reply to: finlayson, b.l.; peel, m.c., and mcmahon, t.a., 2012. discussion of: finkl, c.w. and...
TRANSCRIPT
www.cerf-jcr.org
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project: A Papua NewGuinea–Queensland Australia Undersea Freshwater Pipeline
Charles W. Finkl{ and Richard B. Cathcart{
{Charles E. Schmidt College of ScienceDepartment of GeosciencesFlorida Atlantic UniversityBoca Raton, FL 33431, [email protected]
{Geographos1300 West Olive Avenue, Suite MBurbank, CA 91506, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
Finkl, C.W. and Cathcart, R.B., 2011. The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project: A Papua New Guinea-Queensland Australiaundersea freshwater pipeline. Journal of Coastal Research, 27(4), 607–618. West Palm Beach (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.
Australia’s so-called ‘‘Dead Heart,’’ its hot arid interior landscape, can be brought into irrigated agricultural productionwith the importation of extracontinental freshwater supplies originating in Papua New Guinea. Despite Queensland’s LaNina-caused historic and costly 2010 to 2011 river flooding induced, in great part by tropical cyclone Yasi, itswesternmost torrid region is classed as arid, currently almost without any irrigation agriculture present. Freshwaterimportation from Papua New Guinea’s Fly River via an undersea pipeline mostly skirting the Torres Strait couldincrease the value of Queensland’s little-used dryland Outback and, perhaps, establish new overseas markets in Asia forexported agricultural products. An induced perennial Diamantina River could replenish groundwater recharge regions(Great Artesian Basin) and convert Lake Eyre to a permanent lake of slightly brackish water. Irrigated eucalyptus treeplantations might serve, in part, to counter some Earthly global warming. The Torres Strait Islanders will benefiteconomically as well as other social groups on the mainland of Papua New Guinea. Here we examine closely some of thetechnical aspects of a Papua New Guinea-Queensland (PNG-QLD) Undersea Freshwater Pipeline Macroproject (UFPM)installation. We offer a choice of two routings for the PNG-QLD UFPM (Case A) while at the same time making clear ourinformed preference.
ADDITIONAL INDEX WORDS: Papua New Guinea, Queensland Australia, submarine freshwater pipeline, inter-basin water transfer, Outback tree farming, global warming mitigation.
INTRODUCTION
As freshwater is potentially extractable from lakes, rivers,
dammed reservoirs, and groundwater aquifers and bores, ,1%
of all of the Earth’s water is available for human use, whether
for survival and/or industrial needs. The greatest current
influence on precipitation and temperature of Australia’s
climate from year to year is the El Nino-Southern Oscillation
(ENSO): El Nino usually brings hotter and drier climate, and La
Nina generally brings cooler and wetter-than-normal climate as
recently exampled during November 2010 to February 2011 by
northern Australia’s twenty+ billion AU dollar Queensland
[QLD] river flooding disaster necessitating a massive rebuild of
destroyed and damaged infrastructure. Australia’s Bureau of
Meteorology has reported that 2010 was the wettest year on
record for Queensland, with Brisbane last being inundated
(before 12 January 2011) in 1974. A political subdivision of
Australia, Queensland is a 1,730,649 km2 territory with a
coastline of ,13,347 km (Short and Woodroffe, 2009). Future
changes in Earth’s climate regimes and the increase in the
planet’s total population of living humans virtually ensure that
the fixed volume of freshwater will become scarcer and more
valuable economically in the Southern Hemisphere (Arblaster,
Meehl, and Karoly, 2011; Soh, Roddick, and Leeuwen, 2008).
In the particular instance of northern Australia, specifically
the Queensland case examined herein, a future increase in
annual average air temperatures and a simultaneous decrease
in annual rainfall will likely cause increased freshwater stress
on cultivated plants, stock animals, and settled humans—
indeed, a situation of ‘‘water poverty.’’ It is also possible that the
seasonal formation of tropical cyclones (nowadays officially 1
November to 30 April) in the Arafura and Coral seas could
become stronger, undergoing marked change resulting from
future climate regime change in the vicinity of Queensland and
its bordering Gulf of Carpentaria (Goebbert and Leslie, 2010).
Sea-surface warming in the Arafura and Coral seas possibly
could lead to tropical cyclones that are more intense, with
higher peak wind speeds and heavier, torrential precipitation,
heightening of storm seawater surges (Emanuel, Sundarar-
ajan, and Williams, 2008), and even shifting storm paths.
Essentially, the future is at this time unknowable, and
unforeseen calamities or boons cannot be excluded.
Australia is one of the driest inhabited continents in the
world, its rainfall is variable, meteorological droughts are
common, and secure obtainable surface freshwater resources
in many regions (drainage basins) are sometimes scarce.
Australia is relatively arid, with 80% of the land having a
rainfall ,600 mm a21 and 50% having ,300 mm a21.
DOI: 10.2112/11A-00006.1 received 14 March 2011; accepted 14March 2011.Published Pre-print online 24 May 2011.’ Coastal Education & Research Foundation 2011
Journal of Coastal Research 27 4 607–618 West Palm Beach, Florida July 2011
In northern Australia there is a shift of the subtropical high-
pressure belts and subtropical jet that allows a dynamically
active low-pressure air mass to form over the northern part of
the continent (Bridgman, 2005). This combination stimulates
the entry of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), which
results in a moist air flow that meets the SE trade winds along a
line from Port Hedland (Western Australia) to Cairns (Queens-
land). The previous season’s monsoon rain in India is strongly
correlated with below-normal rain that creates a delay in
monsoon onset in Australia. The monsoonal flow, generally
extending to about 15u S [latitude], is better developed east of
100u E [longitude], bringing the annual rainy season to
northern Australia. According to Bridgman (2005), about 20%
of the rainy period consists of breaks without precipitation
because the moist humid air in the NW airstream is not
naturally triggered to induce precipitation of any kind.
Although the climate of the study area surrounding the
Arafura and Coral seas is mostly tropical wet and dry or
monsoonal (Aw, Am in the Koppen climate classification), the
rest of the study area in the Australian interior falls into the
BSh and BWh categories that are steppe or desert (Oliver,
2005). The mountains of the Great Dividing Range in Queens-
land attain a maximum height of 1622 m at Mt. Bartle Frere
and there are several peaks in excess of 1000 m, mainly in the
north and southeast. Along sections of the Great Dividing
Range, the elevation abruptly increases away from the coastal
plain facing the Coral Sea, and then west of the Divide it
gradually descends onto the western plains. On the western
side of the Great Dividing Range the rainfall reduces quickly
to an annual median of about 700 mm and then gradually
decreases further with distance inland, especially south of the
Gulf of Carpentaria. At the same time, average maximum air
temperatures gradually increase with increasing distance from
the Queensland coast. A remarkable tubular-shaped cloud
formation, the internationally famous ‘‘Morning Glory’’ roll
cloud/multiple roll cloud formations (Figure 1), forms
when nocturnal sea breezes from the Coral Sea and Gulf of
Carpentaria meet over the rainforest of the Cape York
Peninsula (Goler and Reeder, 2004) and propagate in a
southwesterly direction over the Gulf of Carpentaria. These
Figure 1. Typical tube-shaped Australian roll cloud scene, also commonly referred to by meteorologists as a ‘‘Morning Glory’’ cloud.
