city of los angelescao.lacity.org/debt/la investor conference presentation final.pdf · 26-02-2014...
TRANSCRIPT
CITY OF LOS ANGELES Presented by Miguel A. Santana, City Administrative Officer February 26, 2014
This Investor Presentation is provided as of February 26, 2014 as part of the Los Angeles 2nd Regional Investor Conference 2014 organized by the City of Los Angeles (“City”) with respect to the City of Los Angeles. If you are viewing this presentation after February 26, 2014, there may have been events that occurred subsequent to such date that may have a material adverse effect on the financial information that is presented herein, and the City has not undertaken any obligation to update this Investor Presentation. All financial data and other information provided herein are not guaranteed as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. This Investor Presentation does not constitute a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument, or to adopt any investment strategy. Any offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security will be made solely by means of an Official Statement, which describes the actual terms of such securities. This Investor Presentation is not an Official Statement. In no event shall the City be liable for any use by any party of, for any decision made or action taken by any party in reliance upon, or for any inaccuracies or errors in, or omissions from, the information contained herein and such information may not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of participating in any transaction mentioned herein. The City makes no representations as to the legal, tax, credit or accounting treatment of any transaction mentioned herein, or any other effects such transactions may have on you and your affiliates or any other parties to such transactions and their respective affiliates. You should consult with your own advisors as to such matters and the consequences of the purchase and ownership of any security. Nothing in this Investor Presentation constitutes a commitment by the City. This Investor Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. The achievement of certain results or other expectations contained in any forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, performance or achievements described to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although the City believes that such expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. The City is not obligated and has not undertaken any obligation to issue any updates or revisions to the forward-looking statements if or when its expectations, or events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based occur.
1
Disclaimer
Credit Ratings
• Standard & Poor’s Credit Review of the City of Los Angeles affirmed its AA- (Stable) rating for General Obligation Bonds
• Current Ratings - Stable (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch) GOs: Aa2/AA-/AA- MICLA LRBs: Real Property: A2/A+/A+ Equipment: A3/A+/A+
Credit Ratings Affirmed
Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer 2
Current 2013-14 Financial Status
Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer 3
Fiscal Year 2013-14 Budget Component
Amount ($ Millions)
Authorized Positions
City Budget $7,686 31,880
General Fund $4,867
Special Funds $2,819
Proprietary Department Budgets
Airports $4,383 3,566
Harbor $1,071 994
Water and Power $7,200 9,986
Grants and Other Non-Budgeted $1,337
Total City Government $20,586 46,426
• Actual General Fund revenues in 2012-13 exceeded 2012-13 Budget by $116.7 million
• 2012-13 revenues have returned to pre-recession levels
-4.8%
0.8% 1.9%
7.0%
3.3%
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
$ Bi
llion
s
% C
hang
e fr
om Y
ear A
go
Fiscal Year Ending
Seven General Fund Taxes
% change -- Left Scale 7 General Fund Taxes ($Billions) -- Right Scale Pre-recession Level
Property (includes VLF and ex-CRA receipts), Utility, Business, Sales, Hotel, Documentary and Parking Taxes
Estimates Actuals
Major General Fund Revenues have Stabilized and are Diversified
7 Major General Fund Revenues, 72.0%
Licenses, Permits, Fees and Fines, 17.0%
Power Revenue Transfer, 5.0%
Parking Fines, 3.0% Miscellaneous Revenue, 2.0%
Transfers from Special Fund, 1.0%
Sources of General Fund Revenue for Fiscal Year 2013-14
4 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
Record High Reserve Balances
In 2013-14, the Reserve Fund exceeded the City’s policy goal of 5% of General Fund revenues
5 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
$113 $145 $159 $179
$114 $166 $152 $171
$201 $233
$327
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$Mill
ions
Fiscal Year
Reserve Fund Balances – Actual Balances ($ in millions)
Reserve Fund Balance Available, July 1st July 1 Balance as % of the General Fund
$785.4 $707.9
$597.9
$483.5 $437.2
$520.1 $571.7
$722.6*
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$Mill
ions
Fiscal Year
GASB 54 General Fund Balance ($ in millions)
Unassigned - Reserve Fund Unassigned - Other Assigned Non-spendableTotal Fund Balance as % of GF Revenues Reserve Fund as % of GF Revenues
GASB 54 Reserve Balances
The City has restated prior year fund balances to conform with GASB 54 First implemented in
fiscal year 2011 CAFR
• For the third year in a row, Reserve balances based on GASB 54 have increased in dollars and as a percentage of revenues
6 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
*Preliminary , subject to change
(14%)
Civilian workforce has been maintained near its lowest point in more than three decades
13,758 14,244 13,706
21,701 22,929 18,187
35,459 35,879 35,974 35,415 36,156 36,667 37,173 36,971 35,864 32,965 32,274 31,816 31,893
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Fiscal Year
Authorized City Staffing (Not Including Proprietary Departments)
Police (Sworn and Civilian) Others
• Total staffing is currently 5,280 positions (14%) lower than its peak in 2007-08 • 2013-14 Adopted Budget maintains 2012-13 staffing levels for both sworn and
