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Presentation to:. The Real Estate Lenders Association Market Update. October 2010. CONFIDENTIAL. DRAFT. Table of Contents. CMBS Market Update Spread Environment Hedging Environment OBP-2010 Case Study Deal Underwriting Case Study Competitive Landscape CMBS Deal Comparison - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Real Estate Lenders AssociationMarket Update
October 2010
Presentation to:
Table of Contents
I. CMBS Market Update
- Spread Environment
- Hedging Environment
- OBP-2010 Case Study
- Deal Underwriting Case Study
- Competitive Landscape
- CMBS Deal Comparison
- BofAML Real Estate Qualifications
2
Spreads on generic 10yr AAA super-senior bonds have tightened approximately 345bps since October 2009, and are currently trading in the S+275 area
Synthetic CMBX 06-1 AAAs spreads have tightened approximately 140bps since October 2009 and are currently trading in the S+62 area
BofAML expects to be in the market this week with a $740.0MM multi-lender/multi-borrower conduit transaction (WFMC 2010-C1) as well as a $2.7Bn legacy large loan securitization of the Hilton Hotels Mortgage (BALL 2010-HLTN)
Significant Spread Tightening in AAA CMBS
Spread EnvironmentCMBS Market Update
3
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Generic 10 Year Super Senior AAAs CMBX 06-1 AAAs High Grade Corporate Index REIT Bond Index
3/24/2009PPIP and TALF for
legacy CMBS announced
11/16/2009 - 12/10/2009Flagler*, DDR and Inland
2/10/2009Fed Announces TALF
may expand to legacy CMBS
June 2010One Bryant Park*,
JPMCC 2010-C1
5/1/2009TALF expands to
include new CMBS and allow for 5
year loans
Q4 2009Market lenders
start making new loans for CMBS
August 2010GSMS 2010-C1, VNO 2010-VNO
October 2010JPMCC 2010-C2, COMM 2010-C1, WFMC 2010-C1*, BALL 2010-HLTN*
*BofAML led deal
While CMBS lenders have once again begun to lend with a securitization exit in mind, hedging loan pipelines continues to be an art:
Lending volume remains low which has increased warehousing periods, adding additional importance and difficulty to loan hedging in the current fixed income markets
CMBX and IG are instruments of choice. TRS transactions will become viable with additional new issuance CMBX is a thinly traded market dominated by fast-money investors and broker dealers. Accounts use the CMBX
to make macro bets for short term profit While the CMBX market tightens, both secondary and new issue cash CMBS markets have lagged the rally
causing spread hedging to become less effective. Since late August, as the S&P 500 rallied, CMBX tightened approximately 50bps, while Generic cash spreads
were 10bps tighter. Additionally, new issue 10yr spreads, were relatively unchanged.
No Natural Spread Hedge
Hedging EnvironmentCMBS Market Update
4
____________________Source: BofAML Research and Bloomberg
CMBX Outperforming IG and Cash CMBS
50100150200250300350400450500550600
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-1
0
Feb-
10
Mar
-10
Apr-
10
May
-10
Jun-1
0
Jul-10
Aug-
10
Sep-1
0
Oct
-10
AAA 06-1 Generic AAA 30% Super IG
Bank of America Merrill Lynch structured and underwrote the July 2010 $1.30 Billion financing backed by The Bank of America Tower at One Bryant Park located in New York City. Bank of America, which represents 76% of the NRA, has 18yr remaining on its lease
Groundbreaking Transaction
First securitization to combine taxable CMBS and tax-exempt Liberty Bonds secured solely by real estate
First single property CMBS transaction since 4 Times Square in December 2006
Building was appraised for $2.2Bn
Innovative structure whereby both taxable and tax-exempt loans and both issuing vehicles are governed by a single servicing agreement
Key Achievements
39-year final maturity maximizes benefit of Liberty Bond financing
Financing is designed to allow for future refinancing of AAA CMBS while leaving Liberty Bonds in-place
OBP-2010 Case StudyCMBS Market Update
One Bryant Park
Tranche Class Type Proceeds Cumulative Coupon Cumulative Loan / SF
AAA Taxable 650,000,000 650,000,000 4.6492% 4.6492% $276
AA (Component 1) Tax-exempt 206,200,000 856,200,000 5.1250% 4.7638% $364
AA (Component 2) Tax-exempt 145,400,000 1,001,600,000 5.6250% 4.8888% $425
A Tax-exempt 87,100,000 1,088,700,000 5.6250% 4.9477% $462
BBB- Tax-exempt 211,300,000 1,300,000,000 6.3750% 5.1797% $552
Total/Wtd Avg. 1,300,000,000 5.1797% $552
Capital Structure and Pricing
February 2010 October 2010 Variance
Property Type: Class A Office Class A Office
Location: Washington, DC Washington, DC
Term: 10 Years 10 Years
Amortization: 30 Years 30 Years
NOI: $3,512,046 $3,512,046
NCF: $2,939,576 $2,939,576
Cap Rate: 7.0% 6.5% (50 bps)
Debt Yield: 11.00% 9.25% (175 bps)
Spread: Swaps + 272 Swaps + 240 (32 bps)
10 Yr UST: 3.66% 2.52% (114 bps)
10 Yr Swap Spread: 0.15% 0.07% (9 bps)
10 Yr Swap Rate: 3.81% 2.58% (123 bps)
DSCR: 1.45x 1.44x
LTV: 53.2% 58.9% 5.64% pts
Loan Proceeds: $26,700,000 $31,800,000 $5,100,000
All-in Financing Rate: 6.53% 4.98%
Underwriting Standards Sizing constraints have eased as traditional lenders re-enter the market and the competition to lend intensifies.
