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Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian trac Marija Nikoli¢ Michel Bierlaire Flurin Hnseler TGF 2015 Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25

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Page 1: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Data-driven characterization of multidirectionalpedestrian tra�c

Marija Nikoli¢ Michel Bierlaire Flurin Hänseler

TGF 2015Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands

October 28, 2015

1 / 25

Page 2: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Outline

1. Motivation and objective

2. Related research

3. Methodology

4. Empirical analysis

5. Conclusion and future work

2 / 25

Page 3: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

3 / 25

Page 4: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Background - context

Understanding and predicting of pedestrian tra�c

• Convenience and safety for pedestrians

• LOS indicators: based on data or/and models of pedestriandynamics

Tra�c indicators

• Density: the number of pedestrians present in an area at acertain time instance [#ped/m2]

• Flow: the number of pedestrians passing a line segment in aunit of time [#ped/ms]

• Velocity: the average of the velocities of pedestrians presentin an area at a certain time instance / passing a line segmentin a unit of time [m/s]

4 / 25

Page 5: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Characterization based on Edie's de�nitions

General formulation

Density: k(V ) =

N∑iti

dx×dy×dt

Flow: ~q(V ) =

N∑idi

dx×dy×dt

Velocity: ~v(V ) = ~q(V )k(V ) =

N∑idi∑

iti

[van Wageningen-Kessels et al., 2014 ], [Saberi and Mahmassani, 2014]

5 / 25

Page 6: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Characterization based on Edie's de�nitions

Limit conditions

Photo: [Saberi and Mahmassani, 2014]

6 / 25

Page 7: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Characterization based on Edie's de�nitions

• Results depend on size, shape and the placement of ameasurement unit

� May be highly sensitive to minor changes• Arbitrary aggregation

� May generate noise in the data [Openshaw, 1983]� May lead to loss of heterogeneity across space

Density indicator

7 / 25

Page 8: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Characterization based on Edie's de�nitions

• Arbitrary aggregation� May lead to loss of heterogeneity across pedestrians� Does not comply with multi-directional nature of pedestrian

�ows• Extreme case: velocity and �ow vectors cancel out when 2equally sized streams of pedestrians walk with the same speedbut in the opposite directions

Velocity and �ow indicators

8 / 25

Page 9: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Voronoi-based spatial discretization

• A personal region Ai is asigned to each pedestrian i

• Each point p = (x , y) in the personal region is closer to ipositioned at pi = (xi , yi ) than to any other pedestrian, withrespect of the Euclidean distance

Ai = {p|dE (p, pi ) ≤ dE (p, pj),∀j}

• Pedestrian �ows: [Ste�en and Seyfried, 2010]

9 / 25

Page 10: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Data-driven discretization framework

Pedestrian trajectories

• The trajectory of pedestrian i is a curve in space and time

pi = (xi , yi , ti )

• 3D Voronoi diagrams associated with trajectories

• Each trajectory Γi is associated with a 3D Voronoi 'tube' Vi

• A point p = (x , y , t) belongs to the set Vi if

d(p, Γi ) ≤ d(p, Γj),∀j

d(p, Γi ) = min{d∗(p, pi )|pi ∈ Γi}

• d∗(p, pi ) - spatio-temporal assignment rule

10 / 25

Page 11: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Data-driven discretization framework

Sample of points

• The trajectory is described as a �nite collection of triplets

pis = (xis , yis , ts),ts = [t0, t1, ..., tf ]

• 3D Voronoi diagrams associated with the pointspis = (xis , yis , ts)

• Each point pis is associated with a 3D Voronoi cell Vis

• A point p = (x , y , t) belongs to the set Vis if

d∗(p, pis) ≤ d∗(p, pjs), ∀j• d∗(p, pis) - spatio-temporal assignment rule

11 / 25

Page 12: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Spatio-temporal assignment rules

Naive distance

dN(p, pi ) =

{ √(p − pi )T (p − pi ), ∆t = 0∞, otherwise

Distance To Interaction (DTI)

dDTI (p, pi ) =

{ √(p − pi )T (p − pi ), ∆t = 0

(p−pi (ti+∆t))~vi (ti )‖(~vi (ti ))‖ , otherwise

p = (x , y , t), pi = (xi , yi , ti ), ∆t = t − ti

12 / 25

Page 13: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Spatio-temporal assignment rules

Time-Transform distance (TT)

dTT (p, pi ) =√

(x − xi )2 + (y − yi )2 + α(t − ti )

α is a conversion constant expressed in meters per second

Mahalanobis distance

dM(p, pi ) =√

(p − pi )TMi (p − pi )

• Mi - symmetric, positive-de�nite matrix that de�nes howdistances are measured from the perspective of pedestrian i

p = (x , y , t), pi = (xi , yi , ti )

13 / 25

Page 14: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Voronoi-based tra�c indicators

The set of all points in Vi correspondingto a speci�c time t

Vi (t) = {(x , y , t) ∈ Vi} ∼ [m2]

Density indicator

ki = 1

Vi (t)

14 / 25

Page 15: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Voronoi-based tra�c indicators

The set of all points in Vi corresponding to agiven location x and y

Vi (x) = {(x , y , t) ∈ Vi} ∼ [ms]

Vi (y) = {(x , y , t) ∈ Vi} ∼ [ms]

Flow indicator

~qi =

(1

Vi (x)1

Vi (y)

