dcmshriram nifty - narnolia.comcarbide and chlor ... fertilizer (urea) business:the company operates...
TRANSCRIPT
19-Dec-17
Key Highlights of the Report:
52wk Range H/L
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr)
Av. Volume (,000)
Financials/Valu
ation
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19ENet Sales 5,639 5,841 6,117 7,349 8,144
EBITDA 399 505 771 1,289 1,437
EBIT 289 406 657 1,170 1,306
PAT 211 297 552 948 1,057
2QFY18 1QFY18 4QFY17 EPS (Rs) 13 18 34 58 65
Promoters 64 64 64 EPS growth (%) -13% 41% 86% 72% 11%
Public 34 34 34 ROE (%) 11% 14% 22% 28% 25%
Others 2 2 2 ROCE (%) 12% 13% 19% 27% 25%
Total 100 100 100 BV 114 129 156 207 266
P/B (X) 0.9 1.1 1.9 3.0 2.3
1Mn 3Mn 1Yr P/E (x) 8.3 7.7 8.6 10.0 9.0
Absolute 12 16 184
Rel.to Nifty 12 15 157 Recent Development
Current Sugar season has started and all company mills have started
crushing.The crushing period varies from region to region beginning in
October/ November and goes on till April/ May in all states except in
southern states like Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh where it continues till
July/ August.
Input prices of Coal and Carbon material have risen over last year but
are stable sequentially. Better efficiencies and economies of scale post
completion of the expansion projects have mitigated part of the cost
increases emanating from increase in Coal pricesRitika [email protected]
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
239 Management expect a significant turnaround into the sugar industry due
to improving industry scenario along with supporting governmental
policies.Improvement in the return ratios
Keeping in mind near term headwind related to declining sugar prices
and sugarcane cost we maintain ACCUMULATE with a target price of
Rs. 695.
As on 10th November the board has given nod for additional investment
of Rs 838 crore for expansion projects.Out of this, Rs 500 crore is
estimated to be invested for expansion of its DSCL Sugar-Hariawan unit.
With the capacity enhancement, total sugar business capacity will
increase from 33,000 tonnes crushing per day (TCD) to 38,000 TCD.
Upside 14% The captive power plant for chlor-alkali at Bharuch which was
comissioned in Q2FY17 (full in Q3FY17) sharply ramped its operations
and is now operating at capacity utilization of 90%. 625/196
10,100
NSE Code - DCMSHRIRAM
NIFTY - 10389
CMP 611 DCM Shriram has posted a sales of Rs 1605 Cr.The growth in the
revenue was largely driven by growth in the revenue of sugar segment
and chlor-Vinyl BusinessTarget Price 695
INDUSTRY - Diversified
BLOOMBERG- DCM IN
BSE Code - 523367
Company Data
Stock Performance %
Shareholding patterns %
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DCMSHRIRAM NIFTY
12%
15%
24%
14%
18%
22%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
FY15 FY16 FY17
ROE ROCE
DCM Shriram-An overview of different Segment and its Key Strength
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
DCM Shriram Ltd. is engaged in agri-rural business and chlor-vinyl business.The Company's
segments include: Fertilizers (manufacturing of urea), Chloro-Vinyl (manufacturing of poly-vinyl
chloride,carbide and chlor alkali products), Shriram Farm solutions (trading of di-ammonium
phosphate,muriate of potash, super phosphate, other fertilizers, seeds and pesticides),Sugar
(manufacturing of sugar products and cogeneration of Power),Cement (manufacturing of
cement),Bioseed (production of hybrid seeds) and Others.which includes Pre Fabricated unplasticized
polyvinyl chloride(UPVC) windows &Doors,Cement, rural retail and plaster of Paris.
DCM Shriram’s decision to restructured its business and to exit from its loss-making (estimated at
Rs100Cr annually) rural retail business (Haryali Kisan Bazaar) in FY13 has helped the company to
boost its profitability and cashflows over the years.At present the Company has rationalized this
business and discontinued the retail operations except for sale of fuel.