608 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
roll clouds are composed of freshwater droplets, so we may,
rather poetically and symbolically, imagine them as Nature’s
water pipelines!
Although tropical cyclones are a threat to all Queensland
coastal communities, meeting the region from both east- and
west-trending paths, they are a major source of rain for the
drier inland region. Settlement to the west of the Great
Dividing Range was made more difficult by the lack of a
reliable, accessible potable freshwater supply, the subject of
this macro-engineering proposal to pipe water to the arid
interior. Early settlement onto the open plains that flourished
during years of good rainfall foundered during drought periods,
just as they do during the early 21st Century. Mining is the
main current economic activity in this ‘‘wasteland’’ region of
northeastern Australia and industrialized mining needs water,
even nonpotable inferior quality freshwater, to conduct its
operations economically (Amezaga et al., 2011; Mudd, 2010).
The region’s relevant major seaports (Cairns and Brisbane
on Australia’s east coast, both damaged extensively by the
2010–11 river flooding episode, and Port Moresby on the south
coast of Papua New Guinea [PNG]) could be adversely affected
by both short-term weather and storm tides. Pollution impacts
in such distant seaports are highly concentrated therein and,
therefore, cannot affect the Torres Strait directly in any
remarkable way (Ng and Song, 2010) which, according to
ecologists, is today undergoing only a ‘‘light human impact’’
(Halpern et al., 2008). Some ecologists have alleged that the
Earth-atmosphere buildup of carbon dioxide gas could increase
primary oceanic production around Australia, thus improving
the fisheries take (Brown et al., 2010) and fishing fleet catchers
and overall traffic; like our later proposed freshwater pipeline
community context, the successful sustainable fisheries model
is social group-based comanagement organization that is
effective (Gutierrez et al., 2011).
Purpose and Goals
The purpose of this paper is to suggest the possibility of
bringing freshwater that derives from the lush tropical rain-
forests of PNG to the arid interior of Australia, its so-called
‘‘Dead Heart.’’ The basic macro-engineering project idea is to
bring water in an overland pipeline in the Fly River valley of
PNG across the delta, across the Torres Strait on the seafloor as
an entrenched submarine pipeline, then along two possible
routes with one along the western shore of the peninsula in the
Gulf of Carpentaria and the other possible route overland, both
potential alternatives finally emerging in the headwaters of
rivers leading to the Lake Eyre Basin (Figure 2), which covers
one-sixth of the Australian continent.
Study Area
On a global scale, the Lake Eyre Basin is one of the largest
internally draining systems; has the fifth largest terminal lake;
is an arid and semiarid part of the driest inhabited continent;
and is drained by the most variable, major river systems, the
Georgina, Diamantina, and Cooper. Other rivers draining the
more than one million square km of its Basin either contribute
to Lake Eyre only rarely, or in the case of some Central
Australian streams, become lost by percolation in the sandy
landscape (Gleeson et al., 2011) of the Simpson Desert and
never reach the lakebed (http://www.lakeeyrebasin.org.au/).
Lake Eyre, a great salt lake of tectonic origin (Wopfner and
Twidale, 1967), lies asymmetrically in the south-western
corner of the closed inland drainage basin in the heart of the
Australian continent (Figure 3). With an area of 1,140,000 km2,
the Basin is the largest Australian drainage division (apart
from the Western Plateau) and is one of the world’s largest
areas of internal drainage. The lake, whose lowest parts lie
,17 m below sea level, consists of two separate water fillable
beds. Lake Eyre North, 144 km long and 77 km wide, is joined
by the narrow Goyder Channel to the 64 by 24 km Lake Eyre
South. Although considered to be permanently dry, there have
been flood events during the last 40 years, with the most
spectacular fillings occurring in 1950, 1974, and 1984.
The deepest region of Lake Eyre North is the eastern part of
Belt Bay where bottom levels constitute the lowest topographic
point on the Australian continent approximately 217 m below
the Australia datum (Featherstone et al., 2011). The floor of the
lakebed is very flat and encrusted by salty deposits, but its
shoreline is well defined and consists mostly of sand dunes,
eroded gypseous loam cliffs, or low rocky escarpments. The
southeastern coastline consists of sand cliffs.
At the same time, the ‘‘Dead Heart’’ of Australia (Strange,
2010), the still unproductive arid Outback landscape, could
become verdant with the introduction of extraneous freshwater
supplies provided by long-distance interbasin freshwater
importation macroproject that would cause the Diamantina
River to become perennial, a significant hydrological improve-
ment (Tisdell, 2010). Such a macro-engineering project effort
would leave mostly unaltered all Australian mainland fresh-
water supplies, both developed and undeveloped, and would
become a new source of cash national income for PNG; the
‘‘Morning Glory’’ macroproject, here abbreviated as PNG-QLD
UFPM—the PNG-QLD Undersea Freshwater Pipeline Macro-
project—should, as well, alleviate the regional macroproblem
of inadequate freshwater supplies and storage, bringing into
intensive use drylands not presently in production agricultur-
ally, thus increasing Australia’s agricultural exports cash
income derived from the populace of mainland and offshore
Asia. New inland human settlements in Australia are likely to
occur and, thus, the continent-nation’s ‘‘Dead Heart’’ will
commence a significantly stronger beat and, as a direct result,
the people of Queensland and Australia will enjoy greater
economic prosperity! The final deposition of any excess
freshwater initially supplied by foreign imports is Lake Eyre,
a terminal playa that receives intermittent floodwater at times
associated with the La Nina phase of the El Nino Southern
Oscillation ENSO via the Diamantina River (DeVogel et al.,
2004).
The PNG-QLD UFPM is a two-choice macro-engineering
profession-induced dream that the populations of PNG and
Queensland can conjure for themselves by settling on a single
or dual result because there are two equally possible routes
along the east (submarine and land) and west coast (strictly
submarine) of Queensland’s Cape York Peninsula for our
postulated Case A iteration PNG-QLD UFPM that resemble,
when mapped, a cartographical ‘‘wishbone’’ (Figure 4), which
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project 609
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
can be snapped (for good luck) or left whole (for good luck too),
depending upon the financing Queensland population’s ex-
pressed needs and wants (in the aspects of long-term
freshwater supplies for the 21st Century) and the required
legal permission granted by the Torres Strait Islanders and
PNG’s voting citizens. Ideally, of course, the PNG-QLD UFPM,
the ‘‘Morning Glory’’ macroproject, should consist of two
parallel but separated pipelines for security reasons. Periodic
rigorous inspection of all submarine pipelines is recommended,
especially after the cyclone season. Queensland already carries
out such regular inspections for the 6.8-km-long undersea
freshwater pipelines, first existing since the mid-1970s,
Figure 2. Overview of general study area from southern Papua New Guinea to the Lake Eyre Basin in northeastern South Australia. Ephemeral streams
flow southwards feeding into the endoreic basin from western Queensland. (Source: Google Maps.)
