crab bank rating methodology

Upload: tahmid-kamal

Post on 07-Apr-2018

230 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    1/36

    CREDIT RATING AGENCY OF BANGLADESH LIMITED

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    2/36

    Presentation Outline

    Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view

    Rating MethodologyRating Methodology

    CRAB's Presentation 2

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    3/36

    Presentation Outline

    Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view

    Rating MethodologyRating Methodology

    CRAB's Presentation 3

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    4/36

    Anatomy of Bank Risk

    Non-Financial Risk

    Financial Risk

    Strategic R isk

    Service Risk

    CRAB's Presentation 4

    Operational Risk Legal Risk Reputational Risk

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    5/36

    Balance Sheet Risk

    Credit Risk

    Market Risk

    Intrinsic Risk

    Liquidity Risk

    Currency Risk

    CRAB's Presentation 5

    Commodity Risk

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    6/36

    Presentation Outline

    Banks Risk A birds eye-viewBanks Risk A birds eye-view

    Rating MethodologyRating Methodology

    CRAB's Presentation 6

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    7/36

    RATING PROCESS FLOW

    Rating Frame Work

    Analysis and Evaluation

    Rating Committee Meeting

    CRAB's Presentation 7

    Final Rating

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    8/36

    Rating Framework

    CRABs BankDataBaseCRABs BankDataBase CRABs BankRatiosCRABs BankRatios

    Rating ScaleRating Scale

    Rating of Individual BankRating of Individual Bank

    WeightWeight XX Analysis OutputAnalysis Output

    WeightWeight XX Quantitative RatingQuantitative Rating

    CRAB's Presentation 8

    FINAL RATINGFINAL RATING

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    9/36

    CRABs Rating Methodology

    CRAB's Presentation 9

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    10/36

    CRABs Rating Methodology

    CRAB's Presentation 10

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    11/36

    Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y

    CRAB's Presentation 11

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    12/36

    Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y

    CRAB's Presentation 12

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    13/36

    Ana lys is Process o f Pro f i t ab i l i t y

    CRAB's Presentation 13

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    14/36

    FACTOR : PROFITABILITY

    CRAB's Presentation 14

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    15/36

    FACTOR : PROFITABILITY

    0.80

    0.70

    Lgscore

    Exponential

    Power

    Linear

    Observed

    ROAA

    10.008.006.004.002.000.00

    0.60

    0.50

    0.40

    0.30

    0.20

    0.80

    0.70

    0.60

    0.50

    Lgscore

    Exponential

    Power

    Linear

    Observed

    CRAB's Presentation 15

    C_I

    100.0080.0060.0040.0020.000.00

    0.40

    0.30

    0.20

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    16/36

    Eff ic iency

    Look in t o the cu r r en t yea r e f f i c iency l eve l

    Last F ive Years Tren d

    Trend Ana lysi s Re la t i ve to I ndus t r y and Peer

    K ey I n d i ca to r

    Cos t to I ncome Rat io : Non I n t e res t Expenses re la t i ve t o Re v en u e [ N et I n t e r est I n co m e + N o n I n t e r est I ncom e + Net Gain o r Losses on Secur i t ies Sa les]

    Cost Per Bran ch

    Cost Per Em lo ee

    CRAB's Presentation 16

    Th i s i s a m easu re o f bank s e f f i c iency and i t s ab i li t y to

    g e n era te i n c rem e n ta l p ro f i t s w i t h a d d e d re v en u e

    Ra t io i s j u dged in te rm s o f bus iness g row th ,

    m a n a ge m e n t q u a l it y a n d o p e ra t i n g p e r f o rm a n ce

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    17/36

    Analy s is Pr ocess o f Ef f ic iency

    CRAB's Presentation 17

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    18/36

    Analy s is Pr ocess o f Ef f ic iency

    CRAB's Presentation 18

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    19/36

    FACTOR : EARNINGS AND VOLATILITY

    CRAB's Presentation 19

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    20/362

    FACTOR : EARNINGS AND VOLATILITY

    CRAB's Presentation 20

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    21/362

    FACTOR: Asset Qual i t y

    Main Dr i ve r o f Fu t u re Ea rn ings

    Non Per fo r m ing Loan Sta t us and T rend

    Causes beh ind non pe r fo rm ing loan

    Grad in g o f NPL i .e. Spec ia l Ment ion Accoun t ,Subs tanda rd , Doub t f u l and Bad Loss