)Velocity indicator

~vi = ~qiki

15 / 25

Page 16: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Empirical analysis

Scenarios

• Synthetic pedestrian trajectories

• Voronoi-based characterization for trajectories with dN , dTT ,dM , dDTI

16 / 25

Page 17: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Properties of 3D Voronoi-based characterization

! Discretization is performed at the level of an individual:suitable for multi-directional �ow composition

• Reproduces di�erent simulated settings with uniform andnon-uniform movement

• Preserves heterogeneity across pedestrians and space

• Discretization is adjusted to the reality of the �ow: leads tosmooth transitions in measured tra�c characteristics

17 / 25

Page 18: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Properties of the 3D Voronoi-based characterization

! Discretization is performed at the level of an individual:suitable for multi-directional �ow composition

! Reproduces di�erent simulated settings with uniform andnon-uniform movement

• Preserves heterogeneity across pedestrians and space

• Discretization is adjusted to the reality of the �ow: leads tosmooth transitions in measured tra�c characteristics

17 / 25

Page 19: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Unidirectional non-uniform straight-line movement

Page 20: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Bidirectional non-uniform straight-line movement

Page 21: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Properties of 3D Voronoi-based characterization

! Discretization is performed at the level of an individual:suitable for multi-directional �ow composition

! Reproduces di�erent simulated settings with uniform andnon-uniform movement

! Preserves heterogeneity across pedestrians and space

• Discretization is adjusted to the reality of the �ow: leads tosmooth transitions in measured tra�c characteristics

18 / 25

Page 22: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

3D Voronoi-based characterization - density map

19 / 25

Page 23: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Properties of 3D Voronoi-based characterization

! Discretization is performed at the level of an individual:suitable for multi-directional �ow composition

! Reproduces di�erent simulated settings with uniform andnon-uniform movement

! Preserves heterogeneity across pedestrians and space

! Discretization is adjusted to the reality of the �ow: leads tosmooth transitions in measured tra�c characteristics

20 / 25

Page 24: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

3D Voronoi-based characterization vs. grid-based

method

Density sequences

21 / 25

Page 25: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Robustness to the sampling rate

• Sample of points from synthetic pedestrian trajectoriesobtained using di�erent sampling rate

• Voronoi-based characterization for points with dN , dTT , dM ,dDTI

Numerical analysis

• Statistics of interests: distribution of k and v errors for 1000randomly sampled points

22 / 25

Page 26: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Unidirectional uniform straight-line movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

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Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 27: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Unidirectional non-uniform straight-line movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 28: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Unidirectional non-uniform zig-zag movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 29: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Bidirectional uniform straight-line movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 30: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Bidirectional non-uniform straight-line movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 31: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Bidirectional non-uniform zig-zag movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 32: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Crossing uniform straight-line movement

Density indicator

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:0.5s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1s

0

1

2

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

k]

rate:1.5s

Speed indicator

0

2

4

6

Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:0.5s

0

2

4

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Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1s

0

2

4

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Naive Time−transform Mahalanobis DTI

Err

or[

v]

rate:1.5s

Page 33: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Conclusions

• Pedestrian-oriented �ow characterization: Edie's de�nitionsadapted through a data-driven discretization

• Suitable for multi-directional �ow composition

• Reproduces di�erent simulated settings with uniform andnon-uniform movement

• Preserves heterogeneity across pedestrians and space

• Leads to smooth transitions in measured tra�c characteristics

• Sampled data: 3D Voronoi diagrams with Time-Transformdistance perform the best

� Reproduces di�erent simulated settings� Robust with respect to the sampling rate

23 / 25

Page 34: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Future directions

• Additional spatio-temporal assignment rules will be tested

• More numerical analysis based on synthetic and real-worlddata (case study: Lausanne train station)

• Stream-based de�nitions of indicators and their interaction[Nikoli¢ and Bierlaire, 2014]

24 / 25

Page 35: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Thank you for your attention

Marija Nikoli¢Transport and Mobility LaboratoryEPFL - École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausannemarija.nikolic@ep�.ch

25 / 25

Page 36: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Mahalanobis distance

Directions of interest

pis = (xis , yis , ts), vi (ts) = 1

t(s+1)−ts

xi(s+1) − xisyi(s+1) − yis

1

d1(ts) = vi (ts)

||vi (ts)|| , ||d1(ts)|| = 1

d2(ts) =

d1x (ts)

d2y (ts)0

, d1(ts)Td2(ts) = 0, ||d2(ts)|| = 1

d3(ts) =

00

t(s+1) − ts

, ||d3(ts)|| = t(s+1) − ts

25 / 25

Page 37: Data-driven characterization of multidirectional pedestrian tra c · 2015. 10. 28. · TGF 2015 Delft University of echnologyT, the Netherlands October 28, 2015 1 / 25. Outline 1.Motivation

Mahalanobis distance

Change of coordinates

S1(ts , δ) = pis + (t(s+1) − ts)vi (ts) + δd1(ts)

S2(ts , δ) = pis − (t(s+1) − ts)vi (ts)− δd1(ts)

S3(ts , δ) = pis + δd2(ts)

S4(ts , δ) = pis − δd2(ts)

S5(ts , δ) = pis + δd3(ts)

S6(ts , δ) = pis − δd3(ts)

dM =√

(Sj(ts , δ)− pis)TMis(Sj(ts , δ)− pis) = δ, j = 1, .., 6

25 / 25