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A Management Information release for Scotland COVID-19 Antibody Survey of education Staff (CASS) Report 1 Publication date: 16 December 2020

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  • A Management Information release for Scotland

    COVID-19 Antibody Survey of education Staff (CASS) Report 1

    Publication date: 16 December 2020

  • Public Health Scotland

    1

    This is a Management Information publication Published management information are non-official statistics which may be in the process of

    being transitioned into official statistics. They may not comply with the UK Statistics

    Authority’s Code of Practice with regard to high data quality or high public value, but there is

    a public interest or a specific interest by a specialist user group in accessing these statistics

    as there are no associated official statistics available.

    Users should therefore be aware of the aspects of data quality and caveats surrounding

    these data, all of which are listed in this document.

    Find out more about Management Information publications at:

    www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/National-Statisticians-Guidance-

    Management-Information-and-Official-Statistics.pdf

    http://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/National-Statisticians-Guidance-Management-Information-and-Official-Statistics.pdfhttp://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/National-Statisticians-Guidance-Management-Information-and-Official-Statistics.pdf

  • Public Health Scotland

    2

    Contents Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 3

    Main points ............................................................................................................................... 4

    Methods ................................................................................................................................... 5

    Results and commentary ......................................................................................................... 7

    Glossary ................................................................................................................................. 20

    Contact ................................................................................................................................... 21

    Further information ................................................................................................................. 21

    Rate this publication ............................................................................................................... 21

    Appendix 1 – Data tables ....................................................................................................... 22

    Appendix 2 – Publication metadata ........................................................................................ 29

    Appendix 3 – Early access details ......................................................................................... 30

    Appendix 4 – PHS and Official Statistics................................................................................ 31

  • Public Health Scotland

    3

    Introduction In March 2020, as part of coronavirus (COVID-19) control measures, schools in Scotland

    were closed to almost all pupils. Since mid-August they have re-opened full-time to all pupils

    with infection prevention measures in place.

    As part of its work to better understand how COVID-19 is affecting people in Scotland, Public

    Health Scotland (PHS) leads the COVID-19 education surveillance programme.1 One

    element of this programme is the COVID-19 Antibody Survey of education Staff (CASS),

    launched in October 2020.

    COVID-19 is a disease caused by the new coronavirus known as SARS-CoV-2

    (‘coronavirus’). When the body is infected with coronavirus, it produces antibodies to help

    fight it. Some of these specific antibodies remain in the blood after the body recovers, and

    they can be detected by blood tests known as serology tests. Using such blood tests, CASS

    aims to monitor the proportion of people working in education in Scotland who have

    coronavirus antibodies, and how this changes over the school year 2020/21.

    CASS is voluntary and open to any adult who works in a school or an early learning and

    childcare setting in Scotland. Participation involves completing a monthly online survey and a

    monthly home-based antibody blood test managed by the UK Government antibody testing

    programme.2

    In this report, we report the first findings of CASS covering blood samples taken in the period

    from 17 October 2020 to 16 November 2020.

    1 More information about the components of PHS Public Health Education Surveillance Programme

    can be found at: www.hps.scot.nhs.uk/a-to-z-of-topics/enhanced-surveillance-of-coronavirus-covid-

    19/enhanced-surveillance-for-education/

    2 Details of the UK Government antibody testing programme can be found at:

    www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-

    testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformation

    http://www.hps.scot.nhs.uk/a-to-z-of-topics/enhanced-surveillance-of-coronavirus-covid-19/enhanced-surveillance-for-education/http://www.hps.scot.nhs.uk/a-to-z-of-topics/enhanced-surveillance-of-coronavirus-covid-19/enhanced-surveillance-for-education/http://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformationhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformation

  • Public Health Scotland

    4

    Main points This report provides summary results of nearly 20,000 participants in the COVID-19 Antibody

    Survey of education Staff (CASS) in Scotland, who had blood samples taken between

    17 October and 16 November 2020.

    • The proportion of participants who had antibodies detected is estimated to be 7.3%

    (95% confidence interval (CI) 6.9%–7.7%). This is an adjusted figure, which takes into

    account the performance of the test in detecting antibodies.

    • There were no significant differences between men and women, or by age group, in

    the proportion of participants that had antibodies detected. Participants of non-White

    ethnicities had a higher estimated seroprevalence (11.2% (95% CI 7.2%–17.1%)),

    than those of White ethinicities (7.3% (95% CI 6.9%–7.7%)). However, it should be

    noted that this estimate for non-White ethnicities is based on a small sample.

    • The proportion of staff working in secondary-school settings that had antibodies

    detected (6.3% (95% CI 5.7%–6.9%)) was slightly lower than staff in early learning

    and childcare (8.2% (95% CI 7.2%–9.4%)) and primary-school settings (7.7% (95% CI

    7.1%–8.3%)).

