cosmic all-staff meeting friday, june 26, 2009. agenda introduction of new staff and visitors (kuo,...
TRANSCRIPT
COSMIC All-Staff MeetingFriday, June 26, 2009
Agenda
• Introduction of New Staff and Visitors (Kuo, Schreiner)– Kim leaving COSMIC, currently 2 days/wk
– Ingrid coming back to COSMIC
– Xinan Yue (started June 1)
– SOARS Students (Ian Colón-Pagán, Michael (MK) Hernandez, Sharome Goode)
– Hiring PS-1 (Supervisor: Sergey)
– Hiring SE-1 (Supervisor: Doug)
• COSMIC Management Restructuring (Kuo, Schreiner)- Chief Scientist, Chris at 50% FTE- CDAAC Manager, Bill Schreiner- Ground-based Manager, John Braun
Agenda (continued)
• COSMIC Status Update- CDAAC (Schreiner)- Science (Rocken)- Science Applications (Ho)- Ground-based GPS (Braun)
• Administrative Items- Planning for FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Workshop, Oct. 2009 (Schreiner)- Performance Appraisals; FL4; NSF Report; Various (Moore)- UCAR 50th Anniversary Celebration (Frank Bristow)- Planning for COSMIC/Retreat, Nov. 2009 (Prinzi Kimbro)
• Outlook for the Future (Schreiner)
CDAAC Overview
Bill Schreiner
• Overview– Current Payload Status– RTS Status– Summary
Successful COSMIC Profiles 4/21/06-6/23/08
Neutral Atm ~ 1.81M Iono EDPs ~ 1.96M
GPS Occultation Payload/Firmware Status
• Current Status– FM1 POD-00– FM2 and FM3 reduced duty cycles– FM4 POD-01, recent brief periods of low SNR after powered-off– FM5 lost POD-00– FM6 POD-00 powered off, low SNRs since 2008.274– FM6 OCC-03 has lower SNRs since 2008.290, poor recently
• Build 4.5.2 Uploaded to All FM’s– Still issues with poor L2 tracking (~ 15%)– Still issues with ‘closing loop’ with rising occultations– Splitting SNR’s for closed loop data
• JPL – Currently working on CHAMP, TerraSarX SNR/tracking issues– Working on L2C (off) and other tracking issues– Plan to test COSMIC EM antennas in thermal chamber
Ground Systems - RTS Status
Fairbanks, Alaska (FBKS01)
– Nominal
– 5m Malibu (FBKS02) backup ready for receive and transmit (manually – not operational)
Tromso, Norway (NORTG5)- Nominal- 16 hr Power Outage, 5/12/09 18UT – 5/13/09 10UT
- NASA/McMurdo supported extra (15-20) passes so no data loss Wallops, Va (WALL01)
– A few recent lost dumps
– 2 operational passes/day
– Uplink backup commanding for FBKS01 McMurdo, Antarctica (MGS001)
- NSF/NASA site, Now upto 10 (from 6) passes/day- ~ 24 min latency
CDAAC Summary• Current constellation status not good, but count improving• RTS status good, investigating latency• Sent out CDAAC web site Opinio survey• CDAAC Update of BUFR files for NWP still in progress• Adding high level web status page for NWPs– For each FM for last 24 hours: Stats, Occ count, latency, current status, future status
• Post-Processing– COSMIC, GRACE, GPS/MET, SAC-C, restarting TerraSarX, beta METOP/GRAS,
• Working toward CDAAC 3.0, Early 2010– Developing new web page– Developing new CDAAC rpm packaging system– Restructuring s/w and developing new CDAAC data products (BA, climate, NWP)– Meeting with Unidata about future RO netCDF/CF-conventions– Investigating new h/w and file system for future
• 1096 data users from 52 countries– Ready to send data to AFWA
Science Status
Chris Rocken
• Overview– Change in CDAAC management– COSMIC II planning Status– Possible detection of atmospheric ducts – Next NSF Proposal
NOSC Review of FY11-15 Program Plans
December 5, 2008December 5, 2008NOSC = NOAA Observing System Council
13 1313
Algorithm
Total UtilityMission-critical Observing Requirement Weight(s)
Incremental Requirement Gap Assessment (capability) Scores Summed for Programs A…N
= X
Cost Total acquisition and operating cost for a defined period of time (e.g. FY11-15 programming cycle=
Annualized cost
Cost divided by the planned number of years of service included in cost estimate
=
Annualized Priority Score
Annualized Cost
=Technical
Risk Utility X ÷ X 1000
Technical Risk
Approximate technical risk based on two factors: the maturity of the technology and its deployment risk (e.g. average deployment or on-duty failure rate) Technical risk is reflected in reduced utility
=
14
NOSC Final PositionsNOSC
Investment Vote Count
Program Plan
Within or
Above
Core
Program Plan Alternative
Title
Observing Systems
Identified in Program Plan
Alternative
Sum of
Incremental Utility
Across All
Requirements
Combined
Maturity &
Deployment