    Reschedu le Sta t us

    W r i t e o f f Sta tu s

    Fresh NPL Gener at ion

    CRAB's Presentation 21

    Gr oss NPL Rati o

    Net NPL Rat io

    NPL as % o f Shareho ld ers Equ i t y p lu s Loan Loss Reserv e

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    22/362

    NPL Tr en d o f PCBs

    CRAB's Presentation 22

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    23/362

    NPL Tr en d o f PCBs

    CRAB's Presentation 23

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    24/362

    Asset Qua l i t y

    CRAB's Presentation 24

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    25/362

    NPL Tren d o f PCBs for FY 0 1- 06

    CRAB's Presentation 25

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    26/362

    FACTOR : CAPITAL ADEQUACY

    Cap i ta l Adequacy in te rm s o f regu la to r y requ i rem en ts

    Exceed ing r egu la to ry cap i ta l and ex t en t

    Tie r I Cap i ta l pos i t i on

    K ey I n d i ca to r s

    RWCAR

    Tie r 1 Cap i ta l as % o f RWA

    Shareho lde r s Equ i t y as % o f Depos i t and Bo r r ow ing

    CRAB's Presentation 26

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    27/362

    FACTOR : LIQUIDITY & FUNDING

    L iqu id i t y Managem en t

    Liquidity risks as a function of the unique structure of a banksasset and liabilities

    Degree to which illiquid assets (primarily loans) are funded bycore liabilities that are stable ( primarily customer deposits, longterm debts and equity)

    Asset Liability matching in light of interest rate dynamics

    Liquidity monitoring and control system

    Diversification of its funding

    Contingent planning and liquidity stress testing

    CRAB's Presentation 27

    Marke t R isk Appe t i t e

    Sensitivity of both trading and non trading books to majorchanges in interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange ratesand credit spreads.

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    28/362

    Fund ing St r uc tu r e

    D ep o si t G ro w th i n t e rm s o f p ee r a n d i n d u s t r y

    Fund ing Mix i .e . Cur ren t Depos i t , Sav ings Depos i t , TermD ep o si t , I n t e rb a n k b o r ro w i n g , Sh o r t Te rm Le n d i n g

    Deposi t Renew Ra te

    Movemen t o f Cos t o f Fund

    Matu r i t y p ro f i l e o f Depos i t

    Deposi t Len t Ou t Ra te

    CRAB's Presentation 28

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    29/362

    RATI OS

    CRAB's Presentation 29

    Advance to Deposit Ratio

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    30/363

    FACTOR : FRANCHISE VALUE

    W h y I t M at t e r s

    Solidity of a banks market standing

    Indicates the ability to generate and sustain earnings

    Key Ana ly t ica l Area

    ar e ar e an u s a n a y

    Portfolio and Deposit base

    Trend over the Period

    Business Tenure

    Earn i ngs Stab i l i t y

    CRAB's Presentation 30

    Degree of predictability of main business lines

    Focus area: Retail / Corporate

    Earn ings D ivers i f i ca t ion

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    31/363

    FACTOR : CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

    Corpora te Governance

    Relationship between the BoD, Management andShareholders

    Degree of relationship to balance effectively shareholders

    Board Effectiveness

    Board Independence

    Ownership and Organizational Complexity Management Compensation

    CRAB's Presentation 31

    Key Personnel Risk

    Insider and Related Party Risk

    Integrity of Accounting and Audit

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    32/363

    FACTOR : CONTROLS AND RISK MANAGEMENT

    Cont ro ls and Risk Managem ent

    Internal Checks and Balance System

    Functionality of System in light of business mix

    Technological advancement

    Past Control issues and qualified Audit Reports

    Risk Management

    Risk Governance

    Risk Management

    Risk Measurement

    CRAB's Presentation 32

    Checks and balances between senior executives and Board,

    Between risks and business line units,

    Limit system, Regular use of stress tests, and Independence of CFO,CRO

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    33/363

    Risk Managem ent

    CRAB's Presentation 33

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    34/363

    RISK POSITIONING

    Financ ia l Repor t ing Transpar ency

    Global Comparability of Reported Financial Information

    Frequency and Timeliness of Reporting

    Quality of Financial Information reported by banks

    Large exposures to single obligor, industry or region

    Good diversification across economic sectors enables the bank toride through business cycles without undue harm to asset quality

    Borrower Concentration: Large exposures relative to Tier 1Capital and Pre-tax pre Provision Income

    CRAB's Presentation 34

    Industry Concentration: Aggregate exposures to a particularsector or industry relative to Tier 1 Capital

    Regulatory Limit: Individual borrower limit as well as aggregatelarge loan exposure limit corresponding to its level of NPL relativeto its paid up capital

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    35/363

    RISK POSITIONING

    L iqu id i t y Managem en t

    Liquidity risks as a function of the unique structure of a banksasset and liabilities

    Degree to which illiquid assets (primarily loans) are funded bycore liabilities that are stable ( primarily customer deposits, longterm debts and equity)

    Asset Liability matching in light of interest rate dynamics

    Liquidity monitoring and control system

    Diversification of its funding

    Contingent planning and liquidity stress testing

    CRAB's Presentation 35

    Marke t R isk Appe t i t e

    Sensitivity of both trading and non trading books to majorchanges in interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange ratesand credit spreads.

  • 8/3/2019 CRAB Bank Rating Methodology

    36/36

    FACTOR : ASSET QUALITY & PROVISIONING

    CRAB's Presentation 36