    • Among staff groups, a slightly higher proportion of wider education workforce had

    antibodies detected (8.8% (95% CI 7.6%–10.1%)) than teaching and teaching support

    staff (7.1% (95% CI 6.6%–7.6%)). There was no difference between teaching and

    teaching support staff, and early learning and childcare staff.

    • In four local authority areas (based on location of workplace), the proportion of

    participants that had antibodies detected was higher than the overall national estimate.

    These were Inverclyde, Glasgow City, Renfrewshire and North Lanarkshire. In seven

    local authority areas, the proportion of participants that had antibodies detected was

    lower than the national estimate.

    No direct comparison data are available; however, these results show that the proportion of

    education staff who had antibodies in this period is similar to the proportion of the general

    adult population in Scotland estimated to have antibodies. This is based on the data from the

    ONS Infection survey of a random sample of households, which estimates that 7.1% and

  • Public Health Scotland

    5

    7.3% of the Scottish adult population would have antibodies in October and November,

    respectively.

    Methods Participant recruitment and testing CASS is open to any adult member of staff working in a school or early learning and

    childcare setting in Scotland. Participation is completely voluntary. Participants are recruited

    using invitation packs distributed through national and local authority stakeholders, and they

    self-enrol online. After agreeing to participate, participants complete an online survey and

    register with the UK Government antibody testing service.

    Registrants with the UK testing service who meet inclusion criteria for working in an

    education setting, based on industry and occupation, are invited to receive a test kit by post.

    Using this test kit, participants collect a small finger-prick blood sample that is returned to the

    UK Government antibody testing service for analysis. The specific antibody test used during

    this period was the Elecsys® Anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoassay (Roche®).

    Details of recruitment material and participant journey can be found at: www.hps.scot.nhs.uk/web-resources-container/cass-participant-information/

    Details of the UK Government antibody testing service can be found at: www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-

    testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformation

    Period of analysis This report reviews the findings from samples taken during the period from 17 October 2020

    to 16 November 2020. Schools in all areas of Scotland were open from 18 August (with the

    majority of areas open from 12 August). There was the planned October break of one or two

    weeks in all areas. Specific dates for this varied, but in all areas it fell in the period from 5 to

    19 October.

    http://www.hps.scot.nhs.uk/web-resources-container/cass-participant-information/http://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformationhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronaviruscovid-19-testing-privacy-information/antibody-testing-for-coronavirus-privacyinformation

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Data sources The data for CASS come from the online questionnaires participants complete before their

    antibody test and the results of the antibody test. Participants’ responses to the online

    questionnaire are matched to the antibody tests using community health index (CHI) linkage.

    CHI number is a unique health record identifier used in patient records in Scotland.

    Outcomes This report presents the proportion of people who had antibodies to the coronavirus, also

    known as seroprevalence, by age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation and

    occupational characteristics. These proportions are adjusted for the performance of the tests,

    and a 95% CI is provided for each.3, 4

    Information governance A COVID-19 Rapid Data Protection Impact Assessment (DPIA) was completed for this

    programme, with approval obtained from the PHS Data Protection Officer.

    3 Public Health England. Evaluation of Roche Elecsys Anti-SARS-CoV-2 serology assay for the

    detection of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Available from: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891598/Evalu

    ation_of_Roche_Elecsys_anti_SARS_CoV_2_PHE_200610_v8.1_FINAL.pdf

    4 According to the PHE Porton Down Lab methodology, this reports uses the specificity of 100% (95%

    confidence interval (CI) 99.1–100%) and sensitivity of 86.1% (95% CI 76.5–92.8%) at ≥14 days of

    symptoms when adjusting estimates for the performance of the blood test.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891598/Evaluation_of_Roche_Elecsys_anti_SARS_CoV_2_PHE_200610_v8.1_FINAL.pdfhttps://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891598/Evaluation_of_Roche_Elecsys_anti_SARS_CoV_2_PHE_200610_v8.1_FINAL.pdf

  • Public Health Scotland

    7

    Results and commentary Participant characteristics The data reported in this first report refer to 19,653 participants for whom data from both the

    questionnaire and an antibody test result were available for the period covering 17 October

    and 16 November 2020.

    The majority of the participants were female (88.9%) and of White ethnicity (98.9%). The

    median age was 41 years (interquartile range 33 to 50 years). More than half the participants

    (55.2%) resided in areas which are in the two least deprived quintiles, according to the

    Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD).

    In terms of work setting, 44.8% worked in primary schools, 32.5% worked in secondary

    schools, and 15.3% in early learning and childcare settings. The majority of participants were

    either teachers or teaching support staff professionals (74.1%). Other participants had a

    range of roles in the wider education workforce, and they included cleaning, catering, admin

    and janitorial staff. The workplace settings of participants covered all 32 local authorities in

    Scotland.

