chongqing – may 2021 market in residential minutes

2
1 savills.com.cn/research MARKET IN MINUTES Savills Research Residential Chongqing – May 2021 Prices in the main urban area rise The average transaction price in Chongqing’s main urban area increased to RMB13,600 per sq m. Savills plc Savills is a leading global real estate service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled growth. It is a company that leads rather than follows, and now has over 600 offices and associates throughout the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East. This report is for general informative purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any contract, prospectus, agreement or other document without prior consent. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, Savills accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from its use. The content is strictly copyright and reproduction of the whole or part of it in any form is prohibited without written permission from Savills Research. “The Chongqing Planning and Natural Resources Bureau has released a plan to increase the supply of state- owned construction land in 2021, putting into practice the mantra of ‘houses are for living in, not for speculation’ in the context of concentrated land supply.” SOPHY PAN, SAVILLS RESEARCH • The supply of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area 1 of Chongqing dropped 53% to 3.2 million sq m quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) in Q1/2021. • The transaction volume of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area dropped 36.8% to 4.1 million sq m in Q1/2021. • The relatively stable housing market demand supported the increase in transaction prices of first-hand housing in the main urban areas, pushing it up 2.3% to RMB13,600 sq m. • Affected by the concentrated supply of state land, the transaction volume of residential land increased 65% QoQ to 1.4 million sq m, and the average floor price of residential land fell 13.7% QoQ to RMB4,410.3 per sq m in Q1/2021. • From January to February 2021, Chongqing’s real estate development investment decreased 54.8% year-on-year (YoY) to RMB442.9 billion. • In terms of high-end residential properties, the entry of Sunac’s residential project Yihaoyuan increased the supply of high-end residential units in Yubei District and targeted high-end customers looking to upgrade their residences. • Chongqing’s Planning and Natural Resources Bureau issued 1 e main urban area of Chongqing includes Yuzhong, Jiangbei, Yubei, Beibei, Jiulong- po, Shapingba, Dadukou, Nan’an and Banan districts. a proclamation on the state-owned construction land supply plan to ensure “stable land prices, stable house prices and stable expectations” and adhering to the real estate regulation and control requirements of “houses are for living in, not for speculation”. Eric Wo Managing Director Western China +8628 8658 7828 [email protected] CENTRAL MANAGMENT James Macdonald Senior Director China +8621 6391 6688 james.macdonald@ savills.com.cn RESEARCH Please contact us for further information Savills team Sophy Pan Senior Manager Western China +8628 6737 3737 sophy.pan@ savills.com.cn

Upload: others

Post on 28-Apr-2022

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Chongqing – May 2021 MARKET IN Residential MINUTES

1savills.com.cn/research

MARKETIN

MINUTES

Savills Research

Residential Chongqing – May 2021

Prices in the main urban area riseThe average transaction price in Chongqing’s main urban area increased to RMB13,600 per sq m.

Savills plcSavills is a leading global real estate service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled growth. It is a company that leads rather than follows, and now has over 600 offices and associates throughout the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East. This report is for general informative purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any contract, prospectus, agreement or other document without prior consent. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, Savills accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from its use. The content is strictly copyright and reproduction of the whole or part of it in any form is prohibited without written permission from Savills Research.

“The Chongqing Planning and Natural Resources Bureau has released a plan to increase the supply of state-owned construction land in 2021, putting into practice the mantra of ‘houses are for living in, not for speculation’ in the context of concentrated land supply.” SOPHY PAN, SAVILLS RESEARCH

• The supply of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area1of Chongqing dropped 53% to 3.2 million sq m quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) in Q1/2021.

• The transaction volume of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area dropped 36.8% to 4.1 million sq m in Q1/2021.

• The relatively stable housing market demand supported the increase in transaction prices of first-hand housing in the main urban areas, pushing it up 2.3% to RMB13,600 sq m.

• Affected by the concentrated supply of state land, the

transaction volume of residential land increased 65% QoQ to 1.4 million sq m, and the average floor price of residential land fell 13.7% QoQ to RMB4,410.3 per sq m in Q1/2021.

