company presentation/media/files/o/opap-ir/090up/...company overview 4 the leading greek gaming...
TRANSCRIPT
Company Presentation
December 2018
Agenda
History – Company Overview
Financial Overview
Strategy
Social Responsibility
Summary
© OPAP
3
The Story so far…
Establishment of
the Greek
Organization of
Football
Prognostics
20 years exclusive-license
contract with the Hellenic
State
Launch of PAME STIHIMA
(sports-betting)
2000
2001
Listed in the
Athens Stock
Exchange
Acquisition of
Hellenic lotteries
12-year
concession
© OPAP
Launch of
KINO
2003
1958
Launch of PROPO
(The Greek Football
Pools Game)
1959
1999
OPAP
incorporated as
a Societe
Anonyme
Extension of exclusive
license until 2030
Award of Video
Lottery Terminals (VLT)
license
2013
2011
Transfer of 33% stake
to Emma Delta
Hellenic Holding for
€652m.
Q4 2013 Launch of
Hellenic
Lotteries &
Online
Q2 2014
Horse Races operations
commencement & launch
of horse races mutual
betting
Q1 2016Operations
commencement of VLTs
Launch of Virtual Games &
SSBTs
2017
New online
sports-betting
platform
Q4 2018
Company Overview
4
The
leading
Greek
gaming company
100% privateunder new management
As of 11 October 2013,
OPAP is
Presence in
Cyprus
Market cap on Athens Exchange
c. €2.8 bn(Dec. 2018)
Exclusive concessionextended up until 2030
c. 70.2%of the total Greek gaming
market of 2017 Gross Gaming
Revenue (GGR)
2017
Revenues (GGR) of
€1,455.5mand EBITDA of
€306.5m
Historic
high dividend
pay-out policy
As of 01.01.16 subject to
35% GGR contribution
Largest retail network in Greece
© OPAP
Date (%) Offering price (€)
25 April 2001 5,36% Initial Public Offering (IPO) 5,5
18 July 2002 18,90% Secondary offering 8,44
14 July 2003 24,45% Secondary offering 9,44
21 July 2005 16,44% Secondary offering 24,14
11 October 2013 33,00% Public tender 6,2
Public offerings -Shareholder Structure
5 © OPAP
Emma Delta Hellenic
Holdings Ltd33,00%
Free Float67,00%
Out of which 23,7% owned by Sazka Group
• Largest Pan-European lottery operator
• Presence in Czech Republic, Greece & Cyprus, Austria, Italy
and Croatia
• Active in countries representing more than 24% of EU lottery
GGR
• Entrepreneurial ownership: KKCG (75%) & EMMA Capital
(25%)
• Synergies with OPAP
• Greek Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) as % of the GDP compares favorably vs. European peers
The Greek gaming market is a fundamentally attractive market :
• 2017 GGR at 1.12% of GDP (2nd highest amongst the graph’s sample; used to be the highest before
the domestic macro crisis)
• 2017 GGR per adult of €210
Source: H2GC, Mar. 2018. Greek data: OPAP’s reported numbers (Greek operations only), H2GC & Hellenic Gaming Commission
Note: Charts include top-15 EU-28 countries for GGR and GGR/per adult respectively. Gross gaming revenue including offline and online (onshore and offshore) gaming.