    A detailed breakdown of participant characteristics is provided in Table 1. Information on the

    local authority of participants’ place of work can be found in Figure 1 and Table A1 in

    Appendix 1.

    When interpreting the results of this report, it is important to consider how well the

    participants in CASS represent the overall education workforce in Scotland. A number of

    factors may have influenced who participated in the survey. These include the effectiveness

    of dissemination of information about CASS in reaching all staff groups and locations, and

    potential barriers to participation, such as needing internet and mobile phone access. It is

    also possible that people’s feelings about coronavirus in general, and/or their assessment of

    whether they may have previously had COVID-19, influenced whether they took part in

    CASS. Table A2 in Appendix 1 provides a comparison of CASS participants to available data

    on the characteristics of the educational workforce in Scotland.

  • Public Health Scotland

    8

    Table 1: Demographic characteristics of 19,653 participants included in this report

    Characteristic Number Proportion or range

    Sex Female 17,468 88.9%

    Male 2,176 11.1% Prefer not to say 9 0.01%

    Age in years Median age and interquartile range2 41 33 to 50

    16-39 8,791 44.7% 40+ 10,862 55.3%

    Ethnicity All White 19,435 98.9%

    White British 18,836 95.8% White non-British 599 3.0%

    Caribbean / Black 5 0.0%3 Asian, Asian Scottish or Asian British 83 0.4%

    Other 99 0.5% Prefer not to say 31 0.2%

    Socioeconomic deprivation based on area of residence4 1 (Most deprived) 1,858 9.5%

    2 3,039 15.5% 3 3,909 19.9% 4 5,145 26.2%

    5 (Least deprived) 5,702 29.0% Workplace setting

    Early Learning and Childcare 3,016 15.3% Primary School 8,814 44.8%

    Secondary School 6,382 32.5% Special School 781 4.0%

    Other 415 2.1% Unknown 245 1.2%

    Job role Early Learning and Childcare staff 2,537 12.9%

    Teacher 11,059 56.3% Head Teacher 652 3.3%

    Additional Support Needs teacher 460 2.3% Teaching support staff 2,394 12.2%

    Admin and Library staff 795 4.0% Catering staff 283 1.4% Cleaning staff 119 0.6%

    Other staff 1,106 5.6% Not known 248 1.3%

  • Public Health Scotland

    9

    1. Exact figure: 0.05% 2. Interquartile range gives an indication of where the majority of values lie 3. Exact figure: 0.03% 4. Socioeconomic deprivation is measured using Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation version 2020.

  • Public Health Scotland

    10

    Figure 1: Map of number of participants by local authority of workplace1, 2

    1. Participants came from workplaces located in all 32 local authorities in Scotland. 2. Detailed breakdown of participants per local authority of workplace can be found in Table A1

    in Appendix 1.

  • Public Health Scotland

    11

    Proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus Overall, an estimated 7.32% (95% CI 6.93%–7.72%) of participants had SARS-CoV-2

    antibodies. In this section, we report these proportions by personal, occupational and

    workplace characteristics.

    The results reported in this section have been adjusted to take into account the performance

    of the laboratory tests in detecting antibodies.5 For comparison, the unadjusted estimate for

    the proportion of CASS participants with antibodies was 6.30% (95% CI 5.97%–6.65%). Full

    data for unadjusted values can be found in Table A3 of Appendix 1.

    Analyses by sex, age and ethnicity

    The proportion testing positive was not significantly different between males and females

    (7.85% for males and 7.25% for females). Similarly, proportions did not significantly differ

    between age groups (7.19% in the age group 16–39 years and 7.42% in the 40+ years age

    group).

    Ethnicity data was available for 99.8% of the participants. Overall, 11.18% of participants with

    non-White ethnicity had antibodies detected (95% CI from 7.17%–17.07%), compared with

    7.29 of those with White ethnicity (95% CI from 6.90%–7.70%). However it should be noted

    that this estimate for non-White ethnicities is based on a small sample of fewer than 200

    individuals.

    Figure 2 below summarises proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to

    coronavirus by sex, age and ethnicity. Full details of the confidence intervals are reported in

    Table A4 of Appendix 1.

    5. Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research

    International, 2011.

  • Public Health Scotland

    12

    Figure 2: Proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by sex, age and ethnicity1, 2

    1. Seroprevalence reports the proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus.

    2. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011.

    Analyses by workplace setting and job role

    Workplace setting data was available for 98.8% of participants. Participants working in

    secondary schools had a slightly lower proportion of antibody positivity (6.26% (95% CI

    5.65%–6.94%)) than those working in primary schools (7.67% (95% CI 7.09%–8.29%)) and

    early learning and childcare (8.24% (95% CI 7.24%–9.37%)).

