book review: climatic change and the mediterranean; environmental and societal impacts of climate...

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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, VOL. 17, 1495–1496 (1997) BOOK REVIEW CLIMATIC CHANGE AND THE MEDITERRANEAN; ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIETAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND SEA LEVEL RISE IN THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION. Vol. 2. L. Jeftic, S. Keckes and J. C. Parnetta (eds), Arnold, London. No. of pages: 564. Price: £89.50. ISBN 0-340-64565-2. This is the second in a series of four books aimed at discussing the environmental and societal impacts of climatic change and sea-level rise in the Mediterranean region. The first volume (edited by Jeftic, Malliman and Sestini in 1992), contains several review articles on various aspects of possible climatic changes across the Mediter- ranean and a few case studies. Each case study is reported by one or two authors, with little possibility for comparison between the various studies. This second volume is a team effort containing a set of case studies, all with the same format enabling a comparison, compiled by over 50 authors. The book starts with a review by the editors on the implications of future climatic changes for the Mediterranean coastal regions in which they describe the methodologies and the various approaches of the different generations of case studies. They also provide a compara- tive table including basic information about the different regions for which case studies were published in the first and this present volume. In the second introductory article, Palutikof and Wigely describe the procedure of developing the various scenarios. They mention the problems of preparing such scenarios and provide a comparative table of performances of various GCMs. However, their maps showing model averages for temperatures or precipitation are too simplified and generalized, and are in contrast with the subsequent very detailed case studies. Following the two introductory chapters are five articles, all entitled: ‘Implication of Expected Climatic Changes for ...’ and the regions in question are: Rhodes, Kastela Bay (Croatia), the Syrian Coast, Malta and Cres-Losinj Islands (Croatia). All articles start with a background review of the region including its physiography, climate, infrastructure and socio-economic conditions and provide a table with the scenarios for future climatic changes for the years 2030, 2050 and 2100 suggested by IPCC and the University of East Anglia. Following, there is a chapter evaluating and assessing the various impacts of climatic change on, for example, climate, geomorphology, soils, water resources, terrestrial and marine ecosystems, popula- tion and economy. This chapter is followed by a synthesis of findings and the most important part of this book, a chapter entitled Recommendations for Action.’ However, although this chapter is the raison d’e ˆtre of the study, it is not given the same due attention by all teams. Although there are very detailed short- and long-term actions needed in each field, suggested by the Rhodian and Maltesian teams, the suggestions by the other three teams remain con- ceptual, general and, to some extent, vague. For example, there is a very detailed suggestion made by the Rhodian team to construct six dams and 46 reservoirs, including their total capacity and location, in order to address the water problem. On the other hand, the suggestion of the Syrian team, is, for example: ‘ ... to create a basis for disaster avoidance and mitigation and to enhance pre- paredness for future events by implementing integrated coastal zone management’. To conclude, the present volume is a valuable addition for those interested in any climatic or climate related study in the Mediterranean region, the possible impacts of future climatic variations and the actions needed to be taken. However, it seems that this is not a stand-alone book (unless one is interested in a particular case study region), but rather should be regarded as part of a wider series of studies that will cover, with time, most of the Mediter- ranean coasts. HAIM KUTIEL University of Haifa BIOCLIMATOLOGIE ET BIOGE ´ OGRAPHIE DES STEPPES ARIDES DU NORD DE L’AFRIQUE, H. N. le Houerou, Options Me ´diterrane ´ennes, se ´rie B, n 10, Institut Agronomique Mediterraneen de Montpellier (Montpellier) 1995, No. of pages: 397. Price: FF400. ISBN: 85352-146-X. The book consists of a text of 153 pages followed by tables (48 pp.), figures (36) and list of plants (110 pp.) Among the 650 references quoted, nearly 100 involve H. N. le Houerou. He is one of the scientists who have greatly advanced our knowledge of the North Africa steppes since World War II. The book represents the synthesis of all the works written by the author on semi-arid and arid North Africa steppes from Morocco to Egypt. His scientific training (doctorate in 1959) and 20 years of field work make him knowledgeable about the North African environ- ment and constitute the very favourable background to his book. The two main themes of H. N. le Houerou’s research as they are presented here consist of the ecological conditions and the stock lists of the steppes. He is very insistent on the importance of ecological conditions in phytosociology and has established a bioclimatic classification of the steppes. It is based on two indices, on the one hand is water stress, defined here as an aridity level expressed by a ratio between precipitation and evapotranspiration, and on the other hand, a possible temperature stress due to winter cold, expressed by the average January minimum temperature. Using CCC 0899-8418/97/131295-03$17.50 # 1997 by the Royal Meteorological Society

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Page 1: Book Review: Climatic change and the Mediterranean; environmental and societal impacts of climate change and sea level rise in the mediterranean region. Vol 2. L. Jeftic, S. Keckes

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, VOL. 17, 1495±1496 (1997)

BOOK REVIEW

CLIMATIC CHANGE AND THE MEDITERRANEAN;ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIETAL IMPACTS OFCLIMATE CHANGE AND SEA LEVEL RISE IN THEMEDITERRANEAN REGION. Vol. 2. L. Jeftic, S. Keckesand J. C. Parnetta (eds), Arnold, London. No. of pages: 564.Price: £89.50. ISBN 0-340-64565-2.

