The Modern Middle easT

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The Modern Middle East

a Political history since the second World War

Third edition

MEhran kaMrava

UniversiTy of California Press

Berkeley los angeles london

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University of California Press, one of the most distinguished university presses in the United States, enriches lives around the world by advancing scholarship in the humanities, social sciences, and natural sciences. Its activities are supported by the UC Press Foundation and by philanthropic contributions from individuals and institutions. For more information, visit www.ucpress.edu.

University of California PressBerkeley and Los Angeles, California

University of California Press, Ltd.London, England

© 2013 by The Regents of the University of California

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Surname, Firstname, birthdate–. Title : subtitle / Author. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. isbn 978-0-520-27780-9 (cloth : alk. paper) isbn 978-0-520-27781-6 (pbk. : alk. paper) isbn 978-0-520-95685-8 (ebook) 1. Subject—Subsubject. 2. Subject—Subsubject.

3. Subject—Subsubject. 4. Subject—Subsubject. I. Title. ClassifNumber PubDate DeweyNumber—dc23 CatalogNumber

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In keeping with a commitment to support environmentally responsible and sustainable printing practices, UC Press has printed this book on Rolland Enviro100, a 100% postconsumer fiber paper that is FSC certified, deinked, processed chlorine-free, and manufactured with renewable biogas energy. It is acid-free and EcoLogo certified.

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To Melisa,Dilara, and Kendra

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Contents

list of illustrations ix

list of Maps xi

list of Tables xiii

acknowledgments to the first edition xv

acknowledgments to the second edition xvii

acknowledgments to the Third edition xix

introduction 1

parT i. a poliTiCal hisTory of ThE MiddlE EasT 7

1. from islam to the Great War 9

2. from Territories to independent states 35

3. The age of nationalism 68

4. The arab-israeli Wars 108

5. The iranian revolution 139

6. The Gulf Wars and Beyond 170

parT ii. issuEs in MiddlE EasTErn poliTiCs 211

7. states and Their opponents 213

8. repression and rebellion 265

9. The Palestinian-israeli Conflict 299

10. The Challenge of economic development 347

11. Challenges facing the Middle east 387

notes 407

Bibliography 467

index 503

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ixix

1. Turkish women in a late nineteenth-century harem. 26

2. Women in Algiers in the 1880s. 49

3. Mustafa Kemal Atatürk and Reza Shah confer. 60

4. Female members of the Iraqi Home Guard march in Baghdad, 1959. 72

5. David Ben-Gurion, the first prime minister of the state of Israel. 78

6. Israeli women take an oath to join the Haganah, Tel Aviv, 1948. 79

7. Egyptian women celebrate Nasser’s announcement of women’s right to vote, 1956. 94

8. Egyptian boys and girls receive military training during the Suez Canal crisis, 1956. 97

9. Israeli soldiers celebrate capturing Jerusalem in the 1967 War. 121

10. Egyptian soldiers celebrate crossing the Suez Canal in the 1973 War. 130

11. Ayatollah Khomeini, leader of Iran’s Islamic revolution. 154

12. Iran’s atomic chief Ali Akbar Salehi and head of the Russian nuclear agency Sergei Kiriyenko hold a joint press conference, August 21, 2010. 168

13. President Saddam Hussein. 175

14. Iraqi female police officers during their graduation ceremony at the Baghdad Police College. 183

15. Iraqi forces on the “highway of death.” 187

16. Shiʿite Iraqi women mourn after the Gulf War in 1991. 189

illustrations

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x /

17. Osama bin Laden’s messages were broadcast on Al-Jazeera. 202

18. Saddam Hussein’s statue toppled in Baghdad. 205

19. British occupation forces search Iraqi women for weapons. 207

20. Iraqi women inspect the site of a car bomb explosion in the Bayaa district. 208

21. Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 225

22. Protesters at Friday prayers in Tahrir Square in the first protest after fall of Hosni Mubarak. 293

23. Mohammed Morsi campaigning for the Egyptian presidency. 293

24. The U.S. Embassy in Egypt covered in graffiti, September 2012. 294

25. The sewer pipe where Muammar Qaddafi was captured, with a dead loyalist gunman in the foreground, October 20, 2011. 295

