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© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license.
Prof Steve Easterbrook Dept of Computer Science
CSC2720H: Systems Thinking for Global Problems
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 2
Course Goals ➜ To change your perspective
➜ To give you new thinking tools
➜ To provide concepts & terms to help understand dynamic, complex systems
➜ To persuade you that systems thinking offers a coherent intellectual field of study
➜ To encourage you to apply these ideas in your own research
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 3
Outline
➜ Course Intro Ä Website: http://www.cs.toronto.edu/~sme/SystemsThinking Ä Books Ä Assignments
➜ Key Ideas Ä Linear Thinking vs Systems Thinking Ä Parts vs Wholes; Reductionism vs Holism Ä Dynamic equilibrium Ä Modeling: Stocks & Flows; Feedback loops Ä Second order cybernetics Ä System transformation, collapse, and resilience Ä Boundary critique
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 4
Books
Donella Meadows Thinking In Systems
Gerald Weinberg Intro to General
Systems Thinking
Michael C. Jackson Systems Approaches to Management
Ramage & Shipp Systems Thinkers
Bryan Walker & David Salt
Resilience Thinking
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 5
Assignments ➜ Class Participation
Ä Show up Ä Do stuff Ä Get credit
➜ A 5-minute talk about a prominent systems thinker Ä Must agree on who does whom Ä Sources: Ramage & Shipp’s book, course website Ä Bonus marks: Make it a Pecha Kucha!
➜ Term Paper Ä E.g. A Case Study applying ST in your own research area Ä Or…?
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 6
Why Systems Thinking? ➜ What makes a traffic jam?
➜ How do epidemics spread?
➜ Why does the stock market fluctuate?
➜ How should we address climate change?
➜ What general principles characterize the behaviour of complex systems?
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 7
Course Overview 1. Intro
2. Feedback Loops
3. Metabolism of the Anthropocene
4. Delay and Inertia
5. Resilience and Collapse
6. Systems Archetypes
7. Chaos and Complexity Theory
8. Leverage Points
9. Interpretivist Systems Thinking
10. Boundary Critique
11. Mindfulness!
12. Applied Systems Thinking
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 8
So what is a system? ➜ Ackoff: A system is a set of two or more
elements that satisfies the following conditions: Ä The behaviour of each element has an effect on the behaviour of the
whole Ä The behaviour of the elements and their effect on the whole are inter-
dependent Ä However sub-groups of elements are formed, each has an effect on
the behaviour of the whole and none has an independent effect on it
➜ Weinberg: A system is a way of looking at the world Ä Systems don’t really exist! Ä Just a convenient way of describing things (cf: set theory)
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 9
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 10
Elements of a system ➜ Boundary
Ä Separates a system from its environment
Ä Often not sharply defined Ä Also known as an “interface”
➜ Environment Ä Part of the world with which the
system can interact Ä System and environment are inter-
related
➜ Observable Interactions Ä How the system interacts with its
environment (inputs and outputs) Ä A closed system has no interaction
with its environment Ä No system is fully closed
➜ Subsystems Ä Can decompose a system into parts Ä Each part is also a system Ä For each subsystem, the remainder of
the system is its environment Ä Subsystems are inter-dependent
➜ Control Mechanism Ä How the behaviour of the system is
regulated to allow it to endure Ä Often a natural mechanism, relying on
feedback loops
➜ Emergent Properties Ä Properties that hold of a system, but
not of any of the parts Ä Properties that cannot be predicted
from studying the parts
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 11
Open vs. Closed?
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 12
Here is a system
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license.
Systems AcCvity:
AVALANCHE
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 14
Reading for Next Week
Chapters 1 & 2 of Meadows
University of Toronto Department of Computer Science
© 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 15
Summary: Systems Thinking