daily trade journal - 15.05.2013

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  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

    1/6

    p

    q

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    40.2

    859.9

    10.6

    1,088.8

    228.9

    Wednesday, May 15, 2013

    866.2

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    49.1

    1,695.9

    0.23 %

    -0.06 %

    2,384.5

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 14.53

    - 2.16

    6,221.12

    3,498.34

    ASPI 10.2%

    13.4%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 15.05.2013Bourse reverts back to the green: The benchmark

    index moved on a volatile note with renewed buying

    interest leading to a gain of 14 points at 6,221.12

    points. BFI sector and Diversified sectors continued

    dominancy, adding 62% to the turnover. Gains

    denoted in heavy weights; Nestle Lanka (+1.8%),

    Carsons Cumberbatch (+1.4%), Hatton National Bank

    (+1.8%) and John Keells Holdings (+0.4%) supported

    the uptrend of the index while marginal dips in

    banking players in the S&P SL20 calibre led the index

    to close marginally down at 3,498.34 points.15 crossings added 54% to the turnover spearheaded

    by John Keells Holdings: John Keells Holdings

    continued to lead the turnover supported by 7 off-

    board deals which carried 1.25 mn shares at LKR274.0

    and LKR275.0. The counter touched a new 52-week

    high of LKR275.0 with majority of on-board interest

    weighing towards the selling side. BFI sector interestcontinued highlighting Sampath Bank (-1.5%),

    National Development Bank(-2.3%) and Commercial

    Bank (-1.4%) creating further opportunity to

    accumulate. The former counters encountered one

    and four crossings each at LKR225.0 and LKR175.0.

    Motor sector witnessed renewed play with notable

    interest in Colonial Motors, Diesel and Motor

    Engineering and United Motors. The latter closed with

    a gain of 5.1% at LKR113.1 after an off-board block of

    1 mn shares which was crossed off at LKR110.0 while

    the former counters secured gains of 8.3% and 1.6%respectively. Renewed interest in Cargills led two off

    market blocks amounting to 670k shares at LKR165.0.

    Strong on-board interest on Piramal Glass as it traded

    at a 52-week high: Piramal Glass was noted in the

    top turnover slot with several large blocks being

    picked at its new 52-week high of LKR6.9. The counter

    offers attractive dividend yields of 5.7% and 6.1% on

    FY14E and FY15E net earnings whilst trading below the

    manufacturing sector trailing PER of 11.6.Retail activity saw a slowdown: Retail interest focusedon Piramal Glass, PC House, Dialog Axiata, FLC

    Holdings and Blue Diamond [Non-Voting].