This is the second in a series of four books aimed atdiscussing the environmental and societal impacts ofclimatic change and sea-level rise in the Mediterraneanregion. The ®rst volume (edited by Jeftic, Malliman andSestini in 1992), contains several review articles on variousaspects of possible climatic changes across the Mediter-ranean and a few case studies. Each case study is reportedby one or two authors, with little possibility for comparisonbetween the various studies. This second volume is a teameffort containing a set of case studies, all with the sameformat enabling a comparison, compiled by over 50authors.

The book starts with a review by the editors on theimplications of future climatic changes for theMediterranean coastal regions in which they describe themethodologies and the various approaches of the differentgenerations of case studies. They also provide a compara-tive table including basic information about the differentregions for which case studies were published in the ®rstand this present volume.

In the second introductory article, Palutikof and Wigelydescribe the procedure of developing the various scenarios.They mention the problems of preparing such scenarios andprovide a comparative table of performances of variousGCMs. However, their maps showing model averages fortemperatures or precipitation are too simpli®ed andgeneralized, and are in contrast with the subsequent verydetailed case studies.

Following the two introductory chapters are ®ve articles,all entitled: `Implication of Expected Climatic Changesfor . . .' and the regions in question are: Rhodes, KastelaBay (Croatia), the Syrian Coast, Malta and Cres-LosinjIslands (Croatia). All articles start with a backgroundreview of the region including its physiography, climate,infrastructure and socio-economic conditions and provide atable with the scenarios for future climatic changes for theyears 2030, 2050 and 2100 suggested by IPCC and theUniversity of East Anglia. Following, there is a chapterevaluating and assessing the various impacts of climaticchange on, for example, climate, geomorphology, soils,water resources, terrestrial and marine ecosystems, popula-tion and economy. This chapter is followed by a synthesisof ®ndings and the most important part of this book, achapter entitled Recommendations for Action.' However,although this chapter is the raison d'eÃtre of the study, it isnot given the same due attention by all teams. Althoughthere are very detailed short- and long-term actions needed

in each ®eld, suggested by the Rhodian and Maltesianteams, the suggestions by the other three teams remain con-ceptual, general and, to some extent, vague. For example,there is a very detailed suggestion made by the Rhodianteam to construct six dams and 46 reservoirs, includingtheir total capacity and location, in order to address thewater problem. On the other hand, the suggestion of theSyrian team, is, for example: ` . . . to create a basis fordisaster avoidance and mitigation and to enhance pre-paredness for future events by implementing integratedcoastal zone management'.

To conclude, the present volume is a valuable additionfor those interested in any climatic or climate related studyin the Mediterranean region, the possible impacts of futureclimatic variations and the actions needed to be taken.However, it seems that this is not a stand-alone book(unless one is interested in a particular case study region),but rather should be regarded as part of a wider series ofstudies that will cover, with time, most of the Mediter-ranean coasts.

HAIM KUTIEL

University of Haifa

BIOCLIMATOLOGIE ET BIOGEÂ OGRAPHIE DES STEPPES ARIDES

DU NORD DE L'AFRIQUE, H. N. le Houerou, OptionsMeÂditerraneÂennes, seÂrie B, n� 10, Institut AgronomiqueMediterraneen de Montpellier (Montpellier) 1995, No. ofpages: 397. Price: FF400. ISBN: 85352-146-X.

The book consists of a text of 153 pages followed by tables(48 pp.), ®gures (36) and list of plants (110 pp.) Among the650 references quoted, nearly 100 involve H. N. leHouerou. He is one of the scientists who have greatlyadvanced our knowledge of the North Africa steppes sinceWorld War II. The book represents the synthesis of all theworks written by the author on semi-arid and arid NorthAfrica steppes from Morocco to Egypt. His scienti®ctraining (doctorate in 1959) and 20 years of ®eld workmake him knowledgeable about the North African environ-ment and constitute the very favourable background to hisbook.

The two main themes of H. N. le Houerou's research asthey are presented here consist of the ecological conditionsand the stock lists of the steppes. He is very insistent on theimportance of ecological conditions in phytosociology andhas established a bioclimatic classi®cation of the steppes. Itis based on two indices, on the one hand is water stress,de®ned here as an aridity level expressed by a ratio betweenprecipitation and evapotranspiration, and on the other hand,a possible temperature stress due to winter cold, expressedby the average January minimum temperature. Using

CCC 0899-8418/97/131295-03$17.50

# 1997 by the Royal Meteorological Society