an intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modeltwo-phase nocturnal cooling • two-phase cooling (ex....

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An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate model ICUC9 Toulouse, France 9th July 2015 Shiho Onomura Björn Holmer Fredrik Lindberg Sofia Thorsson Urban Climate Group, University of Gothenburg, Sweden

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Page 1: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate model

ICUC9

Toulouse, France

9th July 2015

Shiho Onomura

Björn Holmer

Fredrik Lindberg

Sofia Thorsson

Urban Climate Group, University of Gothenburg, Sweden

Page 2: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

modified from Oke (1986)

Phase 1

• site-dependent

• most intensive cooling

• driven by sensible heat and

longwave radiative

divergence (Holmer et al. 2007)

Phase 2

• site-independent

• gradually decreasing

• driven by raidative

divergence in a capping

inversion above the canonpy

layer (Holmer et al. 2007)

Two-phase nocturnal cooling

/dense

/open

Page 3: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Objectives

To develop a nocturnal cooling rate model to simulate air temperature

investigating the temporal development of nocturnal cooling and the

relationship between cooling rates and meteorological variables and

building density.

Page 4: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

• Air temperature (2m) measured at an open site and four built-up

sites with little vegetation in Gothenburg during May-Sep in 1999.

• U (10m), Ta, clearness of the sky (K↓, RH), from a nearby reference

station (SMHI).

• Average sky view factor within a 25 m radius calculated using digital

surface model and ArcMAP 10.1.

Dataset for model development

SVF

① 0.98

② 0.39

③ 0.40

④ 0.53

⑤ 0.39

Page 5: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

A conceptual profile of nocturnal cooling rate

Phase 1 Phase 2

Page 6: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

A conceptual profile of nocturnal cooling rate

CR = α·cos (t) + β

CR = γ·cos (t) + δ

CR = ε·t + ζ

Page 7: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

A conceptual profile of nocturnal cooling rate

CR = α·cos (t) + β + ΔCR(w,t)

CR = γ·cos (t) + δ + ΔCR(w,t)

CR = ε·t + ζ + ΔCR(w,t)

Page 8: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

A conceptual profile of nocturnal cooling rate

ΔCR(w,t)

Page 9: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

A conceptual profile of nocturnal cooling rate

ΔCR(w,t)

Page 10: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

𝑈𝑡 − 𝑈𝑡−1

𝑈𝑡 + 𝑈𝑡−1

Page 11: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

Phase 1A starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

-0.2

Page 12: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

Phase 1A starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

Phase 1B occurs when

the atmosphere turns from unstable

to stable.

tpeak = t1 + t2

Page 13: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

Phase 1A starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

Phase 1B occurs when

the atmosphere turns from unstable

to stable.

Phase 2 starts 1 hr after relative

wind speed change drops below -

0.5.

-0.5 tpeak = t1 + t2

Page 14: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Determination of CRpeak

Page 15: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Determination of CRpeak

• clearness of the sky (CI)

• wind speed (U)

• maximum daily air temperature (Tmax)

• sky view factor (SVF)

Cooling rate impact factor (CRIF)

𝐶𝑅𝐼𝐹 = 1 −𝑈

𝑈𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡∙

𝐶𝐼 − 𝐶𝐼𝑚𝑖𝑛

𝐶𝐼𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐶𝐼𝑚𝑖𝑛

Ucrit = 4 m/s

CImax = 1

CImin = 0.4

Page 16: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

cloudy

CRIF=0.20

semi-cloudy

CRIF=0.48

clear

CRIF= 0.72

The relationship between CRpeak and Tmax

Tmax (oC)

CR

peak (

K h

-1)

Page 17: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

The impact of SVF on cooling rate

clear

CRIF= 0.72

semi-cloudy

CRIF=0.48

cloudy

CRIF=0.20

𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘,𝑏𝑢𝑖𝑙𝑡−𝑢𝑝𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘,𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑛

=Sky View Impact Factor (SVIF)

Page 18: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Determination of CRpeak

𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘 = −0.2 − 0.083 ∙ 𝐶𝑅𝐼𝐹 ∙ 𝑇𝑚𝑎𝑥 + 13 ∙ 𝑆𝑉𝐼𝐹

Page 19: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Determination of CR2

𝐶𝑅2 = 𝐶𝑅2_𝑚𝑖𝑛 + 𝐶𝑅2_𝑐𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑟 − 𝐶𝑅2_𝑚𝑖𝑛 ∙𝐶𝐼 − 0.57