610 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
connecting Pallarenda Beach on the mainland to Magnetic
Island through the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park. Of course,
unlike some previous large-scale bulk freshwater development
projects, these submarine pipelines were initiated entirely by
Australia-based macro-engineers (Teisch, 2011). Submerged
pipelines for delivery of bulk freshwater under almost the same
pressure as the surrounding seawater do not require so strong
shells as submerged vehicular tunnels which are filled with air.
The Morgan-Whyalla Pipeline, first constructed during 1940–
44 and enhanced during 1962, crosses the Upper Spencer Gulf
after passing the Baroota Reservoir with a 14-km-long
segment.
Australia’s National Water Initiative suggests markets and
defined property rights over freshwater for ensuring that
Australian freshwater flows to its highest value use (Straton
et al., 2011). Freshwater sent from PNG is not ‘‘Australian’’! As
yet undetermined future local climate regime change could
raise the sea level in Torres Strait and, thus, possibly generate
some additional, though clearly nonfatal, legal macroproblems
regarding the correct and accurate delimitation and demarca-
tion of existing maritime boundaries separating Australia and
PNG (Houghton et al., 2010). Raised sea level would benefit
shipping using the Torres Strait, although accurate new tide
tables must then exist to inform ship captains. On 30 July 2010,
during a session of the Federal Court of Australia in the
litigation named ‘‘Akiba on behalf of the Torres Strait Islanders
of the Regional Seas Claim Group v State of Queensland (No 2)
[2010] FCA 643,’’ the Torres Strait Islanders were awarded
‘‘native title,’’ giving indigenous locals various rights of access
and use of maritime resources. The native title rights to the
islanders were nonexclusive—meaning the traditional owners
had ownership of the seawater but could not exclude other
social groups (e.g., commercial fishermen) from using the
resources. The Federal Court of Australia’s ruling encompasses
not only the seawater but also the bays, estuaries, tidal inlets,
and the seafloor. So, for our purposes, the Torres Strait
Islanders have a strongly determining say in the pipeline’s
seabed routing and, as well, in the construction of the PNG-
QLD UFPM! Strikingly, the UFPM resembles a 216-km-long
freshwater pipeline macroproject, proposed in 2001 but still
unbuilt, carefully designed to convey 10 m3s21 of that useful
fluid beneath the shallow Persian Gulf from Iran to Kuwait
(Anon., 2001).
Australians today are pushing the limits of macro-engineer-
ing with visions of projects to transport freshwater from distant
locales to its cities (Figure 5). Australians have had successful
formative experiences with long-distance freshwater transfers:
the 530-km-long overland pipeline completed in 1903, the
Coolgardie to Kalgoorlie Goldfields Water Scheme, designed by
Charles Yelverton O’Connor (1843–1902), to continuously
convey approximately one cubic m of freshwater per second, a
total of ,300 m uphill from the base-supplying reservoir in a
168 cm diameter steel pipe (Figure 6). Twenty-first Century
humans, to ensure our basic freshwater needs, should have
daily access to ,20 to ,50 L of potable water entirely free from
any harmful contaminants. The macroproject originally in-
volved building a 21 Gigaliter storage reservoir at Mundaring
and then pumping the water via eight large steam-driven
pumping stations through a 557-km-long steel pipeline. In
January 1903, the extracted Mundaring water flowed into
Coolgardie and Kalgoorlie. When completed in late 1902, the
Goldfields pipeline was the longest freshwater pipe in the world
and the first major pipeline constructed of steel (Hartley, 2007).
The Goldfields Water Scheme secured the viability of a
valuable mining industry and helped to underpin the 20th
Century economic future of Western Australia. Since then the
Weir’s capacity has been increased with the addition of the
Lower Helena Weir downstream of the main dam. Water from
this smaller dam is pumped back into Mundaring Weir.
The freshwater flow starts in a pumping station in the
Helena Valley at Mundaring Weir located about located 39 km
east of Perth, Western Australia. This water transfer plan from
the wet coastal region to the dry interior of the state is
considered one of the World’s greatest engineering projects.
The Mundaring Weir is the start of a bulk freshwater pipeline
that distributes water to agricultural towns in the wheat-belt
area, Kalgoorlie and Coolgardie. Today, the water is distribut-
ed a total of 700 km from the weir to Kalgoorlie. The Mundaring
Weir is one of the marvels of 19th and early-20th Century
Western Australian macro-engineering (Figure 6a). O’Connor
initiated plans for the Mundaring Weir in 1895 but these were
fiercely opposed in Parliament, and the approval was not
granted until 1898. O’Connor was a victim of vicious political
campaigns and his macroproject plans were subject to vigorous
criticism. In March 1902, O’Connor took his own life, partly as a
result of the social pressures involved with his role in the
Mundaring Weir’s construction. The Mundaring Weir was
completed a year later, and the large geographical-scale
Figure 3. Part of the Lake Eyre Basin focused on the main lakebed and
showing some major features of this little-inhabited arid landscape that
can accommodate freshwater imported from Papua New Guinea that
would flow into the basin down the Diamantina River to empty into the
lowest elevation place. (Source: Australian topographic map series.)
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project 611
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
freshwater scheme changed the course of infrastructural
development in central Western Australia forever. This
example of massive freshwater transfer via long-distance
pipeline, completed more than a century ago in Australia, is
instructive of what can be achieved by intelligent applied
macro-engineering, will, and tenacity to alleviate the harsh
conditions of near-permanent meteorological drought in the
arid interior of the Australian Outback (Figures 6a and b). This
freshwater pipeline followed an entirely overland track
whereas the PNG-QLD UFPM proposed here can involve
transit both overland and on the seafloor from PNG to the
northerneastern Australia state of Queensland.
In this regard, it is worthwhile noting that iffy supercom-
puter simulations of future climate in the Torres Strait seem to
show that there will be a common reduced freshwater
availability for the Torres Strait Islands. Thus, the islanders
might desire to consider some localized zero-cost legally
contract-affirmed freshwater extractions from the completed
PNG-QLD UFPM for their own immediate needs. The PNG
Gas Project, first envisaged during 1995 and now under
construction, is intended to complete development of existing
oil and natural gas production fields in the highlands of PNG,
commercializing the reserves extant at Kutubu, Gobe, Agogo
and Moran fields, such that treated natural gas can be exported
to Australia by a sales pipeline running 273 km beneath the
Gulf of Papua (skirting the Fly River delta’s unstable
submarine base) to the international border with Australia
near Pearce Cay in Torres Strait. Before the gas pipeline is put
into service it will be hydro-tested—that is, the pipeline’s
integrity will be discovered using freshwater pressurization!