26. Syrian rebels engage government forces near Saraquib City in April 2012. 297

27. Emma Zvi Yona bathes her son at the unauthorized outpost of Moaz Esther. 300

28. Yasser Arafat, chairman of the Palestine Liberation Organization, first president of the Palestinian National Authority. 312

29. A settler tosses wine at a Palestinian woman on Shuhada Street in Hebron. 322

30. Yitzhak Rabin and Yasser Arafat sign the Oslo Accords. 329

31. Women march in support of Hamas. 336

32. A Jewish settler prays at sunrise from a former outpost near Nablus. 338

33. A Palestinian woman inspects the rubble of her house after Israeli missile strikes. 340

34. A Palestinian woman flashes “V for victory” sign at Israeli soldiers. 340

35. Funeral of two-year-old Palestinian boy killed in Israeli air strikes, November 15, 2012. 341

36. A Palestinian boy walks through the rubble inside the house of Hamas commander Raed al-Attar, November 20, 2012. 342

37. Hamas leader in exile Khaled Meshaal and Hamas prime minister Ismail Haniya in Gaza City on December 8, 2012. 343

38. Israeli schoolgirls take cover next to a bus in Ashdod, Israel, during a rocket attack, March 12, 2012. 344

39. Skyscrapers of Sheikh Zayed Road, Dubai, at night. 375

x / i l l U s T r aT i o n s

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xi

1. The modern Middle East. xx

2. The Sykes-Picot Agreement. 41

3. French and British mandates after World War I. 45

4. The United Nations Partition Plan. 81

5. Territories captured by Israel in 1967. 120

Maps

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xiii

1. Jewish Immigration in Each Aliya 76

2. Phases in Palestinian Nationalism 86

3. Palestinian Refugees of the 1948 War 89

4. Population Growth in Selected West Bank Settlements 320

5. GNP and GDP Average Annual Growth Rate in Developing Countries 353

6. Growth of GDP in Selected Middle Eastern Countries, 1980–2011 354

7. Number of Jobs That Need to Be Created in Selected Middle Eastern / North African Countries (2010–20) 356

8. Global Levels of Foreign Direct Investment 376

9. Share of Manufactures in Total Merchandise Trade by Region, 2010 377

10. Trade Indicators in Selected Middle Eastern Countries, 2009 378

11. Commodity Structure of Arab International Trade, 2006–10 379

12. Arab World Trade Partners, 2006–10 380

13. Population Characteristics in the Middle East 390

14. Fertility Rates in the Middle East as Compared to Other World Regions 393

15. Foreign Labor Force in the Oil Monarchies, 1975–2008 394

16. Age Structure in the Middle East, 2010 395

Tables

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x i v / Ta B l e s

17. Passenger Cars per 1,000 Individuals in Selected Middle Eastern Countries 398

18. Annual Growth Rate of CO2 Emissions in the Middle East 398

19. Per Capita Water Availability and the Ratio of Supply and Demand in the Middle East 401

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xv

The research and writing of this book would not have been possible without the kindness and generosity of a number of individuals. I greatly benefited from the research assistance of Annmarie Hunter and Emily Smurthwaite. I am most grateful for their diligence and their enthusiasm for this project from start to finish. Terrence Thorpe, another outstanding student, also read several chapters and gave valuable suggestions. Bradford Dillman, Manochehr Dorraj, Nader Entessar, Mark Gasiorowski, Nikki Keddie, and Mahmood Monshipouri kindly read all or some of the chapters and gave invaluable and insightful advice. Of course, any omissions or shortcomings remain entirely my fault. Work on chapter 8 [chapter 10 in the third edi-tion] was partly funded by a generous grant from the College of Social and Behavioral Sciences at California State University, Northridge.