DCMSHRIRAM-Description, Business model & Financial Matrix
About the company
TYPES OF BUSINESSES
AGRI-RURAL BUSINESS CHLOR-VINYL BUSINESS
OTHER BUSINESSES
>>Urea(Fertilizer) >>Sugar >>Farm Solutions* >>Hybrid Seeds(Bioseed)
Chlor- Alkali
Plastics Business >>Fenesta UPVC Windows*
>>Cement
>>PVC Compounding* >>Hariyali Kisaan Bazaar
Cement:- Location:- Kota plant Total capacity -4 lakh MT The cement business leverages the waste generated from the Calcium Carbide production process to produce cement.
Sugar:- Number of plants - 4 Location- Central U.P Total capacity - 33,000 TCD Supported by- Co-gen power capacity of 94.5 MW
>>Caustic soda(Lye and flakes) >>Chlorine*
>>PVC resins >>Calcium Carbide (with captive production of Acetylene, Chlorine and Coal based power)
Two manufacturing facilities located at :- 1.Kota (Rajasthan) 2. Bharuch (Gujarat) The company’s total caustic soda capacity is 780 TPD.
Location Kota plant
a)
b)
3.Agri-Input Business:
Agri-Input Businesses comprises of three segment namely Fertilizer Business,Shriram Farm
Solutions,and Bioseeds.
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
This business comprises 4 plants in Central U.P. with a total capacity of 33,000 TCD. The business is
supported by a Co-gen power capacity of 111MW(expanded in FY 17 from 94.5MWearlier). The company
has announced a new project of 150 KLD distillery at the Hariawan sugar plant, which is progesing as per
schedule and will be completed by Q4 FY 18.
Chlor- Alkali:DCM Shriram's Chlor-Alkali (Chemicals) business comprises Caustic Soda (Lye and
flakes), Chlorine and associated chemicals including Hydrochloric acid, Stable Bleaching powder,
Compressed Hydrogen and Sodium Hypochlorite.
The Company has two manufacturing facilities located at Kota (Rajasthan) and Bharuch (Gujarat) with
full coal based captive power. The company completed capacity expansion at the Bharuch plant in FY
17 taking the total caustic soda capacity to 1343 TPD from 780 TPD.
Plastics Business:A highly integrated business, located at the Kota plant, it involves manufacturing of
PVC resins and Calcium Carbide with captive production of Acetylene, Chlorine and Coal based
power.PVC Resin is a widely used raw material owing to its safe,healthy,convenient and aesthetical
advantage for applications in urban infrastructure,Electronic products,Consumer products,Irrigation etc.It
is a thermoplastic with 57% chlorine and 43% carbon,making it excellent fire resistant material.More
than70% of PVC resins are used for producing PVC .
2. Sugar:
DCM Shriram-Segment Wise business Overview
1.Chloro-Vinyl Businesses:
Product
Caustic soda
Chlorine
Calcium Carbide
PVC
Calcium Carbide is used in manufacturing
many other chemicals and also used steel
making
Industry size is estimated at 2.5 mn
mt.Domestic production estimated at 1.5mn
mt and balance is imported
Industry dynamics DCM's advantage Captive use
Fully integrated plant with coal based
captive power provides cost advantage
Used as intermediates which improves
margins
Chemical Segment Dynamics
Industry size is estimated at 3.2mn capacity
however production is estimated at 2.5 mn mt
due to lower utilisation
Chlorine is used mainly as intermediatery for
the manufacturing of other chemical products
PVC resins is further integrated into
manufacturing of PVC compounds
Chlorine - which is a by product of caustic
soda is used for captive purpose
35-40% is used captive for making PVC
70% of total production is used captiveDCM is the only company to use Calcium
Carbide in PVC manufacturing
35% of PVC Resins is used captive for making
PVC compounds
a)
b)
c)
Fertilizer (Urea) Business:The Company operates the dual feed naphtha/LNG based Urea plant
with a capacity of 3.79 lakh MT per annum, at its integrated manufacturing facility at Kota.The company
markets its products under the “Shriram Urea” brand. “Shriram Urea” a trusted name and enjoys high brand
equity amongst the farmers. The Company has an extensive distribution network over the entire Northern and
Central India
Bioseeds:Bioseed business is present across the entire Seeds value chain, i.e. Research,
Production, Processing, Extension activities and Marketing with established significant presence in India,
Philippines, Vietnam and Indonesia. The Company is present in both Field and Vegetable Crops in India. The
key crops in India comprises of BT cotton, Corn, Paddy, Vegetables among others.In Philippines, Vietnam and
Indonesia the business is present primarily in Corn.