    Job role data was available for 98.7% of participants. Participants in the wider education

    workforce had a higher antibody positivity (8.78% (95% CI 7.60%–10.11%)) than those in

    teaching and teaching support roles (7.08% (95% CI 6.64%–7.55%)).

    Figure 3 below shows results by work setting and job role. Full details of the confidence

    intervals are reported in Table A4 of Appendix 1.

  • Public Health Scotland

    13

    Figure 3: Proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by workplace setting and job role1, 2

    1. Seroprevalence reports the proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus.

    2. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011.

    Analyses by deprivation index

    The analysis by deprivation index is based the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD)

    quintiles for the area in which participants live. This data was available for all participants.

    Among those living in areas in the most deprived quintile 8.63% had antibodies detected

    (95% CI 7.34%–10.12%), compared to 7.33% in the least deprived quintile (95% CI 6.63%–

    8.10%).

    Figure 4 below shows the breakdown of proportion of antibody positivity by SIMD. Full details

    of the confidence intervals are reported in Table A4 of Appendix 1.

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Figure 4: Proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by socioeconomic deprivation1, 2

    1. Seroprevalence reports the proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus.

    2. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in Diggle, P.J., 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011.

    Analyses by local authority of workplace

    The analysis by local authority is based on the area of workplace of participants, and data on

    the proportion of antibody positivity was available for 92.9% of participants.

    In four local authority areas the proportion of participants with antibodies detected was higher

    than the overall national estimate of 7.32%, based on the full CASS sample. There were

    Inverclyde (18.6%, 95% CI 14.15%–24.11%), Glasgow City (10.39%, 95% CI 8.95%–

    12.02%), Renfrewshire (9.79%, 95% CI 7.51%–12.68%), and North Lanarkshire (9.44%, 95%

    CI 7.75%–11.46%). The estimate for Inverclyde is based upon a relatively small sample of

    fewer than 300 participants.

    Participants working in Aberdeenshire, Angus, Dumfries and Galloway, Highland, Moray,

    Perth and Kinross, and the Scottish Borders had a lower proportion with antibodies detected

    than the overall national estimate.

  • Public Health Scotland

    15

    Figure 5 below shows the breakdown of proportion of antibody positivity by local authority of

    workplace. Full details of the confidence intervals are reported in Table A5 of Appendix 1.

  • Public Health Scotland

    16

    Figure 5: Proportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by local authority of workplace1, 2

    1. Seroprevalence reports the proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011.

    2. The horizontal blue line shows the overall national proportion (7.32%) calculated from CASS. 95% confidence interval around this estimate was 6.93 to 7.72.

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Discussion This report presents initial results from the first month of CASS. These findings contribute to

    our understanding of the extent to which people in the education workforce in Scotland has

    had coronavirus in the past.

    Overall, the CASS results indicate that the proportion of education staff who had antibodies

    to coronavirus was 7.3% (95% CI 6.9%–7.7%) in the period from mid-October to mid-

    November 2020. This result is consistent with estimates of the proportion of the general adult

    population in Scotland who had antibodies in this period from the Office for National Statistics

    (ONS) COVID-19 Infection Survey. This ONS survey tests individuals in a sample of

    households to estimate the proportion of the population that would test positive for

    antibodies. It therefore provides the best available comparison data. For October 2020, the

    ONS survey estimated that 7.1% of the population in Scotland aged over 16 years would

    have tested positive (95% CI 4.6%–10.4%) and 7.3% in November (95% CI 5.9%–10.8%).6

    No direct comparison of CASS findings with other occupational groups is currently possible,

    as this survey method has only been applied in Scotland. However, the ONS Survey provides

    estimates for England by occupational group; in October 2020 it was estimated that 8.1% of

    those working in the education sector would have tested positive for antibodies (95% CI

    5.9%–10.8%).6

    The main results presented are based on estimates of seroprevalence that have been

    adjusted to take account of how accurate the test is in identifying antibodies, using

    established methods which have also been used by Public Health England and the PHS

    Serology Workstream.7 The Public Health England laboratory estimate of the sensitivity of

    the test used in CASS (the probability that it will give a positive result when the subject being

    6www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronavir

    uscovid19infectionsinthecommunityinengland/december2020#likelihood-of-testing-positive-for-covid-19-

    antibodies-in-england-wales-northern-ireland-and-scotland

    1. Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research

    International, 2011.

    http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19infectionsinthecommunityinengland/december2020#likelihood-of-testing-positive-for-covid-19-antibodies-in-england-wales-northern-ireland-and-scotlandhttp://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19infectionsinthecommunityinengland/december2020#likelihood-of-testing-positive-for-covid-19-antibodies-in-england-wales-northern-ireland-and-scotlandhttp://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19infectionsinthecommunityinengland/december2020#likelihood-of-testing-positive-for-covid-19-antibodies-in-england-wales-northern-ireland-and-scotland

  • Public Health Scotland

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    tested actually has antibodies) is 86.1% at 14 or more days after the onset of COVID-19

    symptoms. The adjustment generates an estimate of what the seroprevalence would be if the

    test were 100% accurate, therefore the adjusted estimates for CASS are higher than the

    unadjusted estimates. The unadjusted estimates simply reflect the proportion of CASS

    participants who had a positive antibody test. It is not yet known how long antibodies remain

    detectable following coronavirus infection.

