crab bank rating methodology
TRANSCRIPT
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CREDIT RATING AGENCY OF BANGLADESH LIMITED
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Presentation Outline
Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view
Rating MethodologyRating Methodology
CRAB's Presentation 2
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Presentation Outline
Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view
Rating MethodologyRating Methodology
CRAB's Presentation 3
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Anatomy of Bank Risk
Non-Financial Risk
Financial Risk
Strategic R isk
Service Risk
CRAB's Presentation 4
Operational Risk Legal Risk Reputational Risk
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Balance Sheet Risk
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Intrinsic Risk
Liquidity Risk
Currency Risk
CRAB's Presentation 5
Commodity Risk
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Presentation Outline
Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view
Rating MethodologyRating Methodology
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RATING PROCESS FLOW
Rating Frame Work
Analysis and Evaluation
Rating Committee Meeting
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Final Rating
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Rating Framework
CRABs BankDataBaseCRABs BankDataBase CRABs BankRatiosCRABs BankRatios
Rating ScaleRating Scale
Rating of Individual BankRating of Individual Bank
WeightWeight XX Analysis OutputAnalysis Output
WeightWeight XX Quantitative RatingQuantitative Rating
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FINAL RATINGFINAL RATING
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CRABs Rating Methodology
CRAB's Presentation 9
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CRABs Rating Methodology
CRAB's Presentation 10
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Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y
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Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y
CRAB's Presentation 12
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Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y
CRAB's Presentation 13
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FACTOR : PROFITABILITY
CRAB's Presentation 14
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FACTOR : PROFITABILITY
0.80
0.70
Lgscore
Exponential
Power
Linear
Observed
ROAA
10.008.006.004.002.000.00
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
Lgscore
Exponential
Power
Linear
Observed
CRAB's Presentation 15
C_I
100.0080.0060.0040.0020.000.00
0.40
0.30
0.20
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Eff ic iency
Look in t o the cu r r en t yea r e f f i c iency l eve l
Last F ive Years Tren d
Trend Ana lysi s Re la t i ve to I ndus t r y and Peer
K ey I n d i ca to r
Cos t to I ncome Rat io : Non I n t e res t Expenses re la t i ve t o Re v en u e [ N et I n t e r est I n co m e + N o n I n t e r est I ncom e + Net Gain o r Losses on Secur i t ies Sa les]
Cost Per Bran ch
Cost Per Em lo ee
CRAB's Presentation 16
Th i s i s a m easu re o f bank s e f f i c iency and i t s ab i li t y to
g e n era te i n c rem e n ta l p ro f i t s w i t h a d d e d re v en u e
Ra t io i s j u dged in te rm s o f bus iness g row th ,
m a n a ge m e n t q u a l it y a n d o p e ra t i n g p e r f o rm a n ce
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Analy s is Pr ocess o f Ef f ic iency
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Analy s is Pr ocess o f Ef f ic iency
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FACTOR : EARNINGS AND VOLATILITY
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FACTOR : EARNINGS AND VOLATILITY
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FACTOR: Asset Qual i t y
Main Dr i ve r o f Fu t u re Ea rn ings
Non Per fo r m ing Loan Sta t us and T rend
Causes beh ind non pe r fo rm ing loan
Grad in g o f NPL i .e. Spec ia l Ment ion Accoun t ,Subs tanda rd , Doub t f u l and Bad Loss
Reschedu le Sta t us
W r i t e o f f Sta tu s
Fresh NPL Gener at ion
CRAB's Presentation 21
Gr oss NPL Rati o
Net NPL Rat io
NPL as % o f Shareho ld ers Equ i t y p lu s Loan Loss Reserv e
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NPL Tr en d o f PCBs
CRAB's Presentation 22
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NPL Tr en d o f PCBs
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Asset Qua l i t y
CRAB's Presentation 24
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NPL Tren d o f PCBs for FY 0 1- 06
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FACTOR : CAPITAL ADEQUACY
Cap i ta l Adequacy in te rm s o f regu la to r y requ i rem en ts
Exceed ing r egu la to ry cap i ta l and ex t en t
Tie r I Cap i ta l pos i t i on
K ey I n d i ca to r s
RWCAR
Tie r 1 Cap i ta l as % o f RWA
Shareho lde r s Equ i t y as % o f Depos i t and Bo r r ow ing
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FACTOR : LIQUIDITY & FUNDING
L iqu id i t y Managem en t
Liquidity risks as a function of the unique structure of a banksasset and liabilities
Degree to which illiquid assets (primarily loans) are funded bycore liabilities that are stable ( primarily customer deposits, longterm debts and equity)
Asset Liability matching in light of interest rate dynamics
Liquidity monitoring and control system
Diversification of its funding
Contingent planning and liquidity stress testing
CRAB's Presentation 27
Marke t R isk Appe t i t e
Sensitivity of both trading and non trading books to majorchanges in interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange ratesand credit spreads.
