declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to...

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Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to climate warming and soil nutrients warming and soil nutrients Andrei Lapenas, SUNY, Albany Greg Lawrence, USGS, Troy Greg Lawrence, USGS, Troy Alexander Heim , University of Zurich Chengyang Zheng Peking University Chengyang Zheng , Peking University .

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Page 1: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Declining carbon allocation to gwood in spruce tied to climate warming and soil nutrientswarming and soil nutrients

Andrei Lapenas, SUNY, AlbanyGreg Lawrence, USGS, TroyGreg Lawrence, USGS, TroyAlexander Heim , University of ZurichChengyang Zheng Peking UniversityChengyang Zheng , Peking University.

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O tlineOutline1. Divergence Problem (DP) in1. Divergence Problem (DP) in

dendroclimatology2. Existing hypothesis 3. Studies of two Norway Spruce (Picea

Abies) stands with DP in Western RussiaRussia

4. Discussion and conclusions

Page 3: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Divergence Problem in gDendroclimatology

During the last 30-40 years numerous studies revealed locations in boreal forests of Eurasia and North America where trees exhibitand North America where trees exhibit significant decline in their radial growth and temperature sensitivity p yThis “divergence problem” in dendroclimatology was defined as offset b t i t t l t t dbetween warmer instrumental temperatures and their underestimation in reconstruction models based on tree ringsbased on tree rings

Page 4: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,
Page 5: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

In some cases however trees lose sensitivity to temperature AND/BUTIn some cases, however, trees lose sensitivity to temperature AND/BUT

increase sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009)

Page 6: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Divergence, however, is real (at least in high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere D”Arigo et al 1992 Briffa etof Northern Hemisphere, D Arigo et al 1992, Briffa et

al, 1998, 2000, Lawrence, Lapenas 2005 )

Page 7: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

“Greening” of Northern Hemisphere = more carbon sink?sink?

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) = (G-R)/(G+R)

Page 8: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Why is divergence bad ?Why is divergence bad ?Why is divergence bad ?Why is divergence bad ?Compromises dendroclimatology as method of Compromises dendroclimatology as method of

plaleoclimatological reconstructionsplaleoclimatological reconstructions

Leads to overestimate of modern carbon sink into boreal Leads to overestimate of modern carbon sink into boreal forest => no closure in carbon balance=> no good forest => no closure in carbon balance=> no good prediction for atmospheric COprediction for atmospheric CO22 growth=> no good growth=> no good climate forecastclimate forecastclimate forecast.climate forecast.

Page 9: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Hypothesis (about 10 exist by now)

Delay of snow melt relative atmospheric temperature (Vaganov, Briffa et al 2000)gMethodological issues such as “end effect” in standardization of chronologicaleffect in standardization of chronological records and age models (Cook and Peters, 1997)Peters, 1997) Possible effect of “global dimming” on summer photosynthesis especially in highsummer photosynthesis especially in high latitudes (my favorite one☺)

Page 10: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

Global dimming exists (see g (below)

Radiative forcing from dimming = 0.3 W/m2

Has to be divided by 4! (?)Has to be divided by 4! (?)

Albedo of forest ~0.3

Absorption =forcingx(1-albedo)= (0.3/4)x0.7=0.054 W/m2

NPP and PAR are related

(Spruce, fore example, increases NPP on 10-30% with 30 -50 W/m2 i i PAR b tiincrease in PAR absorption…..

Page 11: Declining carbon allocation to wood in spruce tied to ...nesmc/2011/Why_Trees_Speak_Less_Clearly_Now_Lapenis.pdfincrease sensitivity to precipitation (D’Arigo et al., 2009) Divergence,

O h th i il idifi tiOne more hypothesis: soil acidificationSoil acidification leads to the loss of calcium and release of mineral aluminum into exchange phaserelease of mineral aluminum into exchange phaseTherefore, acidification often leads to increase in Al/Ca ratio in soil solutionsIt was shown however that increase in Al/Ca ratioIt was shown, however, that increase in Al/Ca ratio above 1-2 leads to a greater environmental stress (at least in the case of Spruce) as visible through increase in such stress marker as putrescine (Shortle Lawrencein such stress marker as putrescine (Shortle, Lawrence et al 2000)And…decline in radial growth and decrease in the sapwood areasapwood areaTherefore, in 2005 a group of scientists suggested that soil acidification might be responsible for divergence between spruce growth and temperature (Lawrence et bet ee sp uce g o t a d te pe atu e ( a e ce etal 2005)

