city speak xii - water we drink: by lee of hko

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Water and climate change B.Y. Lee Director of the Hong Kong Observatory May 2010

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Where does the water we drink come from? Is there enough for everyone? Where will it come from? Hong Kong's water supply comes from two sources: the rainfall we collect in our reservoirs (20-30%) and water we buy from the Mainland (70-80%). The current agreement for water from the Dongjiang, a tributary of the Pearl River, will expire in 2015. With demand for water growing sharply throughout the Pearl River Delta and the supply of water compromised by pollution and climate change, Hong Kong's future access to clean water is far from certain. In our drive to become a sustainable city, should Hong Kong become self-sufficient? Should we increase the size of our reservoirs? Follow Singapore and recycle our waste water? Build plants to desalinate seawater? What other possible methods are there? Who's going to pay? CitySpeak invites you to join Hong Kong officials, academics and planners in this discussion about our water issues. The keynote speaker is Mr. LT Ma, Director of the Water Supplies Department, who will set the scene and outline the current situation in Hong Kong. The discussion will be moderated by Mr. Mike Kilburn, Environmental Programme Manager, Civic Exchange. Background reading "Liquid Assets -- Water security and management in the Pearl River Basin and Hong Kong" by Civic Exchange, November 2009 (http://www.civic-exchange.org/eng/upload/files/091204LiquidAssets.pdf). For more information about water in China, visit http://www.asiawaterproject.org/. Civic Exchange is a Hong Kong independent non-profit think tank. See: www.civic-exchange.org Designing Hong Kong is a not-for-profit organisation focused on sustainable urban planning. See: www.designinghongkong.com

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Page 1: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

Water and climate change

B.Y. LeeDirector of the Hong Kong Observatory

May 2010

Page 2: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

Global warming :

“Most of the observed increase in globally-

averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century

is very likely due to the observed increase in man-

made greenhouse-gas (GHG) concentrations”

(United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),

Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007)

Very likely = 90%

Page 3: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

About 10% increase relative to the 1980-1999 average of 2324 mm

About 5% or 120mm less than the 1980-1999 average

Page 4: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)

香港極香港極端少雨端少雨和極和極端多端多雨的年數雨的年數Number of extremely dry years and extremely wet years in Hong KongNumber of extremely dry years and extremely wet years in Hong Kong

( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department)

極端少雨的年數極端少雨的年數 Extremely dry yearsExtremely dry years

極端多雨的年數極端多雨的年數 Extremely wet yearsExtremely wet years

期間Period

1885 - 2000 2 2

21st century 4 10

( 相片來源:水務署 Photo from Water Supplies Department) ( 相片來源:渠務署 Photo from Drainage Services Department)

Notes : Extremely dry years - annual rainfall less than 1282 mm; extremely wet years - annual rainfall more than 3187 mm 極端少雨的年數 - 年雨量低於 1282 毫米 ; 極端多雨的年數 - 年雨量高於 3187 毫米

( 相片來源:渠務署 Photo from Drainage Services Department)

Page 5: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

Personally per capita 100 litres/day

Daily food consumption 2000-5000 litres

1 kg bolt of cloth >10 000 litres

1 kg of beef 15 000 litres

1 kg of vegetable 2000 litres

Water usage

(source : The Economist, 11 April 2009)

Page 6: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

What about the melting glaciers in the Himalayas?

Mean annual mass balance [Note] of reference glaciers from 1980 to 2008

with positive values in blue and negative values in red..(Source : World Glacier Monitoring Service : Preliminary

glacier mass balance data 2007/2008

http://www.geo.unizh.ch/wgms/mbb/sum08.html)

Source : World Glacier Monitoring Service : Preliminary glacier mass balancedata 2007/2008 http://www.geo.unizh.ch/wgms/mbb/sum08.html)

Page 7: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

Flooding of the coastal areas becomes easier

under tropical cyclone situations

Sea level rise, plus storm surge

waves caused by typhoon rise in sea level

coast coast

Page 8: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

Magnitude of extreme sea levels at Victoria Harbour based on past data, a projected rise of 0.59 m and of 1.4 m.

Extreme sea-levels at Victoria Harbour

Return period (year)

Extreme sea-level (mCD) based on

past data

Extreme sea-level (mCD) after a mean of sea-level rise of 0.59 m

Extreme sea-level (mCD) after a mean of sea-level rise of 1.4 m

2 2.9 3.5 4.3

5 3.1 3.7 4.5

10 3.3 3.8 4.7

20 3.4 4.0 4.8

50 3.5 4.1 4.9

Note: mCD = metres above Chart Datum.Chart Datum is 0.146 metre below Principal

Datum.

Page 9: City Speak XII - Water We Drink: BY Lee of HKO

(courtesy of TVB)

Flooding in Tai O after Typhoon Hagupit (September 2008)