    Several differences in antibody positivity by job role and workplace setting were observed in

    CASS, though these were small and of uncertain meaning in public health terms. The

    estimated proportion of participants with non-White ethnicities with antibodies to coronavirus

    is based on a relatively small sample and has a wide confidence interval. This means that

    although the higher point estimate for these participants compared with White participants

    may reflect a true difference between population groups, the data suggest it could also be the

    result of chance.

    The CASS findings showed considerable variation in antibody positivity by local authority of

    the workplace. Broadly, this was consistent what we would expect based on the geographical

    differences in coronavirus infection rates in the general population. The highest rates of

    positive antibody tests were seen in Inverclyde, Glasgow City, Renfrewshire and North

    Lanarkshire, all of which are local authorities in the west of the central belt in Scotland that

    has seen relatively high occurrence of COVID-19 across the two waves of the pandemic.

    Antibodies may be present as a result of infection at any point in the coronavirus pandemic,

    so infection rates in both the first and second wave may have a bearing on results.

    The CASS sample is large, with nearly 20,000 participants in the first month of analysis. It is,

    however, not fully representative of the whole education workforce. Table A2 provides some

    information to help assess representativeness, though it is limited by the availability of data

    on the characteristics of the populations of education staff, and in some circumstances

    indicative figures are used which are not directly comparable. The majority of CASS

    participants were teachers, with other staff groups very likely to be under-represented in

    comparison. Women were more likely than men to participate, and it is also possible that

    some ethnic groups are under-represented. CASS participants were more likely to live in

    relatively affluent deprivation quintiles. This distribution is especially marked for teachers,

  • Public Health Scotland

    19

    although in the absence of comparison data it is not possible to ascertain if this is because of

    the socio-economic status of teachers in general, or because of bias in the CASS sample.

    Furthermore, CASS is based on open recruitment, with anyone within the eligible population

    able to volunteer and take part. This means that differences in how information about the

    study reached different geographical and occupational groups may have introduced bias into

    the cohort. For example, sharing of information through social media may have resulted in

    people who use particular forms of social media or belong to specific groups being more

    likely to participate. Similarly, individual motivations for taking part may also have influenced

    the findings, for example if people who were more anxious about coronavirus, or who thought

    they had already had COVID-19, were more likely to sign up.

    It is important to note that the current results are based on the description of findings in single

    groups, and do not take account of factors which may overlap, such as the interaction

    between job role and social and demographic factors. Future, more detailed, analyses will be

    able to adjust for some of these factors to some extent and provide further insight into the

    factors associated with having antibodies detected. Further rounds of data from CASS will

    also permit monitoring over time, providing information on if and how the proportion of

    education staff with antibodies to coronavirus changes through the 2020/21 school year.

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Glossary Antibodies: Specific proteins produced by the body when fighting infections.

    CHI: Community Health Index, an administrative unique identification used in health records in Scotland.

    COVID-19: The disease caused by the new strain of coronavirus known as SARS-CoV-2.

    Prevalence: The proportion of individuals in a population that have a disease (or positive test) over a specific time.

    SARS-CoV-2: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, the new strain of coronavirus that causes COVID-19.

    Serology: A blood test carried out in a component of blood known as serum.

    Seroprevalence: The proportion of individuals who tested positive for antibodies against a specific infection among all those tested. In this report, it is used as an estimate of how many

    people have been infected by coronavirus in the population.

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Contact Dr Diane Stockton Email: [email protected]

    Dr Lynda Fenton Consultant in Public Health Medicine Phone: 0141 201 4726

    Email: [email protected]

    For all media enquiries please email [email protected] or call 07500 854574.

    Further information Further information and data for this publication are available from the publication page on

    our website.

    Rate this publication Let us know what you think about this publication via the link at the bottom of this publication

    page on the PHS website.