    Upward climb in ASPI amidstcrossings adding 54% toturnover

  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 10.05.2013

    9.18

    10.20

    11.29

    13.48

    Inflation (%) Apr-13 6.4

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index q

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance q

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation p

    Telecom p

    -0.05%

    2.3

    400.5

    -92.1

    13,967.4

    % Change

    0.24%2.3

    457.21%

    16.8

    -1.27%

    0.64%

    -0.30%

    0.54%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    0.18%

    253.10%

    -42.85%

    -1033.35%

    308.4

    2,378.9

    24.0

    15.74%

    15.74%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1,465.3

    11.6

    -1.09%

    0.55%

    0.23%

    Today

    859.9

    2.3

    228.9

    16.8

    6,221.1

    -0.06%

    2,384.5

    2.1

    1,088.8

    166.58%

    166.58%104.84%

    2.43%

    13.449.1

    253

    3,498.3

    636.2

    5.0

    247

    1,695.9

    0.23%

    491.93%

    672.89%

    Week ending

    -0.49%

    -3.53%

    0.00%

    0.18%

    -0.65%

    0.18%

    253

    2,380.3

    6,210.1

    3,521.3

    50.9

    0.18%

    -4.55%

    183.9

    29.6

    154.3

    Change %

    6,206.6

    3,500.5

    2.2

    0.23% 16.8

    Pre Day

    14,068.9

    17,330.1

    2,069.8

    3,566.6

    597.1

    0.09%

    2,944.1

    2,065.7

    -0.37%

    0.59%

    0.75%

    0.44%

    2,907.8

    17,337.6

    596.4

    172.5 174.90.12%172.7

    2.2

    3,004.9

    17,432.9

    2,929.7

    2,078.9

    13,915.8

    Pre Day

    -4.55%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 15.05.2013

    Today

    4.94

    714.8 715.8 -0.14% 702.2 1.80%

    827.4 820.3 0.87% 802.7 3.08%

    3,006.3

    3,580.8

    0.41%

    3,569.9

    599.6

    0.09%3,002.0

    5600

    5800

    6000

    6200

    6400

    Index

    ASPI

    3200

    3250

    3300

    3350

    3400

    3450

    3500

    3550

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    UNITED MOTORS

    CARGILLS

    PIRAMAL GLASS

    Most Active

    Close

    274.20

    830.00

    273.00

    835.00

    168.00

    134.90

    715.00

    9.50

    Volume (mn)

    3.5%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    5.2%

    443,394,395

    110,873,304

    82,555,013

    379,396,179

    123,774,251

    2.41

    2.17

    11.97

    0.3% 6,736,976

    82,555,013

    15.9%

    113.10

    159.80

    6.90

    DIALOG 9.50

    PC HOUSE 3.80

    % Change

    FREE LANKA

    NAT. DEV. BANK 174.90

    4.31

    11.97

    6.44

    179.00

    -2.29%179.00

    1.12

    0.670.19%

    2.17

    1.47%

    11.76%

    0.00%

    4.6%

    3.5%

    1.0%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    379,396,179

    1.47%

    2.80

    23,844,085

    40,978,875

    9.90

    PC HOUSE

    CARGO BOAT

    Pre Day

    0.44%273.00 18.6%1.62

    Volume (mn)% Change

    11.76%

    + 9.90 14.60%

    274.20

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    148.50

    1.7%

    15.9%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    159.80

    324.05

    876.76

    114.50

    58.50

    159.00

    42.10

    34,058.47

    73.00

    223.50

    165.00

    42.70

    706.00

    72.50

    22.40

    240.00

    TodayCompany

    164.00

    BOGALA GRAPHITE

    95.00

    269.33

    0.87109.68

    223.18

    145.84

    40,978.88

    0.76

    Today

    9.55%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    68.1025.00%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    43,613.39

    95.60

    344.89

    1.15

    830.00

    443,394.39

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    275.00

    0.45

    146.00

    222.50

    134.80

    181.50

    43.20

    9.40

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 1,616,799

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 1,506

    1.6%

    4209,779

    11,300

    9.9%

    6.5%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.7%

    3.1%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    14.42

    1,850.00

    116.50

    56.89

    3.82

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 134.90

    2.3% 28.47

    483.63

    168.00

    187.3118,362.31

    1.48145.21

    445.00

    720.00

    9.60

    1,887.50

    115.00

    446.001,899.00

    28,223.02

    3,600.59

    3.8%

    2.3%

    1.2%

    204

    4,313,672

    168,925

    422

    4.3%

    184.00

    60.00

    3.2%

    183.60

    59.40

    446.00

    3.2%

    174.90

    5.11%

    1.6%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 9.80

    - 12.40

    - 2.90

    - 24.50

    % Change

    228.40

    159.50

    6.80

    107.60

    SATHOSA MOTORS

    + 0.40

    SIGIRIYA VILLAGE

    73.00

    147.10

    Volume

    3,506.27

    0.00%

    -2.29%

    379,860

    1,251.59

    110,873.30

    2,197 1,823.72

    1.4%

    Change

    0.50

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    2.80

    Today Pre Day

    6.80

    3.40

    9.50

    + 0.10

    DISTILLERIES

    8,473

    151,539

    PIRAMAL GLASS 6.90

    Company

    19,647

    1,601

    671,997

    REGNIS

    S M B LEASING [X]

    Company Today

    1.5%

    CHEMANEX

    SERENDIB ENG.GRP 178.00 + 37.00 26.24% HUEJAY 64.10 - 14.70 -18.65%

    -9.26%

    -11.46%

    -12.58%

    -11.55%

    91.80

    3.80

    77.70

    + 8.00

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Balangoda Plantations PLC

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    p

    p

    p

    p

    p

    p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    04-07-2013

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    86.17

    Price

    102.28

    93.15

    USD/bbl.