1 − 0.57

𝐶𝑅2_𝑐𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑟 = −1.6 + 0.67 ∙ 𝑈2

𝐶𝑅2_𝑚𝑖𝑛 = −0.34 + 0.03 ∙ 𝑈2

Impact of wind speed change

∆𝐶𝑅𝑤 𝑡 = − α ∙ 𝑈 𝑡 − 𝑈𝑎𝑣𝑒,𝑝ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑥

1 3 , 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 1𝐴

+ α ∙ 𝑈 𝑡 − 𝑈𝑎𝑣𝑒,𝑝ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑥1 3

, 𝑖𝑓 𝑥 = 1𝐵 𝑜𝑟 2

Page 20: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Fundamental equations

Phase 1A 𝐶𝑅 = 𝐶𝑅1 −𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘 ∙ cos 𝑓 𝑡 − 𝑡1 − 1 2 + 𝐶𝑅1 + ∆𝐶𝑅𝑤 𝑡

Phase 1B 𝐶𝑅 = 𝐶𝑅2 −𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘 ∙ cos 𝑓 𝑡 − 𝑡𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘 + 1 2 + 𝐶𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑎𝑘 + ∆𝐶𝑅𝑤 𝑡

Phase 2 𝐶𝑅 =𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑑−𝑡

𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑑−𝑡2𝐶𝑅2 + ∆𝐶𝑅𝑤 𝑡

Page 21: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Model evaluation

Observational data from

– A open (SVF=0.92) site and a built-up (SVF=0.40) site in Gothenburg,Sweden

– A complex built-up (SVF=0.46) site in London, UK

during May – Sep in 2012 and 2014. The sites have little vegetation.

SVF=0.4

SVF=0.92

SVF=0.46

Gothenburg London

Page 22: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Model results

clo

udy

sem

i-clo

udy

cle

ar

Page 23: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Summary

• A intra-urban nocturnal cooling model was developed based on the

concept of two-phase cooling.

• The model successfully estimates cooling rate under a wide range of

weather (CI and U) condition as well as at sites of different building

densities.

• To be tested for other cities, e.g. lower latitudes and/or with very different

site characteristics.

• To take into account the impact of anthropogenic heat and latent heat

fluxes.

• To be used in climate application, e.g. human thermal comfort estimation.

Future work

Page 24: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Thank you for your attention.

CONTACT INFORMATION : [email protected]

Aknowledgement

• This project is financially supported by the Swedish Research Council Formas,

the Swedish Energy Agency, the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, the

Swedish National Heritage Board and the Swedish Transport Administration.

• We appreciate Prof. Sue Grimmond, Dr. Simone Kotthaus, Mr. William Morrison

and Ms. Janina Konarska for providing observational data.

Relevant research paper

• Onomura S, Homer B, Lindberg F and Thorsson S (2015) Urban nocturnal

cooling rates: development and evaluation of the NOCRA Model. Manuscript.

• Konarska J, Homer B, Lindberg F and Thorsson S (2015) Influence of vegetation

and building geometry on the spatial variations of air temperature and cooling

rates in a high latitude city. In Review, Int J Climatol

Page 25: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Two-phase nocturnal cooling

• Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006)

Phase 1 : site-dependent

most intensive cooling

Phase 2 : site-independent

gradually decreasing

Radiative divergence

Sensible heat flux

Radiative divergence

in a capping inversion

above the canopy layer

(Holmer et al. 2007)

Page 26: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Cooling rate (CR2) at the start of phase 2

Page 27: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Impact of cloudiness on CRpeak

Page 28: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Impact of U and Tmax on cooling rate

cloudy

semi-cloudy

clear

Page 29: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

unstable

built-up open

Page 30: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

unstable

Phase 1 starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

built-up open

-0.2

Page 31: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

Phase 1 starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

Most intensive cooling occurs when

the atmosphere turns from unstable

to stable.

tpeak = (t1 + t2)/2

stable

built-up open

Page 32: An intra-urban nocturnal cooling rate modelTwo-phase nocturnal cooling • Two-phase cooling (ex. Chow and Oke 2006) Phase 1 : site-dependent most intensive cooling Phase 2 : site-independent

Onset of phase 1A,1B and 2 (t1, tpeak, t2)

Phase 1 starts when relative wind

speed change drops below -0.2.

Most intensive cooling occurs when

the atmosphere turns from unstable

to stable.

Phase 2 starts about 1 hour after

relative wind speed change drops

below -0.5.

stable

built-up open

-0.5