the coordinator and his
or her task manager is closely linked to the trust
the task manager has in the coordinator, and tothe task manager�s visits to project members.
The minister�s or national supervisor�s trust of
the coordinator is indispensable for good commu-
nication, and good communication will in turn
reinforce social links. The link between team
cohesion and the communication between its
members is a decisive factor. The empirical results
confirm Assertion 1 (trust–communication–auton-omy are virtually interchangeable) but we were
unable to confirm Assertion 2 (see Section 4):
with this data it is in fact impossible to isolate
the building of trust over time in such a way that
the key role of communication as a factor of trust
between the coordinator and project stakeholders
can be confirmed.
(c) Project success factors are: good communicationbetween the coordinator and his or her task man-
ager and good communication among team mem-
bers. Communication between the coordinator
and the national supervisor does not appear to play
a significant role. The relationship between project
management and the quality of communication
between actors (no matter which actors) does not
appear to be significant in this regard. On the otherhand, the trust a task manager has in the coordina-
tor plays a larger role in project success, on the
CTED
PROO
F
quality of project management, and on project vis-
ibility than does cohesion within the team. We have
shown that project profile depends on the trust
established between the coordinator and the task
manager, but trust between the coordinator and
the national supervisor is a must for an eventualextension of a project. Task managers in the multi-
lateral agency appreciate a project that is running
smoothly. Too much intervention or local power
struggles in a project clearly result in the donor
pulling out. This confirms what can be observed
in actual international development projects. Cohe-
sion in the project team, which cannot occur with-
out relationships of trust among its members(established beforehand or over time), remains the
only ‘‘soft’’ factor that can make a contribution
(along with a trusting relationship with the task
manager) to the success of projects. Pre-existing
friendships established at college or shared cultural
backgrounds, phenomena that we would have con-
sidered significant, seem to have little effect.
It is therefore the coordinator–task manager relation-
ship that is decisive, and to a lesser extent, the interper-
sonal relationships within the project team. The authors
of this research, who have a fair amount of experience in
ID project management, welcome such confirmation.
The sheer strength of the statistical evidence is compel-
ling and confirms Assertions 3 and 4 (see Section 4).
This carries a number of ramifications. In fact, it isnot uncommon for a multilateral institution to transfer
a task manager to another region, interrupting the con-
tinuity of projects. Considerable damage can result if the
new task manager and the project coordinator are not
able to quickly establish an adequate level of trust.
The authors have seen that such transfers can quickly
terminate projects that were working smoothly. We have
also seen the opposite; a radical revival of a project, par-ticularly where the relationship with the former task
manager was difficult.
Appropriate measures are not taken to create, consol-
idate or improve social cohesion or trust in the project
team. This nevertheless appears to be instrumental to
a project�s success; nothing is possible without a well-in-
tegrated team. Some institutions hold launching semi-
nars, but it would be worthwhile for them to take thetime and set aside the funds (which would not be inordi-
nate, particularly at the beginning) to create a climate of
trust within each new project team. It is clear that the
team is important enough to deserve more attention;
at least this is one of the conclusions suggested by the
empirical analysis.
6.5.1. The limitations of the results
The study�s potential biases and limits were described
in Section 5. We do not believe that these issues affect
OOF
1113
1114
1115
1116
1117
1118
1119
11201121
1122
1123
1124
1125
1126
1127
1128
1129
1130
1131
1132
11331134
1135
1136
1137
1138
1139
1140
1141
11421143
1144
1145
1146
1147
1148
1149
Table 3
The components of stakeholder interpersonal relationships as factors of the project success and success criteria
Pseudo R2 (Cox and Snell) SUCCESS MANAGEMENT PROFILE IMPACT
n = 77 n = 85 N = 85 n = 85
0.279 0. 204 0.403 0.307
1 Global 2 1 Global 2 1 Global 2 1 Global 2
TM TRUST 0.006 0.007 0.608 0.007 0.010 0. 036 0.010 0.018 0.109 0.042 0.100 0.097
CR VISITS TM – – – (0.029) (0.075) (0.211) – – – – – –
TM VISITS CR – – – – – – 0.039 0.034 (0.998) – – –
NS TRUST 0.225 0.457 0.425 – – – 0.036 0.087 0.162 0.295 0.013 0.010
NS FRIENDSHIP – – – – – – – – – – – –
NS CULTURE – – – – – – (0.122) (0.083) (0.050) – – –
TE COHESION 0.053 0.069 0.078 0.280 0.052 (0.448) 0.150 0.308 0.228 0.058 0.068 (0.950)
TE BACKGROUND – – – – – – – – – – – –
TE LINKS – – – – – – – – – – – –
TE CHOICE (0.008) (0.023) (0.012) – – – – – – – – –
NB: Figures correspond to the probability of the null hypothesis. The lower the probability (particularly when under 0.05), the stronger the
component�s influence on communication.
