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  • 7/29/2019 Astronet Strategic Plan

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    This is a golden era or astronomy. The past ew years have brought a number o epochal discover ies, rom the detec-

    tion o the rst planets orbiting other stars, to the accelerating Universe dominated by enigmatic dark energy. Europe is

    at the oreront in all areas o contemporary astronomy and the challenge now is to consolidate and strengthen this posi-

    tion or the uture.

    In a world o ever-ercer global competition, European astronomy has reached its current position by learning to cooperate

    on both a bi- and a multilateral basis, and especially through the European Southern Observatory (ESO) and the European

    Space Agency (ESA). However, the scientists and research programmes in universities and research organisations at the

    national level remain the backbone o European astronomy. The scientic challenges o the uture will require a compre-

    hensive long-term strategy and the coordination o nancial and human resources, underpinned by vibrant, national scien-

    tic and technological communities across the whole o Europe. This approach is also needed i Europe is to be a strong

    and eective partner in the largest, global projects.

    ASTRONET, supported as an ERA-Net by the European Commission, was created by the major European unding agen-

    cies and research organisations to prepare long-term scientic and investment plans or European astronomy or the

    next 1020 years. The present Infrastructure Roadmap represents the core o this eort and is unique in the history o

    European astronomy. Firstly, it considers the whole o astronomy: rom gamma-ray to radio wavelengths as well as par-

    ticles, rom the ground and in space, and rom the distant borders o the Universe to in si tu exploration o Solar System

    bodies, and includes theory, computing and laboratory studies. Secondly, it involves all o Europe, including the new EU

    member states, and explicitly includes the human resources that are crucial to the delivery o the scientic outcome.

    We know that astronomy interests peo-

    ple o all ages; as well as expanding their

    horizons, it can encourage younger people

    to consider careers in science or technol-

    ogy. Astronomy also drives high technology

    in areas such as optics and inormatics.

    These are all power ul reasons to support

    European astronomy. As this report shows,

    astronomy is also a ully international sci-ence whose communities welcome the

    establishment o the European Research

    Area.

    Hubble and Chandra composite o the galaxy clus-

    ter MACS J0025.4-1222, showing the hot, diuse gas

    trapped in the clusters powerul gravitational eld.Credit: NASA, ESA, CXC, M. Bradac (University o Caliornia, Santa Barbara, USA), and S. Allen (Stanord University, USA)

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    Scientic planning must be based on scientic goals.

    Accordingly, this process began with the development o

    a Science Vision for European Astronomy, published in

    October 2007. It reviewed and prioritised the main scientic

    questions that European astronomy should address over

    the next 1020 years under our broad headings:

    Do we understand the extremes o the Universe?

    How do galaxies orm and evolve?

    What is the origin and evolution o stars and planets?

    How do we t in?

    In doing so, the Science Vision identied the types oresearch inrastructure that would be needed to answer

    the key questions under each heading, but did not address

    specic projects. The present Infrastructure Roadmap

    builds on the Science Vision. It aims to develop a match-

    ing set o priorities or the material and human resources

    needed to reach these goals, and a plan or phasing the

    corresponding investments so that the bulk o the Science

    Vision goals can be reached within realistic budgets. It

    extends the ESFRI Roadmap by analysing and comparing

    the fagship projects in all areas o astronomy in techni-

    cal and nancial detail, and by addressing directly the hard

    acts o the implementation phase.

    The ASTRONET Roadmap was developed primarily on

    scientic grounds by a Working Group appointed by the

    ASTRONET Board. Existing and proposed inrastruc-

    ture projects across astronomy well over 100 in all

    were reviewed by three specialist panels o top-ranking

    European scientists. Two other panels considered the con-

    comitant needs or theory, computing and data archiving,

    and human resources including education, recruitment,

    public outreach and industrial involvement. Overall, over

    60 European scientists were directly involved in this eort.

    Feedback rom the community was invited through both

    a web-based orum and a large symposium held in June

    2008.

    The panels worked by assessing projects requir ing new

    unds o 10 million or more rom European sources and

    on which spending decisions are required ater 2008. They

    examined each project or its potential scientic impact, its

    uniqueness, its level o European input, the size o the astro-

    nomical community that would benet rom it, and its rele-

    vance to advancing European high-technology industr y.

