current experience with weather hazards an insurance industry view by dr andrew dlugolecki andlug...

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Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk assessment in the context of climate change and extreme weather events Bonn May 12-13th 2003

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Page 1: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Current experience with weather hazards

An Insurance Industry View

by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki

Andlug Consulting

for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk assessment in the context of climate change and extreme weather events

Bonn May 12-13th 2003

[email protected]

Page 2: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Overview

• Weaknesses of insurance industry

• Strengths

• The way forward

[email protected]

Page 3: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Gaps in Cover (1)

 Natural disasters 80 % of loss is uninsured

 Process friction c 30% of fund is not recycled

 Access to funds a rich man's club ?  

[email protected]

Page 4: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Gaps in Cover (2)

 Product design short-term, restrictive terms

Lack of capital unstable prices, volatile supply

Fragmented market incapable of dialogue?

[email protected]

Page 5: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Strengths (1)

Efficient risk transfer risk pricing mechanism

Global outlook can transfer lessons internationally

Vertical sophistication specialists for all functions variety of RM solutions

[email protected]

Page 6: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Strengths (2)

Leverage potential interacts with all sectors

claims purchasing power

Administration network fraud control "overflow" capacity

[email protected]

Page 7: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

The Way Forward (1)

Collaboration on public policy

pricing (social v efficient models)

regulation (tariff v competitive models)

compensation (liability v relief/charity v contractual )

physical resilience (design and construction)

[email protected]

Page 8: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

Finance Sector Agenda

[email protected]

Page 9: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

The Way Forward (2)

Capital formation renting, tax breaks, ART

Internal processes  product design,distribution

The human factor selection, training, development

Information specification, capture and use

[email protected]

Page 10: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

UK subsidence - the problem

Product - uniform (zero) national rates in 1971

- integrated into multiperil cover

Problem -more frequent droughts

-indiscriminate planting

- damage to buildings ( $800m in 1990!)

-greater risk information

[email protected]

Page 11: Current experience with weather hazards An Insurance Industry View by Dr Andrew Dlugolecki Andlug Consulting for UNFCCC workshop on insurance and risk

UK subsidence - the solution

• deeper foundations ( regulatory action)• differential rating within multiperil (insurers)• improved claim-handling (insurers)

• liability for tree management (courts)

[email protected]