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Appendix 1 – Data tables Table A1: Number of participants per local authority

    Local authority Total Proportion (%) Aberdeen City 607 3.09 Aberdeenshire 826 4.20 Angus 530 2.70 Argyll and Bute 323 1.64 City of Edinburgh 1,564 7.96 Clackmannanshire 233 1.19 Dumfries and Galloway 580 2.95 Dundee City 519 2.64 East Ayrshire 464 2.36 East Dunbartonshire 492 2.50 East Lothian 427 2.17 East Renfrewshire 482 2.45 Falkirk 666 3.39 Fife 1,208 6.15 Glasgow City 1,789 9.10 Highland 642 3.27 Inverclyde 281 1.43 Midlothian 441 2.24 Moray 358 1.82 Na h-Eileanan Siar 37 0.19 North Ayrshire 450 2.29 North Lanarkshire 1,132 5.76 Orkney Islands 48 0.24 Perth and Kinross 627 3.19 Renfrewshire 605 3.08 Scottish Borders 299 1.52 Shetland Islands 118 0.60 South Ayrshire 417 2.12 South Lanarkshire 1,387 7.06 Stirling 411 2.09 West Dunbartonshire 442 2.25 West Lothian 1,068 5.43 Unknown 180 0.92 Total 19,653 100.00

  • Public Health Scotland

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    Table A2: Comparison of participants to the background population

    Characteristic CASS teachers / head teachers

    National comparison for teachers

    CASS support staff

    Support staff comparison

    CASS ELC staff

    Comparison for ELC staff

    CASS wider education workforce

    Overall numbers 12,171 Approx. 52,000 2,394 - 2,537 2,303

    Sex Male 15.6% Approx. 23% 2.7% - 1.4% Approx. 2% 6.4%

    Female 84.4% Approx. 77% 97.3% - 98.6% Approx. 98% 93.6% Age in years

    Average age = 40 years

    16-39 51.0% 22.9% - 53.2% - 27.4%

    40+ 49.0% 77.1% - 46.8% - 72.6% Ethnicity

    White British 95.3% Approx. 89% 97.0% - 96.3% - 97.0% White non-British 3.5% Approx. 3% 2.0% - 2.6% - 2.4%

    Asian, Asian Scottish or Asian British 0.5% Minority

    ethnic group approx 1-2%

    0.5% - 0.5% - *

    Caribbean or Black * * - * - * Other 0.6% 0.3% - 0.4% - 0.3%

    Workplace setting Early Learning and

    Childcare 0.7% Approx. 2% 2.7% - 88.6% - 25.8%

    Primary School 50.5% Approx. 49% 62.4% Approx. 63% 8.3% - 37.4% Secondary School 43.4% Approx. 46% 20.4% Approx. 22% * - 22.3%

    Special School 3.6% Approx. 4% 10.4% Approx. 15% 0.7% - 2.3% Other 0.8% - 1.8% - 1.1% - 10.2%

    Unknown 0.9% - 2.3% - 1.1% - 2.0% SIMD quintile

    1 (Most deprived) 6.6% - 13.7% - 14.8% - 14.8% 2 13.1% - 18.5% - 21.2% - 18.7% 3 19.0% - 19.8% - 22.5% - 21.6% 4 28.1% - 24.1% - 22.3% - 22.4%

    5 (Least deprived) 33.2% - 23.8% - 19.3% - 22.5%

    Comparisons for teachers from www.gov.scot/publications/teacher-census-supplementary-statistics/

    (2019; unlike CASS data does not include Head Teachers); comparisons for support staff from

    www.gov.scot/publications/school-support-staff-statistics/ (2019, based on FTE and not head count);

    comparisons for ELC staff from https://data.sssc.uk.com/data-publications/228-the-children-s-

    services-workforce-2018 (2018. No comparison data were available for the wider education

    workforce. Note that approximate figures are indicative only and are estimates based on published

    http://www.gov.scot/publications/school-support-staff-statistics/https://data.sssc.uk.com/data-publications/228-the-children-s-services-workforce-2018https://data.sssc.uk.com/data-publications/228-the-children-s-services-workforce-2018

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    data where comparison groups do not directly match CASS data. * Indicates that data are not

    presented for disclosure reasons. Prefer not to say and missing responses not shown.

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    Table A3: Unadjusted proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by personal and occupational characteristics1, 2

    Characteristic Proportion (%) Lower limit for 95% confidence interval

    Upper limit for 95% confidence interval

    Overall 6.30 5.97 6.65 Sex

    Male 6.25 5.90 6.61 Female 6.76 5.78 7.89

    Prefer not to say * * * Age in years

    16-39 6.19 5.70 6.71 40+ 6.39 5.94 6.86

    Ethnicity White 6.28 5.94 6.63

    Non-White 9.63 6.18 14.70 Prefer not to say * * *

    Socioeconomic deprivation 1 (Most deprived) 7.43 6.32 8.71

    2 6.75 5.91 7.69 3 5.65 4.97 6.42 4 6.10 5.48 6.79

    5 (Least deprived) 6.31 5.71 6.97 Workplace setting

    Early Learning and Childcare 7.10 6.23 8.07 Primary School 6.60 6.10 7.14

    Secondary School 5.39 4.86 5.97 Special School 6.79 5.23 8.77

    Other 5.30 3.53 7.90 Unknown 9.39 6.34 13.69

    Job role Teaching and support staff 6.10 5.72 6.50

    Early learning and childcare staff 6.46 5.57 7.49 Wider education workforce 7.56 6.55 8.71