Predictable postconstruction societal behavior of the Torres
Strait Islanders is essential for the successful long-term
commercial use of the PNG-QLD UFPM (Omonbude, 2007).
PAPUA NEW GUINEA
Rated by its liquid freshwater discharge—approximately
6000 m3s21 with a mere 25% normal seasonal variation, with its
flood period occurring during October to November (Canestrelli
et al., 2010)—at its mouth, PNG’s Fly River ranks within the
Earth’s top 10 tropical rivers. El Nino events usually cause a
lower freshwater flow and, consequently, a negative sediment
discharge perturbation (Ogston et al., 2008). Named in 1842
honoring the discovering Royal Navy ship HMS Fly (launched
Figure 4(a). The fowl’s ‘‘wishbone’’-shaped routes of the PNG-QLD UFPM serving Queensland. General epicontinental view of potential water transmission
lines, one a coastal route and the other an inland track, both leading to headwaters of a river that flows into the arid inland Lake Eyre Basin. A coastal (red
line) or inland route (black line), or even both (black and red), on land or on the seafloor along the Cape York Peninsula may be selected as feasible new
infrastructure bringing life and industry to a developable western Queensland, Australia. (Source: Google background image.) (b) More detailed image of the
Torres Strait showing the narrow gap (approximately 130 km) between Papua New Guinea and Australia with shallow waters in the Strait dotted by
numerous islands. Much of the navigable route through Torres Strait is confined in both width and depth. Entry to western Torres Strait is via Varzin
Channel with a minimum width of 0.3 nm and depth of 10.5 m. Passage through central Torres Strait is via Prince of Wales Channel (POW) with minimum
width of 0.3 nm and depth of 11.0 m. The rocky-bottom POW is a chokepoint for all deep-draught shipping. The PNG-QLD UFPM (see Figure 4a) could be laid
west of the POW, being fully entrenched at the POW chokepoint so as not to obstruct any deep-draft commercial or military ship traffic. (Australian Maritime
Safety Authority, http://www.amsa.gov.au/Marine_Environment_Protection/Torres_Strait/Risk.asp).
612 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
1831, scrapped 1903), the Fly River and its tributaries rise in
the Star Mountains, service a catchment of ,76,000 km2, and
flows ,1000 km to the Gulf of Papua bordering New Guinea’s
south coast. The southern and eastern coastline of the Gulf of
Carpentaria, a shallow epicontinental sea between Australia
and PNG with a maximum depth of ,70 m, is dominated by
carbonate beach sands as is the Coral Sea coastline of the York
Peninsula facing the Great Barrier Reef (Short, 2010).
Because it forms an international boundary line separating
PNG and Indonesia (Irian Jaya) and because the boundary
protrudes slightly east of the 141u E longitude divide, by treaty
Indonesia retained the right to navigate from the land–river-
bend bulge to the mouths of the Fly River in the muddy delta;
fluvial sediment flux (mud, sand, and plant litter) to the
coastal zone is conditioned by geomorphic and tectonic
influences, geography, geology, and human activities (Pickup,
1984a, 1984b; Syvitski and Milliman, 2007) (Figure 7).
However, only shallow-draft vessels can pass upstream
,870 km to the Fly River’s junction with the Palmer River
and there are few people, and very little economic activity,
currently present along the Fly River’s banks. Vast commercial
copper and gold mining facilities beside two Fly River
tributaries, on the Ok Tedi River and the Strickland River,
washes some contaminated muck into the Fly River that is
eventually deposited by the delta’s distributaries. East and
west of the delta prawn fisheries exist. Commercial fishing is
conducted regularly in Torres Strait.
Fly River headwaters emerge from forested limestone
uplands where ridges reach maximum elevations of about
2800 m with slopes greater than 20u. Foothills of volcanic
origin occur basinward of the higher uplands, especially
along the northwestern margins of the catchment (Fig-
ure 7). The northeastern margin of the catchment takes in
part of Mount Bosavi, a volcanic peak reaching up to 2800 m
in elevation. The main part of the catchment is coastal
plains with floodplain river valleys. There are extensive
wetlands and back swamps that increase in frequency
downstream towards the Fly River delta. North of the
confluence of Fly River branches at Everill Junction is Lake
Murray, the outline of which follows the dendritic drainage
pattern of the coastal floodplains. The lowermost parts of
the catchment contain wetlands with back swamps mostly
covered by mangroves. Sediments in the Ok Tedi and Fly
rivers are derived from (1) reworked bed and bank material,
(2) material eroded from late Pleistocene and Holocene
terraces cut by the active channel, and (3) material resulting
from present-day erosion of upland catchment areas of
major tributaries such as the Ok Tedia and Strickland rivers
(Bolton, 2009). Mine wastes discharged from the Mount
Fubilan copper-gold mine located in the headwaters of the
Ok Tedi River also contribute to the sediment load of the Fly
River. The Fly River delta complex (Figure 8), which
empties into the Gulf of Papua, contains coastal estuarine
flats, beach ridges and swales, and mangrove swamps. The
delta is flanked by meander river valleys and levee plain
river valleys whereas the southwestern margin contains
beach ridges and swales. These delta and prodelta sedimen-
tary formations would be avoided by the water pipeline that
heads in Everill Junction where there is clean freshwater
coming down from the highlands to the coastal plain by
routing the pipeline more or less straight southward over
the Oriomo Plateau (Figure 7), which is mostly character-
ized by coastal plains that are periodically flooded. A slight
deviation of the pipeline eastward would avoid construction
difficult through meandering floodplain valleys along the
coast (see Figure 4a for our suggested generalized bulk
freshwater pipe routings).
Tidal influence propagates upstream ,400 km to Everill
Junction, where the Strickland River and Middle Fly River
meet, although the limit for saltwater intrusion into the
estuary is ,100 km inland from the mouth of the Fly River
delta (Robertson, Damiel, and Dixon, 1991). Everill Junction is
the assumed establishment point at which the PNG-QLD
UFPM freshwater primary filtered freshwater intake installa-
Figure 5. This is an example of a macro-engineering project that proposes
to bring freshwater from the tropical wet and dry NW region of Australia to
Perth, the growing capital city of Western Australia, some 1750 km to the
south (Leigh, 2004). The coastal and inland routes, yellow line and dashed
yellow line, are nearly the same distance haulage for the speculated bulk
freshwater pipelines.
