price forecasting methods and evaluation procedures by jon a. brandt and david a. bessler

The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting

Methods: An Appraisal

by

W. G. Tomek and T. D. Mount

Suggested citation format:

Tomek, W. G., and T. D. Mount. 1981. “The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting Methods: An Appraisal.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Price Forecasting Methods and Evaluation Procedures

by

Jon A. Brandt and David A. Bessler

Suggested citation format:

Brandt, J. A., and D. A. Bessler. 1981. “Price Forecasting Methods and Evaluation Procedures.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Error Decomposition in Commodity Price

Forecast Evaluation

by

Dean T. Chen

Suggested citation format:

Chen, D. T. 1981. “Error Decomposition in Commodity Price Forecast Evaluation.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

A Canadian Agricultural Model: An Example of

Integrating Economics, Econometrics

and Practical Constraints

by

Allen W. Shiau

Suggested citation format:

Shiau, A. W. 1981. “A Canadian Agricultural Model: An Example of Integrating Economics, Econometrics and Practical Constraints.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Integrating of World Weather and Other Market

Factors in Formulating U.S. Crop Forecasts

by World Agricultural Outlook Board

by

Norton Strommen, Jim Matthews, and Raymond Motha

Suggested citation format:

Strommen, N., J. Matthews, and R. Motha. 1981. “Integrating of World Weather and Other Market Factors in Formulating U.S. Crop Forecasts by World Agricultural Outlook Board.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Impact Multipliers of the Crops:

An Application for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

by

Abner Womack, Stanley R. Johnson, William H. Meyers,

Jim L. Matthews, and Robert E. Young II

Suggested citation format:

Womack, A., S. R. Johnson, W. H. Meyers, J. L. Matthews, and R. E. Young II. 1981. “Impact Multipliers of the Crops: An Application for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

An Interactive Forecasting Technique

for Perishable Products

by

John J. Van Sickle and Richard Beilock

Suggested citation format:

Sickle, J. J. V., and R. Beilock. 1981. “An Interactive Forecasting Technique for Perishable Products.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Quarterly Broiler Price Forecasting Models

by

David Kenyon

Suggested citation format:

Kenyon, D. 1981. “Quarterly Broiler Price Forecasting Models.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

A Short-Term Egg Price Forecasting Model

by

Lee F. Schrader and David A. Bessler

Suggested citation format:

Schrader, L. F., and D. A. Bessler. 1981. “A Short-Term Egg Price Forecasting Model.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Forecasting Short-Run Fed Beef Supplies

with a Simulation Model

by

James N. Trapp

Suggested citation format:

Trapp, J. N. 1981. “Forecasting Short-Run Fed Beef Supplies with a Simulation Model.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Short-Term Forecast of Feeder Cattle Prices

by

Stephen C. Beare, Carl W. O’Connor, and Ray F. Brokken

Suggested citation format:

Beare, S. C., C. W. O’Connor, and R. F. Brokken. 1981. “Short-Term Forecast of Feeder Cattle Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Short-Term Price Forecasting Models

for Cattle and Hogs

by

Marvin Hayenga, Joel Propst, Michele Mansfield,

and Gene Futrell

Suggested citation format:

Hayenga, M, J. Propst, M. Mansfield, and G. Futrell. 1981. “Short-Term Price Forecasting Models for Cattle and Hogs.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Forecasting of Canadian Cattle Prices:

Application of Time Series and Regression Models

by

John D. Spriggs, Surenda N. Kulshrestha,

and Akinayo Akinfemiwa

Suggested citation format:

Spriggs, J. D., S. N. Kulshrestha, and A. Akinfemiwa. 1981. “Forecasting of Canadian Cattle Prices: Application of Time Series and Regression Models.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

A Delivery System for Price Outlook

by

Darrel Good, Tom Hieronymus, and Hal Everett

Suggested citation format:

Good, D., T. Hieronymus, and H. Everett. 1981. “A Delivery System for Price Outlook.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

A Total Meat Demand Approach to Forecasting

and Explaining Beef Prices

by

John E. Ikerd

Suggested citation format:

Ikerd, J. E. 1981. “A Total Meat Demand Approach to Forecasting and Explaining Beef Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Developing a Producer-Oriented Market

Information Delivery System

by

Harlan Hughes, Robert Carver, and Robert Price

Suggested citation format:

Hughes, H., R. Carver, and R. Price. 1981. “Developing a Producer-Oriented Market Information Delivery System.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Futures Markets as Inverse Forecasters

for Post-Harvest Wheat Prices

by

Robert S. Firch

Suggested citation format:

Firch, R. S. 1981. “Futures Markets as Inverse Forecasters for Post-Harvest Wheat Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Moving Averages as an Indicator of Price Direction

in Hedging Applications

by

John R. Franzmann

Suggested citation format:

Franzmann, J. R. 1981. “Moving Averages as an Indicator of Price Direction in Hedging Applications.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

Soybean Market Forecast Errors

by

Arthur Havenner and Marlene Cerchi

Suggested citation format:

Havenner, A., and M. Cerchi. 1981. “Soybean Market Forecast Errors.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].