    The Working Group and Panels were mindul o existing

    national and international strategic plans, including those o

    ESFRI, ESO and ESA. They also considered the global con-

    text, including the plans o our major international partners.

    Close contact was maintained with the inrastructure net-

    works OPTICON, RadioNet, EuroPlaNet and ILIAS and the

    ERA-Net ASPERA. The Working Group has sole responsi-

    bility or the nal report.

    Three aspects o the Roadmap are notable. Firstly, it

    emphasises the need to include the entire electromag-

    netic spectrum and beyond in the study o most cos-

    mic phenomena, rom young stars and planets to super-massive black holes in the distant Universe. Secondly, the

    priorities o proposed new space missions were reviewed

    independently by the ASTRONET and ESA Cosmic Vision

    panels. Although they were prepared by dierent groups

    o scientists, the conclusions were very similar. Thirdly, the

    Roadmap identies a number o gaps, or which technolog-

    ical solutions are needed, as well as inconsistencies in cur-

    rent policies. It points to the lack o consistency between

    the resources devoted to major projects and their scientic

    exploitation, and to the need to coordinate space projects

    with the matching ground-based eorts that are needed to

    secure the ull scientic returns rom the investment.

    Arti sts impression o the the extr asolar planet HD 189733b.Credit: ESA/Hubble/M. Kornmesser

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    A useul roadmap must include realistic estimates o costs, technological readiness and avai lable resources. Independent

    advice as well as inormation provided by the projects have been used to assess their cost and maturity, but the reliabil-

    ity o these data varies rom project to project. For uture space missions in particular, projects have been changing and

    merging either internally or with other projects internationally while this report was being prepared. Resource estimates,and also scientic capabilities given here should be regarded as a snapshot o the current situation, based on the best

    inormation available to date. Known or estimated costs or operations are included throughout.

    More surprisingly, the available inormation on present nancial and human resources or European astronomy is itsel

    ragmentary and inconsistent, especially when national universities, projects, and bi- or multilateral collaborations are to

    be included in addition to ESO, ESA and national unding agencies. The demarcation between astronomy and other natu-

    ral sciences such as physics, chemistry or biology is another source o uncertainty. A breakdown o resources into astro-

    nomical disciplines such as cosmology or exoplanet research is not possible, and substantial eort will be required to

    achieve it. This report can give only approximate totals, but they do represent the best pan-European inormation availa-

    ble today.

    In the ollowing, ground-based and space-based projects are considered separately, as the unding sources and project

    selection procedures or them are oten separate. The recommendations are, however, based on the overall scientic per-

    spectives described in the Science Vision.

    Arti sts impression o the European Ex tremely Large Telescope (E-ELT)

    during observations. In the background the centre o the Milky Way is just

    rising above the enclosure o the telescope.

    Credit: ESO/H. Zodet

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    Among the ground-based inrastructure projects, two

    emerged as clear top priorities due to their potential or

    undamental breakthroughs in a very wide range o scien-

    tic elds, rom the Solar and other planetary systems to

    cosmology:

    The European Extremely Large Telescope (E-ELT), a

    40-m-class optical-inrared telescope being developed

    by ESO as a European or European-led project. A deci-

    sion on construction, based on a detailed design and

    cost estimate, is planned or 2010.

    The Square Kilometre Array (SKA), a huge radio tele-scope being developed by a global consortium with an

    intended European share o 33-40 per cent. The SKA

    will be developed in three phases o increasing size, sci-

    entic power, and cost. Construction o Phase 1 could

    be decided in 2012, ollowed by rst science and a deci-

    sion on Phase 2 around 2016, and with Phase 3 envis-

    aged ater 2020.

    It was concluded that although the E-ELT and SKA are

    very ambitious projects requiring large human and nan-

    cial resources, they can both be delivered via an appropri-

    ately phased plan.

    Three other projects were considered scientically out-

    standing in areas with European leadership, but in nar-

    rower elds and with lower budgets than the E-ELT and

    SKA. These have been grouped together in a separate list

    which comprises, in descending order o priority:

    The European Solar Telescope (EST), an advanced 4-m

    solar telescope to be built in the Canary Islands. The EST

    will enable breakthroughs in our understanding o the

    solar magnetic eld and its relations with the heliosphere

    and the Earth; when ready, it will replace the existing

    national solar telescopes in the Canary Islands.