This book is the outgrowth of more than a decade of teaching and lectur-ing on the politics and history of the Middle East. In the process, I have learned a great deal from the innumerable students who have shared with me their insights, experiences, criticisms, and comments. Both directly and indirectly, their input is no doubt reflected here. For that, I am grateful.

Chapter 9 [chapter 8 in the third edition] is an expanded, much revised version of an article that originally appeared in Third World Quarterly, vol. 19, no. 1, 1998, pp. 63–85. I am grateful to TWQ’s editor, Shahid Qadir, for permission to quote extensively from the article here.

My wife, Melisa Çanli, deserves special thanks. Over the nearly five years that it took to write this book, she put up with my many solitary hours behind the computer, my frequent mood swings, and my far-too-frequent frowns. All along, she never wavered in her loving support for my work. As I was in the final stages of preparing the book, she gave birth to our beautiful daughter, Dilara. As a meager token of my love and gratitude, I dedicate this book to them both.

acknowledgments to the first Edition

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xvii

acknowledgments to the second Edition

Some five years after its original publication, the book continues to benefit from the input and advice of many colleagues and research assistants who helped with its original inception and its subsequent publication back in 2005. In the intervening years, countless friends and associates, and at times anonymous readers, have pointed out various ways in which the first edi-tion could be improved upon. I am thankful for their input, their construc-tive criticisms, and their suggestions for improvement. I have been extremely fortunate to work with Naomi Schneider, my editor at the University of California Press, whose guidance, encouragement, and patience with delays were tremendously helpful in shaping the second edi-tion. Grateful acknowledgment also goes to Simone Popperl, my superb research assistant on this book, especially for her help with updates to many of the tables appearing throughout the manuscript.

Any project of this magnitude is a product of love, and I have been extremely fortunate to be surrounded by a most loving family who self-lessly gave me the time and the peace and quiet needed to complete work on this edition. My wife Melisa and our daughters Dilara and Kendra always provided the loving support and the emotional nourishment that I needed to work. For that, and for much more that cannot be adequately expressed in words, I dedicate this book to them.

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xix

The current edition has benefited from the continued feedback of a number of colleagues and scholars, some of whom have the read the book out of interest and many of whom have assigned it to their courses on Middle Eastern history and politics. I am particularly grateful to Murat Bayar, Gamze Cavdar, Steve Ceccoli, John Copp, Eugene Cruz-Uribe, Kareem Mahmoud Kamel, Tugrul Keskin, Bessma Momani, and Mahmood Monshipouri for providing invaluable feedback on improvements to be made to the second edition. Whatever shortcomings remain in the book are, of course, my own responsibility. Over the years, the research that has gone into this book has benefited from the labor of a number of exceptional research assistants. For this edition I was lucky to work with Dwaa Osman and Sana Jamal, both of whom worked meticulously on many of the tables and collected much of the data that appear in the book. Naomi Schneider, my editor at the University of California Press, remains by far one of the most wonderful professionals in the publishing industry with whom I have ever worked.

Any project of this magnitude is a product of love, and I have been extremely fortunate to be surrounded by a most loving family who self-lessly gave me the time and the peace and quiet needed to complete work on this edition. My wife Melisa and our daughters Dilara and Kendra always provided the loving support and the emotional nourishment that I needed to work. For that, and for much more that cannot be adequately expressed in words, I dedicate this book to them.

acknowledgments to the Third Edition

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1

This book examines the political history of the contemporary Middle East. Although it focuses primarily on the period since the demise of the Ottoman Empire, shortly after World War I, it includes some discussion of pre-Ottoman and Ottoman histories to better clarify the background and the context in which modern Middle Eastern political history has taken shape. The book uses a broad conception of the “Middle East” as a geo-graphic area that extends from Iran in the east to Turkey, Iraq, the Arabian peninsula, the Levant (Lebanon and Syria), and North Africa, including the Maghreb, in the west. Maghreb is the Arabic word for “Occident” and has historically been used to describe areas west of Egypt. In modern times, it has come to refer to Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco. Libya is also sometimes included as part of the Maghreb, but it is more commonly grouped with Egypt as belonging to North Africa.