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project 613
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
tion is to be located. The most recent comprehensive elabora-
tion of the Fly River’s actual early-21st Century hydrological
and biological state is well documented in Bolton (2009). To be
clear, the ENSO-meteorological event usually lowers the
availability of surface freshwater in northerneastern Australia
as well as PNG, which is a technically intractable limitation
upon the proposed PNG-QLD UFPM, other than by creating
voluminous inland dammed reservoirs on PNG to even the
annual exportable runoff by planned freshwater releases that
can be picked up by the fixed fluid intake station. The Fly River
intake is the only proposed headwork connecting the bulk
freshwater pipeline (Burstall, 1997) on PNG with the fillable
reservoir in Queensland, Australia.
In this particular macro-engineering expose, we do not
assume that all 6000 m3s21 is extracted from the Fly River in
Case A and less than half (4.9 billion cubic m yearly pumped
through an 11-m-diameter undersea pipe) is taken in Case B!
We examine and calculate the kind of pipeline (materials
composing same), seabed laying techniques, and oceanographic
factors impacting the laid freshwater pipeline (Figure 4a).
Undersea bulk water pipes can be specified by two size
parameters, (1) diameter and (2) wall thickness, and two
physical parameters, namely, (1) material specification and
(2) method of manufacture. Other than to hint that pipe
sections ought to be connected by Gibault joints, we will not
here commit to technical specifications which should remain
open to investigation and informed discussion. However, we
have offered some overall observations of needs for this
macroproject. We will confine our attention to that part of the
suggested Case A infrastructural iteration PNG-QLD UFPM
that (1) crosses the shallow Torres Strait and (2) follows the
west coast of the Cape York Peninsula until it reaches its
destination at the southernmost shoreline of the Gulf of
Carpentaria. In Figure 4a, this subject macroproject Case A
PNG-QLD UFPM route is shown by a solid red line that
traverses the westernmost part of the Torres Strait and
thereafter hugs Cape York Peninsula’s western coastline.
Our attention became focused on the Fly River interbasin
water diversion after reading the intriguing macroproject
assertion of Australian environmental and freshwater resource
experts Fereidoun Ghassemi and Ian White (2007, p. 397):
‘‘water transfer from Fly River in Papua New Guinea to
Diamantina River in Queensland.’’ We first considered a
positively buoyant, submarine, seabed-anchored aqueduct
similar to a transatlantic bulk freshwater pipeline, the TFA
for short, from the Amazon River to Mauritania (Badescu,
Esvoranu, and Cathcart, 2010) to span the Torres Strait, but
later we decided upon a simple seabed-entrenched fixed
pipeline, which is described herein. While torpedo anchors
were feasible for the TFA, the very shallow bathymetry of the
Torres Strait (,50 m) is not as accommodating as the Atlantic
Ocean in terms of seawater depth required, and active dynamic
positioning appears too complex and energy intensive (Raie
and Tassoulas, 2009). Thus, we settled upon a partially-
entrenched seafloor installation, fixed in place by the usual
means, utilizing conventional offshore lay barges. Such lay
barges, safely moved by anchor-handling tugs possibly sup-
plied by the Australian managerial group Adstream Marine,
will be necessary for the operation. (The Dutch–Swiss-owned
Allseas Marine Contractors is the world’s largest seabed
pipeline installer and could be asked to participate in the
planning and laying of the PNG-QLD UFPM.)
Freshwater coursing through the ,2200-km-long pipeline(s)
nowadays can be manipulated to gain a practical reduction in
Figure 6. (a) Part of the modernized 168-cm-diameter steel pipeline that feeds freshwater from the Mundaring Weir near Perth 700 km inland to Kalgoorlie
in the Western Australian mines. (Source: Amanda O’Brien, The Australian, October 21, 2009.) (b) Route of the O’Connor bulk freshwater pipeline. The steel
pipe was of the strong type known as ‘‘lockbar pipe,’’ easily capable of retaining water with a pressure 10 times that exerted by air in a vehicle tire! Such
piping was still being used as late at 1940 in some places. The O’Connor pipe is a very important lifeline providing the primary supply of treated freshwater to
the cities its serves. It needs to be supplemented soon.
614 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
Fig
ure
7.
Fly
Riv
ergeo
logy,
Pap
ua
New
Gu
inea
,sh
owin
gth
em
ain
geo
mor
ph
icfe
atu
res
an
dto
pog
rap
hy
surr
oun
din
gth
eF
lyR
iver
catc
hm
ent.
Ever
ill
Ju
nct
ion
isw
her
eth
e‘‘M
orn
ing
Glo
ry’’
sch
eme
pip
elin
ein
tak
eco
uld
be
loca
ted
.(B
ase
don
Bol
ton
,2009;
Hor
ian
dS
ait
o,2007;
Pic
ku
p,
1984a,
1984b,
an
dot
her
sou
rces
.)
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project 615
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
the ordinary pumping power required to overcome common
turbulence (Hof et al., 2010) and new nontoxic antifouling
compounds can be used to coat the pipe that effectively reduces
freshwater flow friction as well as the attachment of sedentary
marine biota (Efimenko et al., 2009). Especially in shallow
waters, high seafloor stress and tropical cyclone-induced strong
underwater seawater currents that strip the seabed of sediment
can crack and rupture any weak undersea pipeline causing
catastrophic natural gas leakage. Any freshwater pipeline leak
will be benign, not an alarming industrial danger or pollution
episode (Dachs and Mejanelle, 2010; Gagliano et al., 2010).
Geologic processes in the coastal realm proceed at a relatively
rapid rate, often comparable to the time scale of changes
initiated by humans: this corresponds to the ‘‘[macro-]
engineering scale’’ of Cowell and Thom (1994). The Torres
Strait seawater current speeds and direction are governed
mainly by the spatial orientation of the many reefs and the
degree of channel restriction—POW Channel has maximum
seawater current of ,8 knots while Varzin and Gannet
Passages max at ,1.5 knots—and there is the distinct
possibility, near the Fly River prodelta where unstable bottom
mud is prevalent, that harmful sediment resuspension can be
induced by the turbulent wake of deep-draft vessels, especially
those carelessly moving at high speed (Garel, Fernandez, and
Collins, 2008).
TORRES STRAIT GEOGRAPHY
The risk of tropical cyclones in the ,50-m-deep Torres Strait
is commonly claimed to be ‘‘low to moderate.’’ However,
meteorological tides (storm surges) can affect the navigability
of the few channels permitting shipping passage—the Great
North East Channel from the Gulf of Papua—somewhat. There
is a low to moderate risk for future seismic activity that could
possibly affect the abuilding or completed installation (McCue,
2010) and active sun-initiated space weather makes steel pipes
corrode more quickly than otherwise is the case (Marshall,
Waters, and Sciffer, 2010). The PNG-QLD UFPM could, like the
PNG Gas Project, reach Australia at Cape York after crossing
the 130-km-wide Torres Strait. And, again, like the underway
PNG Gas Project, the PNG-QLD UFPM could follow the same
routing as the natural gas transmission pipe southward to serve
the coastal cities of Queensland. Or, as we suggest, it might
continue as a submarine pipeline southward along Cape York’s
western coast in the shallow (,100 m) Gulf of Carpentaria to
terminate at the gulf’s southernmost coastline.