    Unknown 4.84 2.79 8.27 Local authority

    Aberdeen City 6.75 5.02 9.04 Aberdeenshire 2.42 1.57 3.71

    Angus 3.40 2.16 5.30 Argyll and Bute * * *

    City of Edinburgh 6.39 5.29 7.72 Clackmannanshire 8.15 5.28 12.38

    Dumfries and Galloway 3.45 2.24 5.27 Dundee City 6.74 4.89 9.23

    East Ayrshire 4.31 2.81 6.56

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    Characteristic Proportion (%) Lower limit for 95% confidence interval

    Upper limit for 95% confidence interval

    East Dunbartonshire 7.93 5.85 10.65 East Lothian 5.39 3.62 7.95

    East Renfrewshire 7.26 5.27 9.93 Falkirk 7.66 5.87 9.93

    Fife 5.88 4.69 7.35 Glasgow City 8.94 7.71 10.36

    Highland 3.89 2.65 5.69 Inverclyde 16.01 12.19 20.76 Midlothian 6.58 4.62 9.28

    Moray 3.07 1.72 5.42 Na h-Eileanan Siar * * *

    North Ayrshire 5.56 3.79 8.07 North Lanarkshire 8.13 6.67 9.86

    Orkney Islands * * * Perth and Kinross 3.35 2.20 5.07

    Renfrewshire 8.43 6.47 10.91 Scottish Borders 3.34 1.83 6.05 Shetland Islands * * *

    South Ayrshire 4.80 3.13 7.29 South Lanarkshire 7.21 5.96 8.69

    Stirling 6.81 4.76 9.67 West Dunbartonshire 7.92 5.75 10.81

    West Lothian 7.02 5.64 8.71 Unknown 6.11 3.45 10.61

    5. These values are not adjusted for the accuracy of the test and differ from the adjusted figures. 6. Values for some characteristics are suppressed (shown as * in the table) to preserve participant

    confidentiality.

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    Table A4: Proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus by personal and occupational characteristics1

    Characteristic Proportion (%) 95% Confidence Interval

    Overall 7.32 6.93 to 7.72 Sex

    Male 7.85 6.71 to 9.16 Female 7.25 6.85 to 7.68

    Prefer not to say 0.00 0.00 to 34.74 Age in years

    16-39 7.19 6.62 to 7.79 40+ 7.42 6.90 to 7.97

    Ethnicity White 7.29 6.90 to 7.70

    non-White 11.18 7.17 to 17.07 Not known 0.00 0.00 to 12.81

    Socioeconomic deprivation based on area of residence 1 (Most deprived) 8.63 7.34 to 10.12

    2 7.83 6.86 to 8.94 3 6.57 5.77 to 7.46 4 7.09 6.37 to 7.89

    5 (Least deprived) 7.33 6.63 to 8.10 Workplace setting

    Early Learning and Childcare 8.24 7.24 to 9.37 Primary School 7.67 7.09 to 8.29

    Secondary School 6.26 5.65 to 6.94 Special School 7.88 6.07 to 10.19

    Other 6.16 4.10 to 9.17 Unknown 10.90 7.36 to 15.90

    Job role Teaching and support staff 7.08 6.64 to 7.55

    Early learning and childcare staff 7.51 6.47 to 8.70 Wider education workforce 8.78 7.60 to 10.11

    Unknown 5.62 3.24 to 9.60 1. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in

    Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011.

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    Table A5: Proportion of individuals testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus per local authority of workplace1, 2

    Local authority Proportion (%) Lower limit for 95% confidence interval

    Upper limit for 95% confidence interval

    Aberdeen City 7.84 5.83 10.49 Aberdeenshire 2.81 1.83 4.31

    Angus 3.94 2.51 6.16 Argyll and Bute * * *

    City of Edinburgh 7.43 6.14 8.96 Clackmannanshire 9.47 6.14 14.38

    Dumfries and Galloway 4.00 2.61 6.12 Dundee City 7.83 5.68 10.73

    East Ayrshire 5.01 3.26 7.62 East Dunbartonshire 9.21 6.80 12.37

    East Lothian 6.26 4.20 9.24 East Renfrewshire 8.43 6.12 11.53

    Falkirk 8.89 6.82 11.53 Fife 6.83 5.44 8.54

    Glasgow City 10.39 8.95 12.03 Highland 4.52 3.08 6.60

    Inverclyde 18.60 14.16 24.11 Midlothian 7.64 5.36 10.78

    Moray 3.57 2.00 6.29 Na h-Eileanan Siar * * *

    North Ayrshire 6.45 4.40 9.38 North Lanarkshire 9.44 7.75 11.46

    Orkney Islands * * * Perth and Kinross 3.89 2.56 5.88

    Renfrewshire 9.79 7.51 12.68 Scottish Borders 3.88 2.12 7.02 Shetland Islands * * *

