forest trends: ownership, markets, and ecosystem services

GAA 2007 Environmental Workshop June 19-21, 2007 Grand Rapids, MN

Sally CollinsAssociate ChiefU.S. Forest Service

Forest Trends: Ownership, Markets, and

Ecosystem Services

Sally CollinsAssociate Chief,

U.S. Forest Service



National Forest System



Forestland ownership (U.S.)

20%

22%

9%

49%

National forest

Other public

Forest industry

Other private



Softwood from national forest land(% national total consumed)

0

5

10

15

20

25

1952 1962 1972 1982 1992 2002

Percent

(Based on

unpublished data,

PNW)

2.9% total U.S. softwood

consumption



Forestland ownership (int’l)

77%

11%

12%

Government

Community/indigenous

Individual/firm



Ecosystem services



Multiple services: water …



… wildlife, fish, recreation …



State and private programs



International programs



America’s forest estate

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1630 1938 1963 1987 2002

Acres (thousands)

America’s forest estate

(Based on

GTR-NC-241,

table 3)



America’s forest estate (projected)

Acres (thousands)

710

715

720

725

730

735

740

745

750

1997 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

(Based on

PNW-GTR-587,

table 2)



Loss of open space



Forests on the edge



Changing industrial timberland



Cost + freight to Baltimore, 2001

050

100150200250300350

E.Europe

S.America

W.Europe

E.Canada

U.S.South

US$/MBF

Based on Jim DeCosmo, “Future of the Texas Forest Industry,” 1/31/03



Capacity/use in the West

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Millio

n C

ub

ic F

ee

t

1986 1996 2003

Capacity

Use

48% capacity decline



Illegal logging



Stagnant prices

0

50

100

150

200

250

1952 1976 1997 2010 2030 2050

Paper

Softwood lumber

Plywood

OSB

Index of price per unit (based on PNW-GTR-560, table 10)



What’s next for America’s forests?



Valuing Ecosystem Services



Standing dead trees

Understory

Live trees

Soil organic carbonDown dead wood

Carbon components of forests



Carbon markets

Research

Projects

Partnerships



Ecosystem services markets



Biomass fuels



Certification



Certification test

Allegheny NF

Medicine Bow NFMt. Hood NF

Fremont-Winema NF (Lakeview Unit)

NFs in Florida

Siuslaw NF

Chequamegon-Nicolet NF



Conservation working for people

forest trends: ownership, markets, and ecosystem services

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