We prefer not to disturb the freshwater supplies systems
currently employed by Queensland’s east coast-sited urban
regions and, instead, to provide irrigation water for the state’s
arid interior Outback. We have no intention to repeat coastal
changes initiated by construction of the Snowy Mountains
Hydro-electricity Scheme—namely, a morphological change at
the mouth of the Snowy River dating from 1951 to the present
day (Wheeler et al., 2009). From the Carpentaria Gulf’s shore,
the Case A version of the PNG-QLD UFPM would reach the
head of the Diamantina River’s Basin headwaters area,
probably at some topographic elevation ,313 m (maximum).
The entire Basin has an area of 15,745,481 ha, with
,1,660,000 of nonagricultural land—all extant agriculture in
the Basin is dryland agriculture with little or no irrigated
agriculture! At an elevation of ,19.6 m, the Diamantina River
flows into Warburton Creek, which ultimately flows to the bed
of Lake Eyre during wet years (Costelloe et al., 2003); the
middle and lower reaches of the Diamantina River are a
complex of braided channels and wide floodplains where
depleted-by-pumping underground aquifers may be recharged
by a constant slow flow of freshwater of extrabasin origin. We
estimate the 2011 financial cost of this mostly underwater
route at about four plus billion Australian dollars.
Conceptually, it can be argued that all freshwater develop-
ment macroprojects involve bulk transfer of freshwater over
long geographical distances. Certainly, the Case A concept of
the PNG-QLD UFPM is not a ‘‘normal’’ transfer since its main
focus is on very large-scale artificial bulk freshwater from a
runoff-surplus PNG to a water-deficient continental region
(Australia) in order to further the economic development of the
latter, primarily through agricultural and industrial develop-
ment, including the economically booming mining industry.
Nevertheless, all PNG citizens benefit greatly, both immedi-
ately and over the long term during the 21st Century.
GULF OF CARPENTARIA
A shallow sea enclosed on three sides by Australia, the Gulf
of Carpentaria is bounded on the north by the Arafura Sea
(Oliver and Thompson, 2011). Submerged coral reefs, only
discovered early in the 21st Century, dot the sea at depths of
20–30 m (Harris et al., 2004). These pose no problem for
installers of the PNG-QLD UFPM. The PNG-QLD UFPM will
trace a route parallel to the Cape York Peninsula close to the
carbonate sand beach, terminating somewhere in Pascoe Inlet
where it then extends ashore in a southeasterly direction to
join near the headwaters of the Diamantina River at an
unspecified place yet to be chosen. This mapped land region
Figure 8. Fly River delta in the Gulf of Papua showing the direction of
flow of fluid muds in the prodelta. Due to difficulties of pipeline laying in
this type of environment, the water pipeline would avoid the Fly River
delta environment entirely and transit overland across the Oriomo Plateau
(cf. Figure 7). (Modified from Hori and Saito, 2007.)
616 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
bordering the Gulf of Carpentaria is generally low-lying,
consisting of flattish floodplains, with a gradual apparent
transition in vegetation from tropical growth at the coast to
arid scrubland in the south. The climate is hot (33 to 36uCJanuary maximum) and humid with two meteorologically
definable seasons annually (dry season from May to October
and wet season from November to April when .94% of the
region’s yearly rainfall occurs). Pastoralism is the dominant
land use north of the Tropic of Capricorn in this Queensland
region. It is estimated that by 2050, the region may experience
a 22% annual rainfall decline and a +4–8% increase in annual
evapotranspiration (Petheram et al., 2010).
Less than 1% of Australia’s farmed land is presently
irrigated, yet the exploitable land adaptable to irrigation
agriculture is very great in the region situated between the
Gulf of Carpentaria and Lake Eyre! The 2011 human
population of Queensland is slightly greater than four million
people. Southern Australia suffered widespread meteorological
drought conditions for more than a decade, and it is likely that
the nation’s farming population will move northward to wetter
Queensland if extrasufficient and all-season freshwater sup-
plies could be, somehow, made certainly available (Carroll,
2008). The imagined Case A PNG-QLD UFPM (Gulf of
Carpentaria branch) macroproject is conceptualized, and
designed, to fulfill that purpose adequately!
During 2009, intentional climate modifiers proposed the
irrigated afforestation of Australia’s ‘‘Dead Heart’’ as a means
to help actually halt (anthropogenic) global warming, should
that be found to be truly in mankind’s best interests (Ornstein,
Aleinov, and Rind, 2009). Australia’s outback landscape located
in southern Queensland is ideal climatologically for their geo-
engineering task of establishing vast eucalyptus tree forests
(Youngentob et al., 2011). However, their wish that 500 mm of
freshwater be applied artificially each year to a ha of dryland
means that ,5000 m3 is needed just for that one ha! Such
freshwater application must be kept isolated by desert and
fencing to avoid being overrun by Cane Toads (Chaunus [Bufo]
marinus). Surface accumulations of freshwater can become
Cane Toad-invasion hubs, an undesirable situation (Florence
et al., 2011; Urban et al., 2007). Ornstein and his colleagues do
not unambiguously state exactly how much land must be
devoted to planted and nurtured eucalyptus forests in central
Australia. Further, we note that native eucalyptus tree
species—especially Eucalyptus saligna and Eucalyptus
sideroxylon—are better suited than their species choice to
future climate conditions, higher air temperature, and carbon
dioxide gas concentration increase (Ghannoum et al., 2010).
We do not yet assume that Queensland’s beautiful pipe-
shaped clouds, the famous ‘‘Morning Glory’’ aerial phenome-
non, will be altered, made absent, or enhanced by new forests
planted south of the Gulf of Carpentaria. A Diamantina River
feeding creeks and rivers that finally empty into the basin and
bed of Lake Eyre, made perennial by the PNG-QLD UFPM,
Case A conceptualization, would be an instructively supportive
infrastructure, permitting a new reliance on surface runoff
rather than pumping sometimes rather poor-quality freshwa-
ter from the subterranean (2–3 km thick stratum) Great
Artesian Basin, which is estimated to contain ,65 million
Gigaliters of water—about 820 times the volume of surface
water present in Australia. In effect, the ‘‘Morning Glory’’
macroproject could help remediate the overstressed Great
Artesian Basin through a profoundly transformative macro-
engineering concept (Darabaris, 2006).
