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    Combining Metrics, Standards and Connoisseurship:

    A Weighted-Factor Scoring Model

    by Robert J. Corey, Ph.D. and Todd W. Sigety, ISA CAPP

    "Without metrics, you are just another person with an opinion"

    -Michael Mah

    Introduction

    Where does appraising stand among recognized professions? You

    may recall the story of the little boy who dresses in a sailor suit with cap-

    tains hat and epaulets. He says to his mother, Look ma, Im a captain.

    With only a hint of skepticism she replies, To you, you are a captain, and to

    me, you are a captain, but to the other captains are you a captain?

    Like other recognized professions, the personal property appraisal

    profession exhibits the defining characteristics thought to distinguish a

    profession from a trade. According to the appraisal literature, these charac-

    teristics include (1) a dominance of intellectual labor; (2) education and

    specialized knowledge; and (3) generally accepted standards of practice.

    However, reliant on the principles and concepts of economic theory, the

    appraisal profession, for the most part, lacks the logical structure and

    methodologies of a social science. Appraisal methods seldom produce

    quantifiable data in sufficient quantity for the proper application of statistical

    procedures. As a result, the personal property appraisal profession appears

    too often subject to a reliance on the persuasive qualities of ethos, an appeal

    that concentrates upon the source of the message rather than the accumula-

    tion of factual evidence.

    Too often appraisals that we have seen rely on idiosyncratic and sub-

    jective methods disguised as specialized knowledge. The courts have deemed

    such knowledge claims made by competing experts inherently imprecise.1

    How many times have you read, Based on my 20+ years of experience I

    conclude or, I doubled the auction price realized based on my extensive

    knowledge of the market Such statements do a disservice to efforts to

    build public confidence and the professional image of appraisers. In our

    Originally published in the Journal of Advanced Appraisal Studies - 2009

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    opinion, any tradesman can produce an appraisal document, but only

    professional personal property appraisers can muster the intellectual labor

    and knowledge necessary to make explicit the body of rules, procedure, and

    methods that validate their value opinions and justify recognition of apprais-

    ing as a profession. To advance recognition of our profession we must seek

    out hybrid methodologies that incorporate the certainty of metrics and the

    subjective inputs of connoisseurship and experience fundamental to the

    discipline.

    In this article, we introduce an alternative appraisal approach aimed

    at improving the consistency and quality of personal property valuations in

    order to enhance the professional standing of appraisers and benefit users of

    personal property valuation services. With this in mind, this article (1)

    explores the nature of appraisal knowledge and various value-rankingapproaches, (2) introduces a practical alternative assessment method ac-

    cepted and used by other professional disciplines, and (3) reports the results

    of a survey used to create a hybrid appraisal methodology incorporating

    both metrics and the subjective inputs of experienced appraisers.

    Literature Review

    Published academic literature of a social scientific nature dealing

    with the tools, techniques, procedures, and investigative methods used to

    collect, store, analyze and present appraisal information is limited in spite of

    the long history of appraisal practice. Thus, the literature and theory con-

    tained in this review is limited to presenting our perspective on appraisal

    knowledge and methodology. Our initial concern is with types of appraisal

    knowledge and the manner in which appraisers obtain and promulgate such

    knowledge. We follow with the description of various value-ranking meth-

    ods gleaned from the decorative arts literature and complete our review with

    the introduction of a weighted-factor scoring model methodology.

    A Perspective on Appraisal Knowledge

    We shall not attempt to define knowledge for there are many kinds.

    Nor, will we attempt a lengthy philosophical treatise on the nature of

    knowledge and its possible limitations. What we do want to do is offer a

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    practicableperspective on knowledge, a perspective well supported by refer-

    ential evidence, and having application in general appraisal practice. From

    our perspective, we view knowledge as a product of brain activity. It is the

    result of a constructive process involving the evaluation of similarities and

    differences and the representation of things in terms of relationships. (This

    shouldnt be too hard to follow; it sounds a lot like appraising already). This

    process of constructing knowledge avoids the chaotic flux of a universe of

    sensory inputs. It is how we mortals make sense of our world. The perspec-

    tive holds that, in essence, our brains are hardwired in ways that impose

    order upon sensory input.2

    The fundamental ordering principles involve the use of boundaries,

    lists, association, classification, abstraction, and hierarchy to provide struc-

    ture.

