forest trends: ownership, markets, and ecosystem services

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Forest Trends: Ownership, Markets, and

Ecosystem Services

Sally CollinsAssociate Chief,

U.S. Forest Service

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

National Forest System

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Forestland ownership (U.S.)

20%

22%

9%

49%

National forest

Other public

Forest industry

Other private

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Softwood from national forest land(% national total consumed)

0

5

10

15

20

25

1952 1962 1972 1982 1992 2002

Percent

(Based on

unpublished data,

PNW)

2.9% total U.S. softwood

consumption

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Forestland ownership (int’l)

77%

11%

12%

Government

Community/indigenous

Individual/firm

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Ecosystem services

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Multiple services: water …

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

… wildlife, fish, recreation …

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

State and private programs

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

International programs

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

America’s forest estate

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1630 1938 1963 1987 2002

Acres (thousands)

America’s forest estate

(Based on

GTR-NC-241,

table 3)

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

America’s forest estate (projected)

Acres (thousands)

710

715

720

725

730

735

740

745

750

1997 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

(Based on

PNW-GTR-587,

table 2)

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Loss of open space

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Forests on the edge

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Changing industrial timberland

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Cost + freight to Baltimore, 2001

050

100150200250300350

E.Europe

S.America

W.Europe

E.Canada

U.S.South

US$/MBF

Based on Jim DeCosmo, “Future of the Texas Forest Industry,” 1/31/03

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Capacity/use in the West

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Millio

n C

ub

ic F

ee

t

1986 1996 2003

Capacity

Use

48% capacity decline

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Illegal logging

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Stagnant prices

0

50

100

150

200

250

1952 1976 1997 2010 2030 2050

Paper

Softwood lumber

Plywood

OSB

Index of price per unit (based on PNW-GTR-560, table 10)

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

What’s next for America’s forests?

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Valuing Ecosystem Services

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Standing dead trees

Understory

Live trees

Soil organic carbonDown dead wood

Carbon components of forests

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Carbon markets

Research

Projects

Partnerships

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Ecosystem services markets

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Biomass fuels

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Certification

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Certification test

Allegheny NF

Medicine Bow NFMt. Hood NF

Fremont-Winema NF (Lakeview Unit)

NFs in Florida

Siuslaw NF

Chequamegon-Nicolet NF

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Conservation working for people