moneyball
DESCRIPTION
Can MoneyBall Effect Last Forever?TRANSCRIPT
MoneyballGroup 20: PANTS Section 2
Pramod Jindal Aiwen Xu Nicolas Mulroney Tim Dong Sean Ray
Introduction
Moneyball: A Conceptual Model
Moneyball in Football
Prerequisites and Limitations
Questions
Moneyball : A Conceptual Model
3. Use specific actionable statistics to achieve those goals
1. Realize your biases
2. Narrow down goals
Moneyball in Football Passer Rating (Est 1971)
◦ Completion %◦ Passing Yards◦ Touchdowns◦ Interceptions
Total Quarterback Rating (Est. 2008)◦ Passing◦ Running◦ Avoiding Sacks and Fumbles◦ Time of the Play
End zone
TOUCHDOWN!
Moneyball in FootballPasser Rating (Est 1971)
Completion %Passing YardsTouchdowns Interceptions
Total Quarterback Rating (Est. 2008)PassingRunningAvoiding Sacks and FumblesTime of the Play
End zone
TOUCHDOWN!
QBR ExampleMatt Ryan Philip
Rivers
Passer Rating RANK
Quarterback Rating RANK
Result
11 2
3 8
Playoffs No Playoffs
+8 -6
Prerequisites & Limitations ?
Prerequisites Undervalued Asset Information Asymmetries Statistical Model & interpretation Humongous data Quantifying intangibles
Limitations 50/50 Moneyball Forvever?
Market Efficiency Entity Size
The WRAP Moneyball Concept
Quarterback Rating
Comparison
Conditions and Limitations
Questions?