moneyball

MoneyballGroup 20: PANTS Section 2

Pramod Jindal Aiwen Xu Nicolas Mulroney Tim Dong Sean Ray

Introduction

Moneyball: A Conceptual Model

Moneyball in Football

Prerequisites and Limitations

Questions

Moneyball : A Conceptual Model

3. Use specific actionable statistics to achieve those goals

1. Realize your biases

2. Narrow down goals

Moneyball in Football Passer Rating (Est 1971)

◦ Completion %◦ Passing Yards◦ Touchdowns◦ Interceptions

Total Quarterback Rating (Est. 2008)◦ Passing◦ Running◦ Avoiding Sacks and Fumbles◦ Time of the Play

End zone

TOUCHDOWN!

Moneyball in FootballPasser Rating (Est 1971)

Completion %Passing YardsTouchdowns Interceptions

Total Quarterback Rating (Est. 2008)PassingRunningAvoiding Sacks and FumblesTime of the Play

End zone

TOUCHDOWN!

QBR ExampleMatt Ryan Philip

Rivers

Passer Rating RANK

Quarterback Rating RANK

Result

11 2

3 8

Playoffs No Playoffs

+8 -6

Prerequisites & Limitations ?

Prerequisites Undervalued Asset Information Asymmetries Statistical Model & interpretation Humongous data Quantifying intangibles

Limitations 50/50 Moneyball Forvever?

Market Efficiency Entity Size

The WRAP Moneyball Concept

Quarterback Rating

Comparison

Conditions and Limitations

Questions?