business planning, project management, introduction to financial control

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    Chetan Shah and Ricarda Micallef

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    will make money through risk andinnovation

    2

    http://images.google.co.uk/imgres?imgurl=http://images.businessweek.com/ss/06/08/personal_reflections/image/02_richard_branson.jpg&imgrefurl=http://images.businessweek.com/ss/06/08/personal_reflections/source/2.htm&usg=__fbUu2IVRQL5AvbANX3Vqf02qceU=&h=400&w=309&sz=69&hl=en&start=2&um=1&tbnid=J1qbaYPGZaZbUM:&tbnh=124&tbnw=96&prev=/images?q=richard+branson+picture&hl=en&sa=X&um=1
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    Why prepare a business plan? Consolidation of ideas Inspire credibility A document for future reference A document to track progress A document to keep focus To identify the aim & value of the plan To secure financial and resource commitment for a

    business start-up Identify and address risks Appreciate any health and safety aspects of the plan

    A business plan is an internal and external CONTROL andSELLING document

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    What is a Business Plan?

    The business plan is a forward-looking risk controldocument

    What and where are the risks ? Are the strategies are in place to minimise the risks?

    The business plan converts the opportunity intoreality

    A plan can be used at any stage of the businesscycle

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    Types of Business plans:

    Summary: for internal financing (1015 pages)

    Traditional: for extensive financing (2040 pages)

    Operational: blueprint for company operations (50100pages)

    Detailed, final plan for public floatation (200+ pages)

    Initial flyer to attract investors (no more than 200 words)

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    Consistent content kindles credibility:

    Executive Summary Tell them what you are going to tell them

    Body Tell them

    Summary

    Tell them what you told them

    NBremember your audience and your desired outcomes

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    Business plan should include Executive summary

    Background and description of the business concept

    Market research & analysis

    The marketing plan

    The economics of the business Operations plan

    Management team

    Critical risks, problems and their mitigation

    The financial plan/offering

    Summary

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    Executive summary

    Readable summary of Description of the business concept

    Opportunity & the strategy

    The target market & competitive advantages The economics, profitability, projections & returns

    The management team

    What is being requested

    Think about what you want to bring to Dragons Den.

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    Background and description of the business concept:

    What is the business?

    Who are the customers?

    How does the product or service appeal to the customer?

    What is special about the service or product?

    What is the competition and what is your competitiveadvantage?

    How will the market be protected from new entrants?

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    Target market and projections The Industry & the market

    Who are the customers?

    Demographics

    How will the product be positioned?

    Technology trends

    How will you reach & service the customers?

    Market structure?

    The size & growth rate of the market segments

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    The competitive advantages

    What are they?

    Do they exist or have to be created?

    It may be the Product itself, Market conditions, or

    competitor Vulnerabilities Is the advantage Sustainable?

    How can it be protected?

    Are there strategic alliances?

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    The management team

    Who- Chairman, Directors,

    The relevant knowledge, experience & skills of thelead entrepreneur & team members

    Previous accomplishments Management experience

    People management skills

    Previous successful ventures

    Financial management skills

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    The Management Team

    The management team is critical to delivery

    Most deals will be done in the first 5 minutes

    First impressions are key

    Are the senior management team likeable externally? Do they instil confidence?

    Personnel problems are the dominant headache in anybusiness

    Are they credible? Have they adequately predicted the risks and have theyaddressed the risks adequately?

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    How will you keep the project on track? How will you monitor progress?

    When monitoring progress consider: Competitive rivalry how much competition is there

    and how good is it? Bargaining power of suppliers

    Bargaining power of customers Threat of new entrants Threat of substitutes

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    Tools to help with risk management:

    PESTLE

    SWOT

    Risk Management Plan

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    PESTLE analysis.

    Helps you to identify the environmental influences that could affectthe strategic development of the business

    Political Economic

    Social Technological Legal Environmental

    Identifying PESTLE influences is a useful way of summarising the

    external environment in which a business operates..

    but must be followed up by consideration of how a businessshould respond to these influences

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    You are buying an existing pharmacy business

    Conduct a PESTLE analysis to define theenvironmental factors which might influence your

    strategy for the business moving forward?