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Fund ing St r uc tu r e
D ep o si t G ro w th i n t e rm s o f p ee r a n d i n d u s t r y
Fund ing Mix i .e . Cur ren t Depos i t , Sav ings Depos i t , TermD ep o si t , I n t e rb a n k b o r ro w i n g , Sh o r t Te rm Le n d i n g
Deposi t Renew Ra te
Movemen t o f Cos t o f Fund
Matu r i t y p ro f i l e o f Depos i t
Deposi t Len t Ou t Ra te
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RATI OS
CRAB's Presentation 29
Advance to Deposit Ratio
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FACTOR : FRANCHISE VALUE
W h y I t M at t e r s
Solidity of a banks market standing
Indicates the ability to generate and sustain earnings
Key Ana ly t ica l Area
ar e ar e an u s a n a y
Portfolio and Deposit base
Trend over the Period
Business Tenure
Earn i ngs Stab i l i t y
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Degree of predictability of main business lines
Focus area: Retail / Corporate
Earn ings D ivers i f i ca t ion
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FACTOR : CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Corpora te Governance
Relationship between the BoD, Management andShareholders
Degree of relationship to balance effectively shareholders
Board Effectiveness
Board Independence
Ownership and Organizational Complexity Management Compensation
CRAB's Presentation 31
Key Personnel Risk
Insider and Related Party Risk
Integrity of Accounting and Audit
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FACTOR : CONTROLS AND RISK MANAGEMENT
Cont ro ls and Risk Managem ent
Internal Checks and Balance System
Functionality of System in light of business mix
Technological advancement
Past Control issues and qualified Audit Reports
Risk Management
Risk Governance
Risk Management
Risk Measurement
CRAB's Presentation 32
Checks and balances between senior executives and Board,
Between risks and business line units,
Limit system, Regular use of stress tests, and Independence of CFO,CRO
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Risk Managem ent
CRAB's Presentation 33
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RISK POSITIONING
Financ ia l Repor t ing Transpar ency
Global Comparability of Reported Financial Information
Frequency and Timeliness of Reporting
Quality of Financial Information reported by banks
Large exposures to single obligor, industry or region
Good diversification across economic sectors enables the bank toride through business cycles without undue harm to asset quality
Borrower Concentration: Large exposures relative to Tier 1Capital and Pre-tax pre Provision Income
CRAB's Presentation 34
Industry Concentration: Aggregate exposures to a particularsector or industry relative to Tier 1 Capital
Regulatory Limit: Individual borrower limit as well as aggregatelarge loan exposure limit corresponding to its level of NPL relativeto its paid up capital
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RISK POSITIONING
L iqu id i t y Managem en t
Liquidity risks as a function of the unique structure of a banksasset and liabilities
Degree to which illiquid assets (primarily loans) are funded bycore liabilities that are stable ( primarily customer deposits, longterm debts and equity)
Asset Liability matching in light of interest rate dynamics
Liquidity monitoring and control system
Diversification of its funding
Contingent planning and liquidity stress testing
CRAB's Presentation 35
Marke t R isk Appe t i t e
Sensitivity of both trading and non trading books to majorchanges in interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange ratesand credit spreads.
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FACTOR : ASSET QUALITY & PROVISIONING
CRAB's Presentation 36