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We gratefully thank Heather Vollmer of the Coastal
Education & Research Foundation (CERF) for preparing the
figures contained herein. Her interest, diligence, and geo-
graphic information system capabilities are very much
appreciated for her research and final figure production for
this paper. For reviews of this paper, we thank Christopher
Makowski (Department of Geosciences, Florida Atlantic
University, Boca Raton, FL 33431, USA) and Craig Kruempel
(Tetra Tech EC, Inc., 1901 South Congress Avenue, Suite 270,
Boynton Beach, FL 33426, USA).
LITERATURE CITED
Amezaga, J.M.; Rotting, T.S.; Nairn, R.W.; Noles, A.J.; Oyarzun, R.,and Quintanilla, J., 2011. A rich vein? Mining and the pursuit ofsustainability. Environmental Science & Technology, 45, 21–26.
Anon., 2001. Water line to cross Persian Gulf. Engineering NewsRecord, 246, 19.
Arblaster, J.M.; Meehl, G.A., and Karoly, D.J., 2011. Future climatechange in the Southern Hemisphere: competing effects of ozone andgreenhouse gases. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L02701.
Badescu, V.; Isvoranu, D., and Cathcart, R.B., 2010. Transatlanticfreshwater aqueduct. Water Resources Management, 24, 1645–1675.
Bolton, B.R. (ed.), 2009. The Fly River, Papua New Guinea, Volume 9,Environmental Studies in an Impacted Tropical River System.Tabubil Papua New Guinea: OK Tedi Mining Ltd., 656p.
Bridgman, H.A., 2005. Australia and New Zealand, climate of. In:Oliver, J.E. (ed.), Encyclopedia of World Climatology. Dordrecht,The Netherlands: Springer, pp. 218–226.
Brown, C.J.; Fulton, E.A.; Hobday, A.J.; Matear, R.J.; Possingham, H.P.;Bulman, C.; Christensen, V.; Forrest, R.E.; Gehrke, P.C.; Gribble,N.A.; Griffiths, S.P.; Lozano-Montes, H.; Martin, J.M.; Metcalf, S.;Okey, T.A.; Watson, R., and Richardson, A.J., 2010. Effects of climate-driven primary production change on marine food webs: implicationsfor fisheries and conservation. Global Change Biology, 16, 1194–1212.
Burstall, T., 1997. Bulk Water Pipelines. UK: Thomas TelfordPublishing, 183p.
Canestrelli, A.; Fagherazzi, S.; Defina, A., and Lanzoni, S., 2010.Tidal hydrodynamics and erosional power in the Fly River delta,Papua New Guinea. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, F04033.
Carroll, L., 2008. A review of the relevance of demography to Australianwater planning. Journal of Population Research, 25, 119–139.
Costelloe, J.F.; Grayson, R.B.; Argent, R.M., and McMahon, T.A.,2003. Modelling the flow regime of an arid zone floodplain river,Diamantina River, Australia. Environmental Modelling & Soft-ware, 18, 693–703.
Cowell, P.G. and Thom, B.G., 1994. Morphodynamics of coastalevolution. In: Carter, R.W.G. and Woodroffe, C.D. (eds.), CoastalEvolution. Late Quaternary Shoreline Morphodynamics. Cam-bridge: Cambridge University Press, U.K. pp. 33–86.
Dachs, J. and Mejanelle, L., 2010. Organic pollutants in coastalwaters, sediments, and biota: a relevant driver for ecosystemsduring the Anthropocene? Estuaries and Coasts, 33, 1–14.
Darabaris, J., 2006. Macroengineering: An Environmental Restora-tion Management Process. Boca Raton: Taylor & Francis, pp. 2–3.
DeVogel, S.B.; Magee, J.W.; Manley, W.F., and Miller, G.H., 2004. AGIS-based reconstruction of the late Quaternary paleohydrology:Lake Eyre, arid central Australia. Palaecogeography, Palaeoclima-tology, Palaeecology, 204, 1–13.
Efimenko, K.; Finlay, J.; Callow, M.W.; Callow, J.A., and Genzer, J.,2009. Development and testing of hierarchically wrinkled coatings
The ‘‘Morning Glory’’ Project 617
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011
for marine antifouling. ACS Applied Materials & Interfaces, 1,1031–1040.
Emanuel, K.; Sundararajan, R., and Williams, J., 2008. Hurricanesand global warming: results from down-scaling IPCC AR4 simula-tions. Journal of Climate, 89, 347–367.
Featherstone, W.E.; Kirby, J.F.; Hirt, C.; Filmer, M.S.; Claessens,S.J.; Brown, N.J.; Hu, G., and Johnston, G.M., 2011. TheAUSGeoid09 model of the Australian Height Datum. Journal ofGeodesy, 85, 133–150.
Florence, D.; Webb, J.K.; Dempster, T.; Kearney, M.R.; Worthing, A.,and Letnic, M., 2011. Excluding access to invasion hubs can containthe spread of an invasive vertebrate. Proceedings of the RoyalSociety B-Biological Sciences. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2011.0032.
Gagliano, M.; McCormick, M.I.; Moore, J.A., and Depczynski, M.,2010. The basics of acidification: baseline variability of pH onAustralian coral reefs. Marine Biology, 157, 1849–1856.
Garel, E.; Fernandez, L.L., and Collins, M., 2008. Sedimentresuspension events induced by the wake wash of deep-draftvessels. Geo-Marine Letters, 28, 205–211.
Ghannoum, O.; Phillips, N.G.; Sears, M.A.; Logan, B.A.; Lewis, J.D.;Conroy, J.P., and Tissue, D.T., 2010. Photosynthetic responses oftwo eucalypts to industrial-age changes in atmospheric [CO2] andtemperature. Plant, Cell and Environment, 33, 1671–1681.
Ghassemi, F. and White, I., 2007. Inter-Basin Water Transfer: CaseStudies from Australia, United States, Canada, China, and India.New York: Cambridge University Press, 397p.
Gleeson, T.; Smith, L.; Moosdorf, N.; Hartmann, J.; Durr, H.H.; Manning,A.H.; Beek, L.P.H., and Jellinek, A.M., 2011. Mapping permeabilityover the surface of the Earth. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L02401.
Goebbert, K.H. and Leslie, L.M., 2010. Interannual variability ofNorthwest Australian tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 23,4538–4555.
Goler, R.A. and Reeder, M.J., 2004. The generation of the MorningGlory. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 61, 1360–1376.
Gutierrez, N.L.; Hilborn, R., and Defeo, O., 2011. Leadership, socialcapital and incentives promote successful fisheries. Nature, doi:10.1038/nature09689.
Halpern, B.S.; Walbridge, S.; Selkoe, K.A.; Kappel, C.V.; Micheli, F.;D’Agrosa, C.; Bruno, J.F.; Casey, K.S.; Ebert, C.; Fox, H.E.; Fujita,R.; Heinemann, D.; Lenihan, H.S.; Madin, E.M.P.; Perry, M.T.; Selig,E.R.; Spalding, M.; Steneck, R., and Watson, R., 2008. A global mapof human impact on marine ecosystems. Science, 319, 948–952.
