data analytics and analysis trends in 2015 - webinar
TRANSCRIPT
Speaker: James Graham MSc, Principal Consultant Stratexology LLC
Data Analytics And Analysis Trends In 2015
Housekeeping
• Slides will be available on our SlideShare page; the link will be emailed to you
• The recording of the webinar will be available to download; the link will be emailed
• Please take time to complete a post-webinar survey that will pop up at the end
• You can type your questions throughout the session
• James will allocate time at the end for the speaker to address your questions
2
Speaker Introduction
3
12 years management in multinational companies
Consulting since 1993
Global Experience
Change Specialist
12 years senior management in multinational companies
Consulting since 1993
Global Experience
Specialises in Strategy Formulation and Execution
Agenda
The Development of Data and Analytics
Big Data and Small Data
Big Data tools
Five Big Data trends for 2015-16
Small Data tools
Q&A
4
The Development of Data and Analytics
5
1950
s –
early
lang
uage
s –
Fort
ran/
CO
BO
L
1960
s –
Bus
ines
s
com
pute
rs e
mer
ge
1970
s –
UN
IX
crea
ted
and
the
first
supe
rcom
pute
r
emer
ges
1980
s –
pers
onal
com
pute
rs e
mer
ge
1990
s –
pers
onal
com
pute
rs
dem
ocra
tise
data
2000
s –
Big
Dat
a
syst
ems
deve
lope
d
2010
s –
Big
Dat
a
mat
ures
, usi
ng
para
llel s
yste
ms
Big Data and Small Data; what are they and how are they used
Small Data
• Smaller, simpler systems than big data• Often single system• Thousands or millions of records• e.g. company customer records, sales
invoices, building access records
Small Data
6
• Large scale, complex, systems• Many Terabyte (10004) to Petabyte scale
(10005)• e.g. search engine behavioural data,
social networks data for mining
Big DataBig Data
Big Data Tools - Descriptive, Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics
7
Descriptive
• Filters ‘big data’ into useful nuggets – mitigates risk of confirmation bias
• Provides a historical summary of what happened in the past
• Most statistics are based on descriptive analytics – e.g. year on year sales
Predictive
• Based on descriptive analytics
• Algorithmic approach• Probability based• ‘Fills in the blanks’• Credit scoring• Forecasting supply
chain requirements• Offering new products
to existing customers• And many others
Prescriptive
• Guides decisions• Quantifies decision
making –multiple options
• Multiple tools, e.g. business rules, algorithms, machine learning
• Multiple data sources, e.g. real time and transactional, big data
Trends in ‘Big Data’ Analytics – 2015-16
1• Smart systems – dumb operators (automation)
2• Deeper customer insights – ‘sweat the data’
3• Democratization of data/data as an organizational asset
4• Sensor driven data grows (device generated data, e.g. a jet engine
can create 20 TB per hour, smart electricity meters)
5• HR analytics – employee satisfaction, ergonomics, workflow etc.
8
Small Data Tools - #1 Pareto Analysis
• Frequency based analysis
• Cumulative analysis• Potential usage
– Quality control– Product sales
analysis– Delay analysis– Cost analysis
9
Failure by Error CodeCauses Freq Cum Freq %E23 15 15 26.79%E02 11 26 46.43%E189 9 35 62.50%E12 7 42 75.00%E45 6 48 85.71%E09 5 53 94.64%E445 2 55 98.21%E67 1 56 100.00%
Small Data Tools - #2 Sensitivity Analysis
• Upside/downside ranges
• Impact identification• Potential usage
– Strategic analysis– Business case
development– Risk analysis
10
Tickets sold 125 100 175Mean price 75 45 115Cost per flight 8,500 7,500 9,500
Profit if Base Low High Swing Swing2 VARTickets sold 875 -1,000 4,625 5,625 31,640,625 28.2Mean price 875 -2,875 5,875 8,750 76,562,500 68.2Cost per flight 875 1,875 -125 -2,000 4,000,000 3.6
SA Example
Small Data Tools - #3 Linear Programming
• Addresses multiple constraints• Provides optimum trade-offs for desired
outcome11
Production Capacity PlanningThe objective is to maximise the Combined Profit The decision variables are the number of rolls of each carpet style to produceThe constraints are the amounts of materiel and production time available
Carpet Style Loop Shear Saxony BerberRolls to Produce 0 0 0 0 Combined ProfitProfit per Roll 198 194 199 202 0
Resources Required Per Roll of Carpet Used AvailablePolypropylene Yarn/Thread (Kgs) 50 47 52 55 0 9,233Production time per roll (Hours) 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.75 0 240Backing Lattice Kgs) 10 9 10 12 0 1,500Latex Backing Glue (Kgs) 35 33 36 36 0 4,000
LP Demo