August 19, 2014

Welcome New Employees

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“We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence

then, is not an act, but a habit.” ~ Aristotle

Welcome New Employees

• Stephen Alexander, Electrical Technology Faculty

• Amy Arrowood, Maritime Faculty

• Chris Bahr, Accounting & Business Faculty

• Clay Buckley, Maritime Faculty

• William Buel, Engineering Design Graphics Faculty

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• Sara Byars, Pharmacy Technology Faculty

• B. Wayne Chrisman, Non-Destructive Testing Faculty

• Ayman Elkass, Mathematics Faculty

• Noel Garcia, Welding Technology Faculty

• Susana Gonzalez, Safety Manager

Welcome New Employees

• Jonathon Green, Construction Management Faculty

• Barbara Guillory, Vocational Nursing Faculty

• Brian Himel, Instrumentation Technology Faculty

• Travis Johnson, Theater Faculty & Film Technical Director

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• Kristine Kern, EMT Faculty/Clinical Coordinator

• Russell Kunz, Business Management Faculty

• Shelley McCaul, Massage Therapy Faculty

• Kerry Mix, Dean of Business and Technology

• Mary Myers, ADN Faculty

Welcome New Employees

• Jose Nellikappallil, Vocational Nursing Faculty

• Sarah Pinto, Dental Assisting Faculty

• Darryl Reeves, Process Technology Faculty

• Katherine Ryan, English Faculty

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• Peter Sallay, Mathematics Faculty

• Charles Siegel, Diesel Technology Faculty

• Kelly Simons, Dean of Liberal Arts & Sciences

• David Turnquist, Real Estate Faculty

• Jamie Zahradnik, Dance Faculty

Strategic Leadership Team

• Laurel Williamson, Deputy Chancellor & College President

• Teri Crawford, Vice Chancellor of Marketing, Public Affairs, & Governmental Relations

• Allatia Harris, Vice Chancellor of Strategic Initiatives, Diversity, Workforce, and Community

• Brenda Jones, Provost, South Campus

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• Ken Lynn, Vice Chancellor of Fiscal Affairs

• Bill Raffetto, Provost, North Campus

• Rob Stanicic, CIO

• Steve Trncak, Vice Chancellor of Human Resources

• Van Wigginton, Provost, Central Campus

All Eyes Are On Houston

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• Fourth largest city in the U.S.

• Known for Medical Center and NASA

• Second largest Port in terms of international tonnage

• Second largest petrochemical complex in the world

San Jacinto College Is A Major Hub

San Jacinto College is in

the hub of the industries

that drive the Houston

economy:

• Energy

• Manufacturing

• Maritime

• Aerospace (NASA)

• Healthcare

• Transportation

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Patrick Jankowski

Patrick Jankowski

Regional Economist and Vice President of Research

Greater Houston Partnership

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Presented by

Patrick Jankowski

Vice President, Research

Houston Outlook

Follow me on Twitter @pnjankowski

Read my blog: www.houston.org/economy/blog

Connect with me: www.linkedin.com/in/pnjankowski

www.houston.org

Gross Regional Product

Fourth Largest U.S. Metro Economy

2012 Gross Domestic Product

Rank Metro Area $ Billions 1 New York 1,358.4

2 Los Angeles 765.8

3 Chicago 571.0

4 Houston 449.4

5 Washington 448.7

6 Dallas-Ft Worth 420.3

7 Philadelphia 364.0

8 San Francisco 360.4

9 Boston 336.2

10 Atlanta 294.6

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Second Fastest Growing Economy

Employment Picture

Payroll Employment – June ’14

Geography 000s

Houston 2,843.7

Colorado 2,206.0

South Carolina 2,164.9

Louisiana 2,158.8

Alabama 2,046.7

Kentucky 1,965.3

Oregon 1,900.5

Connecticut 1,796.0

Oklahoma 1,721.6

Utah 1,518.8 Not listed: Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Maine, Mexico, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, West Virginia, and Wyoming

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

More jobs than 29 states

Source: Texas Workforce Commission

Employment Growth by Sector

73.0%

77.2%

78.9%

82.2%

93.0%

126.6%

138.1%

160.7%

165.0%

208.6%

246.8%

Philadelphia

Miami

Los Angeles

Chicago

Atlanta

New York

San Francisco

Washington

Boston

Dallas

Houston

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Seasonally unadjusted

Percent of jobs recovered through June ’14

Houston vs. the Top 10 Metros

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

Jan '04 Jan '05 Jan '06 Jan '07 Jan '08 Jan '09 Jan '10 Jan '11 Jan '12 Jan '13 Jan '14 Jan '15

Emp

loym

en

t (

Mil

lio

ns)

Source: Texas Workforce Commission

Total Nonfarm Payroll, Houston Metro Area, '04 - '15

Employment

Population

Most Populous U.S. Metros - 2013

Rank Metro Area Population 1 New York 19,949,502

2 Los Angeles 13,131,431

3 Chicago 9,537,289

4 Dallas-Fort Worth 6,810,913

5 Houston 6,313,158

6 Philadelphia 6,034,678

7 Washington 5,949,859

8 Atlanta 5,828,191

9 Miami 5,522,942

10 Boston 4,684,299

Fifth Most Populous Metro

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

137,692

111,749108,112

94,38687,265

68,513 64,909

42,204

23,23015,145

Houston New York Dallas-FortWorth

Los Angeles Washington,DC

Atlanta Miami Boston Chicago Philadelphia

New Residents, 7/12 – 7/13

Fastest Growing Population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Year Population Rank

’13 6,313,158 5th

’10 5,920,416 6th

’00 4,693,161 8th

’90 3,750,411 10th

’80 2,905,000 9th

’70 1,985,000 14th

Houston’s Rank Through the Years

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Demographics

Other12,720 0.2%

Mixed Race180,434

2.9%Asian

418,2376.7%

Black1,037,595

16.5%

Hispanic2,228,634

35.5%

White2,406,315

38.3%

Race and Ethnicity

A Diverse Population

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Houston is the nation’s future

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

A few words about population growth

A few words about population growth

The region adds 125,000 residents each year.