(1) Current price GDP
(2) Inhabitants over 18 years old
(3) Excluding Malta
The Greek Gaming Market: A Comparative Review
6 © OPAP
2017
GGR (€bn and %
of GDP(1))
2017 GGR per
adult(2)(3)(€)
In €bn
In % of 2017
GDP
479437
388
299 283 269 253 246 226 223 210 200 193 191 189 183
Ireland Finland Italy UK Denmark Sweden Cyprus SloveniaLuxembourg Spain Greece Portugal France GermanyCzech Rep. Belgium
20,1
16,4
13,910,4
8,6
2,5 2,2 2,1 2,0 2,0 1,7 1,7 1,7 1,3 1,30,1
1,18%
0,73%
0,43% 0,45%
0,74%
0,34%
0,49%
0,72%
0,90%
1,12%
0,90% 0,87%
0,38%0,29%
0,46%
0,82%
Italy UK Germany France Spain NetherlandsSweden Ireland Finland Greece PortugalChech RepBelgium Ponland Denmark Cyprus
Average: 0.68%
Greek Retail & Online Gaming market
7 © OPAP
During the macro turbulence, the market declined by
c. 38% while OPAP gained significant market share
Source: OPAP’s reported numbers (Greek operations only); H2 Gambling Capital for online market, Hellenic Gaming Commission ReportsNote: since 2014 Instant and passive lotteries and since 2016 Horse racing are being operated by OPAP
0,87%0,93%
0,97% 0,94%0,99%
1,10%1,14% 1,12%
1,18%1,12%
1,07%1,00% 0,97% 0,96%
1,05% 1,06%1,10% 1,12%
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
OPAP Instant & Passives Horse Racing Casinos Online GGR/GDP
GGR/GDP is gradually reaching pre crisis levels on the back of new
products’ introduction (Scratch in 2014 & VLTs in 2017) that have
attracted previously illegal spending & new leisure players.
Stihima & KINO introduction lead to growth>GDP Lack of innovation New games
OPAP market share
62,6%
OPAP market share
70,2%
Significant exclusive concessions secured
through heavy investments in the past yearsMore than 50 years of exclusive concessions backlog already paid for
Oct2000
May2014
Jan2016
Jan2017
Oct2020
May2026
Jan2027
Oct2030
Concession Agreement (20 years)
Concession Extension Agreement (10 years)
Right of first refusal for any other game to be licensed by the Hellenic Gaming Commission
2011 VLT License (18 years)
Jan 2036
+ Right to
renew
2013 State Lotteries Concession Agreement (12 years)
Exclusive Right for online offering of OPAP’s exclusive lottery games
Exclusive offering of onshore online sports betting
Jun2014
Total upfront cost of license(100% already paid by
OPAP)
€323mn
€375mn
License fee to be negotiated on a case by case basis
Lott
ery
&
Bet
tin
g
€560mn
VLT
s
€127mn(1)
Inst
ant
&
Pas
sive
s
€40.5mn
Ho
rse
Rac
ing
Included in upfront payments for legacy
licensesOn
line
(1): Total consideration of €190mn paid by consortium including OPAP, Scientific Games and Intralot, of which €127mn was paid by OPAP for its 67% stake © OPAP
Jan2035
2016 Horse Racing Concession Agreement (20 years)
The largest commercial network in Greece with its modernization well on track
Network
9
*Greece & Cyprus network as of 31.12.2017.Hellenic Lotteries products are distributedthrough additional 8,097 POS & StreetVendors
© OPAP
Petrol
stations
PostBank
Bank Bank BankGas stations
OPAP
Stores
Gaming
Halls
As of Nov. 19, ’18
3.902 OPAP Stores
331 Gaming Halls
New Opap Stores constructed YTD
420
Average store size increase within the last 3 years
+17%
FY’17
figures
4,847 POS*
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
€m
OPAP’s Greek Revenue (GGR) Breakdown
10 © OPAP
Lotteries
Sports betting
Instant & Passives
VLTs
GDP CAGR: -6.3%
OPAP CAGR: -9.2%
GDP CAGR: +0.4%
OPAP CAGR: +3.9%
PrivatizationBefore After
Games Product Matrix
11 © OPAP
Stihima Joker Lotto Propo Proto Super 3 Extra 5Propo-
GoalKino
Virtual
GamesScratch Laiko Ethniko VLTs
Agent
Commission8% 12% 12%
Frequency of
playDaily
Twice
weekly
Twice
weekly
Three
times
weekly
Twice
weekly
Ten
draws
daily
Two
draws
daily
Once a
week
Every 5
minutes
Every 5
minutesOn going
Once a
week
18 draws
annuallyOn going
2017: 39% of NGR*
2018: 37% of NGR*
2019-2021: 35%+1% of NGR* as bonus.