    South Ayrshire 5.57 3.63 8.47 South Lanarkshire 8.37 6.93 10.10

    Stirling 7.91 5.52 11.23 West Dunbartonshire 9.20 6.68 12.56

    West Lothian 8.16 6.55 10.12 Unknown 7.10 4.00 12.32

    1. Values reported here were adjusted for test accuracy using Bayesian methods described in Diggle PJ, 2011. Estimating prevalence using an imperfect test. Epidemiology Research International, 2011. Values for some local authorities suppressed (shown as * in the table) since these authorities had fewer than 5 positive tests of antibodies to coronavirus. This was done according to the Public Health Scotland statistical disclosure protocol to preserve participant confidentiality.

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    Appendix 2 – Publication metadata Metadata Indicator Description

    Publication title COVID-19 Antibody Survey in education Staff (CASS) Description Descriptive results of the

    Theme Enhanced surveillance Topic Seroprevalence, COVID-19, Education

    Format Text, tables and charts data Data source(s) CASS, Antibody testing data

    Date that data are acquired October-November 2020 Release date 16/12/2020

    Frequency As appropriate Timeframe of data and

    timeliness COVID-19 antibody serology tests date 17 October 2020 to 16 November 2020

    Continuity of data N/A Revisions statement N/A

    Revisions relevant to this publication

    N/A

    Concepts and definitions See methodology and glossary. Relevance and key uses of

    the statistics Pandemic management: Communicable disease control

    Accuracy Completeness Comparability This is the first presentation of these data in Scotland.

    Accessibility Public Health Scotland follows published guidelines to make publications accessible.

    Coherence and clarity Value type and unit of

    measurement Percentage of tests that are positive.

    Disclosure Statistical disclosure controlled applied according to Public Health Scotland Disclosure Protocol.

    Official Statistics designation Management Information Release UK Statistics Authority

    Assessment N/A

    Last published 16 December 2020 Next published TBC

    Date of first publication 16 December 2020 Help email

    Date form completed 10 December 2020

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    Appendix 3 – Early access details Pre-Release Access Under terms of the ‘Pre-Release Access to Official Statistics (Scotland) Order 2008’, PHS is

    obliged to publish information on those receiving Pre-Release Access (‘Pre-Release Access’

    refers to statistics in their final form prior to publication). The standard maximum Pre-Release

    Access is five working days. Shown below are details of those receiving standard Pre-

    Release Access.

    Standard Pre-Release Access • Scottish Government Health Department

    • NHS Board Chief Executives

    • NHS Board Communication leads

    Early Access for Management Information These statistics will also have been made available to those who needed access to

    ‘management information’, for example as part of the delivery of health and care:

    • Scottish Government Education Department

    • Directors of Public Health

    Early Access for Quality Assurance These statistics will also have been made available to those who needed access to help

    quality assure the publication:

    • Katie Allison, COVID Public Health Directorate: Health and Social Care Analysis Hub,

    Scottish Government

    • Rebekah Carton, Antibody & Surveillance Testing Team Leader, Scottish Government

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    Appendix 4 – PHS and Official Statistics About Public Health Scotland (PHS) PHS is a knowledge-based and intelligence-driven organisation with a critical reliance on

    data and information to enable it to be an independent voice for the public’s health, leading

    collaboratively and effectively across the Scottish public health system, accountable at local

    and national levels, and providing leadership and focus for achieving better health and

    wellbeing outcomes for the population. Our statistics comply with the Code of Practice for

    Statistics in terms of trustworthiness, high quality and public value. This also means that we

    keep data secure at all stages, through collection, processing, analysis and output

    production, and adhere to the ‘five safes’.

    https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/code-of-practice/the-code/https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/code-of-practice/the-code/https://blog.ons.gov.uk/2017/01/27/the-five-safes-data-privacy-at-ons/

    Report 1Publication date: 16 December 2020Participant recruitment and testingPeriod of analysisData sourcesOutcomes Information governance Participant characteristicsProportion of participants testing positive for antibodies to coronavirus Analyses by sex, age and ethnicityAnalyses by workplace setting and job roleAnalyses by deprivation index Analyses by local authority of workplace

    Discussion Pre-Release AccessStandard Pre-Release AccessEarly Access for Management InformationEarly Access for Quality AssuranceAbout Public Health Scotland (PHS)