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
3.Agri-Input Business:
Shriram Farm Solutions:This business provides a complete basket of Agri-inputs, viz. Hybrid seeds,
Pesticides, Bulk fertilizers, Micro-nutrients and other Value added inputs, through its broad distribution
network. The business also provides high quality agronomy services aimed at increasing farmer
productivity.
Segment
Seeds
Crop cares
Specialty nutrients
Bulk Fertiliser
Farm solutions business segment
Products sold
DAP, MOP, SSP etc
These fertilisers are imported and help
company to improve its product basket
Margins and returns
Enjoys margins of 15-20%. May some time lead to high
inventory risks
Margins in this segment ranges from 5-10%
Margins in this segment ranges from 10-40%Margins are very thin of 2-3% and requires high working
capital due to subsidies
Business dynamics
Includes selling of its own seeds as well as
purchased
These are purchased pesticides and
marketed by DCM under their brand.
These specialty products are traded and sold
through DCM's distribution network.
Insecticides, Fungicides, Herbicides
and plant growth regulators
GM seeds, hybrid seeds and
Varietal seeds
Water Soluble Fertilizers, Micro-
Nutrients etc
Country Field Crops
India
Vietnam
Philippines
Thailand
Indonesia
Bioseeds Presence by country-crop
Tomato, ridge gourd, okra, cabbage,hot pepper, cauliflower,sweet
pepper,coriander, eggplant, carrot, bittergourd, cucumber, pumpkin,
watermelon, bottle gourd,sponge gourd,musk melon
Vegetable Crops
Water melon, tomato
Corn, rice, sorghum,
sunflower,millet,
pigeon pea, cotton
Corn, rice
Corn, rice
Corn
Corn
a)
b)
c)
d) Hariyali Kisaan Bazaar:The Company has rationalized this business and discontinued the retail
operations except for sale of fuel.DCM Shriram expects to completely exit from this business in the
next two-three years
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
PVC Compounding:The business is housed in a Company called Shriram Axiall Private Limited
which is a 50:50 Joint venture with Axiall LLCUSA(aWestlake Company). It is the largest commercial
PVC Compounder in India. PVC Compounding business is approximately 5 lac MT per year in India.
However only 60-65% business lies with organized players including self compounders.The Strategy
platform for growth of the Joint venture is the transfer of technology from Axiall LLC, USA to India and
focus on new engineered Vinyl applications in India
4. Other Business
Fenesta Building Systems:It manufactures UPVC (Un-Plasticized PVC) windows and door systems
under the brand “Fenesta”. The business offers complete solutions starting from Design, Fabrication to
Installation at the customer's site. As a part of its marketing initiatives, the business has set up nine
self-owned Fenesta branded showrooms in nine cities across India.The company operates in two
segments, i.e 'Retail' and 'Projects' (Institutional).The Company while focused on 'Retail' Business is
also targeting the 'Projects' segment with profitable volume growth
Cement:The company's cement business is located at its Kota plant with a manufacturing capacity of
4 lakh MT The cement business leverages the waste generated from the Calcium Carbide production
process to produce cement.The Company produces high quality, premium grade Pozzolana Portland
Cement and Ordinary Portland Cement.Shriram Cement" is considered as a premium brand especially
in markets like Delhi/NCR and Rajasthan
DCM SHRIRAM Milestone & Key Events Over the Years
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
DCM SHRIRAM -Strong Manufacturing Capabilities
DCM SHRIRAM-Promoter & Promoter Group
DCM SHRIRAM--Institutional Investors
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
DCM SHRIRAM-Shareholding Pattern
# Promoter and Promoter Group Shares % Stake
SUMANT INVESTMENTS PRIVATE LIMITED 98282284 60.51
Individuals/Hindu undivided Family 5472500 3.37
Total 103754784 63.88
Institutional Investors Shares % Stake
1 Foreign Portfolio Investors 3462160 2.13
2 LIFE INSURANCE CORPORATION OF INDIA 12863749 7.92
3 Other Insurance Companies 2070591 1.28
Total 18396500 11.33
Segment Revenue (FY 17)(%) Segment Revenue (FY 16)(%)
Segment PBDIT (FY 17)(%) Segment PBDIT (FY 16)(%)
Segment Capital Employed (FY 17)(%) Segment Capital Employed (FY 16)(%)
Business Mix(FY2017)
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Financials 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 YoY % QoQ% FY16 FY17 YoY %
Net Sales 1366 1448 1709 2052 1605 18% -22% 5841 6117 5%
Other Income 10 12 14 13 16 241% 22% 39 47 21%
COGS 799 662 804 1113 820 3% -26% 3453 3043 -12%
Employee Cost 128 137 141 146 145 13% -1% 494 533 8%
Other Expenses 111 165 247 139 137 23% -1% 1389 1442 4%
EBITDA 122 189 222 329 290 139% -12% 505 771 53%
Depreciation 27 31 32 32 36 33% 13% 99 114 15%
Interest 13 17 22 24 20 56% -18% 86 71 -17%
PBT 92 152 183 287 250 173% -13% 359 633 76%
Tax 1 16 25 53 78 14406% 48% 62 80 30%
PAT 91 136 156 233 172 88% -26% 297 552 86%
Bioseeds an agri input Segment revenue increased by 21% YoY to Rs 80 Cr on the back of
higher demand in Cotton and Corn.