civilian employees
Authorized City Staffing
7 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
Labor Relations
8 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
City has taken significant actions to reduce its personnel-related expenditure pressures
• LACERS Tier 2 - Effective July 1, 2013
Defined benefit plan
Member contribution rate variable based on actuarial reports
Retirement factor reduced from 2.16% per year to 2.0% per year
Normal retirement age increased to 65
Final average salary based on 36 months rather than 12 months
Retiree health subsidy excludes dependents
• LAFPP Tier 6 - Effective July 1, 2011
Defined benefit plan
Member contribution rate increased to 11%, including 2% for retiree health
Retirement factor reduced to require longer service
Final average salary based on 24 months rather than 12 months
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Other Post-Employment Benefits Funded Ratio
Fire and Police Pension Plan L.A. City Employees' Retirement System
Los Angeles Department of Water and Power
Pension and OPEB Funded Ratios
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Pension Systems’ Funded Ratio
Fire and Police Pension Plan L.A. City Employees' Retirement System
Los Angeles Department of Water and Power
9
• City fully funds both pension and OPEB Annual Required Contributions
• Funding for OPEB began in 1989-90
• Pension Systems’ 2012-13 Funded Ratios: 69% to 83%
• OPEB 2012-13 Funded Ratios: 39% to 72%
Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer; Los Angeles Department of Water and Power
Pension Contributions
411 382 424 468 486
537 617 670
745 789
342 367 403 444 469
506 576
643 683 721
948 999
1,094 1,213
1,275
848 943
1,046 1,127
1,190
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2012 - 2013 2013 - 2014 2014 - 2015 2015 - 2016 2016 - 2017
Estimated Future City Contributions to Pensions ($ in millions)
LACERS Pre-Pension Reform Forecast FPPS Pre-Pension Reform ForecastLACERS Current Forecast (7/1/13) FPPS Current Forecast (7/1/13)
10
LA City Employees’ Retirement Fund (LACERS) Fire and Police Pension Fund (FPPS)
Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
• Pension reform has lowered pension and OPEB liabilities from prior forecasts
• Increased employee contribution towards retirement health benefits from 0% to 2% (sworn) and 4% (civilian)
Illustrations of Pension and OPEB Contribution Rates (Assuming Contributions Made on 7/15)
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
LA City Employees’ Retirement Fund 25.33% 26.56% 28.57% 29.65% 28.73%
Fire and Police Pension Fund 44.40% 47.94% 50.17% 52.27% 51.35%
Source: Segal Consulting, January 2014, as commissioned by the City Administrative Officer (assumed market return of 7.75%)
Multi-Year Budget Outlook
Four-year 2013-14 General Fund Budget Outlook
$4,879
$5,014
$5,156
$5,285
$4,550
$4,867
$5,120
$5,216
$5,341 $5,368
4,400
4,500
4,600
4,700
4,800
4,900
5,000
5,100
5,200
5,300
5,400
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
$Mill
ions
Fiscal Year
Four Year Budget Outlook 2013-14 to 2017-18
Revenues Expenditures
($242)
($201)
($184) ($83)
11 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
• Retiree Health Subsidy Case (Los Angeles City Attorney Association v. City)
• Furlough Case (Los Angeles City Attorney Association v. City)
• Telephone Users’ Tax Case (Ardon v. City)
• Sidewalks Case (Wilits v. City)
Update on Litigation
Resolution of major lawsuits but other large potential liabilities remain
12 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
Outstanding Direct Debt as of January 1, 2014 Total: $2.78 Billion
(Voter-Approved in Blue)
General Obligation Bonds , 35.7%
Landscaping Assessment Bonds, 0.7%
Equipment Leases, 11.5% Convention Center,
12.6%
Other Real Property Leases, 37.6%
Judgment Obligation Bonds, 1.8%
Disciplined, Policy-Driven Debt Management
Debt Issuance Calendar* Estimated Amount* Estimated Date*
Municipal Improvement Corporation of Los Angeles Lease Revenue Bonds (New Money and Refunding) $91 Million March 2014
Landscape and Lighting District 96-1 Assessment Refunding Bonds $18 Million May 2014
TRANs 2014 $1.4 Billion June 2014
General Obligation Bonds 2014A $60.5 Million August 2014
General Obligation Refunding Bonds 2014B $50 Million August 2014
*Subject to change
• By policy, debt service is limited to 15% of revenues for all direct debt and 6% for non-voted debt
• Over a third of the City’s direct debt is supported by property and special tax receipts
• 68% of the City’s net direct debt will be retired over the next ten years
13 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer
Investor Relations
The City Administrative Officer’s investor relations website is a centralized source of information
Aggregates useful materials for ease of access, including links to:
Financial disclosures (CAFR, Appendix A) Financial policies Various presentations (including investor and credit presentations) Continuing Disclosure documents; CUSIP numbers for use on EMMA Adopted budget, budget memo and current/completed budget deliberations Financial Status Reports Upcoming issuance calendar Rating summary and relevant recent rating reports Remainder of CAO’s website for additional information
Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer 14
• The City’s Adopted Budget is based on conservative revenue assumptions
• The City addressed budget gaps primarily through ongoing solutions
• The City has implemented pension reform
• The 2013-14 Adopted Budget provides flexibility for uncertainties
• Reserve balances of over $400 million (8.2% of general fund revenues)
• Solve problems each quarter
Challenges
• Projected future gaps
• Pension and OPEB cost mitigation
• Focus on service restoration needs to be balanced with resources
• External factors’ (i.e. federal government) impact on economy
Strengths and Challenges
Strengths
15 Source: City of Los Angeles, Office of the City Administrative Officer