    3

    This ordered cognitive activity produces two types of knowledge,explicit knowledge, and tacit knowledge. Explicit knowledge is factual

    knowledge that has been codified, catalogued, and is available for reference.

    For the professional personal property appraiser, explicit knowledge is

    embodied in facts, data, course materials, manuals, books, auction cata-

    logues, public and private libraries, internet sources, codes of ethics, and the

    Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP).

    In contrast, tacit knowledge is knowledge that people carry in their

    heads.4 Often thought to be a kind of out-of-awareness level of knowing,

    our perspective holds that such knowledge is difficult, but not impossible to

    access. According to Weimer,in actual human cognitive activity the

    distinction [between explicit and tacit knowledge] turns into a continuum,

    and knowing is formed by the intermingling.5 The manner in which we

    construct tacit knowledge is the same as that for explicit knowledge. Thus,

    to some degree, tacit knowledge can also be articulated, codified, catalogued,

    and referenced. Our point is there is no reason why the specialized knowl-

    edge characteristic of the senior appraiser or connoisseur should not be

    made explicit in the justification of value opinions.

    Having argued that virtually all appraisal knowledge can, and should

    be, made explicit, we want to examine the manner in which specialized

    appraisal knowledge might be made explicit and shared. Few professions can

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    claim discipline specific methodologies. Since we can all agree that value is a

    social construct, we propose that we look to psychology, sociology, anthro-

    pology, economics, linguistics, communication, marketing, and other social

    sciences for applicable methods. However, because we are not dealing with

    anything close to quantitative absolutes, it is difficult to apply the methods

    of pure science to appraisal practice unless you want to determine the

    composition of a silver alloy or date the fibers of an old canvas. For the

    most part, our task is better addressed with a meaningful synthesis of

    qualitative analysis (which deals with single choices of a personal-ideological

    nature) and quantitative analysis (which focuses on patterned regularities).

    Value-Ranking Approaches

    Attempts at value ranking are common in decorative arts scholarshipand appraisal. Scholars have developed numerous systems and approaches

    over the years. Indeed, many personal property appraisal organizations

    advocate the importance of using value-ranking methodologies that subjec-

    tively score and enumerate aspects of material culture using nominal or

    ordinal scales designating classes of objects or the rank ordering of impor-

    tant property characteristics. These systems and methodologies aid in the

    documentation of case-to-case differences for appraisal purposes. For

    example, Albert Sack in his book the Fine Points of Furniture developed his

    Good, Better, Best and later Masterpiece rankings in the early 1950s.6 In

    the late 1960s and 1970s David Pye, a professor of furniture design at the

    Royal College of Art in England developed a system with six requirements

    for design.7 Also in the 1970s E. McClung Fleming, another Winterthur

    scholar published Artifact Study: A Proposed Model which integrates

    history, material, construction, design and function with identification,

    evaluation and judgments (comparisons), cultural analysis (aspects of the

    artifacts culture) and interpretation (values of the present culture). 8 Past

    Sothebys Chairman, John Marion advocated his system of nine denomina-

    tors for evaluating material culture in the 1980s and published the method-

    ology in 1989. Marions denominators include authenticity, condition, rarity,

    historical importance/provenance, size, medium, subject manner, fashion,

    and aesthetic quality.9 These individuals and many other contributing

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    scholars have devised legitimate descriptive systems and methodologies to

    evaluate, score and rank cultural property on a subjective basis.

    Fourteen Points of Connoisseurship

    In this article, we employ a well-accepted and notable example of a

    descriptive system contained in Dwight Lanmons book, Evaluating Your

    Collection from the Winterthur Decorative Arts Series.10 We use Lanmons

    system to instruct our approach to the evaluation of material culture.

    Lanmons text documents Charles Montgomerys attempt to build and

    codify a system for educating the eye and appraising the quality of an

    object. Montgomery developed the original 14-point system of analysis and

    connoisseurship in the 1960s

    The fourteen points of connoisseurship included in the Montgom-ery/Lanmon system are overall appearance, form, ornament, materials,

    finish, color, craft techniques, trade practices, function, style, attribution,

    history of ownership, condition, and evaluation. The process of evaluating

    decorative arts using Montgomerys 14-point system involves much more

    than basic binary logic; it includes many thought progressions, inputs, and

    levels of comparisons. In order to use the fourteen points correctly and

    effectively, the appraiser must have appropriate scholarship, experience, and

    points of reference to compare and properly rank and categorize objects of

    material culture. Should the appraiser lack the appropriate evaluation skills,

    the exercise becomes meaningless, as the rankings will have little to no

    substance or credibility. With this in mind, we offer the following summary

    of the fourteen points of connoisseurship:

    1. Overall Appearance: This is the first factor considered in evaluatingdecorative arts. It is typically the first impression the appraiser or

    connoisseur has of the piece. The property is to be viewed in total

    while seeking answers to such questions as does it work, are the

    lines clean, does it fit within the stylistic period and is there an inte-

    gration of design aesthetics.

