backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul...

15
www.cbnl.com Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling tool and whitepaper Next generation thinking

Upload: vokien

Post on 01-Feb-2018

224 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

www.cbnl.com

Backhaul economics

CBNL TCO modelling tool and whitepaper

Next generation thinking

Page 2: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Why understanding total cost of ownership (TCO) is important

• Operator financial focus is higher

than ever

• Operators want more for less

• Capex and Opex are at the

forefront of the CEO’s thoughts

‘Crucial economics for mobile data

backhaul’ equips customers with a

new perspective on backhaul costs

Commercial in confidence 2

www.senzafiliconsulting.com

Page 3: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

TCO project

“Point-to-multipoint microwave is the most cost

effective way to build backhaul networks”

This is the conclusion Senza Fili’s white

paper evaluating the TCO of popular

backhaul technologies

• Multipoint microwave (i.e. point-to-multipoint

or PMP)

• PtP microwave

• E-Band microwave

• Leased fibre

• Built Fibre

Output:

• Whitepaper

• TCO modelling tool

Commercial in confidence

3

Conventional

Microwave

Leased Fibre

Multipoint

Microwave

Page 4: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Overall whitepaper results

PMP gives operators a 49% cost

saving over microwave PTP in a

macro-cell deployment over five

years.

The cost savings over E-band is a

comparable 47%.

A leased fibre solution may cost

seven times as much as a PMP

solution, due to the high recurring

costs for leased circuits.

Commercial in confidence 4

Page 5: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Source data

• Interviewed multiple CBNL

customers and vendors in USA,

Europe, Africa

• Aggregation algorithms,

configuration assumptions,

topologies based on industry

published data (NGMN).

• Default values are averages of

published data, information from

interviews and guidance from

multiple vendors

• CBNL VectaStar data is from

published list pricing for VectaStar

Gigabit (available to customers)

Commercial in confidence 5

Objectivity was

our goal for this

project

Page 6: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Financial model structure

Commercial in confidence 6

First step:

Set requirements: number of RAN sites, capacity, overbooking

Second step:

Technology options for each technology

Third step:

Capex and opexinputs: accept

default (computed on the basis of

technology options) or set custom

values?

● TCO model evaluates the

business case for all popular

backhaul technologies

● Provides a level ‘playing field’

for fair analysis on clear options

● Not a design tool, the tool is a

financial model for sample

network, to compare the TCO

for each technology:

‒ Calculates the specific

backhaul requirements for

each solution

‒ Provides an accurate

estimate of the equipment

required dependant on

topology and level of traffic

aggregation

Page 7: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Scenarios and topologies modelled for whitepaper

Three scenarios:

• LTE as a base case

• 3G (HSPA)

• LTE small cells

Aggregation gain is used for all

topologies when applicable

Commercial in confidence

7

RAN

RAN

HUB

RAN

RAN

RANRANRANRAN

RANRANRANRAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

Point-to-multipoint (PMP) topology Point-to-point (PTP) and E-band star topology

Point-to-point (PTP) and E-band tree-and-branch topology Point-to-point (PTP) and E-band ring topology

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

HUB

RAN

RAN

RAN

Max 16 RAN sites supported

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

HUB

Max 10 RAN sites supported

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

HUB

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

RAN

LEVEL 3LEVEL 2LEVEL 1Max 15 RAN sites supported

Up to 240 RAN sites supported, depending on RAN site capacity

LTE(base case)

3GLTE small

cells

Max throughput per base station

80 Mbps 20 Mbps 80 Mbps

Sectors per RAN site

3 3 1

Number of RAN sites

24 48 96

Topology for PTP and E-

bandTree and branch

Four wireless topologies modelled• Point-to-Multipoint

• Point-to-Point Star

• Point-to-Point Ring

• Point-to-Point Tree and BranchBackhaul provisioning requirements (mbps) = max (peak sector

throughput ; busy-time mean traffic x number of sectors)

Page 8: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Capex and opex parameters modelled

• Model is populated with median values across all markets

• Any or all values can be modified to suit specific situations

• Degree of detail goes beyond data shown here

Commercial in confidence 8

Page 9: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Capex analysis: global view, 80Mb/s, tri-sector, 24 sites