2019 adjustment is conditional upon achieving 6% average NGR* growth vs. 2016
* NGR: GGR - GGR contribution
of wagers
Mutual Fixed Odds
GH: 36% of
NGR
Agencies:
25% of NGR
Instant
& Passives
VLTs
BettingLottery
52%29%
11%
8%
50%
29%
10%
12%
51%
26%
10%
13%
51%
26%
8%
14%
Q3’18
Q2’18
Q1’18
Q4’17
GGR breakdown
It’s all about numbers
12
Financials
© OPAP
1.220 1.378 1.400 1.398 1.456 1.619
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
13 14 15 16 17 18 consensus
222
347 377308 307
357
18,2%
25,2% 27,0%
22,0% 21,1%
22,0%
0
200
400
13 14 15 16 17 18 consensus
274 258 235 254 274
0
100
200
300
400
13 14 15 16 17
141
195 211170
126165
0
100
200
13 14 15 16 17 18 consensus
Revenue (GGR) EBITDA & EBITDA margin on GGR
Total Opex (Gaming operations only) Net Profit
Financial Overview
13 © OPAPAmount in €m
Strong top-line performance & incremental growth driven by:
• Introduction of Scratch & passives in 2014
• Introduction of VLTs and Virtuals in 2017
• Revenue increase & cost optimization brought in material l-f-l
EBITDA growth post the privatization.
• GGR contribution increased in 2016 to 35% from 30% previously.
Adjusted 2017 Ebitda would stand at €364m
• Growth is expected to pick up pace in 2018
• Total Opex (gaming operations) remained flat despite the
commencement of several material projects (Hellenic Lotteries,
Horse Racing, VLTs & virtual games)
CAGR: +5.8% CAGR: +9.9%
Financial Results 9M 2018 (1/2)
14 © OPAP
-1.8%Wagers(€m) Gross Gaming Revenue (€m)
+5.8%EBITDA (€m) Net Profit (€m)
Greek GDP 9M 2018
+2.03%
Retail Sales
(excl. fuels)
9M 2018
+2,3%
Department Stores
+1,5%
Pharmaceuticals
+2,9%
Furniture & Household Equipment
+6,5%
Supermarkets
+4,4%
OPAP’s 9M GGR outperforming domestic macro
1046 1106
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
9M17 9M18
224 245
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
9M17 9M18
93105
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
9M17 9M18
+9.4% +12.8%
3.214 3.157
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
9M 17 9M 18
Financial Results 9M 2018 (2/2)
15
Net Profit margin on GGR
* Adj. for one-off reversal of litigation provisions in Q3’17
EBITDA margin on GGR
9M EBITDA (€m)
9M Net Profit (€m)
© OPAP
-10,1%
+12,8%
+18,4%
44 33 39
93105
12,2%
9,2%10,6%
8,9%9,5%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
14,0%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q3 2017 Q3 2017* Q3 2018 9M 2017 9M 2018
+9,4%
+11,6%
-6,1%
93 78 87
224 245
26,0%
21,9%23,6%
21,4% 22,1%
-3,0%
2,0%
7,0%
12,0%
17,0%
22,0%
27,0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q3 2017 Q3 2017* Q3 2018 9M 2017 9M 2018
1651 32
119 169115
263
513
651
-242 -297 -302 -274 -246 -189
-77-296
-155
108
436 462
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M2018
Short-term Debt Long-term Debt Cash Net Debt/(Cash)
Balance Sheet
16 © OPAP
Net Debt position (€m)
Based on LTM 9M’18 figures
Prudent leverage & solid balance sheet structure
• Average cost of lending: Fixed 3,4%
• 1,4x Net Debt /EBITDA
• 13,5x Interest Coverage
Dividend Policy
17 © OPAP
Dividend per share (€)
0,20 0,17 0,12 0,100,25
0,50
0,430,60
0,30
0,57
0,70
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Dividend per
share0.25 0,70 0,40 1.29 1,10
Dividend
payout (%)59.6 112.4 60,5 241,4 277,0
Average dividend yield since the
IPO (‘01-’07) 10%
Average dividend payout since
listing 105%
Both longer & short term history demonstrate consistent & rewarding shareholders returns
Interim Dividend Remaining Dividend Special Dividend
Committed to distribute the bulk
of FCF post investments
2
1
3
• Embedding Customer Obsession
• Investing In Our Network
• Developing Our People
• Building a World-class Portfolio of Products & Services
• Leveraging the latest Digital & Technology Capabilities
• Committing to Our Communities
• Expanding the Power of Our Brand
• Rebuilding healthy relationships with the State, Regulator and other bodies
18
Commenting on the Q3 2018 financial
results, OPAP’s CEO, Mr. Damian
Cope, noted that:
Our Q3 performance confirms OPAP’s steady progress in the delivery of our 2020 Vision. Despite some unfavourable sports results, including the World Cup Final match itself, and the ongoing macroeconomic challenges, the OPAP team delivered strong like-for-like EBITDA growth, plus year on year revenue growth for the 5th quarter in a row. Our VLTs operations once again increased their contribution while we continue to maintain a close control on costs across the company.