Risk Factor
Source of Cost InformationService
Years
Average
Annual
LCC ($M)
Annualized Priority
Score ((utility/avg
annual cost) * 10)
Fund(Y)
D Not Fund(N)
C & T Within Development of New National
Vertical Reference SystemGRAV-D (Gravity Mapping) 419 0.98
FY08 - 15 funding listed in
Program Plan8 3 1562
C & TWithin and
Above
Several Alternatives Include
NWLON
NWLON Expansion (Water
Level)175 0.98
Provided by System Point of
Contact5 2 978
W & W Within GPS-Meteorological Systems GPS Met Tech Refresh 85 0.98Provided by System Point of
Contact5 1 572
W & W Above ASOS Technical Refresh ASOS Enhanced 98 0.98FY11 - 15 incremental funding
provided in Program Plan5 2 480
Climate Within
Enhanced Atmospheric
Observing System: Surface
Energy Budget Network
SEBN (Surface Energy) 113 0.98FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan5 3 444
Satellite WithinGPS Radio Occultation
COSMIC -2
COSMIC 2-12 Sats Hybrid
Approach (space based GPS
occultation)
405 0.80FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan13 9 370
Satellite Above JAXA Partnership
JAXA-GCOM W1-
3(AMSR)+C1-3(SGLI)
(Ground System only cost)
297 0.80 Crison email December 2, 2008 14 7 346
W & W WithinSpace Weather Prediction
Modernization
Solar Wind & CME Data Buy
(no DSCVR)981 0.72 Program Plan 5 21 343
Satellite WithinGPS Radio Occultation
COSMIC -2
COSMIC 2-6 Sats Hybrid
Approach (space based GPS
occultation)
303 0.80FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan6.5 8 322
EcosystemsWithin and
AboveIntegrated Ocean Acidification Ocean Acidification Initiative 261 0.81
FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan8 7 286
C & T WithinEnsure accuracy of tidal
current predictionsNCOP (Ocean Currents) 35 0.98
FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan5 1 269
FleetWithin and
Above
Strategic Fleet
Recapitalization Plan
NOAA Ships - Recap
Alternative2469 0.90 Fleet Recapitalization Plan 15 96 231
W & W WithinRadiosonde Product
ImprovementRadiosonde Replacement 108 0.98
Difference between new
radiosonde units and old units
over five years. Data provided
5 5 230
C & T WithinIntegrated Ocean and Coastal
MappingShoreline Mapping 38 0.98
FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan5 2 188
MOBIWithin and
Above
NDBC Sustainment and Buoy
Recapitalization
Buoy Recap (Moored Buoys
+ C-MAN Stations)232 0.85
Provided by System Point of
Contact5 11 182
C & T Within
Implement Physical
Oceanographic Real Time
System (PORTS®
) via Trust
Fund
PORTS Enhancement 66 0.98Provided by System Point of
Contact5 5 131
Climate Within
Enhanced Atmospheric
Observing System:
Reference Radiosondes
Reference Radiosondes 24 0.98FY12 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan4 2 121
Satellite Within
Synthetic Aperture Radar
(SAR) Constellation
Partnerships
SAR Data Buy (Space based
Radar)79 0.80 SSV POC, December 2, 2008 13 5 118
Satellite Above GOES-R Program GOES T/U 2734 0.80GOES-R Program Office and
Satellite Sub-Goal8.4 345 63
Satellite Above JAXA Partnership
JAXA-GCOM C1/3
(SGLI)+W2/3 (AMSR) plus
Scatterometer with Ground
System
575 0.64FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan14 59 62
Satellite Within Climate Sensors NPOESS Climate Sensors 398 0.76FY11 - 15 funding provided in
Program Plan5 86 35
Climate Within
Enhance Atmospheric
Observing System: Modernize
U.S. Historical Climatology
Network
HCN-M TBD 0.98FY08 - 19 funding provided in
KDP 2/3 Briefing12 12 TBD
Summary Information Utility/Total Cost Utility/Annualized Cost Scores
• COSMIC II Status– NOAA is moving towards an RO program (helps to have Ector at
NOAA) – Working on Level I Requirements document (which needs to be
short, simple and signed to get a budget)– Bill S providing constellation and latency simulations to NOAA – Bi-weekly phone conferences to develop requirement document
(typically about 10 NOAA people from different programs and 2 UCAR)
– Had a 2-day meeting with NOAA & NSPO in DC• Positive feedback from NOAA management & NSPO• NOAA funding in FY 2011 looks likely
– Main issues• Things are moving but seem slow • No funding yet to start new “TriG” receiver - may cause delay• Space weather latency requirement may be difficult to meet• NOAA wants to minimize risk / NSPO wants to maximize “learning
experience” in s/c design etc. • Galileo delay possible / GLONASS CDMA uncertain / Compass??
