attribution of change agents based on all available ...why classifying change agent? •to better...
TRANSCRIPT
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Change Agent Classification Based on All Available Landsat Data
Zhe Zhu Texas Tech University
Zhiqiang Yang Oregon State University
Landsat Science Team Meeting, 01/11/2017, Boston
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Why classifying change agent?
• To better understand change, it is important to know the cause of change.
• Different type of change agent has quite different impacts to the environment.
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Mathematical prediction models fit to clear observations
Reference: Zhu, Z. and C.E. Woodcock. 2014. Continuous change detection and classification of
land cover using all available Landsat data. Remote Sensing of Environment 144:152–171.
Continuous Change Detection and
Classification (CCDC) “Breaks”
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CCDC Breaks vs Change agents
CCDC breaks indicate occurrence of spectral changes, but not all spectral changes are real change or meaningful change!
o Ephemeral break (i.e., moisture change, aerosols, clouds, shadows)
o Recovery break (i.e., break between re-growing stage to mature stage)
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Wet
Dry
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Regrowth
Mature
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Training “Breaks”: Ephemeral and Recovery Breaks from USFS
• Cohen et al., Forest disturbance across the conterminous United States from 1985–2012: The emerging dominance of forest decline (2016).
• Simple random of 7,200 pixels from 180 individual frames that provide time segments of stable, recovery, and other disturbances.
• Breaks in stable segments for training ephemeral breaks.
• Breaks in recovery segments for training recovery breaks.
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Training “Breaks”: Change agents from USGS LANDFIRE project
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Change agents from USGS LANDFIRE project
Confidence Prescribed Fire Wildland Fire Wildland Fire Use Planting Reforestation Seeding Biological Chemical Herbicide Insecticide Low 10032 1 2 384 0 301 216223 51 18 0
Low/Moderate 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Moderate 35574 3 124 135 0 136 5 208 33 0
Moderate/High 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 High 3688 4 13 19882 180 496 0 1978 52 0
Unchanged 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Confidence Thinning Harvest Clearcut Development Mastication Other Mechanical Weather Insects Insects/Disease Disease Wildfire Low 26474 514 0 0 306 184 5046 333 111 0 1925
Low/Moderate 0 0 0 0 0 0 651 0 0 0 1 Moderate 38936 13615 306 0 219 20687 1567 1824 0 431 2177
Moderate/High 0 0 0 0 0 0 123 0 0 0 0 High 21 4890 8374 706 2593 13747 423 18019 92 0 1690
Unchanged 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 785 Agent Harvest Mechanical Weather Insets/disease fire
Extract breaks randomly for each category and subcategory
• 1,000 breaks per category
• Ephemeral (500) + Recovery (500) -> Others
• Harvest (500) + Mechanical (500) -> Mechanical
• Weather (500) + disease/insect (500) -> Nonmechanical
• Fire (1000) -> Fire
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How to use CCDC outputs to classify different breaks?
Pre-change curves
Post-change curves
During-change vector
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10 repeated cross validation 80% training & 20% validation
Change Agents Others Mechanical Nonmechanical
(insects/disease + weather) Fire Total Users Others 1796 143 14 46 1999 90%
Mechanical 119 1801 109 92 2121 85% Nonmechanical 29 11 1804 8 1852 97%
Fire 72 32 0 1904 2008 95% Total 2016 1987 1927 2050 7980
Producers 89% 91% 94% 93% Overall 91.54%
Change Agents Others Mechanical Insect/disease Weather Fire Total Users Others 1757 134 10 3 39 1943 90%
Mechanical 111 1912 32 122 74 2251 85% Insect/disease 1 6 947 2 0 956 99%
Weather 20 0 0 850 0 870 98% Fire 85 39 0 0 1836 1960 94%
Total 1974 2091 989 977 1949 7980 Producers 89% 91% 96% 87% 94% Overall 91.50%
Variables No DEM No Thermal No Thermal No DEM DEM & Thermal
Overall 89.40% 90.63% 90.88% 91.50%
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Conclusion
• The CCDC algorithm can classify change agent with high accuracies.
• The insect/disease and weather related change can be well separated by the CCDC algorithm.
• Both DEM and thermal band are helpful for change agent classification.
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Back up slides
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