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TRANSCRIPT
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Quantitative Methods
Varsha Varde
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Example. Fourgroups of sales people for a magazine sales
agency were subjected to different sales trainingprograms. Because there were some dropouts during
the training program, the number of trainees varied
from program to program. At the end of the training
programs each salesperson was assigned a salesarea from a group of sales areas that were judged to
have equivalent sales potentials. The table below lists
the number of sales made by each person in each of
the four groups of sales people during the first weekafter completing the training program. Do the data
present sufficient evidence to indicate a difference in
the mean achievement for the four training programs?
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Data
Training Group
1 2 3 465 75 59 94
87 69 78 89
73 83 67 80
79 81 62 88
81 72 83
69 79 76
90
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Definitions
1 be the mean achievement for the first group
2
be the mean achievement for the second group
3 be the mean achievement for the third group
4 be the mean achievement for the fourth group
X1 be the sample mean for the first group
X2 be the sample mean for the second group X3 be the sample mean for the third group
X4 be the sample mean for the fourth group
S21 be the sample variance for the first group S22 be the sample variance for the second group
S23 be the sample variance for the third group
S2
4 be the sample variance for the fourth groupVarsha Varde 5
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Hypothesis To be Tested
Test whether the means are equal or
not. That is
H0 : 1 = 2 = 3 = 4 Ha : Not all means are equal
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Data Training Group
1 2 3 4
65 75 59 94
87 69 78 89
73 83 67 80
79 81 62 88
81 72 83
69 79 76
90
n1 = 6 n2 = 7 n3 = 6 n4 = 4 n = 23
Ti 454 549 425 351 GrandTotal= 1779
Xi 75.67 78.43 70.83 87.75 S2i S21 S22 S23 S24
x= = 1779/23 =77.3478
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One Way ANOVA: Completely Randomized Experimental Design
ANOVA Table
Source of error df SS MS F p-value
Treatments 3 712.6 237.5 3.77
Error 19 1,196. 6 63.0
Totals 22 1 ,909.2
Inferences about population means
Test.
H0: 1 = 2 = 3 = 4
Ha : Not all means are equal
T.S. : F = MST/MSE = 3.77
where F is based on (k-1) and (n-k) df. RR: Reject H0 if F > F,k-1,n-k i.e. Reject H0 if F > F0.05,3,19 = 3.13
Conclusion: At 5% significance level there is sufficient statistical
evidence to indicate a difference in the mean achievement for the
four training programs. 8
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One Way ANOVA: Completely Randomized Experimental Design
Assumptions.
1. Sampled populations are normal 2. Independent random samples
3. All k populations have equal variances
Computations.
ANOVA Table Sources of error df SS MS F
Trments k-1 SST MST=SST/(k-1) MST/MSE
Error n-k SSE MSE=SSE/(n-k)
Totals n-1 TSS
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(i) Response Variable: variable of interest
or dependent variable (sales)
(ii) Factor or Treatment: categoricalvariable or independent variable (training
technique)
(iii) Treatment levels (factor levels):
methods of training( Number of groups or
populations) k =4
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Confidence Intervals.
Estimate of the common variance:
s = s2 = MSE = SSE/n-t CI fori:
Xi t/2,n-k(s/ni)
CI fori - j: (Xi- Xj) t/2,n-k { s2(1/ni+1/nj)}
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Training Group
1 2 3 4
x11 x21 x31 x41
x12 x22 x32 x42
x13 x23 x33 x43
x14 x24 x34 x44
x15 x25 x35
x16 x26 x36
x27
n1 n2 n3 n4 n
Ti T1 T2 T3 T4 GT
Xi X1 X2 X3 4
parameter 1 2 3 4 12
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FORMULAE Notation:
TSS: sum of squares of total deviation.
SST: sum of squares of total deviation between treatments. SSE: sum of squares of total deviation within treatments (error).
CM: correction for the mean
GT: Grand Total.
Computational Formulas for TSS, SST and SSE:
k ni CM = { xij } 2/n
i=1 j=1
k ni
TSS = x
ij2
- CM i=1 j=1
k
SST = Ti2/ni - CM
i=1
SSE = TSS - SST 13
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Calculations for the training example produce
k ni CM = { xij } 2/ n = 1, 7792/23 = 137, 601.8
i=1 j=1
k ni TSS = xij2 - CM = 1, 909.2
i=1 j=1
k
SST = Ti2/ni - CM = 712.6 i=1
SSE = TSS SST =1, 196.6
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ANOVA Table
Source of error df SS MS F p-value
Treatments 3 712.6 237.5 3.77
Error 19 1,196.6 63.0
Totals 22 1,909.2
Confidence Intervals.
Estimate of the common variance: s = s2 = MSE = SSE/n-t
CI fori:
Xi t/2,n-k (s/ni)
CI fori - j:
(Xi- Xj) t /2,n-k { s2(1/ni+1/nj)}
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