aviva europe: analyst day part 2
TRANSCRIPT
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Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap
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Andrea Moneta
Aviva Europe CEO
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Exploit LeadingBancassurance Position
Recap
Grasp Retail franchise
opportunity
Simplify & Innovate tointegrate Shared Services
Establish state of the artProducts and Governance
Grow at marginal cost, improve mix, increasepenetration by leveraging compelling businessmodel
Increase sales force profitability, improve mixthrough targeted sales campaigns, focus onretention and reduce network costs
Twelve head offices transformed to one,centralised procurement and changemanagement, claims cost management
Tax and capital efficient structure, pan Europeanrisk and capital management, centralised productdevelopment and customer centric catalogue
Our Quantum Leap is transforming our business by bold, clear and high value strategies
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
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OurQuantum
Leap
Making moneyand creating
value
Conclusionsand
Q & A
Focussessions
Our opportunityin Europe
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Making money and creating value
As per every business
Value comes from profit, growth andreturn on capital
Never forget the basics
- Balance sheet
- Cash flow
- P&L
Understand and pull the right value drivers
The insurance business is complicated .
VIF PVFP
CNHR
VNB
MCEV
TVOG
PVNBP
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
NO, it is not ! Though it can be explained better
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Value components: Life
EEV
Appraisalvalue
MCEV
Shareholdersfunds
NPV of inforcebusiness
NPV of newbusiness infuture years
NPV offuture
investmentspreads
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
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The value of the Life in force business
m
Expected free surplus generation from life in-force book*
Generating cash on asustainable basis
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
* From business in-force at 1.1.08 at current exchange rates* Comprises expected interest on net worth, expected current year investment returns on PVIF, emergence of MCEV profits and release of required capital on in-force book
Over 40% of MCEV profit andrequired capital released to free
surplus in first 5 years
0
2 0 0
4 0 0
6 0 0
8 0 0
1 , 0 0 0
1 , 2 0 0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027+
Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile
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1,162
252
229
1,075
112
979
522
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Opening freesurplus
Expected freesurplus
generation
Operatingvariances
Economicmovements &
FX
Investment innew business
Net capitalreturns
Closing freesurplus
The value of the Life in force business
m
Self-funding newbusiness
Generating cash on asustainable basis
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008
Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile
Opening freesurplus
Expected freesurplus
generation
Operatingvariances
Economicmovements
& FX
Investmentin new
business
Net capitalreturns
Closing freesurplus
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1,162
252
229
1,075
112
979
522
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Opening freesurplus
Expected freesurplus
generation
Operatingvariances
Economicmovements &
FX
Investment innew business
Net capitalreturns
Closing freesurplus
The value of the Life in force business
Self-funding newbusiness
Generating cash on asustainable basis
Transferring significantvalue to shareholders
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile
Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008
m
Opening freesurplus
Expected freesurplus
generation
Operatingvariances
Economicmovements
& FX
Investmentin new
business
Net capitalreturns
Closing freesurplus
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Profits from investments Investment margin
Making money in insurance
Profits from investments
Profits from taking risk
Investment to grow
Costs to run our business
Tax to Authorities, minorities
Investment margin
Underwriting margin
New business acquisition
Overheads
Taxation, minority interests
A straightforward P&L ... with clear profit sources
Profits from taking risk Underwriting margin
Costs to run our business Overheads
Investment to grow New business acquisition
Tax to authorities, minorities Taxation, minority interests
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
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How we make money
For both life and general insurance
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation andminority interests
Other
Profit after tax andminorities
New businessacquisition
Life
GI
1H 09 m IFRS Profit
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Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Transforming the business
by executing strategies with high impact on all key value drivers
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Sustainable profit growth
Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Profit after taxand minorities
New businessacquisition
Key focus areas: Opening AUM Net sales Product mix Performance
Increase assets under management and profitability
Bancassurance sales at minimal marginal cost
Retail increase sales force productivity and retention portfolio rebalancing
Improve customer experience and retention
Capital efficient growth through new legal structure
Increase investment return
centralised investment management
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
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Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Profit after taxand minorities
New businessacquisition
Key focus areas: Earned premiums Claims and handling costs
Risk selection and pricing
Underwriting best practice
Customer segmentationHigher penetration of protection business
Effective claims management
Fraud reduction
Lower unit costs Supplier management Procurement
Cost effective claims handling
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Sustainable profit growth
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Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Profit after taxand minorities
New businessacquisition
Key focus areas: Acquisition costs Commissions
Reduce average acquisition costs
Grow Bancassurance at marginal cost
Improve Retail sales force productivityIncrease cross/up sell
Improve quality of leads
Customer centric and innovative product catalogue
Improve automation of sales processes
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Sustainable profit growth
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Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Profit after taxand minorities
New businessacquisition
Key focus areas: Front/back office ratio Spans of control
Expense ratios Property efficiency
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Sustainable profit growth
Pan-European governance, operations & IT
Single head office and streamlined organisation
Efficient IT / shared servicesSingle product catalogue
Single change portfolio and centralised procurement
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Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Life GI Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Profit after taxand minorities
New businessacquisition
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Sustainable profit growth
France34%
Spain30%
Poland19%
Italy
32% Ireland12.5%
CEE16-20%
Single holding company
EU carrier and branches
Central risk and investment managementProduct factories
Tax and capital efficiency
Profit before tax and headline tax rates
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Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Life GI
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
New businessacquisition
Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
New businessacquisition
Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
Sustainableprofit growth
Life
GI
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Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money
OurQuantum
Leap
Focussessions
ConclusionsandQ&A
Ouropportunity in
Europe
Making moneyand creating
value
Life GI
(600)
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Investmentmargin
Underwritingmargin
Overheads
Taxation
Minority interestsOther
New businessacquisition
Sustainable profitgrowth
Life
GI
Doubling2007 IFRSnet profit by
2012
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OurQuantum
Leap
Making moneyand creating
value
Conclusionsand
Q & A
Focussessions
Our opportunityin Europe
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Questions & Answers
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Source: UN (2009), CEA (2009), Aviva PFA Model (2008)
To conclude
Quantum Leap tobecome theundisputed leader
One Aviva, twicethe value deliveredby 2012
Great franchise inthe worlds largestmarket