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    2. Form: For our purposes form includes the evaluation of an objectsoutward structure, shape and scope. This typically includes size and

    proportions in comparison to the norm or average of similar types

    of property.

    3. Ornament: Montgomery states, Basically, ornament is secondary toform and ought to heighten its effect rather than obscure it. There-

    fore, the appraiser or connoisseur makes the determination if the

    ornamentation adds to the overall aesthetic or if it detracts. Does

    the ornamentation fit with the piece and does it accomplish its pur-

    pose to enhance form and function.

    4. Materials: The purpose of this point is to identify the materials usedin creating the property. This includes, but is not limited to, the

    identification of woods, textiles, metals, ceramics, mounts and artistcolors and pigments. At times closer inspection is necessary and

    might include microscopy, x-rays, infrared reflectographic imaging,

    and other potential scientific analysis to aid in identification.

    5. Finish: To clean or not to clean, that is the emphasis of this point inthe 14-point process. Some connoisseurs believe that cultural prop-

    erty should not be cleaned at all, others believe there should be some

    minor conservation to the surface but nothing that would hurt or

    diminish the originality , while others feel putting the piece back to a

    condition as originally designed and intended (although removable)

    is the most appropriate method. The appraiser and connoisseur

    need to be aware of current scholarship and the level of care that is

    being observed in museum conservation laboratories. For some

    categories of property, a cleaning may be necessary and could en-

    hance value, but others such as antique copper, even a minor clean-

    ing may destroy patina and negatively affect the desirability and

    value.

    6. Color: This point emphasizes the originality of the colors used in themanufacture or creation of the property. Have the colors faded or

    otherwise been negatively impacted? The appraiser attempts to de-

    termine the original color intent and how much or little fading and

    discoloration has occurred.

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    7. Craft Techniques: According to Montgomery, the analysis of crafttechniques encompasses four points. Quality of craftsmanship,

    techniques used, artist personal touches and creativity, and the use of

    original parts and materials of the period.

    8. Trade Practices: This point deals specifically with marks and labels,as well as practices common to a specific country or region. Trade

    practices may include items such as a cabinet makers label, silver

    hallmarks, tariff law marks such as country of manufacture, registry

    marks, date marks, assays marks or a specific means of determining

    associated property from a region such as secondary woods used in

    pre-colonial furniture or materials used during a specific period of

    design.

    9.

    Function: Function defines the useful purpose associated with theproperty, such as a chair for sitting, a desk for writing and study, or a

    glass for drinking. With age and usage, there should be telltale evi-

    dence of use with appropriate wear-and-tear consistent with the

    original function of the item.

    10.Style: Montgomery states the analysis of style involves the study ofform, ornament, color, and craft techniques with the object being

    evaluated based upon decorative arts knowledge, function, and the

    evolution of stylistic periods.

    11.Attribution: This step includes the signature, mark, label or specificstyle or element of design and/or manufacture process which may

    be associated with a particular maker or creator.

    12.History of Ownership: This point is based on provenance, whichmay include the place and time of origin, along with documented

    proof of past ownership and exhibition. The point references me-

    thods used in determining authenticity.

    13.Condition: Montgomery suggests, Evidences of natural aging andwear, such as coloration, patina, and softening of edges, corners and

    contour, are but a few of the attributes of the antique that add fasci-

    nation to any object. This, like many of the fourteen points can be

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    very subjective, and as the level of connoisseurship analysis in-

    creases, so do the level and expectations of condition.

    14.Evaluation: Evaluation is where the appraiser and connoisseur bal-ance the importance of property versus rarity. Here Montgomery

    states, How good or how bad is it in terms of beauty or aesthetic

    value, intrinsic value in terms of materials and long hours of skillful

    fashioning, and extrinsic value in terms of association, ownership, or

    competition?