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Studies of two Norway Spruce (Studies of two Norway Spruce (Picea Picea y p (y p (AbiesAbies) stands in Western Russia) stands in Western Russia

A) tree ring recordsA) tree ring recordsB) NDVI recordsB) NDVI recordsB) NDVI recordsB) NDVI recordsC)C) archived soil samples archived soil samples

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Lisino (solid), Luga (dashed), Mean ( ), g ( ),Annual Temperature (red)

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1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991

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Central Dokuchaev’s Soil MuseumSt P t bSt. Petersburg

1930, 1960, 2001

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Lignin bioma ke sLignin bioma ke sLignin biomarkersLignin biomarkers

Conifer wood is composed of Conifer wood is composed of vanillylvanillyl units units only, while leaf tissue (and roots, and any only, while leaf tissue (and roots, and any y, ( , yy, ( , ypotential potential understoreyunderstorey vegetation) vegetation) contribute contribute cinnamylcinnamyl units. Thus a change units. Thus a change yy ggfrom low to high C/V ratios in forest floor from low to high C/V ratios in forest floor samples could be used as an indicator of samples could be used as an indicator of ppmore nonmore non--woody tissues. woody tissues.

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H t l i ll th d t ?How to explain all these data?

Facts:Facts:1.1. Decline in radial growth Decline in radial growth 2.2. No change or some increase in seasonal NDVINo change or some increase in seasonal NDVI3.3. Decline in midDecline in mid--summer NDVIsummer NDVI4.4. Increase in nonIncrease in non--woody sources of lignin woody sources of lignin

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Trends in stem wood (squares), roots (triangles)Trends in stem wood (squares), roots (triangles)Trends in stem wood (squares), roots (triangles) Trends in stem wood (squares), roots (triangles) and green parts (circles) (Lapenis et al. 2006)and green parts (circles) (Lapenis et al. 2006)

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Phenot pic plasticit ?Phenot pic plasticit ?Phenotypic plasticity?Phenotypic plasticity?

Although the allometric relation between Although the allometric relation between leaf area and the vascular system leaf area and the vascular system yydemands that xylem formation keep pace demands that xylem formation keep pace with shoot growth, there may be room for with shoot growth, there may be room for g , yg , yplasticity; furthermore, leaf turnover is plasticity; furthermore, leaf turnover is relatively independent of turnover in stem relatively independent of turnover in stem y py ptissue.tissue.

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Climate change e e e small!Climate change e e e small!Climate change were very small!Climate change were very small!

+1.5+1.5ooC warming of mean annual C warming of mean annual temperaturetemperaturepp+ 10% + 10% icreaseicrease in precipitation in precipitation

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La ge changes in phenolog !La ge changes in phenolog !Large changes in phenology! Large changes in phenology!

BudbreakBudbreak advance of + 10advance of + 10--15 days 15 days No change in time of snow melt however!No change in time of snow melt however!No change in time of snow melt, however!No change in time of snow melt, however!Therefore, the phase I of starch Therefore, the phase I of starch accumulation in spruce now is up to 30%accumulation in spruce now is up to 30%accumulation in spruce now is up to 30% accumulation in spruce now is up to 30% shorter!shorter!

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ConclusionsConclusionsDecline in radial growth was accompanied Decline in radial growth was accompanied by shift in allocation of carbon towards by shift in allocation of carbon towards nonnon--woody partswoody partsThe shift of carbon allocation is linked to The shift of carbon allocation is linked to changes in phenology of spruce and, thus, changes in phenology of spruce and, thus, to small changes in climateto small changes in climateggThe linkage between carbon shift and The linkage between carbon shift and phenology was weak however at stronglyphenology was weak however at stronglyphenology was weak, however, at strongly phenology was weak, however, at strongly acidified siteacidified site