A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx 13
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
3 November 2004; Disk UsedARTICLE IN PRESS
generalisation of our results. However, there was a spec-
ification bias when estimating parameter significance in
our models. We limited the specification to interpersonal
relationships and communication variables, and we can-
not be certain that those factors explain close to 30% of
the success of ID projects, like the pseudo R2 might lead
one to believe (see Table 3). The specification of other
variables (such as the age of the coordinator, which isstrongly related to the success of ID projects) could af-
fect our estimates and therefore the importance of some
relational and communication variables. However, the
goal was not to build a good predictive model of ID pro-
ject success but to establish a hierarchy of significance
between variables. In this context, the specification bias
has little effect on our results. 11
11501151
1152
1153
1154
1155
1156
1157
11581159
RRE7. Conclusion
We have tried to describe and assess the influence
of different aspects of interpersonal relations between
key actors in order to explain the success of interna-
tional development projects in sub-Saharan Africa.
The research did not provided answers to all the ques-tions we raised, but our analysis has lead to some
UNCO
1160
1161
1162
1163
1164
1165
11661167
1168
1169
1170
1171
11 Furthermore, independent of the fact that the models are
incomplete, the limited number of cases by group (once recoded with
1, 2, 3) and the unequal distribution of cases among the three groups
could have had an impact on the accuracy of the estimates when three
or more variables were introduced. We therefore recalculated the
estimates in Table 3 with ten random sub-samples each representing
two-thirds of the total population. Even though there was some
instability among the less important variables, the overall estimates
regularly reproduced the hierarchy of significance shown in Table 3.
This makes us believe that what we have learned would appear to be
valid for the entire population of development projects funded by the
multilateral system in sub-Saharan Africa.
CTED
PRconclusions that are well supported by the statistical
evidence. The findings pertaining to the ‘‘interpersonal
relationship-communication-success’’ causality are in
complete accordance with what is known from the
body of research on work groups or project teams.
Projects are dynamic systems in which perceptions be-
come ‘‘reality’’. They cannot be carried out efficiently
without trust between key stakeholders. This is alsoconsistent with the legacy of the literature on group
dynamics. Trust and communication are inseparable,
and in international development, they are critical fac-
tors of project success. Research also shows that the
climate (atmosphere) within the project team is deci-
sive, and therefore, that making more efforts in team
building during the first months of the project is rec-
ommended. The launching seminars organized by thedonor agencies focus more on ‘‘selling’’ the new pro-
jects to the local stakeholders rather than creating a
good working climate within the team. The specific
project team management and project team building
seminars should be organized as soon as the project
team is set up. The relationship coordinator–task
manager becomes fundamental (even more than the
relationship coordinator–national supervisor or taskmanager–national supervisor) and the quality of this
relationship is directly linked to the numerous on-site
work related visits made by the task manager to the
coordinator. Despite the progress of electronic com-
munication, the semi-virtual ID project management
teams cannot avoid the ‘‘physical’’ contact and face-
to-face communication. The on-site meetings are espe-
cially the ones that help establish trust. Multilateraldonor agencies should assess regularly the trust cli-
mate, project by project, between the task manager
and the coordinator. Because it would be a loss to
break a ‘‘winning team’’, one must avoid transferring
the task managers who have already established a
CED
PROO
F1172
1173
1174
1175
1176
1177
1178
11791180
1181
1182
1183
1184
1185
1186
1187
1188
1189
1190
1191
11921193
1194
1195
1196
Appendix A Sample description: projects and project coordinators
Sectors: (n = 89)
% % %
Education 12.4 Rural
development
19.1 Reform, governance 11.2
Energy 3.4 Urban
development
3.4 Pop., health and nutr. 5.6
Environment 9.0 Public works 6.7 Comm. And telecomm. 2.2
Mining 2.2 Social
development
9.0 Agetipea 15.7
Contributions by donors: (n = 83), (millions of US$)
Total per
project
World Bank ABD European Union UNDP Other Gov�t
n 86 61 23 17 23 36 63
Mean 36.08 25.94 9.50 9.78 1.82 15.60 7.75
Median 16.70 19.00 2.00 2.50 0.30 5.50 2.00
Mode 5.00 4.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00
Minimum 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 600.00 120.00 60.00 90.00 15.00 250.00 100.00
Project coordinators:
Sex (n = 91) Male: 89% Female: 11%
Country (n = 92) Francophone: 65% Anglophone: 35%
Education (n = 91) Undergraduate: 13% Graduate: 87%
Professional status
(n = 91)
Civil servant: 33% Seconded civil
servant:
27%
Contractual.: 34% Other: 6%
Salary and benefits (n = 89):
(US$ equivalent) <2500 2500–5000 5000–7500 7500–10,000 >10,000
% 26.1 17.4 10.9 8.7 33.7
aAgency managing mostly construction projects (Agence d� Execution des Travaux d� Interet Public).