• From January to February 2021, Chongqing’s real estate

development investment decreased 54.8% year-on-year (YoY) to RMB442.9 billion.

• In terms of high-end residential properties, the entry of

Sunac’s residential project Yihaoyuan increased the supply of high-end residential units in Yubei District and targeted high-end customers looking to upgrade their residences.

• Chongqing’s Planning and Natural Resources Bureau issued 1 The main urban area of Chongqing includes Yuzhong, Jiangbei, Yubei, Beibei, Jiulong-po, Shapingba, Dadukou, Nan’an and Banan districts.

a proclamation on the state-owned construction land supply plan to ensure “stable land prices, stable house prices and stable expectations” and adhering to the real estate regulation and control requirements of “houses are for living in, not for speculation”.

Eric WoManaging DirectorWestern China+8628 8658 [email protected]

CENTRAL MANAGMENT

James MacdonaldSenior DirectorChina+8621 6391 [email protected]

RESEARCH

Please contact us for further information

Savills team

Sophy PanSenior ManagerWestern China+8628 6737 3737 [email protected]

Page 2: Chongqing – May 2021 MARKET IN Residential MINUTES

2savills.com.cn/research

MARKET OVERVIEWFrom January to February 2021, Chongqing’s real estate development investment increased 54.8% YoY to RMB442.9 billion. The supply of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area of Chongqing dropped 53% to 3.2 million sq m QoQ in Q1/2021. The transaction volume of first-hand commodity housing in the main urban area dropped 36.8% to 4.1 million sq m in Q1/2021. The relatively stable market demand supported the increase in the transaction prices of first-hand housing in the main urban areas, pushing it up 2.3% to RMB13,600 sq m. In terms of high-end residential properties, the entry of Sunac’s residential project Yihaoyuan increased the supply of high-end residential units in Yubei District and targeted high-end customers looking to upgrade their residences.

LAND MARKETAffected by the concentrated supply of state-owned land, the transaction volume of residential land decreased 65% QoQ to 1.4 million sq m, and the average floor price of residential land fell 13.7% QoQ to RMB4,410.3 per sq m in Q1/2021. Among these land transactions, there were many high-quality plots, such as Nanping Group’s plot in Nan’an district. As a rare plot in the core business area, it is a mixed commercial and residential site, and the transaction price of the land reached RMB12.1 billion with a floor price of RMB14,236 per sq m, setting a new record for the highest floor

price in Chongqing. The plot of land was eventually won by Excellence Group.

MARKET OUTLOOKChongqing’s Planning and Natural Resources Bureau issued a proclamation on the state-owned construction land supply plan to ensure “stable land prices, stable house prices, and stable expectations” and adhering to the real estate regulation and control requirements of “houses are built to be lived for living in, not for speculation”. With this background, it can be expected that future housing prices could be linked more directly to land prices, which will also restrain residential market speculation to a certain extent.

Source Savills Research

GRAPH 1: Real Estate Investment And YoY Growth, 2005 to 02/2021

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

-

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

1-2/

2021

bill

ion

RM

B

Real estate investment (LHS) YoY growth (RHS)

GRAPH 2: Residential Supply, Volume And Price In The Main Urban Area, Q2/2016 to Q1/2021

Source Savills Research

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

RM

B p

er sq m

mill

ion

sq

m

Supply volume (LHS) Transaction volume (LHS) Average price (RHS)

Source Savills Research

GRAPH 3: High-End Residential Price Index, Q2/2016 to Q1/2021

Source Savills Research

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

24,000

28,000

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 Q1

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

RM

B p

er sq m

Q1/

20

13=

100

Price Index(LHS) Average Price(RHS)

Residential

PROJECT NAME PRICE (RMB/SQ M) AREA DEVELOPER

Yihaoyuan 19,148 Yubei Sunac

Xinghanyafu 15,480 Yubei Agile

Jiuyuefu 11,820 Yubei Helenbergh

Tianchenyunzhu 13,770 Shapingba Jinke

TABLE 1: Chongqing New Residential Property, Q1/2021