baidu analysis one-pager report
TRANSCRIPT
Author: Landon H. Brodersen, St. John’s University Date: 3/23/2015
Questions regarding the analysis may be directed to [email protected] or (763) 744-8442
Baidu, Inc.(BIDU) (Sponsored ADR)
Technology Sector
Internet Content and Information Industry
Highlights
As the shining star among Chinese internet companies, Baidu, Inc.
presents an opportunity to capitalize on the Chinese growing middle
class. The firm not only displays robust management and phenomenal
profitability ratios, but it also is the dominant search engine used in
mainland China.
Baidu, Inc. shows promising revenue growth; consistently generating double
digit revenue growth since the company’s inception in 2000. Year-to-year revenue
growth from 2013 to 2014 was 52.83% according to the Q4 earnings call. Growth has
been driven by Baidu’s mobile product expansion and brand recognition in China.
The expansion of Baidu’s segments to services such as Baidu Connect, Baidu
Wallet, and Baidu Food Delivery will allow the company to capitalize on the
growing Chinese middle-class and demand for mobile services.
Baidu, Inc. shows strong financial health relative to its competitors, as shown by
its valuation ratios and profitability ratios. Historically, Baidu’s ROE, ROA, and
Operating Margin have all been higher than its competitors. For the next 1 to 3 years,
I expect these profitability ratios to decrease as Baidu’s investments in mobile services
will take time to generate a significant return. In the long run, I expect Baidu to come
out as the industry leader in its mobile internet search services, producing an efficient
ROI.
Baidu, Inc. announced its 2014 earnings on February 11, 2015 after-market
hours. The results were received to the disappointment of Wall Street as EPS was
$1.61 as opposed to the average estimated $1.68. Baidu’s actual revenue was lower
than analyst estimates. Baidu also announced that its expansion into mobile services
will have a longer turnover than is ideal for a short term investor.
Baidu is the dominant firm in a dominant-fringe firm market structure in the
Chinese internet search engine market, as indicated by its majority market share.
This gives Baidu more pricing power on advertising products, whereas its competitors
have negligible power.
Baidu has shown that its formidable management is not afraid to make
investments in growing markets, whether it is with a segment expansion or with
an investment in a new tech business. Baidu recently took an ambitious stake in
Uber, the online taxi service app, though the terms of the investment decision were not
disclosed. This shows Baidu’s short term profitability will decrease until investments
such as this will turn over.
Risk factors include changing strength of the Yuan against the US Dollar, loss of
market share due to potential changes in Chinese government policy, and
Baidu’s investments in new business segments. While the chances of Google’s
search engine services returning to mainland China are slim, the possibility presents a
threat to Baidu.
Ticker BIDU (NASDAQ)
Price (Close on 2/13/2015) 212.13
Recommendation BUY
Target Price 271.00
Fig
ure
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Company Profile
Price $212.13
52 Week Range $140.66 - $251.99
Average Daily Volume 3.1M
Beta 2.05
Dividend Yield 0.0%
Shares Outstanding 351M
Market Capitalization $74,402M
Insider Holdings 67.4%
M. Fund Holdings 34.0%
Book Value Per Share $23.68
Debt to Capital 33.4%
Key Ratios
EBITDA $2,392M
Fwd. Price-Earnings Ratio 38.0x
Earnings Per Share $3.38
Days Sales Outstanding 25.1
Total Debt/EBITDA 1.7x
Quick Ratio 3.2x
Current Ratio 3.2x
Profit Margin 26.9%
Operating Margin 26.1%
Return on Equity 29.2%
Return on Assets 15.4%
Sales EBITDA
2009 41.0% 41.4%
2010 79.8% 131.4%
2011 92.0% 101.6%
2012 57.4% 52.0%
2013 46.9% 13.0%
2014 52.8% 6.1%
E-2015 50.0% 55.3%
E-2016 45.0% 45.0%
Year to Year Growth Trends
Figure 1
Figure 3
Figure 2
Figure 4