Although there are vast differences between and within the histories, cultures, traditions, and politics of each of these regions in the Middle East, equally important and compelling shared characteristics unify the region. By far the most important of these are language, ethnicity, and religion. Much of Middle Eastern identity is wrapped around the Arabic language. Poetry and storytelling have historically been viewed as elevated art forms. As Fouad Ajami has observed, “Poetry, it has been said, was (and is) to the Arabs what philosophy was to the Greeks, law to the Romans, and art to the Persians: the repository and purest expression of their distinctive spirit.”1 Even in places where it is not the national language and is not widely spo-ken, as in Iran and in Turkey, Arabic, the language of the Quran, permeates life with its many expressions and phrases.

Another common bond in the Middle East is Arab ethnic identity. From Iraq in the north down to the Arabian peninsula and west all the way to

introduction

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2 / i n T r o d U C T i o n

Morocco, ethnic Arabs predominate. There are, of course, significant clus-ters of other ethnic groups. A majority of Iranians are Persians, and Turks are predominant in Turkey. Apart from the so-called “Arab-Israelis”—Palestinians who found themselves in Israel’s borders when the country was born in 1948—Jews are the dominant group in Israel. As chapter 9 discusses, however, there is a debate as to whether Jews are members of an ethnic group or believers in a religious faith. Additionally, there are several “stateless” ethnic groups, by far the largest being the Kurds, who are mostly in southeastern Turkey, western Iran, northern Iraq, and northeastern Syria. There are also sizable Berber communities throughout the Maghreb. But despite these diverse ethnic communities, much of the Arab world remains ethnically homogeneous and strongly identifies with its ethnicity.

An even stronger bond uniting the region is religion, with some 97 per-cent of Middle Easterners identifying themselves as Muslim. That Islam is a whole way of life and not just a religion is a cliché. But regardless of their ethnicity, where they live, and what language they speak, the faithful share a compelling set of beliefs and rituals that transcend national boundaries with remarkable ease. At its strictest, Islam is austere and exacting. But even in its most liberal settings and interpretations, it permeates the life of the Middle East in ways few other phenomena do. Its relentless emphasis on community, its injunctions on the one billion faithful to all face Mecca in prayer and to fast together in the same month, its deep penetration of languages far removed from Arabic, its reverence for the Prophet Muhammad, who called for submission (Islam) to God (Allah)—all of these reinforce the sense of belonging to a whole far bigger than its indi-vidual, national components. Since the early decades of the twentieth cen-tury, Islam as a source of cross-national unity has steadily lost ground to state-specific nationalism, but it continues to be a powerful and compelling source of common identification among fellow Muslims around the world, especially in the Middle East.

In addition to the important, uniting phenomena of ethnicity, language, and religion are the curse and the blessings of a common historical heritage. Much of the Middle East, with the exceptions of Iran and Morocco, experi-enced centuries of Ottoman rule, generally from the mid-sixteenth century up until the waning years of the nineteenth century. The Ottomans’ hold on the Middle East was often tenuous and frequently interrupted. Over the centuries, however, for better or for worse, from their capital in Istanbul they managed to leave their imprint on such far-off places as Cairo, Tripoli, and Tunis. Once the Ottomans were gone, the British and the French took their place, leaving on their colonial possessions their own distinctive

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i n T r o d U C T i o n / 3

marks. Perhaps the biggest relic of British rule, aside from the drawing of artificial national borders, was the institution of monarchy, which they secured in almost all the lands they ruled, from Egypt to Jordan, Iraq, and the Arabian peninsula. The French colonial inheritance was less political and more cultural, although in the Levant they left behind republican sys-tems that mimicked their own. For the French what mattered most was the superiority of their civilization, and they ensured its posterity by making French the lingua franca of the Maghreb. Today, urban Moroccans, Algerians, and Tunisians speak and study in French with as much ease as they converse in Arabic. This, of course, is the case with millions of others in francophone Africa as well.