During Q4, we have further enhanced our retail offering with new products in our Numerics and Betting categories, both of which have been well received by our customers. In addition our new online betting platform is now live and we are finalising development plans for a busy 2019 ahead.
As we approach the seasonally busiest period of the year we remain confident in meeting both our own expectations and the long-term ambition of establishing OPAP as a world class gaming entertainment company.
“
”
OPAP Strategy
© OPAP
To establish OPAP as a world class gaming entertainment company
19 © OPAP
Video Lottery Terminals (VLTs) License Agreement
• Fully paid 18 years exclusive license of
€560m for the operation of 25,000 VLTs
• VLTs will add a “growth engine” to OPAP’s
performance potential and is expected to be
amongst the most significant contributors to
OPAP’s EBITDA in the long-term
• Max. allowed number of VLTs per venue: 50 in Gaming
Halls and 15 in existing OPAP agencies
• Deployment deadline: December 31, 2019
• HR to receive 30%-35% of GGR in the form of
royalties
20 © OPAP
Video Lottery Terminals (VLTs)
Steady rollout progress coupled with material contribution on the financials
c.17,3k VLTs operational on 27 Nov 2018
Full year target at c.19k
Performance overview1Roll-out profile
1Takes into account machines fully operational at the first week of each quarter2Machines operated in Q1. Calculation based on weighted avg.
GGR / VLT / DAY (€)
GGR (€m)
Post-holiday period:Last week of August and full
month of September
2
“OPAP S.A. is a member of the World Lotteries Association (WLA) and the European Lotteries (EL) as well as the Global Lottery
Monitoring Systems (GLMS), independent unions composed of state or state-licensed lottery companies.21
Social Responsibility
© OPAP
Promoting trust strategic framework
MARKET
PLACE
Responsible
Gaming
WORK
PLACE
Employee
Engagement
ENVIRON-
MENT
Environmental
Footprint
COMMUNITY
TRUST
Health Sports EmploymentSensitive
Groups
Level 4 (highest) Certificate in Responsible Gaming by the
World Lottery Association
The largest social contributor in Greece measured in overall expenditure and variety of actions
OPAP in Summary
22
Sole Concessions
• A 50+year exclusive
concessions backlog with the
earliest expiration in 2026
Sales Network
• Largest retail network in
Greece
Significant Cash Flows
• Bulk of FCF (excl. any
investment) will continue to be
distributed as dividends
Strong Fundamentals
• Significant growth coming
from the ongoing VLTs roll-
out, online & rejuvenation of
current products
Ongoing cost control
• Ongoing focus on cost
efficiencies demonstrating
tangible results & delivering
additional savings
© OPAP
Solid Management Team
• Possesses significant
expertise, local know-how and
knowledge of the gaming
industry
Contacts
23
Nikos Polymenakos
Investor Relations [email protected]
Tel : +30 (210) 5798929
George Vitorakis
Head of Strategic Research [email protected]
Tel : +30 (210) 5798976
© OPAP
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
24
Notes
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
25
Notes