Below is a comparison of how BofAML’s underwriting standards have changed within the last year. The market is now willing to push debt yield constraints into the 9.25% range. Spread compression of approximately 30 bps in combination with the current interest rate environment allows borrowers to lock in at historically low all-in coupons.
Lenders are once again willing to be aggressive for certain high quality properties located in key markets.
CMBS Market Update Deal Underwriting Case Study
BofAML
Citigroup
Deutsche Bank
Goldman Sachs
JP Morgan
Morgan Stanley
Wells Fargo
Apollo
Basis Capital
Cantor Fitzgerald
Colony
G2 Capital
Ladder Capital
Loancore
Starwood
Blackstone
Centerline
Crexus
Elliott
H2
LNR
Rialto
Torchlight
MetLife
NY Life
NW Mutual
Principal
Prudential
Bank of China
BofAML
Wells Fargo
WestImmo
Banks Non Banks B-Piece Buyers
CMBS Lender Market
Life Companies Balance Sheet Banks
Most Competitive Portfolio Lenders
CMBS Market Update Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Recent New Issue CMBS Transactions
CMBS Deal ComparisonCMBS Market Update
8
2010-OBP JPMCC 2010-C1 Freddie Mac 2010-K7 GSMS 2010-C1 JPMCC 2010-C2
Transaction Type: CMBS - Large Loan CMBS - Conduit CMBS - Agency CMBS - Conduit CMBS - Conduit
Underwriter: BofAML and JPM JPM BofAML and DB Goldman, Sachs JPM
Date of Issuance: 6/ 25/ 10 6/ 11/ 10 6/ 10/ 10 8/ 4/ 10 10/ 7/ 10
Size:$1.3Bn
($650.0MM CMBS)$716.3MM $1.2Bn $788.5MM $1.1Bn
AAA Spread: S + 150 bpsS + 140 bps (5yr) / S + 160
(7yr) / S + 165 (10yr)S + 60 bps (5yr) / S+ 80 bps (10yr)
S + 125 bps (5yr) / S + 135 bps (10yr)
S + 130 bps (5yr) / S + 145 (7yr) / S + 150 (10yr)
Security: First-lien mortgage First-lien mortgage First-lien mortgage First-lien mortgage First-lien mortgage
Term: 10yr ARD Various Various Various Various
Amortization: Interest Only ARD Various Various Various Various
LTV: 29.5% 61.5% 70.1% 53.7% 60.0%
Wtd. Avg. Debt Yield: 20.2% 12.4% 9.3% 15.2% 12.8%
Rating Agencies: S&P / Fitch / Realpoint Fitch / Moody's Moody's Moody's / DBRS S&P / Fitch
Property Type: Office Various (Retail 70.9%) Multifamily Various (Retail 78.2%) Various (67.0% Retail)
First Half 2010 - Bookrunners of Global Real Estate Bonds
(Includes: CMBS, CDO, REIT Bond)
2009 – Bookrunners of Global Real Estate Bonds(Includes: CMBS, CDO, REIT Bonds)
BofAML was the most active CMBS Underwriter in Q2-2010 Co-Lead Manager and Joint Bookrunner on the $1.2Bn Freddie Mac 2010-K6 transaction that priced on March 24th and closed on
April 6th
Co-Lead Manager and Joint Bookrunner on the $1.2Bn Freddie Mac 2010-K7 transaction that priced on June 10th and closed on June 24th
Co-Manager on the $716.3MM JPMCC 2010-C1 transaction that priced on June 11th
Co-Lead Manager and Joint Bookrunner on a $2.3Bn 2nd lien mezzanine transaction of non-rated debt backed by Hilton Hotels Corp. that priced on June 18th. This debt was originally funded in 2007 and restructured in April 2010
Co-Lead Manager and Joint Bookrunner on a $1.3Bn investment grade (AAA to BBB-) securitization of the One Bryant Park office property that priced at the end of June
$5.4
$3.7 $3.6
$2.2$2.0 $1.9
$1.6 $1.5$1.3
$1.0
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
BofAML JPM GS DB MS BARC RBS JF CS CITI
$BN
$5.0
$4.0
$2.9 $2.8 $2.6$2.4 $2.3 $2.2
$1.5$1.3
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
BofAML JPM DB BARC MS CITI RBS CS GS JF
$BN
____________________Source: Commercial Mortgage Alert
BofAML Leading in the Real Estate Debt Market
BofAML Real Estate QualificationsCMBS Market Update
9