Harris, P.T.; Heap, A.D.; Wassenberg, T., and Passlow, V., 2004.Submerged coral reefs in the Gulf of Carpentaria. Marine Geology,207, 185–191.
Hartley, R.G., 2007. River of Steel: A History of the WesternAustralian Goldfields and Agricultural Water Supply 1903–2003.Australia: Access Press.
Hof, B.; Lozar, A.; Avila, M; Tu, X., and Schneider, T.M., 2010.Eliminating turbulence in spatially intermittent flows. Science,327, 1491–1494.
Hori, K. and Saito, Y., 2007. Classification, architecture, and evolutionof large-river deltas. In: Gupta, A. (ed.), Large Rivers: Geomorphol-ogy and Management. Chichester, U.K.: Wiley, pp. 75–96.
Houghton, K.J.; Vafeidis, A.T.; Neumann, B., and Proelss, A., 2010.Maritime boundaries in a rising sea. Nature Geoscience, 3, 813–816.
Leigh, C., 2004. Kimberley Pipeline: Sustainability Review. Perth,Western Australia, GHD Pty. Ltd., Report #61/15328/46718, 11p,plus Appendix.
Marshall, R.A.; Waters, C.L., and Sciffer, M.D., 2010, Spectralanalysis of pipe-to-soil potentials with variations of the Earth’smagnetic field in the Australian region. Space Weather, 8, S05002.
McCue, K., 2010. Assessing earthquake hazard and risk in Australia.Australian Planner, 47, 52–53.
Mudd, G.M., 2010. The environmental sustainability of mining inAustralia: key mega-trends and looming constraints. ResourcesPolicy, 35, 98–115.
Ng, A.K.Y and Song, S., 2010. The environmental impacts ofpollutants generated by routine shipping operations on ports.Ocean & Coastal Management, 53, 301–311.
Ogston, A.S.; Sternberg, R.W.; Nittrouer, C.A.; Martin, P.; Goni, M.A.,and Crockett, J.S., 2008. Sediment delivery from the Fly River
tidally dominated delta to the nearshore marine environment andthe impact of El Nino. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, F01S11.
Oliver, E.C.J. and Thompson, K.R., 2011. Sea level and circulationvariability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean. Journal ofGeophysical Research, Oceans, 116, C02019.
Oliver, J.E., 2005. Climate classification. In: Oliver, J.E. (ed.),Encyclopedia of World Climatology. Dordrecht, The Netherlands:Springer, pp. 218–226.
Omonbude, E.J., 2007. The transit of oil and gas pipeline and the role ofbargaining: a non-technical discussion. Energy Policy, 35, 6188–6194.
Ornstein, L.; Aleinov, I., and Rind, D., 2009. Irrigated afforestation ofthe Sahara and Australian Outback to end global warming.Climatic Change, 97, 409–437.
Petheram, C.; McMahon, T.A.; Peel, M.C., and Smith, C.J., 2010. Acontinental scale assessment of Australia’s potential for irrigation.Water Resources Management, 24, 1791–1817.
Pickup, G., 1984a. Landforms, hydrology and sedimentation in theFly and lower Purari, Papua New Guinea. In: Schick, A.P. (ed.),Channel Processes—Water, Sediment Catchment Controls. CatenaSupplement 5. Reiskirchen, Germany: Catena-Verlag, pp. 1–17.
Pickup, G., 1984b. Geomorphology of tropical rivers. II. Channeladjustment to sediment load and discharge in the Fly and lowerPurari, Papua New Guinea. In: Schick, A.P. (ed.), ChannelProcesses—Water, Sediment Catchment Controls. Catena Supple-ment 5. Reiskirchen, Germany: Catena-Verlag, pp. 19–41.
Raie, M.S. and Tassoulas, J.L., 2009. Installation of torpedo anchors:numerical modeling. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmen-tal Engineering, 135, 1805–1813.
Robertson, A.I.; Damiel, P.A., and Dixon, P., 1991. Mangrove foreststructure and productivity in the Fly River estuary, Papua NewGuinea. Marine Biology, 111, 147–155.
Short, A.D., 2010. Sediment transport around Australia—sources,mechanisms, rates, and barrier forms. Journal of Coastal Research,26, 395–402.
Short, A.D. and Woodroffe, C.D., 2009. The Coast of Australia.Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, Table 1.1 at p. 2.
Soh, Y.C.; Roddick, F., and Leeuwen, L.V., 2008. The future of waterin Australia: the potential of climate change and ozone depletion onAustralian water quality, quantity and treatability. The Environ-mentalist, 28, 159–165.
Strange, C., 2010. The personality of environmental prediction:Griffith Taylor as ‘‘Later-Day Prophet.’’ Historical Records ofAustralian Science, 21, 133–148.
Straton, A.T.; Jackson, S; Marinoni, O.; Proctor, W., and Woodward,E., 2011. Exploring and evaluating scenarios for a river catchmentin Northern Australia using scenario development, multi-criteriaanalysis and a deliberative process as a tool for water planning.Water Resources Management, 25, 141–164.
Syvitski, J.P.M. and Milliman, J.D., 2007. Geology, geography, andhumans battle for dominance over the delivery of fluvial sedimentto the coastal ocean. The Journal of Geology, 115, 1–19.
Teisch, J.B., 2011. Engineering Nature. Chapel Hill, North Carolina:University of North Carolina Press, pp. 67–96.
Tisdell, J., 2010. Acquiring water for environmental use in Australia: ananalysis of policy options. Water Resources Management, 24, 1515–1530.
Urban, M.C.; Phillips, B.L.; Skelly, D.K., and Shine, R., 2007. The Canetoad’s (Chaunus [Bufo] marinus) increasing ability to invade Australiais revealed by a dynamically updated range model. Proceedings of theRoyal Society B: Biological Sciences, 274, 1413–1419.
Wheeler, P.; Thi, N.; Peterson, J., and Gordon-Brown, L., 2009.Morphological change at the Snowy River ocean entrance, Victoria,Australia (1851–2008). Australian Geographer, 40, 1–28.
Wopfner, H. and Twidale, C.R., 1967. Geomorphological history of theLake Eyre Basin. In: Jennings, J.N. and Mabbutt, J.A. (eds.),Landform Studies from Australia and New Guinea. Canberra:Australian National University Press, pp. 119–143.
Youngentob, K.N.; Roberts, D.A.; Held, A.A.; Dennison, P.E.; Jia, X.,and Lindenmayer, D.B., 2011. Mapping two Eucalyptus subgenerausing multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis and contin-uum-removed imaging spectrometry data. Remote Sensing ofEnvironment, 115, 1115–1128.
618 Finkl and Cathcart
Journal of Coastal Research, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2011