    This method of value-ranking objects on various factors introduces

    order to the appraisal process. To reach our goal we need only add a meas-

    ure of metrics to create a hybrid methodology incorporating both a modi-

    cum of objective certainty and the subjective inputs of connoisseurship andexperience.

    Weighted-Factor Scoring Models

    Drawing from medicine, law, product development, and other pro-

    fessional disciplines, we want to introduce the concept of scoring models for

    use in valuation of cultural objects and comparables. As suggested, medical

    diagnosis, jury selection, and the ranking of new product ideas, among other

    things, has been successfully accomplished using scoring models. A scoring

    model can provide a bridge between the value-ranking observation of the

    qualified appraiser and the tacit knowledge of the connoisseur.

    A scoring process is what we use to make decisions among alterna-

    tives whether we realize it or not. Presented with a choice, we rank alterna-

    tives based on a selection of factors, some factors being more important

    than others. We may choose to purchase gasoline for our car based on such

    factors as price, convenience, availability, and the current reading on the gas

    gauge. We assign a different level of importance to each factor and total the

    results in our mind in making the decision about where and when we will

    make the purchase. Cultural objects can be valued using a similar numerical

    scoring process. In the following paragraphs, we outline the procedure used

    to construct a weighted-factor scoring model.

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    Step 1: Define the decision factors of interest. As already noted,

    decision factors in the proposed scoring model include the fourteen points

    of connoisseurship defined previously: overall appearance, form, ornament,

    materials, finish, color, craft technique, trade practices, function, style,

    attribution, history of ownership, condition, and evaluation.

    Step 2: Assign importance levels, or weights, to each decision

    factor. According to Lanmon, Some criteria assume greater importance

    than others depending upon the type of object. Thus, we chose to establish

    a different set of importance scores or weights for each of four different

    categories of antiques and decorative arts (furniture, ceramics, silver, and

    glass) and a general category composed of an average of importance scores.

    The weights assigned to the various factors are based on an objective surveyof qualified appraisers.

    Step 3: Develop scales for changing decision factor values into

    scores. Scales of various types allow the user to rate an object on each

    decision factor. We used semantic differential scales in our model. A five-

    point rating scale that has bi-polar adjectives at each end accompanies each

    weighted decision factor. The adjectives are intended to capture the essence

    of each decision factor.

    It is the responsibility of the individual appraiser to determine his or

    her own level of sensitivity for the scoring scales when evaluating the

    fourteen factors. Scores for the comparable property and subject property

    should be developed on a comparative scale as opposed to hierarchically.

    In the Montgomery/Lanom evalution factors the appraiser must be

    vigilant when it comes to scoring the importance of history of owner-

    ship/provenance and trade practices. If the item being appraised is Georgian

    silver and all comparables and the subject property have appropriate hall-

    marks and assays, the scoring should be consistent for all items within this

    data set. If an item of furniture has a label and the remaining property in the

    data set does not, then the labeled property would of course be scored

    higher. How much higher or the range between no label and labeled would

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    be a subjective decision by the appraiser based upon experience and known

    information on the cabinetmaker. The same scoring rational could be

    applied when evaluating the existence of substantiated provenance/history

    of ownership. The key in using the scoring model is to be consistent when

    comparatively scoring property in the data set for each of the fourteen

    evaluation factors.

    Step 4: Score each decision factor for each alternative, multiply

    the score by its weight, and sum the weighted scores. The model user

    rates the subject property and each comparable independently by selecting a

    scale value indicative of their subjective appraisal with respect to the object

    and factor under consideration. Each factor score is then multiplied by the

    objectively assigned weight. The weighted factor scores are totaled todetermine the overall score for the subject property and each comparable.

    All of the objects under consideration can be objectively ranked based on

    their overall score.

    Methodology

    A convenience sample of ninety-six qualified professional appraisers

    was contacted via email. All of the appraisers invited to participate were

    members of the International Society of Appraisers and Certified Appraisers

    of Personal Property (ISA CAPP) specializing in the appraisal of antiques

    and residential contents or fine art. Gems and jewelry appraisers were not

    included in the sample. Follow-up emails and phone calls were employed to

    encourage participation. Since the survey was limited to decorative arts

    issues, fifteen Fine Art CAPPs, as well as some individuals with other very

    specialized product knowledge rightfully declined to complete the survey

    and six email surveys were returned for improper addresses. Thirty-two

    usable surveys were returned from the seventy-five remaining ISA CAPPs

    uniquely qualified to participate. This represents a response rate of 43

    percent. An examination of early and late respondents on fourteen different

    factors (all decision factors contained in the scoring model) showed only

    one significantly different factor between the two groups. These results

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    suggest that non-response bias is unlikely since the number of significant

    differences is at approximately chance level.