Fertilisers (Urea) an agri input Segment revenue increased by 13% YoY to Rs 196 Cr due to healthy
volume growth and increased production.
Others segment which includes primarily Fenesta, Cement, Hariyali and PVC compounding that is
under a 50:50 JV reported a overall decline of 5% YoY revenue to Rs189Cr due to lower volume of
traded cement and slowdown in the order bookin in Fenesta.
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Sriram Farm Solutions an agri input Segment revenue declined by 37% YoY to Rs 152 Cr
Quarterly Performance
Q2FY18 Result Update:
Chlor-alkali revenue increased by 29% YoY to Rs 485 Cr, as the capacity utilization at newly
commissioned facility increased to 90% from 80% in Q1FY18.
Sugar Segment revenue increased by 30% YoY to Rs 516 Cr,due to the Growth in volume of cane
crushed and sustained high sugar price.
Sugar volume increased by 35% yoy to 1.32mn quintal compared to 0.98mn quintal in Q2FY17.
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Net Sales PAT
Margin % 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 YoY(+/-) QoQ(+/-) FY16 FY17 YoY(+/-)
Gross Margin 42% 54% 53% 46% 49% 7% 3% 41% 50% 9%
EBITDA Margin 9% 13% 13% 16% 18% 9% 2% 9% 13% 4%
PAT Margin 7% 9% 9% 11% 11% 4% -1% 5% 9% 4%
Chloro-Vinyl:Capacity expansion of Chlor-alkali at Kota (84TPD) and Bharuch (146TPD) at an
investment of Rs98Cr. Bharuch expansion is expected to be completed by Q1FY20 and Kota by
Q2FY20.The company expects to sustain / improve on the ~90% capacity utilization achieved by the
end of Q2FY18 at Bharuch.
Sugar:As per the management distillery plant with 150 KLPD capacity is progesing as per schedule
and will be commissioned in Q4FY18.The company has also approved expansion of Sugar capacity by
5,000TCD, which includes a distillery of 100KLD and power Co-gen (34MW) at an investment of
~Rs500Cr. These Projects are likely to be completed by Q3FY19 and Distillery by Q3FY20.
Power:To replace the old 50MW plant a new 66MW Power plant at Kota, is coming on stream at an
investment of Rs240Cr and is expected to be completed by Q3FY20.
In chemical segment new 60TPD ‘Anhydrous Aluminum Chloride’ facility at an investment of Rs43Cr
at Bharuch Chemicals complex expected to be completed by Q2FY19.
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Company Expansion Projects in different sectors
Gross margin declined by ~600 bps YoY to 26% aided by decrease in the input prices of raw material
cost.
EBITDA margin improved by ~920 bps to 18.1% YoY driven by by the increase in Chlor-alkali volume
and higher realization in the Chloro-Vinyl business.
PAT margin improved by ~400 bps YoY and PAT remained Rs 172 Cr for this quarter led by lower
interest cost and strong growth at operating level.
Investment Arguments:
Improvement in the Debt Equity Ratio Improvement in the EBITDA Margin YoY
Key Risks:
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Increase in Raw MaterialCost(Prices of Coal and carbon) and power cost for Chlor Vinyl
business:Rising energy costs as a result of rising international and domestic coal prices, freight,
duties and levies, is increasing the cost of production which will impact the margin adversely.