Relationship Abbreviation
Coordinator–task manager
My task manager came to visit me
frequently.
TM VISITS CR
I visited my task manager frequently. CR VISITS TM
My task manager gave me autonomy. TM AUTONOMY
My task manager had confidence in me. TM TRUST
We have common values. TM VALUES
We are approximately the same age. TM AGE
My task manager understands my local
constraints.
TM
UNDERSTANDING
I obtained rapid approval from my
task manager on important matters.
TM RELIABLE
We have a relationship of mutual respect. TM RESPECT
14 A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx
JPMA 732 No. of Pages 16, DTD=5.0.1
3 November 2004; Disk UsedARTICLE IN PRESS
ORRE
relationship based on mutual trust with their
coordinators.
The study does not come to any conclusions of a
comparative nature, and does not reveal behaviours spe-
cific to African managers as compared to Europeans or
North Americans. This was not our goal. This research
could be extended to Central and Latin America, Cen-
tral Europe, Asia and Indonesia, where multilateraldevelopment agencies and bilateral organisations fund
numerous development projects. We plan on pursuing
this further, since databases are currently being assem-
bled on these projects. A transcultural analysis of the
empirical results from a larger survey would allow us
to confirm the results from the African data and perhaps
even to discover cultural differences in the importance of
interpersonal and communication factors.
My task manager visited my home on
occasion.
TM IN MY HOME
I know the family of my task manager. TM FAMILY
We communicate well TM COMM
Coordinator–national supervisor
My national supervisor came to visit me
frequently.
NS VISITS CR
I visited my national supervisor frequently at
the Ministry.
CR VISITS NS
UNCAcknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the company SE-
TYM International Inc. (Montreal, Quebec, Canada)
for offering the use of its database of project managers,
coordinators and directors of projects financed by inter-national organizations in Africa.
TAppendix B. Statements describing relationships between
stakeholders
(Continued on next page)
1197
119811991200
120112021203
1204120512061207
120812091210
12111212
12131214
121512161217
121812
122012
12221212
122512
122712
122912
123112
123312
12351212
123812
12401212
124312
124512
124712
124912
125112
125312
125512
12571212
12601212
12631212
12661212
12691212
127212121212
12771212
12801212
128312
Appendix B (Continued)
Relationship Abbreviation
I regularly informed my national supervisor
about the project
NS INFORMED
My national supervisor gave me autonomy. NS AUTONOMY
My national supervisor had confidence in me. NS TRUST
We did part of our studies together. STUDIES
We are approximately the same age. NS AGE
We share a common language apart from
French or English.
LANGUAGE
We have common values NS VALUES
I get rapid approval from my national
supervisor on important matters.
NS RELIABLE
We have a relation of mutual respect. NS RESPECT
My national supervisor came to my home on
occasion.
NS IN MY HOME
I know my national supervisor�s family. NS FAMILY
My national supervisor helped when I
experienced problems.
NS SUPPORT
We communicate well. NS COMM
Within the project team
The team members knew each other for
several years.
KNOW EACH
OTHER
I have known them for several years. CR KNOWS THEM
I participated in the choice of my team
members.
CHOICE
On the team there were one or more private
contractors.
CONTRACTUAL
My team bonded. MUTUAL AID
There was no rivalries among them. NO RIVALRIES
There was little absenteeism in the team. NO ABSENTEEISM
The working ambance was excellent. ATMOSPHERE
The team functionned well without me. TE AUTONOMY
Team members participed in social events
together.
TE SOLIDARITY
They met at their home. TE FAMILY
Everyone was concerned about the success of
the project.
MOTIVATION
Information circulated well within the team. TE COMM
A. Diallo, D. Thuillier / International Journal of Project Management xxx (2004) xxx–xxx 15
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