Nevertheless, the powerful forces uniting the Middle East—religion, ethnicity, and language—have at times also been sources of division and conflict. In many historical episodes subtle differences in dialect or ethnic identity have served as powerful catalysts for the articulation of national or subnational loyalties and even political mobilization. The Middle East, it must be remembered, is far from monolithic and homogeneous. Its differ-ences have been a source of both strength and inspiration and, at times, violent bloodletting; witness the tragedy of Lebanon or the torment meted out to the Kurds.

In studying the Middle East, it is often tempting to overlook the region’s rich diversity in geography, politics, and culture. Any book purporting to examine the political history of the modern Middle East is bound to remain at a certain level of generalization and not pay the necessary attention to the many, multifaceted differences within the various Middle Eastern countries and communities. This book, I am afraid, is no exception. I have taken care throughout to highlight the existence of differences, both between and within the countries and the peoples discussed, and I hope that the reader remains mindful of them as well. Nevertheless, I feel compelled to apologize to those groups whose identities or destinies may not be as thoroughly covered here as they should have been.

When the “modern” era of the Middle East begins is a matter of some debate. For our purposes here, I have taken it to be in the 1920s, after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, when state systems as we have come to know them today began to be established throughout the region. But the political and historic phenomena that the Ottomans represented had roots far deeper in Middle Eastern and Islamic history than the early decades of the twentieth century. I decided, therefore, to go further back, much further back, and briefly retell the story of the Middle East since the appearance of Islam and how it shaped subsequent historical events in the region. Islam

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dramatically altered the life and historic evolution of the Middle East, but its appearance by no means marks the beginning of Middle Eastern history. As chapter 1 makes clear, this was an arbitrary starting date, for I had to draw the line somewhere, and I chose to do so with Islam’s beginning. Had this been a work on the complete political history of the Middle East, it would have had to start with the earliest days of human civilization, along the banks of the Tigris and the Euphrates in modern-day Iraq.

In addition to simple convenience and an arbitrary starting date, a deeper logic guides the choice of the chapters that follow and the topics they dis-cuss. Politics and history are both dynamic and changeable processes. Thus the examination of either one in a snapshot is incomplete without attention to successive past developments. Contemporary political issues in the Middle East are deeply rooted in past historic and political events: consider, for example, three of the most central issues, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, economic development, and the nature of prevailing state-society relations within each country. The present manifestation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict resulted from the outcome of the Arab-Israeli wars, which were a product of competing varieties of nationalism, shaped by the machinations of Western colonial powers, who had gone to the Middle East once the Ottomans collapsed, and so on. The same line of inquiry could be applied to current state-society relations in the Middle East or to each country’s level of economic development.

On the basis of this logic, the book is divided into two parts, one focusing on political history and the other on some key issues that resonate through-out the region. Part I lays out the historical context for the Middle East. It begins with a sweeping chapter on the history of the Middle East from the earliest days, when geographic considerations and military conquests led to the establishment first of cities and then of civilizations around them, up until the demise of the region’s last major imperial power, the Ottomans. Chapter 2 continues the historical narrative, concentrating on the period between the two world wars and looking at the nature and trials of inde-pendence and state building. The emergence and rapid spread of national-ism throughout the Middle East is discussed in chapter 3, and the two resulting Arab-Israeli wars in 1967 and 1973, each spectacular in its own way, are examined in chapter 4. Nationalism, state building, and political consolidation (or lack thereof) led to one of the most dramatic develop-ments in contemporary Middle East, the Iranian revolution of 1978–79, which is discussed in chapter 5. Revolutions and wars are seldom far apart, and both the 1980–88 Iran-Iraq War and the so-called Second Gulf War in 1990–91 and its aftermath are covered in chapter 6. This chapter ends with

4 / i n T r o d U C T i o n

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a discussion of the causes and consequences of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in April 2003 and its eventual withdrawal from the country in 2011.