Commercial in confidence

9

Cumulative

capex% of PMP % of PTP

% of

Eband

% Fiber

built

PMP 100% 69% 53% 10%

PTP 145% 100% 76% 14%

Eband 190% 131% 100% 19%

Fiber, built 1011% 695% 531% 100%

PMP Capex lowest of wireless solutions

− Requires less equipment: savings both

from equipment and installation

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

PMP PTP E-band Fiber, built

Pe

r m

bp

s

Capex, year 1

Equipment

$-

$20

$40

$60

$80

PMP PTP E-band

Pe

r m

bp

s

Capex, year 1

Equipment

Page 10: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Opex analysis: global view, 80Mb/s, tri-sector, 24 sites

Commercial in confidence

10

Cumulative

opex

% of

PMP

% of

PTP

% of

Eband

% Fiber,

leased

% Fiber

built

PMP 100% 47% 53% 11% 227%

PTP 211% 100% 112% 23% 480%

Eband 189% 89% 100% 21% 428%

Fiber, built 44% 21% 23% 5% 100%

PMP has the lowest year 1 Opex

- Requires less spectrum, fewer

antenna sites, less energy

Any point-to-point wireless backhaul

costs more due to additional radios,

antennas, site rentals

$-

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

PMP PTP Eband Fiber, built

Pe

r m

bp

s

Cumulative opex

$-

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

PMP PTP Eband

Pe

r m

bp

s

Cumulative opex

Page 11: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

PMP PTP E-band Fiber, leased

Pe

r R

AN

sit

e

Cumulative capex and opex, Year 5

Base case: LTE (3 sectors) 3G (3 sectors)

LTE small cells (1 sector)

TCO implications: global view

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

PMP PTP E-band Fiber, leased

Pe

r R

AN

sit

e

Cumulative capex and opex, Year 5, base case

Capex Opex

Commercial in confidence

11

• Opex is the dominant TCO element being 10X greater than Capex per Mb/s

• Capex amounts to a relatively small part of the TCO for the network:

− 1% of leased fibre

− 17% of PTP

− 24% for both PMP and E-band

• PMP 5-year base case TCO:

− 49% less than PtP

− 47% less than E-Band

− 86% less than leased fibre

Results consistent regardless of deployment scenario

Page 12: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Opex analysis: using UK published leased fibre prices

• Leased fiber pricing used in the base

case is higher than many developed

countries.Model strives to

use median values, including

developed and emerging countries,

which pushes prices up

• Using UK published retail pricing:

Fiber 40% more expensive than

PMP, 27% less expensive than PTP

• In competitive markets, PTP is

more expensive than leased fibre

• PMP remains the only

alternative to fibre

Commercial in confidence 12

$-

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

PMP PTP E-band Fiber,leased

Pe

r R

AN

sit

e

Cumulative capex and opex, Year 5

Capex Opex

34

mbps

140

mbps

280

mbps

500

mbps

Installation $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000

Yearly rental fees $10,000 $14,000 $20,000 $30,000

Page 13: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

VectaStar, cheaper than free? Base case TCO

PtP $9K capex per link, site and capex PtP capex $0, site & install costs only

Commercial in confidence

13

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

PMP PTP E-band Fiber,leased

Pe

r R

AN

sit

e

Cumulative capex and opex, Year 5

Capex Opex

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

PMP PTP Eband Fiber, leased

Pri

ce p

er

RA

N s

ite a

s %

of

PM

P

Cumulative capex

Cumulative capex Per link

PMP $13,190

PTP $19,177

Spot the

difference,

Capex has little

influence on

TCO

Cumulative capex Per link

PMP $13,190

PTP $10,629

Installation, site

acquisition

make up link

cost difference

Page 14: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

Summary

Operators need high capacity – low opex

backhaul for mobile network densification

VectaStar multipoint microwave is a mature

technology option for backhaul:

− 30% cheaper on capex

− 50% cheaper on opex

− 49% lower TCO overall

− High capacity

− Short deployment time

− Spectrum readily available

VectaStar meets the mobile broadband

backhaul challenge and should be part of

any backhaul portfolio

Commercial in confidence 14

Page 15: Backhaul economics - wireless point to multipoint backhaul ...cbnl.com/sites/all/files/userfiles/files/Crucial backhaul economics... · Backhaul economics CBNL TCO modelling ... business

www.cbnl.com

Backhaul economics

CBNL TCO modelling tool and whitepaper

Next generation thinking