“The team’s results show that human-induced (anthropogenic) changes in well-mixed greenhouse gases, which are fairly evenly distributed in the atmosphere, and ozone, a greenhouse gas that is found in higher concentrations in the stratosphere, are the primary causes of the approximately 200-meter rise in the tropopause that has occurred since 1979.”
Santer et al., Science 2003
https://www.llnl.gov/str/March04/Santer.html
NOAA asks: Can RO detect the tropopause climate signal?
UCAR - processed Metop data
… and COSMIC data for the same period
RO signals observed very deep below horizon may be caused byhorizontally-inhomogeneous surface ducts
Some of the received RO signals are not transmitted by occulted GPS.They may be transmitted by other GPS or other space-born or ground-based
transmitters of the GPS frequencies.
Science Applications Status
Ben Ho
COSMIC simulated AIRS Tbs vs. AIRS observed Tbs1. Estimates of the reproducibility for using
GPS RO Data for climate monitoring (CDAAC team, RO-trend team): inter-comparisons of refractivity derivedfrom different data centers (Ho et al., 2009, JGR), - profile-to-profile comparisons, - wrap up conclusions of NOAA-COSIMC climate meeting in 2008
2. Validation and calibration of MSU/AMSU measurements and radiosonde observations using RO data (Xinjia, NOAA scientists) (He et al., 2009, GRL, Ho et al., 2009, GRL)
3. Validation and Calibration of satellite infraredMeasurements (Tom, Pat, and JPL scientists)- NASA-CVO project- Involving NOAA people (GSCIS)- NIST proposal
Dif COSMIC-AIRS Time < 2hoursDif COSMIC-AIRS Location < 200 kmAIRS viewing angel < 15 degree
Ground-Based Update
John Braun
Ground Based Update
•New MRI-R2 Proposal•Overview•Collaborators
•Soil Moisture
•Other Projects•NOAA SDS Proposal•Mexico Workshop•Caribbean E+O Proposal
Broad Goals of MRI Proposal
COSMIC is developing a plan to create a national network of streaming GNSS stations for meteorology applications. The plan will include the following new capabilities: » PW updates with frequency and latency similar to WSR-88D
network (<10 minutes)» GNSS instruments (GPS and GLONASS) for increased
observational capability.» Dense network in Southern Great Plains for severe storm
applications. » Ocean platform deployment into Gulf of Mexico
Will be large request, approximately $4 million, at least 3 years, more than 100 stations.
Developmental proposal. 30% cost share commitment is mandatory.
Collaborative Partners
UNAVCO - hardware acquisition, installation, and operation.
University of Oklahoma – Southern Great Plains network for convection initiation and radar studies.
Texas A&M Corpus Christi – Gulf of Mexico installation, storm surge modeling.
Louisiana State University – Gulf of Mexico installation, coastal subsidence, sea level monitoring.
Shell – Gulf of Mexico installation, storm forecasting and sea surface modeling.
NOAA – National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) – Gulf of Mexico installation and buoy access.
Real-Time Network
CASA Radar Map
Preliminary GoM Deployment
GoM Platform Schematic
Gulf of Mexico Objectives and Platforms
•Applications of Gulf of Mexico array include:•Ocean-atmosphere interactions•Storm intensity forecasting•Storm surge modeling (Texas A&M Corpus Christi)•Coastal subsidence (LSU lead) •Others applications include altimetry calibration, sea-level monitoring
Soil Moisture Project
March 09 submittal of new proposal for soil moisture research in collaboration with CU (Kristine Larson and Eric Small). Also have NOAA participation (Zavorotny and Bilich). » Assess impact of moisture profile, vegetation, terrain roughness,
antenna gain patterns. » Establish sites in varied soil/climate conditions.» Combine amplitude and reflector height information. » Compile database of “suitable” stations in US.
