bf chapter 1
DESCRIPTION
Behavioral finance slide, covering chapter one of Behavioural Finance; Psychology, Decision-Making and Markets by Ackert & deaves.TRANSCRIPT
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Cor orate Governance
Michael Christensen
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Michael Christensen
epar men o conom cs an us ness
School of Business and Social Sciences
Building 2632, Room 134
E-mail: mic asb.dk
Phone: +45 871 65001
,
PhD, University of Southampton, England
Practical experience:
7 years in a bank, broker company and Dansk Supermarked.
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Active learning
ec ures:
Teaching will be in Danish and
Blackboard (math. and examples) will be in EnglishPower Point slides (text) will be in English !
Exercises:
Part of each lecture
End of chapter questions:
Exam preparation successively:
u p e c o ce es s
Old exams
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Lucy F. Ackert and Richard Deaves
Chapter 1
Michael Christensen
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Neoclassical economics
e as c assump on o neoc ass ca econom cs s a consumers
and firms act rationally, i.e. consumers maximize utility, and firms
maximize profits.
The rationality assumption is a convenient way to analyze
economic behaviour and often economic modellin becomes
easier if we assume that economic agents behave rationally whenmaking economic decisions.
In the ideal neoclassical world there is no uncertainty; this makes
decision-making uncomplicated. However, the real world is, -
expectations into account.
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Neoclassical economics
en econom c agen s ma e ec s ons ase on expec e va ues
(state of nature), the neoclassical theory assumes that they make
use of all public information, which implies that financial marketsbecome informationally efficient.
The im lication of an informationall efficient ca ital market is that
asset prices will be unpredictable, i.e. no investor will be able toearn an abnormal return. The return on any asset will reflect the
.
Most investors are risk-averse, which means that they dislike risk.,
and prefers less risk to higher risk.
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Neoclassical economics
e can sum up:
1. Consumers have rational preferences across possibleoutcomes or states of nature.
2. Consumers maximize utility, and firms maximize profits.
3. Consumers make inde endent decisions based on all relevant
information.
Expected utility
used to make optimal choices among scarce resources in an
economy, where the future is uncertain.
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Expected utility
e s ngu s e ween or na an car na u y. u y can e
measured cardinally, we can relate specific numbers to the utility of
products or services, e.g. that the utility of apples is 15, oranges 10and bananas 5. These numbers can be interpreted as the
satisfaction received.
If utility is ordinal, we can only measure whether one product ispreferred to another product, e.g. that apples are preferred to
grapes.
1. Preferences are complete
. re erences are rans ve
#1
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Expected utility
e expec e u y eory says a n v ua s s ou ac w en
confronted with decision-making under uncertainty in a certain way.
The theory is really set up to deal with risk, not uncertainty:
Risk is when ou know what the outcomes could be and ou
can assign probabilities.
come up with a list of possible outcomes.
,
implies that the marginal utility is positive and diminishing.
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Expected utility
Examples of concave utility functions:
U(W) = ln(W)
10
12
U(W) = W
4
6
8
ln(W)
SQRT
Reciprocal
U(W) =W
0
2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
CRRA
U(W) =1 a
W 1
1 a
2
#2
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Exercise 1
ow a e ons an e a ve s vers on u y
function:
1 a
U(W) =1 a
where W = wealth and a = the risk aversion parameter hasconstant Relative Risk Aversion.
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Supplementary readings
r s ensen, ., : e nves er ng, s or ag. ap er ,
(Danish).
Copeland, T.E, J Fred Weston and K. Shastri, (2005), Financial
Theory and Corporate Policy, Pearson. Chapter 3.