    101.80

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    192.49

    1.00

    0.00 0

    27-06-2013

    126.46

    0.0033.72

    Malaysia

    4.03

    125.10

    20.57

    2.31

    1.24

    42.19

    India

    Currency

    163.47

    Indicative Rate

    15.05.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,695.0

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.32

    114.0

    0

    2,801.5

    130.79

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.25

    USA

    02:28

    9.0

    1/0/1900

    Change

    0.21%

    337.6

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    07:24

    07:23

    0.13%

    07:24

    Company

    07:43

    07:20

    07:23

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    07:31

    07:32

    Time*

    07:22

    -1.51%

    Change %

    -0.63%

    -1.88%

    -0.31%

    -1.13%

    2.29%

    0.50%

    -0.99%

    16.6

    Change

    -0.86%-0.75

    0

    -1.06

    Change %

    323.85

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.44

    706.25

    -4.95

    22.94

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    15,096.0

    Value

    15,215.3

    1,650.3

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -4.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    23,044.2

    Units

    0

    5.9

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    0.82%

    1.01%

    123.6

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,410.40 -14.10

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    E-Channelling [ECL: LKR7.1]: Mr E-Channelling has entered into anagreement with Laugfs Pay & Go (Pvt) Ltd which would facilitate customers the

    appointments to channel doctors through Laugfs retail network.

    Singer Finance [SFIN: LKR14.40]: Dr. Saman Kelegama has beenappointed as the Chairman of the Company to fill the vacancy created by theresignation of Mr. H.D.S Amarasuriya with effect from, 30

    thApril 2013

    Dealing by Directors:

    Local News Sri Lanka's Treasuries yields plunge: Sri Lanka's Treasuries yields plunged as much as 45 basis points at the

    first bill auction following a 50 basis point rate cut last week, data from the state debt office showed. The 3-

    month yield fell 43 basis points to 8.75%, the 6-month yield fell 29 basis points to 9.91% and the 12-month

    yield fell 45 basis points to 10.84%. The debt office which is a unit of the Central Bank said offered LKR15.0

    bn of bills for auction and accepted LKR19.1 bn rupees in bids selling LKR1.0 bn in 3-month, LKR2.9 bn in 6-

    month and LKR15.1 billion worth 12-month bills.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Australia's Crown applies to invest in Sri Lanka: minister: Melbourne based Crown group has submitted aninvestment application to Sri Lanka which is pending approval, investment promotion minister LakshmanAbeywardena said. Crown, an entertainment and gaming group has been planning a USD350 mn mixed

    development in Sri Lanka's capital Colombo, according to reports. Sri Lanka has also proposed changes to the

    country's gaming laws. Sri Lanka already has about a dozen casinos. Sri Lanka is targeting foreign customers

    mainly from the Indian subcontinent for its gaming industry. The country's tourism industry has been

    growing rapidly since the end of a 30-year war.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Krrish payments to be completed in May: Investment Promotion Minister Lakshman Yapa Abeywardenayesterday assured that payments on the controversial Krrish project would be completed by the end of May.

    Dealing with the knotty issue, Abeywardena said that 81% of the LKR4,995 mn project has been paid up,

    which is a value of LKR4,049 mn admitted that the total should have been completed by the end of March

    2013 but stressed that the oversight was on the part of the Sri Lankan Government, which had to sort out a

    discrepancy with the Urban Development Auditory (UDA). Since the land for the Krrish project was given by

    the UDA, it was necessary for the Government to transfer two other acres to it. This had to be done by us so

    there were a few delays. He expressed confidence that the full amount would be paid according to the new

    timeline.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Lankas insurance market fast growing: Central Bank Governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal said the segregationof composite insurance companies into life and non- life would enhance the focus and capacity of players in

    the industry to reach untapped areas of the economy and support the opportunities which would be

    generated with the five hubs concept as enumerated in Mahinda Chinthana. Cabraal expressed these views

    addressing a seminar on The Future of Insurance in Sri Lanka organized by Asian Alliance Insurance PLC

    (AAI), along with their new shareholders, Messrs. Financierings-Maatschappij voor Ontwikkelingslanden N.V.