Normal Monsoon will have significant impact on the revenue stream of Agri-Input
business:Company has a high dependence on monsoon as over 50% of the revenue comes from agri
input business which comprises of Fertlizer,Shriram Food Solutions,and Bioseeds.The Agri-Input
businesses,accounted for about 51% of revenue in FY17.
Strong Debt-To-Equity Ratio:Going ahead generation of strong cashflow will help the company to
reduce debt gradually in FY18 and FY19.
New Distillery project at Hariawan to aid growth in the sugar segment:As per the management
distillery plant with 150 KLPD capacity is progesing as per schedule and will be commissioned in
Q4FY18, which will lead to further improvement of profitability of Sugar business, in case of cyclical
downturn in the Sugar business.
Divestment of loss making Hariyali Kisan Bazar business will lead to improvement in the return
ratios (ROE/RoCE improvement):DCM Shriram’s Hariyali Kisan Bazar were rationalised in 2013. The
company is focused on the sale of remaining properties, which progressed slowly in FY17 and is
expected to take another 2-3 years.Moreover, the sale of properties under this segment will make it
further asset light, releasing cash.This will lead to further improvement in the overall RoCE profile of
the company.The segment had been making huge losses for the past several years.
Dependency on rainfall: As company has a direct impact of rainfall so unseasonal rains could impact
Agri Input Business which would impact the company’s sales.So Timely and normal rainfall is essential
for agrochemical companies to post good performance.
Capacity addition in the high margin Chloro Vinyl will boost margin significantly: The capacity
utilization at newly commissioned facility at Bharuch increased to 90% from 80% in Q1FY18 due to
which EBITDA margin expanded by 920bps yoy to 18%.The company is increasing the high margin
Chlor Alkali capacity at Kota (84TPD) and Bharuch (146TPD) at an investment of Rs98Cr. Bharuch
expansion to be completed by Q1FY20 and Kota by Q2FY20 and the management expects it to run at
optimum capacity utilization immediately
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1
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Net Debt/ Equity
1)
Global and Indian Caustic Soda Segment Breakup (%)
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Industry Overview:
Chlor- Alkali industry:The Chlor- Alkali industry in India has 35 operating units with a combined
installed capacity of 3.7 million Tons per annum of Caustic Soda.Globally, 40% of the chlorine
produced is used by the vinyl industry whereas only 7.8% of the chlorine produced in India is used.
This is due to lack of expansion in PVC production capacity in India. As a consequence, the chlor-
alkali industry in India is a caustic driven industry unlike the rest of the world, where it is a chlorine
driven industry
Global and Indian Chlorine Segment Breakup (%)
2)
Domestic manufacturers and capacities (kT)
3)
Domestic Sugar Price: Trend reversal
Sugar:The Indian Sugar Industry is the second largest producer after Brazil and the largest consumer
of sugar in the world.This year, Indian sugar industry witnessed a revival from the preceding
depressed years. Central as well as State Governments are to be credited for this success for the
initiatives undertaken in the preceding years along with the rationale policies adopted in sugar season
2016-17. A balanced demand supply situation in India also supported the initiative and ensured that
sugar prices remained reasonable at around 35 Rs/kg to 37 Rs/kg throughout the year.
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Plastics:India's PVC resin installed capacity currently stands at around 1.4 million Metric Ton per
annum(MTPA).As against this,domestic demand has been growing steadily and has reached~2.95MTPA
in FY17,up 9.3% over last year.The gap in demand and supply,which currently stands at 54.5% of total
demand,is being met by the import of PVC resin.Reliance Industries accounts for roughly 50% of the
country’s PVC production spread across three plants in Gujarat, followed by Chemplast (19%) and
Finolex Industries (17%). DCM Shriram has a market share of 5% in the PVC segment Indian PVC
demand is expected to grow at 8 to 10% CAGR for the next 4-5 years.