    Survey participants were asked to divide one hundred points among

    the fourteen evaluation factors proposed by Montgomery/Lanmon to

    indicate their perception of the importance of each factor. Respondents

    were instructed to award as many or as few points as they desired to each

    factor to reach a total of one hundred points. They followed the same

    procedure for each of four classes of objects: furniture, ceramics, silver, and

    glass. Each of the four survey columns representing the four types of

    property totaled one hundred points. A general property category was

    constructed from the average importance rating of the four specified

    property types.

    Results

    The analysis of survey results brings together the Montgom-

    ery/Lanmon 14-point rating framework and the tacit knowledge of thirty-

    two certified senior personal property appraisers and connoisseurs. Each of

    the fourteen points in the evaluation system was assigned an importance

    weight based on expert opinions obtained from the survey of ISA Certified

    Appraisers of Personal Property (ISA CAPP). The weight assigned to each

    of the fourteen decision factors in our model represents the average of the

    weights assigned by respondents converted to a percentage (Table 1). The

    weights differ based on the type of object appraised (Figure 1). Reported

    below are the factor percentage and the range of results from the completed

    surveys. The divergent ranges from the survey reflect the concept of

    experiential appraisal conclusions and connoisseurship subjectivity, while

    reinforcing the need for the incorporation of percentages, statistics, stan-

    dards, and metrics.

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    Table 1

    Average Evaluation Factor Percentage Weighting and

    (Range)

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    Figure 1

    Decorative Arts Survey Results

    Weighted-Factor Scoring Model Construction

    The survey results provide an objective database permitting us to

    employ basic mathematical functions intended to reduce the overall impact

    of appraiser subjectivity in the valuation process. The model has two main

    sections, the global or macro section that is represented by the survey results

    and an individual subjective ranking system to be completed by the appraiser

    on the individual subject property and comparables.

    The sum of the fourteen evaluation points for each of the four deco-

    rative arts categories each total one hundred percent. The individual factor

    percentages were entered into a spreadsheet for further statistical treatmentand analysis. The spreadsheet was constructed to incorporate adjusted mean

    methodology (Sigety, 2008) and allow for the evaluation of a subject prop-

    erty with three comparable properties within a particular decorative arts

    category or a general category. The process is the same for each of the

    decorative arts categories.

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    Figure 2

    Evaluation Factors and Rating Scales

    Within the spreadsheet, three comparable property values are totaled

    and averaged. The appraiser then subjectively ranks each of the fourteen

    evaluation points for each of the three comparable properties on a scale of

    1-5, with five being the highest (Figure 2). The evaluation factor percentages

    from the ISA CAPP experience survey are multiplied by the score of the 1-5

    ranking scale for a hybrid macro/micro weighted evaluation factor. Thisprocess combines the global input and uniformity/standardization from the

    experience survey (Table 1) as adjusted by the subjective evaluation of each

    comparable property based upon appraiser input. This hybrid formulation

    returns a combination of standardized evaluation factors based upon the

    survey results combined with the appraisers subjective evaluation of the

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    comparable property using the semantic differential scales (Figure 2) as

    adjusted according to individual property features and attributes.

    Within the spreadsheet, the fourteen weighted percentages are

    summed for each of the three comparable properties; the three totals are

    then averaged to arrive at a comparable weighted average score. This figure

    is converted to a percentage by dividing the combined factor weight by five,

    which represents the highest value within the semantic differential ranking

    scales. This percentage score factor is now the average score of the three

    comparable properties based upon the fourteen factors as determined from

    the ISA CAPP experience survey and the appraisers individual subjective

    evaluation. This percentage score factor converted to a decimal is divided

    into the average value of the three comparables as previously determined.

    The quotient represents the hybrid formulation and adjusted mean value ofthe comparable property based upon comparable values, experiential survey

    weights, and subjective appraiser input. The subject property is similarly

    evaluated, and the comparable adjusted value is used to determine the value

    of the subject property after evaluation.