60,000 via natural increase

i.e., births minus deaths

25,000 via net international in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

35,000 via net domestic in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

A few words about population growth

The region adds 125,000 residents each year.

60,000 via natural increase

i.e., births minus deaths

25,000 via net international in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

35,000 via net domestic in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

A few words about population growth

The region adds 125,000 residents each year.

60,000 via natural increase

i.e., births minus deaths

25,000 via net international in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

35,000 via net domestic in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

A few words about population growth

The region adds 125,000 residents each year.

60,000 via natural increase

i.e., births minus deaths

25,000 via net international in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

40,000 via net domestic in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

A few words about population growth

The region adds 125,000 residents each year.

60,000 via natural increase

i.e., births minus deaths

25,000 via net international in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

40,000 via net domestic in-migration i.e., more people moving in than out

If we built a wall around Houston and never allowed anyone to move here ever again . . .

There will be another 600,000 people living here in the next ten years.

What’s Driving Houston

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

'09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

$/B

arre

l

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

WTI, Monthly Average Spot Price

Shale Drilling Unprofitable

Shale Drilling Profitable

High Oil Prices

41.7

53.3

62.8

80.0

65.8

80.6

104.5110.3

'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Metro Houston Exports - $ Billions

Exports

Source: U.S. International Trade Administration

Cost of Living

Threats to Houston’s Growth

• External

–Collapsing oil prices

–Slowing growth overseas

–Moratorium on fracking

–U.S. recession

Possible Threats to Houston Growth

• External

–Collapsing oil prices

–Slowing growth overseas

–Moratorium on fracking

–U.S. recession

Possible Threats to Houston Growth

• Internal

–Transportation gridlock

–High housing costs

–Skilled worker shortages

Possible Threats to Houston Growth

• Internal

–Transportation gridlock

–High housing costs

–Skilled worker shortages

Possible Threats to Houston Growth

• NABE Survey of U.S. Economists

– 22% all respondents report workforce shortages

• Manpower Survey of U.S. Manufacturers

– 600,000 skilled worker shortages in manufacturing alone

Skilled Worker Shortages

Middle Skill Needs in Houston

High – 21%

Low – 38%

Middle – 41%

Distribution of Houston-Area Employment - 2012

Houston Workforce

25,630

17,632

9,8528,866

6,782

2,264 1,864 1,287

Blue Collar Sales & Office

Support

Managerial &

OfficeProfessionals

Health Care Food &

PersonalServices

STEM Community

Services & Arts

Education

Source: Addressing Houston’s Middle Skills Jobs Challenge , April 2014

Projected Average Annual Openings for Middle Sills jobs, ’12 – ’17

Workforce Needs

44.4

57.762.9

67.0

74.7

Less Than High School High School U.S. Average Associates Degree Bachelor's or Higher

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

By Educational Attainment, July ‘14

Labor Force Participation

9.6%

6.5%6.1%

5.3%

3.1%

Less Than High School U.S. Avg High School Associates Degree Bachelor's or Higher

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics * U.S. unadjusted rate

By Educational Attainment, July ‘14

Unemployment Rate*

Earnings Potential

Where’s Houston headed?

6.313

2013 - U.S. CensusBureau

TX State DataCenter-Slow Growth

Houston GalvestonArea Council

Ray Perryman Woods & Poole TX State DataCenter-Fast Growth

Millions of Residents

Houston Metro Population Today

6.313

7.464 7.712 7.765 7.8698.334

2013 - U.S. CensusBureau

TX State DataCenter-Slow Growth

Houston GalvestonArea Council

Ray Perryman Woods & Poole TX State DataCenter-Fast Growth

Millions of Residents

Houston Metro Population in 2025

$349.7

$462.0

$573.2

$693.8

$822.4

$954.9

$1,087.5

'10 '15 '20 '25 '30 '35 '40

* '05 Constant Dollars Source: The Perryman Group, Summer 2014

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA 2010-2040($ Billions*)

Gross Regional Product

In summary . . .

Presented by

Patrick Jankowski

Vice President, Research

Houston Outlook

All Eyes Are On Houston

64

Good Fortune? Good Location?

• San Jacinto College is

well-positioned to

address the growing

employment

opportunities.

• San Jacinto College

stands poised at the

epicenter.

• San Jacinto College is

ready for the next phase

of the challenge. It takes

all of us.

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Four Strategic Goals

Stay focused on the Strategic Goals:

— Student Success

— P-16 Pipeline

— Workforce and Economic Development

— Our People

Build on our work over the past

years and design the future of

Higher Education locally, in Texas,

and in the country.

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“Education is the most

powerful weapon which you

can use to change the world.”

- Nelson Mandela

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www.sanjac.edu