Income Statement Rs in Crores Key Ratios
Y/E March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E Y/E March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19ERevenue from Operation 5,841 6,117 7,349 8,144 ROE 14% 22% 28% 25%
Change (%) 4% 5% 20% 11% ROCE 13% 19% 27% 25%
EBITDA 505 771 1,289 1,437 Asset Turnover 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
Change (%) 27% 53% 67% 11% Debtor Days 80 60 50 48
Margin (%) 9% 13% 18% 18% Inventory Days 82 96 90 92
Dep & Amortization 99 114 119 131 Payable Days 72 70 65 65
EBIT 406 657 1,170 1,306 Interest Coverage 4.73 9.20 15.90 18.15
Interest & other finance cost 86 71 74 72 P/E 8 9 10 9
Other Income 39 47 60 63 Price / Book Value 1.1 1.9 3.0 2.3
EBT 359 633 1,156 1,297 EV/EBITDA
Exceptional Item - - - - FCF per Share (18) 19 24 23
Tax 62 80 208 240 Dividend Yield 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17
Minority Int & P/L share of Ass. - - - -
Reported PAT 297 552 948 1,057
Adjusted PAT 297 552 948 1,057
Change (%) 41% 86% 72% 11%
Margin(%) 5% 9% 13% 13%
Balance Sheet Rs in Crores Cash Flow Statement Rs in Crores
Y/E March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E Y/E March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19EShare Capital 33 33 33 33 PBT 359 552 1,156 1,297
Reserves 2,058 2,495 3,333 4,280 (inc)/Dec in Working Capital (265) 123 10 (94)
Networth 2,091 2,528 3,366 4,313 Non Cash Op Exp 99 114 119 131
Debt 985 980 1,008 999 Interest Paid (+) 86 71 74 72
Other Non Current Liab 172 189 210 231 Tax Paid (83) (147) (208) (240)
Total Capital Employed 3,076 3,508 4,374 5,312 others (28) (30) - -
Net Fixed Assets (incl CWIP) 1,793 2,086 2,736 3,402 CF from Op. Activities 182 772 1,151 1,166
Non Current Investments - - - - (inc)/Dec in FA & CWIP (466) (459) (769) (798)
Other Non Current Assets 116 77 77 77 Free Cashflow (285) 313 382 367
Non Current Assets 1,994 2,317 2,966 3,632 (Pur)/Sale of Investment (0) (6) - -
Inventory 1,320 1,616 1,812 2,053 others 59 35 - -
Debtors 1,287 1,004 1,007 1,071 CF from Inv. Activities (407) (426) (768) (798)
Cash & Bank 40 212 152 22 inc/(dec) in NW - - - -
Other Current Assets 183 259 311 345 inc/(dec) in Debt 311 (61) 27 (9)
Current Assets 2,895 3,135 3,334 3,549 Interest Paid (87) (67) (74) (72)
Creditors 1,149 1,176 1,309 1,450 Dividend Paid (inc tax) (55) (113) (110) (110)
Provisions 29 40 48 54 others (3) 71 - -
Other Current Liabilities 318 454 522 578 CF from Fin. Activities 166 (171) (156) (191)
Curr Liabilities 1,750 1,867 2,115 2,344 Inc(Dec) in Cash (60) 176 226 177
Net Current Assets 1,145 1,268 1,219 1,205 Add: Opening Balance 86 23 212 152
Total Assets 5,007 5,574 6,423 7,305 Closing Balance 26 199 438 329
Financials Snap Shot
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Narnolia Securities LtdPlease refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Going forward, the company's continuous focus on improving cost efficiency to mitigate the
impact of rising input cost will ensure stability in EBITDA Margin. Chlorine market demand is
expected to remain strong due to increased penetration in the Western and Northern regions
of the Country while growth in the alumina industry is expected to propel the demand for
caustic soda in times to come, thus benefiting the market for chemicals segment in the long
run. Declining sugar price makes us cautious about near term revenue visibility of the
company. Also any significant increase in cane cost going forward could adversely impact the
financial performance and cash generation potential of the company. Keeping in mind near
term headwind related to declining sugar prices and sugarcane cost we maintain
ACCUMULATE with a target price of Rs. 695.
Outlook & Valuation
DCM Shriram has reported sales of Rs 1605 Cr, in line with our estimates. Sales grew by
17.5% YOY on account of growth in revenues from the Sugar business (sustained high sugar
price) as well as capacity ramp-up of new Chloro-Vinyl plant. Margin improvement was driven
by the increase in Chlor-alkali volume and higher realization in the Chloro-Vinyl business.
Good monsoon season had a positive impact on the demand for the company’s products and
are evident from the growth in revenues in the last two quarters.
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past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of
any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to
assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates
and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or
otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and
other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned
in this report/message.