    The next step in our model analysis is to rank the subject property

    being appraised and valued based upon the ISA CAPP experience survey of

    percentages (Table 1) and the appraisers subjective semantic differential

    scale of 1-5 (Figure 2). As performed with the comparable property, the

    fourteen evaluation factors from the survey are each assigned a ranking from

    1-5 with five being the highest. This appraiser assigned scale returns the

    weighted rank when multiplied by each of the fourteen evaluation factor

    percentages from the survey. Next, total the fourteen weighted evaluation

    factors, as was the case with comparable property. The fourteen summed

    and weighted factors are divided by five to convert to a percentage. The

    final step is to take the subject property weighted score percentage, convert

    to a decimal and multiply it by the comparable adjusted value for a final

    subject property valuation. The subject property final value is based upon

    the value of the comparable property, the global importance of the fourteen

    evaluation factors, and the individual and subjective assessment of the

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    comparable and subject property attributes and features as determined by

    the semantic differential scale scored by the appraiser.

    The spreadsheet example below (Figure 3) shows the furniture deco-

    rative arts category being used with three comparable properties valued at

    $5,000.00, $4,000.00, and $6,000.00 for a $5,000.00 average. The three

    comparable average weighted factor scores of the fourteen evaluation points

    as adjusted by the subjective semantic differential scale as scored by the

    appraiser total 3.93, 4.15 and 3.61, for a 3.90 average score. In order to

    reduce the chances of alteration from the original survey results, the evalua-

    tion percentages of the fourteen factors are embedded and hidden within

    the spreadsheet, and are therefore not shown or revealed. The comparable

    property weighted average score of 3.90 is then converted to a percentage by

    dividing by five (highest score), equaling 78 percent (3.90/5) for these threehypothetical items of comparable property. The 78 percent, converted to a

    decimal is divided into the $5,000.00 average value of the comparable

    property.

    The resulting figure represents the comparable adjusted value at 100

    percent and equals $6,416.23. The figure is the maximum value for this

    particular data set of comparable property as selected and evaluated by the

    appraiser. The final comparable property adjusted figure includes the

    average value of the comparable property as adjusted by the experiential

    survey results and the differential scale as subjectively scored by the ap-

    praiser. The subject property is ranked in the same manner, in this example

    returning a score of 3.5, which is converted into a percentage by dividing by

    5 (3.5/5), equaling 70 percent. When converted to a decimal and multiplied

    by the comparable adjusted value of the comparable property at 100 per-

    cent, the subject property is valued (70% x $6,416.23) at $4,497.65. (figures

    rounded).

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    Figure 3

    Weighted-Factor Scoring Model & Graph

    Discussion and Conclusion

    In this article, we have discussed the nature of appraisal knowledge

    and introduced a numerical scoring model methodology commonly used in

    other social science disciplines. Our goal is to improve the consistency and

    quality of personal property valuations. We believe that new appraisal

    methodologies and techniques that incorporate contributions from both

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    metrics and experience will serve to enhance the professional standing of

    appraisers and benefit users of personal property valuation services.

    Using independently established weights, percentages, and data ob-

    tained by means of a survey of appraisers is a significant advancement in the

    study of decorative arts and personal property appraising. If followed

    properly, the methodology we propose should moderate the subjective

    nature of connoisseurship and valuation.

    Even a cursory review of the range of importance ratings assigned

    by individual respondents illustrates the current idiosyncratic nature of

    appraisal practice and valuation. The range results from Table 1 suggests

    that even when using a common value-ranking approach, two fully qualified

    appraisers chosen at random from among respondents are likely to produce

    significantly different appraisal valuations because of the vast difference inimportance each may assign to the various factors. Add to this the fact that,

    in practice, no two appraisers are likely to use the same value-ranking

    schema in their appraisal practice (nor are they required to do so under

    USPAP) and you can begin to understand fully the need for incorporating

    proven social science methodologies and metrics into appraisal practice.

    As a profession, we cannot be so obtuse as to ignore the problem of

    conflicting and idiosyncratic appraisal results. For those seeking further

    evidence, the problem is reflected in the following statement expressive of

    the courts dissatisfaction with appraisal standardization: In the absence of

    settlement, we are left to adjudicate the validity of conflicting experts'

    opinions who are convinced that both their conclusions and methods are

    correct.11 Even more damning, in the Annual Summary Report for 2007

    the IRS Art Advisory Panel12 reports that only 36 percent of the appraisals

    reviewed by the panel were found to be satisfactory. Sixty-one percent of

    the appraisals reviewed by the panel required adjustments. From a profes-

    sional standpoint, would you hire a lawyer who wins 36 percent of his cases

    or place your confidence in a doctor whose diagnoses are shown to be

    incorrect 61 percent of the time?