    The Cerenkov Telescope Array(CTA), an array o optical

    telescopes to detect high energy gamma rays rom black

    holes and other extreme phenomena in the Universe.

    Building on existing successul European experiments,

    the CTA the rst true observatory at such energies

    is expected to bring about a breakthrough in our under-standing o the origin and production o high energy

    gamma rays.

    The proposed underwater neutrino detector, KM3NeT,

    was also considered o great scientic potential, but

    ranked lower than the CTA because o the more proven

    astrophysical discovery capability o the latter.

    A smaller project, but again o high prior ity, is a wide-eld

    spectrograph or massive surveys with 810-m telescopes.

    A Working Group is to be appointed by ASTRONET to

    study this in detail. Finally, the report identies a need to

    incorporate and support laboratory astrophysics includ-

    ing the curation o Solar System material returned by space

    missions more systematically than now.

    Arti sts view o the central element o the Square K ilometre Array. The

    phased elements will be able to observe the whole sky and study multiple

    objects simultaneously with independent beams. Surrounding the central

    elements is a widely distributed array o antenna dishes providing added

    sensitivity and resolution.

    Credit: SKA

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    Although important national and multinational space projects are being developed outside the ESA structure and the

    Roadmap also encourages the continued development o ast-track smaller missions, ESAs strategic planning, most

    recently the Cosmic Vision exercise, dominates the development o major scientic space missions in Europe. Regardless

    o scientic merit, only a couple o new L-class (Large scale) and a very ew M-class (Medium scale) missions are likely tobe selected or implemented in the next decade within the Cosmic Vision plan; mission proposals are currently undergo-

    ing major changes and transormations beore the nal selection is made. Their overall impact depends on maintaining a

    strong science programme at ESA.

    The Roadmap Working Group and Panels independently agreed with ESAs initial selection oCosmic Vision missions. All

    the proposed missions were judged to be o high scientic value. The nal choice o missions by the standard ESA review

    and down-selection procedures, which track changes in mission scope and cost and possible mergers with, or replace-

    ment by, other European or international projects, is thereore broadly supported. Within this ramework, our priorities,

    including some non-ESA missions, are as ollows:

    Among the large-scale missions, the gravitational-wave observatory LISA and the X-ray observatory XEUS/IXO were

    ranked together at the top. Next were the TANDEM and LAPLACE missions to the planets Saturn and Jupiter and their

    satellites. One is likely to be selected late in 2008 and will then compete with IXO or LISA or the next L-slot. ExoMars

    was ranked highly as well, but below TANDEM/LAPLACE and does not compete with the others as it belongs to a di-

    erent programme (Aurora). The longer-term missions Darwin (search or lie on other Earths), FIRI (ormation and evo-

    lution o planets, stars and galaxies), and PHOIBOS (very close-up study o the solar atmosphere) were also deemed

    very important but still require lengthy technological development. It was regarded as premature to assign a detailed

    priority ranking to these three missions at this stage.

    Among the medium-scale missions, sci-

    ence analysis and exploitation or the

    astrometric mission Gaia was ranked

    highest, ollowed by the dark energy mis-

    sion EUCLID and then Solar Orbiter. Next,

    with equal rank but dierent maturity, are

    Cross-Scale (magnetosphere), Simbol-X(a non-ESA X-ray project), PLATO (exo-

    planet transits) and SPICA (ar-inrared

    observatory). Below these in priority is

    Marco Polo (near-Earth asteroid sample

    return).

    Let: ESAs Gaia spacecrat: artists impression.

    Right: The young, star-orming Tarantula Nebula in

    the Large Magellanic Cloud. The colours show the

    locations o the many massive, hot young stars and

    the heated and ionised regions they have carved out

    o their natal gas cloud.

    Credit: ESA

    Credit: ESO/ J. Alves, B. Vandame, Y. Bialetski, R. Fosbury

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    The role o existing and approved acilities is also considered in the Roadmap. In space, several current missions are so

    successul that an extension o their operational lietimes beyond those already approved is richly justied on scientic

    grounds. In a constrained environment, the selection o the missions that can be extended within available unds should

    be based on the scientic productivity o the mission and, or ESA-supported missions, the overall balance in the ESAprogramme.