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    PESTLE analysis

    Political Economic SocialTaxation (corporate;

    consumer)Economic growth Income distribution (change

    in distribution of disposable

    income)International trade regulation Drug reimbursement Demographics (age structure

    of the population, gender,

    family size and composition,

    changing nature of

    occupations)Competition regulation Social benefits (minimum

    wage, unemployment

    benefits, grants)

    Labour / social mobility

    Healthcare policies Taxation (disposable income,capital investment,

    corporation tax)Lifestyle changes (e.g. home

    working, single households)

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    PESTLE analysisTechnological Legal EnvironmentalRate of innovation Consumer protection Environmental regulation

    R&D productivity Employment Law Pollution controls

    Rates of technological

    obsolescence

    Competition Law Carbon tax

    Internet DTC marketing Package disposal

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    Define Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats of the

    business opportunity

    In general, Strengths and Weaknesses are internal factors

    In general, Opportunities and Threats are external factors

    Strengths WeaknessesOpportunities Threats

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    Prepare a SWOT analysis for buying asingle practice pharmacy in Hatfield

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    Actions on the basis of SWOT:

    Protect and exploit the Strengths andOpportunities

    Create an action plan to address the Weaknesses

    Focus on Threats could undermine yourbusiness

    Risk management plan to address each Threat

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    Identify risks from PESTLE and SWOT analyses

    Rank risks according to: Likelihood Impact:

    Impact

    LL H

    H

    Likelihood

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    Actions on the basis of RMP:

    Define a plan to address each risk which is eitherhigh likelihood, high impact or both

    Risks should be eliminated > mitigated >managed

    Focus on high likelihood, high impact risks

    Prioritise - could undermine your business

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    Revenues are the food,

    Profit is the drink,

    Cash is the oxygen

    Cash is King

    92% of start ups that fail in the first 3 years

    do so because of poorly managed cash flow

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    Robert Peston, BBC website blog, 2009

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    Investment is an essential input into yourBusiness Control Loop

    Need for capital investment and workingcapital and a slush fund for perceived andunknown risks

    Must predict cash flow and plan forshortfalls

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    Build a forward-looking spreadsheet model topredict cash flows in and out of the businesseach month

    Clearly state your assumptions

    Be pessimistic (worst case)!

    Be realistic (dont try and fool yourself)!!

    Use it to conduct scenarios and test sensitivity

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    Target Market and Projections

    The size & growth rate of the market segments

    Sales estimates and market share?

    Pricing strategy?

    How are you going to grow the business?

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    Economics, Profitability and Return

    Gross & operating margins Expected profitability Durability of the profits Time to breakeven & positive cash flow Key financial projections Return on investment Operating & cash conversion cycle Need a 5 year plan

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    Sales Government grants

    sponsorship

    Licensing

    Internal

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    Wages & Salaries Recruitment Costs

    Staff Training costs & Welfare

    Outside services- Payroll, HR, PR, waste disposable, utilities

    Consumables

    Travel & Entertainment

    Lab/Office Rental

    Equipment & Maintenance

    Equipment Depreciation

    Telephone

    Printing and Stationary

    Postage & Carriage

    IT equipment and expenses

    Marketing & Advertising

    Professional Fees & Accountancy

    Insurance Banking costs

    Contingencies

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    What is the Deal? How much money is required? Cash for equity What return is offered for the investor? What exit is proposed? Added value of investor? Think Dragons Den

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    15% of a company worth 100m ismore than 100% of a company

    worth 2 million

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    What next?

    Design the roll-out

    Share your plan judiciously

    Take ownership

    Revisit and revise Learn from mistakes

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    Issues

    Tailor plan to primary audience

    Consider having more than one version

    Know your risks and their mitigation

    Data must be accurate and convincing Make sure forecasted and past performance are

    aligned

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    Managing the business

    Project Management

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    Why do projects fail? Poor project specification

    Unrealistic time scales

    Time scales that are too long

    Inappropriate staff

    Failure to manage user expectations Failure to manage the change required

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    What is a project?

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    What? Provides a visual summary of a project

    Allows identification of key milestones and critical path

    Excellent project planning tool

    How?

    http://www.jiscinfonet.ac.uk/InfoKits/infokit-related-files/gantt-chart-pic
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    Critical path analysis? Minimum time to complete the project (or an individual task) Uses 2 key dates

    Earliest start date

    Latest finish date (last date which causes no delay)

    For example

    Task cant start to day 7 and must finish by day 11

    This allows 4 days however task itself takes 2 days Provides a float of 2 days

    Critical event on a critical path is when the float is zero

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    Project management

    PRINCE (which stands for Projects in Controlled Environments) is a common tool usedfor project planning

    Benefits of using PRINCE:

    A controlled and organised start, middle and end

    Regular reviews of progress against plan

    Assurance that the project continues to have a business justification

    Flexible decision points

    Management control of any deviations from the plan

    The involvement of management and stakeholders at the right time and place duringthe project

    Good communication channels between the project, project management, and therest of the organisation

    A means of capturing and sharing lessons learned A route to increasing the project management skills and competences of the

    organisation's staff at all levels

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    Prepare and launch a business plan

    Perform risk analysis

    Appreciate the need for financial controls

    Understand project management and the systemsinvolved