    We are aware the methodology described in this article is not the de-

    finitive answer to the problem. When using the model, the comparable

    property and values along with the assigned rating factors must be relevant,

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    viable, and be statistically appropriate when compared to the subject prop-

    erty. The evaluation factors selected must be within the range of values that

    reasonably could be expected to occur from using appropriate appraiser

    generated samples. As an example, you would not expect the methodology

    to function properly when comparing an ordinary depression-era glass vase

    to a highly collectible and desirable Tiffany glass vase. In addition, the

    appraiser must have the experience and knowledge base in order to properly

    and effectively score both the subject property and comparable property. If

    the samples are not properly selected, scored or relevant to the subject

    property the adjusted mean methodology will not function effectively.

    We are also well aware subjectivity will always play a role in the eval-

    uation of cultural property and the decorative arts and it is no different in

    our study, but it is our hope to reduce the variance associated with subjec-tive differences and personal bias and eventually bring balance and a meas-

    ure of objectivity to value conclusions. In doing so, the system based upon

    objective weighted rankings, percentages, and adjusted means may allow

    final value conclusions to become routinely repeatable by different apprais-

    ers and uniquely defendable in contested situations. We must stress that

    evaluation of cultural property is not to be judged based upon what the

    nonprofessional perceives as artistic or culturally significant, but must be

    viewed within the appropriate market by those who have studied and

    experienced the genre of property. In short, connoisseurs and qualified

    appraisers with specialty knowledge and not the layman should make the

    subjective element of evaluation of the subject property in this academic

    exercise.

    (For a sample Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet of the scoring model,

    please contact Robert J. Corey, Ph.D. at [email protected] or

    Todd W. Sigety, ISA CAPP at [email protected])

    Robert J. Corey received his doctorate from Penn State University

    and taught marketing, and product and price policy courses at the university

    level for twenty years prior to founding RJ Corey & Associates (rjcoreyap-

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    Robert J. Corey and Todd W. Sigety74

    praisals.com) in 2006. Dr. Corey received professional training in the

    principles of valuation, and the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal

    Practice at the University of Georgia, sponsored by the American Society of

    Appraisers and the Appraisal Foundation, and maintains an active appraisal

    practice serving Southwest Florida. Contact info: rjcoreyapprais-

    [email protected].

    Todd W. Sigety, ISA CAPP owns Washington Square Antiques, Inc.

    and WSA Appraisals, located in Old Town Alexandria, VA. Mr. Sigety is a

    certified personal property appraiser with the International Society of

    Appraisers, editor of the Journal of Advanced Appraisal Studies published

    by the Foundation for Appraisal Education, a partner in the Appraiser

    Workshops and a member of the International Society of Appraisers boardof directors. His shop specializes in American and English antique furniture,

    fine art, and decorative accessories. Contact info: 425 South Washington St,

    Alexandria 22314 or [email protected]

    End Notes

    1Messing vs. Commissioner 48TC, 502, 512 (1967).

    2 Weimer, Walter B. Notes on the Methodology of Scientific Research. Hillsdale, N.J.:Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1979.

    3 Gregg, Richard B. Symbolic Inducement and Knowing: A Study in the Foundations ofRhetoric. Columbia, S.C.: University of South Carolina Press, 1984.

    4 Polanyi, Michael. The Tacit Dimension. New York: Anchor Books. 1967.

    5 Weimer, Walter B. Notes on the Methodology of Scientific Research. Hillsdale, N.J.:Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1979.

    6 Sack, Albert. Fine Points of Furniture, New York: Crown Publishing. 1950.

    7 Pye, David. The Nature and Art of Workmanship. Cambium Press. 1968

    8 Fleming, E. McClung. Artifact Study: A Proposed Model. Winterthur Portfolio (9:153)

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    9 Marion, John L. The Best of Everything. New York, New York: Simon and Schuster.1989

    10 Lanmon, Dwight P. Evaluating Your Collection: The 14 Points of Connoisseurship.Winterthur, Delaware: Winterthur Decorative Arts Series. 1999.

    11 Messing vs. Commissioner 48TC, 502, 512 (1967).

    12 Carolan, Karen E. Chair, Commissioner's Art Advisory Panel, Annual Summary Reportfor 2007. The Art Advisory Panel of the Commissioner of Internal Review.