    On the ground, the existing set o small to medium-size optical telescopes is a heterogeneous mix o national and com-

    mon instruments, equipped and operated without overall coordination. This is inecient and is an impediment to eec-

    tive ground-based support or space missions. ASTRONET has appointed a committee to review the uture role, organi-

    sation and unding o the European 24-m optical telescopes within the context o the Roadmap, to report by September

    2009. Reviews o Europes existing mm-submm and radio telescopes will be under taken shortly a ter, ollowed later by a

    review ocusing on the optimum exploitation o our access to 810-m optical telescopes as we enter the era o the E-ELT.

    Together, these reviews will enable Europe to establ ish a coherent, cost-e ective complement o mid-size acilit ies.

    Credit: ESO/H. H. Heyer

    The our 8-m telescopes o the ESO Ver y Large Telescope ( VLT), on Cerro

    Paranal in Chile.

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    In the end, the deployment o skilled humans determines

    what scientic acilities can be built and operated, as

    well as the scientic returns that are derived rom them.

    Conversely, astronomy is a proven and eective vehicle

    or attracting young people into scientic and technical

    careers, or the benet o society as a whole. The Roadmap

    identies several initiatives to stimulate European scientic

    literacy and provide our science with the human resources

    it needs or a healthy uture.

    The development o theory and computing capacity

    must go hand-in-hand with that o observational acilities.

    Systematic archiving o properly calibrated observational

    data in standardised, internationally recognised ormats

    will preserve precious inormation obtained with public

    unds or uture use by other researchers. It will also cre-

    ate a Virtual Observatory that enables new kinds o multi-

    wavelength science and presents new challenges to the

    way that results o theoretical models are presented and

    compared with real data. The Roadmap proposes that a

    European Astrophysical Sotware Laboratory, a centre

    without walls, be created to promote and coordinate this

    development, along with a number o other initiatives.

    Credit: Kevin Govender

    Schoolchildren observing the Sun

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    Technological readiness, along with unding, is a signicant limiting actor or many o the proposed projects, in space

    or on the ground. Key areas or development are identied in each case. Maintaining a vigorous technological R&D pro-

    gramme to prepare or the uture, in concert with industry to ensure technology transer, is an important priority across all

    areas o the Roadmap.

    10

    Credit: Ball Aerospace, NASA, ESA and CSA

    1/6 scale model o the main optical subsystem o the James Webb Space

    Telescope undergoing unctional tests. Europe is making substantial

    contributions to this project, including important parts o the advanced

    instrumentation.

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    The Roadmap can be airly represented as a commu-

    nity-based comprehensive plan that addresses the great

    majority o the Science Vision goals while maintaining

    and strengthening the role o Europe in global astronomywithin realistic budget limitations. In order to implement it

    in a timely manner, given the sti international competi-

    tion, a modest budget increase over the next decade will

    be required. However, the coherent plan proposed here

    will make or a very cost-eective investment or Europe.

    Moreover, such a p lan, with its overview and awareness o

    the global context, will also be a strong asset in negotiating

    international partnerships or the largest projects.

    Plans become useless, but planning is essential! The

    context or the Roadmap kept evolving while it was being

    developed, and will continue to do so. ASTRONET, in con-

    cert with ESFRI, will monitor progress on implementing theproposals o the Roadmap over the next 23 years, whether

    small or large in nancial terms. The entire European astro-

    nomical community awaits the outcome with keen antic-

    ipation. We oresee that a ully updated Roadmap will be

    needed on a timescale o 510 years. Whether the Science

    Vision then needs to be updated as well, will depend on

    scientic and nancial developments on the international

    scene in the meantime.

    The nal version o the present Roadmap will become avail-

    able athttp://www.astronet-eu.org.

    Arti sts view o the brightest gamma-ray burst ever obser ved. The detailed

    observations obtained or this event have provided a wealth o inormation

    on how massive stars explode and interact with their environment.

    Credit: ESO and Guido Chincarini, Steano Covino, Cristiano Guidorzi, University o Miliano Bicocca and INAF-Brera, Italy. Illustration by Luis Calada

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    Designed and produced by ESO September 2008 www.astronet-eu.org