The historical processes discussed in chapters 1 through 6 have had pro-found consequences for the contemporary politics of the Middle East, espe-cially with regard to the overall nature of state-society relations in each country and the relationships between states. Part II discusses four of the most important current political manifestations of longer-term historical processes: the evolution of state institutions and the challenges they face; the question of democracy; the Palestinian-Israeli conflict; and the chal-lenges of economic development. This is by no means an exhaustive list of the defining features of the region’s contemporary politics. But it repre-sents some of the most salient phenomena whose scope and consequences go beyond mere diplomacy, economics, or politics. These are the core issues that have shaped and defined contemporary Middle Eastern politics. They have had ramifications not only for the countries involved but for the region and the world as well.

The popular yearning for democracy, in fact, and the intransigence of incumbent authoritarian states on giving up power rocked the Arab world beginning in late 2010, when the region witnessed a series of historic upris-ings that continue to change the region’s political landscape in ways that few had predicted. This happened to correspond with the publication of the book’s second edition. For months after the uprisings began, I resisted the temptation to start work on a new edition, hoping to wait long enough for the outcomes of what came to be known as the Arab Spring to become evi-dent before putting pen to paper. But spring turned into summer and fall, and then winter, and the turns and twists of the fateful events of 2011 con-tinued to unfold across the region in ways that defied all predictions and analysis. As the second anniversary of the start of the Tunisian and Egyptian revolutions approached, I could no longer delay work on updating a book that was becoming rapidly outdated.

As I write, history is still being made. In Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt, draft constitutions have sparked intense debates over such fundamental ques-tions as the role of religion in political life in general and in legislation and personal status law in particular. In Tunisia and Libya elections for the national legislature and the executive are yet to be held, and the ultimate shape of those institutions are far from determined. In Egypt, the new elected president, Mohamed Morsi, is fending off accusations of crafting a new dictatorship from the country’s judges and from old and new protest-ers in Cairo’s iconic Tahrir Square. In Syria, a bloody civil war continues to rage whose direction and outcome at this point are far from certain. And for

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the first time demonstrators in Amman are openly calling for the fall of the Hashemite monarchy.

Keenly aware of the perils of writing on history as it unfolds, I go about this third edition with a larger-than-usual measure of humility. History, and especially Middle Eastern history, often plays tricks on those who try to predict its future course, so I make no such attempt here. Instead, in chapters 7 and 8, I focus on the causes of the revolutions of 2011 and exam-ine the dynamics that have given them the characteristics they have so far assumed. In chapter 7 I look at the institutional and political evolution of seemingly immovable states beginning in the 1950s and the 1960s and last-ing into the 2000s. In chapter 8, on the question of democracy, I examine moves toward democratization initiated both by states and by social actors, most of which were aborted in the 1990s and the 2000s, and which eventu-ally precipitated the mass uprisings of 2011.

Chapter 9 examines the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. It begins with a dis-cussion of how the two competing national identities have given resonance and force to the conflict through a mutual negation of “the Other.” The chapter then looks at the situation on the ground, examining how the two sides’ denial of each other’s rights affects their daily lives and circumstances. There are, on a few occasions, glimmers of hope in this long and bloody conflict, as figures from both sides have embarked on the difficult task of reconciliation and peace. The chapter ends with a discussion of some of the maneuvers and the progress made so far in the elusive “peace process.”

Chapter 10, on economic development, examines three features of the political economy of the Middle East: the pervasive role of the state; its pursuit of economic policies designed to minimize its extractive role in rela-tion to social actors; and its limited abilities to control or even regulate many economic activities.

The book ends with a brief discussion of some of the more important challenges the Middle East is currently facing or is likely to face in the com-ing decades. The last century has brought to the Middle East progress and change on multiple fronts, from the creation of impressive edifices of the state to the transformation of arid desert lands into massive urban areas and even agricultural lands (in Saudi Arabia). But problems also abound—from economically unsustainable rates of population growth and chronic food insecurity to hazardous levels of pollution of environmental resources, to name only a few—and their magnitude is amplified by official neglect or mismanagement. Sooner or later, state or private agencies need to substan-tively address the many challenges facing the Middle East, or the future will be more troublesome than the past.

6 / i n T r o d U C T i o n

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