aviva europe: analyst day part 2

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  • 8/7/2019 Aviva Europe: Analyst Day Part 2

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 3

    3

    Andrea Moneta

    Aviva Europe CEO

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 4

    Exploit LeadingBancassurance Position

    Recap

    Grasp Retail franchise

    opportunity

    Simplify & Innovate tointegrate Shared Services

    Establish state of the artProducts and Governance

    Grow at marginal cost, improve mix, increasepenetration by leveraging compelling businessmodel

    Increase sales force profitability, improve mixthrough targeted sales campaigns, focus onretention and reduce network costs

    Twelve head offices transformed to one,centralised procurement and changemanagement, claims cost management

    Tax and capital efficient structure, pan Europeanrisk and capital management, centralised productdevelopment and customer centric catalogue

    Our Quantum Leap is transforming our business by bold, clear and high value strategies

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 5

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Conclusionsand

    Q & A

    Focussessions

    Our opportunityin Europe

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 6

    Making money and creating value

    As per every business

    Value comes from profit, growth andreturn on capital

    Never forget the basics

    - Balance sheet

    - Cash flow

    - P&L

    Understand and pull the right value drivers

    The insurance business is complicated .

    VIF PVFP

    CNHR

    VNB

    MCEV

    TVOG

    PVNBP

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    NO, it is not ! Though it can be explained better

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 7

    Value components: Life

    EEV

    Appraisalvalue

    MCEV

    Shareholdersfunds

    NPV of inforcebusiness

    NPV of newbusiness infuture years

    NPV offuture

    investmentspreads

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 8

    The value of the Life in force business

    m

    Expected free surplus generation from life in-force book*

    Generating cash on asustainable basis

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    * From business in-force at 1.1.08 at current exchange rates* Comprises expected interest on net worth, expected current year investment returns on PVIF, emergence of MCEV profits and release of required capital on in-force book

    Over 40% of MCEV profit andrequired capital released to free

    surplus in first 5 years

    0

    2 0 0

    4 0 0

    6 0 0

    8 0 0

    1 , 0 0 0

    1 , 2 0 0

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    2021

    2022

    2023

    2024

    2025

    2026

    2027+

    Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 9

    1,162

    252

    229

    1,075

    112

    979

    522

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    Opening freesurplus

    Expected freesurplus

    generation

    Operatingvariances

    Economicmovements &

    FX

    Investment innew business

    Net capitalreturns

    Closing freesurplus

    The value of the Life in force business

    m

    Self-funding newbusiness

    Generating cash on asustainable basis

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008

    Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile

    Opening freesurplus

    Expected freesurplus

    generation

    Operatingvariances

    Economicmovements

    & FX

    Investmentin new

    business

    Net capitalreturns

    Closing freesurplus

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 10

    1,162

    252

    229

    1,075

    112

    979

    522

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    Opening freesurplus

    Expected freesurplus

    generation

    Operatingvariances

    Economicmovements &

    FX

    Investment innew business

    Net capitalreturns

    Closing freesurplus

    The value of the Life in force business

    Self-funding newbusiness

    Generating cash on asustainable basis

    Transferring significantvalue to shareholders

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Source: Aviva Life in force book run off profile

    Free surplus generated by life in-force book, full year 2008

    m

    Opening freesurplus

    Expected freesurplus

    generation

    Operatingvariances

    Economicmovements

    & FX

    Investmentin new

    business

    Net capitalreturns

    Closing freesurplus

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 11

    Profits from investments Investment margin

    Making money in insurance

    Profits from investments

    Profits from taking risk

    Investment to grow

    Costs to run our business

    Tax to Authorities, minorities

    Investment margin

    Underwriting margin

    New business acquisition

    Overheads

    Taxation, minority interests

    A straightforward P&L ... with clear profit sources

    Profits from taking risk Underwriting margin

    Costs to run our business Overheads

    Investment to grow New business acquisition

    Tax to authorities, minorities Taxation, minority interests

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 12

    How we make money

    For both life and general insurance

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation andminority interests

    Other

    Profit after tax andminorities

    New businessacquisition

    Life

    GI

    1H 09 m IFRS Profit

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 13

    Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Transforming the business

    by executing strategies with high impact on all key value drivers

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 14

    Sustainable profit growth

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Profit after taxand minorities

    New businessacquisition

    Key focus areas: Opening AUM Net sales Product mix Performance

    Increase assets under management and profitability

    Bancassurance sales at minimal marginal cost

    Retail increase sales force productivity and retention portfolio rebalancing

    Improve customer experience and retention

    Capital efficient growth through new legal structure

    Increase investment return

    centralised investment management

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 15

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Profit after taxand minorities

    New businessacquisition

    Key focus areas: Earned premiums Claims and handling costs

    Risk selection and pricing

    Underwriting best practice

    Customer segmentationHigher penetration of protection business

    Effective claims management

    Fraud reduction

    Lower unit costs Supplier management Procurement

    Cost effective claims handling

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Sustainable profit growth

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 16

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Profit after taxand minorities

    New businessacquisition

    Key focus areas: Acquisition costs Commissions

    Reduce average acquisition costs

    Grow Bancassurance at marginal cost

    Improve Retail sales force productivityIncrease cross/up sell

    Improve quality of leads

    Customer centric and innovative product catalogue

    Improve automation of sales processes

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Sustainable profit growth

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 17

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Profit after taxand minorities

    New businessacquisition

    Key focus areas: Front/back office ratio Spans of control

    Expense ratios Property efficiency

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Sustainable profit growth

    Pan-European governance, operations & IT

    Single head office and streamlined organisation

    Efficient IT / shared servicesSingle product catalogue

    Single change portfolio and centralised procurement

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 18

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Life GI Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Profit after taxand minorities

    New businessacquisition

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Sustainable profit growth

    France34%

    Spain30%

    Poland19%

    Italy

    32% Ireland12.5%

    CEE16-20%

    Single holding company

    EU carrier and branches

    Central risk and investment managementProduct factories

    Tax and capital efficiency

    Profit before tax and headline tax rates

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 19

    Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Life GI

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    New businessacquisition

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    New businessacquisition

    Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    Sustainableprofit growth

    Life

    GI

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 20

    Our Quantum Leap is all about value and money

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Focussessions

    ConclusionsandQ&A

    Ouropportunity in

    Europe

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Life GI

    (600)

    (400)

    (200)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Investmentmargin

    Underwritingmargin

    Overheads

    Taxation

    Minority interestsOther

    New businessacquisition

    Sustainable profitgrowth

    Life

    GI

    Doubling2007 IFRSnet profit by

    2012

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 21

    OurQuantum

    Leap

    Making moneyand creating

    value

    Conclusionsand

    Q & A

    Focussessions

    Our opportunityin Europe

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    Questions & Answers

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    Aviva Europe Making a Quantum Leap22 October 2009 Page 23

    Source: UN (2009), CEA (2009), Aviva PFA Model (2008)

    To conclude

    Quantum Leap tobecome theundisputed leader

    One Aviva, twicethe value deliveredby 2012

    Great franchise inthe worlds largestmarket