Two new papers have been accepted pending revisions for special IEEE/JSTARS journal on soil moisture.
Munson Farm Stations
Status, Opportunities and Pending Proposals
CSU/NCAR Fundamental Climate Data Record Proposal» Would lead to Post-Doc position to help with re-analysis
Upcoming Mexican PBO Initiative (UNAVCO, U. Wisc. CU, U. Arizona, NCAR) » Workshop in 2010 has been proposed, waiting on funding decision.» Caribbean E+O Proposal
Earth Science Literacy Proposal (Goddard, Puerto Rico Mayaguez, others..)» Train K-12 educators in Caribbean how to use results from
Caribbean network to help teach earth science principles.
GoM Sea Level Trends
Administrative Items
Bill Schreiner; Ingrid Moore; Sara Frank Bristow; Kim Prinzi Kimbro
4th FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Data Users Workshop27-29 October, 2009 - Boulder, CO – CG1
• Registration opened 15 May, 2009– 22 registrants so far, 14 presenters (4 posters)
• New Student Competition, with prizes– COSMIC will provide student support
• Similar to 2nd F3C WS– Invited talks– New Science Applications– Posters– Forecasting/Assimilation– Ionosphere and Space Weather– Climate/Trend Studies– COSMIC-II and other new missions - Open discussions– COSMIC-II Executive discussion, Friday morning
• Web site setup: – http://www.cosmic.ucar.edu/oct2009workshop/index.html
• Email Announcement sent out Monday 30 Mar, 2009• Use UOP/JOSS for registration, payment, attendee lists
Various Administrative Items
Ingrid Moore
FinTools
Wiki site
https://wiki.ucar.edu/display/fintools/Financial+Management+Tools+Project
Outyear Funding
• NOAA funding for 2009 Outyear support on the way, expected in September ($100K)
• NOAA funding for CII planning on the way in 3 increments, expected July-Sept ($367K)
• AF, NASA, NSF 2009 Outyear support on the way via new NSF Cooperative Agreement ($2.4M)
• NSPO Outyear support contract signed, check is in the mail. Can start spending ($1.5M)
2009 Performance Appraisal Schedule
All Staff
Performance Review Start
Review by Program
Administrator
Employee Meeting
Signed Appraisal
Due to HR
Dates April/May End of June End of June/early
July
July 15!!!
Reclass moratorium period – July 1 through second day of pay period 22 (Approx 10/4)
Take into account we need Bill’s signature - he’s gone week of July 6.
Gives 2 days to sign reviews.
NSF CDAAC Report
• Old original CDAAC NSF award – Rick Anthes is “PI”.
• Report will be due in early August.• If report is not on time, all funding to
UCAR is delayed (Rick is UCAR President).
• We need to have report ready to upload by end of July.
FL4 Remodel Postponed
• Remodel of FL4 schedule for 2009 on hold due to purchase of 3375 Mitchell Lane
• 3375 Remodel will take priority• Proposed schedule for 3375:
Scope development Jul-Aug 2009
Space Plan/ $ Approvals 21 Aug 2009
RFP for Design Aug-Oct 2009
Award Design Contract Nov/Dec 2009
RFP Construction June-July 2010
Construction Aug 2010 – June 2011
Move-In (Who?) July 2011
Use 3375 as swing-space for FL4?Will know more after August 21 Pres Council MeetingWe will be required to estimate space needs thru 2012
50th Anniversary Open House
Sara Frank Bristow
50th Anniversary Open House
• Joint UCAR/NCAR Event: Saturday June 5, 2010• “A very rare opportunity for the public to see, learn about, and gain appreciation of NCAR’s research and facilities”• Focus on Mesa Lab and Foothills Lab• FL4 closed: choose between ML Lobby and FL2 for our other exhibit(s)• http://www.50th.ucar.edu/• Need volunteers! And please keep sharing your ideas!
COSMIC Retreat 2009
Kim Prinzi Kimbro
Outlook for the future
• Meet with KASI (Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute) regarding KOMPSAT-5 RO Data Processing
– July ?
• Next NSF CDAAC proposal– This summer
• NOAA/NSPO OSSE Workshop in Taiwan– Sept 3-4, 2009
• NOAA/NSPO Joint Program Office Meeting in Taiwan– Sept 7-8, 2009
• 4th FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Data Users Workshop– Oct 27-29, 2009
• NSPO/UCAR/JPL/BRE Lessons Learned Meeting– possibly after Oct WS, Oct 29-30, 2009 in Boulder
• NOAA decision on COSMIC-II by end of this year