dap fisheries reform
TRANSCRIPT
Integrating Commercial and Recreational Sectors in Fishery
Management
Steve ChoySean Guerin
Erin MyersMing Ng
Jesse Patterson
Advisor: Chris CostelloClient: Environmental Defense
University of California, Santa BarbaraDonald Bren School of Environmental Science and Management
The Need for Fisheries Reform
Catch Shares
Catch shares allocate the privilege to harvest a percentage share of the total catch to individual fishermen, communities, or associations
-Environmental Defense
“Sustaining America’s Fisheries and Fishing Communities”
Conceptual Model
Fishery Data
Management Scenarios
Economic
Model Analysis
Environmental
Model Analysis
Social
Model Analysis
Political
Model Analysis
Catch Distribution
Social
Score
Political
Score
Environmental
Score
Catch Distribution
Economic Gain
Management Scenarios
Recreational Industry
Recreational Anglers
Recreational Anglers
Recreational Anglers
Baseline Scenario
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Recreational Industry
Recreational Industry
Recreational Anglers
Commercial Commercial Commercial
Recreational Industry
Commercial
Calculating Demand
Commercial
Recreational Industry
Recreational Anglers
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Demand for Rockfish Tags: Willingness-to-Pay by Sectors and Sub-sectors
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000
Quantity of tags demanded
Pri
ce
pe
r ta
g (
$)
Economic Model – Determine willingness to pay for tags
Commercial Demand
Recreational Angler Demand (Private Boater)
Recreational Angler Demand (Shore)
Aggregate Recreational Angler Demand
Recreational Industry Demand
Baseline Scenario
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000
Quantity of tags demanded
Pri
ce
pe
r ta
g (
$)
Commercial Demand
Commercial TAC
$8.36
$6.66
Recreational Industry Demand
Recreational Industry Harvest
Scenario 1
Scenario 2: Tags Tradable Across Commercial and Recreational Industry Sectors
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000
Quantity of tags demanded
Pri
ce
pe
r ta
g (
$)
Commercial Demand
Recreational Industry Demand
Aggregate Comm. and Rec. Industry Demand
Aggregate Comm. and Rec. Industry TAC
$7.32
Commercial TAC
Recreational Industry Harvest
Scenario #2 Distribution of TAGS
Comm.20%
Rec Industry
54%
Rec Angler26%
Comm increases
5%
$7.15
Scenario 3 Summary
Scenario #3 Distribution of TAGS
Comm.21%
Rec Industry
56%
Rec Angler 23%
Economic Analysis – Gains from trade
Annual Welfare Benefits from Trade
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Wel
fare
e B
enef
its
Commercial
Recreational Industry
Recreational Angler
Conceptual Model
Fishery Data
Management Scenarios
Economic
Model Analysis
Environmental
Model Analysis
Social
Model Analysis
Political
Model Analysis
Catch Distribution
Social
Score
Political
Score
Environmental
Score
Catch Distribution
Economic Gain
Environmental, Social and Political Analysis Using Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) as a tool
for comparison.
Environmental
Social
Political
Environmental Model
Stakeholders:• Commercial Industry
• Recreational Industry
• Recreational Anglers
Elements:• Biomass
• Size Distribution
• Habitat Impact
• Bycatch
• Discards
Social Model
Aspects:•Jobs
•Access/ Opportunity
•Peripheral Effects
Political Model
Acceptability:• Flexibility• Complexity• Costs• Sustainability• Enforceability• Ecosystem Health
•Readiness:• Trade facilitation • Existing Organization
Final Results
Comparison of Scenarios Across Criteria
$12,073 $14,229
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Wei
gh
ted
Sco
re
-$4,600
$400
$5,400
$10,400
$15,400
Do
llar
s
Social Environmental Political Acceptability
Political Readiness Gains From Trade ($)
Recommendation: Scenario 2
Positives
High gains from trade Increase in stewardship
Biomass Compliance
Increases long term sustainability and short term profits in both industries
Generates Essential Fishery Information (EFI)
Scenario 2: A Closer Look
Challenges
Potential size high-grading and discards
Setting accurate recreational and commercial harvest limits for species and species complexes
Increased complexity of regulation
The Wider Scope
A fishery management system that integrates commercial and recreational sectors can result in greater benefits than a system that manages sectors separately.
Special Thanks and Acknowledgements to:
Jeff Barr Kate Bonzon California Department of
Fish and Game Chris Callahan and the Sea
Landing Crew Marc Conte Chuck Cook Chris Costello Jason Diamond and the
Stardust crew Environmental Defense
Rod Fujita Chris Hoeflinger Matt Kotchen Marcus Lebeck Merit McCrea Maggie Ohstahl Tom Raftican David Stoms Sustainable Fisheries Group John Ugoretz Das Williams Oran Young
Sensitivity Analysis
Commercial price/cost Age Tag price Expected catch Annual # of CPFV trips Weights for MCA
Sensitivity Analysis Results –
Low and high range for each demand curve
Sensitivity Analysis- Distribution Comparison- Scenario 2
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
comm cpfv private shore
sectors
Dis
trib
utio
n %
Model
SA8
SA12
Sensitivity Analysis- Distribution Comparison- Scenario 3
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
comm cpfv private shore
sectors
Dis
trib
utio
n %
Model
SA8
SA12
Sensitivity Analysis Results
Environmental Sensitivity Analysis
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.2
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Model
SA8
SA12
MCA Results
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Social Environmental PoliticalAcceptability
PoliticalReadiness
Weighted Scores by Criteria
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Sensitivity Analysis
Economic model was most sensitive to: Commercial Costs Angler Age
Economic Model was run using a high and low estimate to maximize and minimize the effects on distribution and gains from trade
Results then run through the Environmental and Social and then Political Model
Scenario 2 was still the favored scenario