    Netherlands(FMO) and Deutsche Investitions-und Entwicklungsgessellschaft MBH of Germany (DEG). The

    3% of total asset of financial sector in Sri Lanka is in the insurance sector, this perhaps tell us there is

    Company Name Relationship Transaction Quantity Price

    (LKR)

    Date

    Touchwood Investments [TWOD:LKR6.0] Mrs. S.G Jamburegoda Director Sale 9,384,638 6.00-7.30 02.05.13

  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 15.05.2013

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    tremendous scope for us to improve. However, Sri Lankan insurance industry is lagging far behind compared

    to Asian countries in general. In Sri Lanka, premiums as a percentage of GDP is 1.2% versus a regional

    average of 5.8%, whilst long term life insurance business accounts for 0.5% of GDP, Cabraal said. In Sri

    Lanka, out of 22 insurance companies, six are exclusively in general business, three in long term insurance

    business. Out of 22 insurance companies, only seven companies are listed. Sri Lanka has one of the fastest

    growing insurance markets in the world with low level penetration. This scenario would create space for us to

    grow at least 5-6 times what we are in toady. Today, we are opening up many new vistas for the country toprogress. We are on a steady path to reach USD4000 per capita income target, perhaps before 2016. We

    have reached almost USD3,000 within a very short of time and there are enough areas for us to show that Sri

    Lanka is well within the reach to achieve USD4,000 per capita income level target, Cabraal said.

    [Source: www.dailynews.lk]

    Fitch publishes Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation at IFS BB-/Stable: Fitch Ratings Lanka has published SriLanka Insurance Corporation Limiteds (SLIC) Insurer Financial Strength rating (IFS) at BB- with a Stable

    Outlook. The agency has also affirmed the National Insurer Financial Strength Rating and National Long-Term

    rating at AA(lka) with a Stable Outlook. The ratings reflect SLICs strong franchise and capitalisation,

    supported by sustained profitability and high capital retention. Regulatory solvency at end-2012 was 11x(2011:11.6x) in life and 3.4x (2011: 2.2x) in non-life and compare well with peers. Fitch expects support from

    the Government of Sri Lanka, if required, due to its 99.9% ownership and SLICs strategic importance as the

    largest state-owned insurer. Offsetting the strengths are significant investments in non-core subsidiaries,

    which are made in line with government policy and a high equity exposure which weakens risk-based capital.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Global News Euro-Area Recession Deepens as Slowdown Exceeds Estimates: The euro-area economy shrank more than

    economists forecast in the three months through March, extending a recession to a record sixth quarter and

    increasing pressure on the currency blocs leaders to spur growth. Gross domestic product in the 17-nationeuro zone fell 0.2% after a 0.6% decline in the previous quarter, the European Unions statistics office in

    Luxembourg said today. The median of 39 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 0.1% contraction.

    From a year earlier, the economy shrank 1%. The slowdown has spread to the euro core. The German

    economy, Europes largest, expanded less than forecast in the first quarter. France slipped into a recession

    and Italys contraction exceeded estimates. The European Central Bank cut its benchmark interest rate to a

    record low of 0.5% this month and President Mario Draghi said the ECB is ready to act again if needed. The

    first-quarter contraction reinforces pressure on the ECB to come up with further measures to try and

    support euro-zone growth, said Howard Archer, an economist at IHS Global Insight in London. An interest

    rate cut to 0.25% looks ever more possible, while the ECB will also continue to look into the case for a

    negative deposit rate and ways of getting more credit through to smaller companies.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    U.K. ILO Unemployment Rises in Sign of Slowing Labor Market: U.K. unemployment rose in the firstquarter and the number of people in work fell the most in 1 1/2 years as the pressure on wages intensified,

    adding to signs that the labor market is slowing. Joblessness as measured by International Labour

    Organisation methods rose 15,000 in the three months through March to 2.52 mn, a rate of 7.8%, the Office

    for National Statistics said today in London. Employment fell by 43,000. Average earnings grew 0.4%, the

    least since 2009. While the economy returned to growth in the first quarter, the recovery may be restrained

    by the governments fiscal squeeze and weak demand in the euro area. The labor market, which proved

    resilient during the financial crisis, may be slow to pick up as companies meet demand from existing

    workers. The Bank of England is due to publish new growth forecasts today. What you are seeing is a slight

    deterioration in the employment data, saidRoss Walker, chief U.K. economist at Royal Bank of ScotlandGroup Plc in London. Its not collapsing, but the underlying picture is weak.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]