fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products
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Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products F. Miletzky
Paper & Fibre 2030Shaping a sustainable future
02.05.2023
One sector's journey into the future
Sources http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg
“Breakthrough technologies" for
reengineering production processes and reducing
CO2 emissionsThe contribution of paper as a material to various
economic sectors
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02.05.2023
Declining share prices ...
0
50
100
150
200
250
20142012201020082006200420022000
Share price index (2000 = 100)
MSCI paperand forest products
MSCI world materials
'00-'13
+ 57%
- 33%
Pre-boom
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream; BCG analysisCourtesy of R. Haslehner (Boston Consult Comp.)
DownturnCommodityboom
Multi-utilitiesGas utilities
SoftwarePaper andforest products
Tobacco
Industry classification
Unp
redi
ctab
ility
Malleability
"Adaptive"
"Classical" "Visionary"
"Shaping"
Note: Unpredictability = market cap return volatility, malleability = industry concentration - return to scale + revenue growth. Rank based on industry environment matrixSource: BCG analysis, Courtesy of R. Haslehner (BCG)
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The paper world is growing dark…
02.05.2023
10 ct/kg
10 ct/kg7,000 €/kg
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1 €/kg
1,500 €/kg
Bridging the gap: value creation!
02.05.2023
• Global growth of P&B based packaging has been forecasted to be approx. 7 % annually within next 10 years accord. to different studies (Capital Mind, Catalyst Corp. Finance).
• Consequently, new construction of paper machines (or rebuilds of former graphic machines) (e.g. Sappi Europe, Heinzel Group Austria, UPM/Leipa Germany,…) for packaging and specialty P&B
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… how is the paper sector addressing this challenge?
02.05.2023
One sector's journey into the future
Sources: http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg
“Breakthrough technologies" for
reengineering production processes and reducing
CO2 emissions Ideas for “tomorrow's paper”
The contribution of paper as a material to
various economic sectors
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02.05.2023
Motivation for the "Fibre & Paper 2030" project of the future
The paper sector is in a phase of radical change
But: even today there are discernible innovative approaches to paper applications in various sectors with a considerable need for development work
Motivation: What are the markets, fields of business and customer needs of the future for fibre-based materials?
A solid groundwork has been laid: Within the scope of the bio-economy concept, sustainable and bio-based concepts for tomorrow's world are in demand! Source: http://www.leanoffice-evenburg.de/images/zeit%20fuer%20sw.png
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Time for change
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Increase the value added of innovative products and tap into new markets – light-weight construction materials, for example
The outcome: Customise paper for innovative areas of application
The challenge for paper
Source: Biesalski et al. WfP 2015
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02.05.2023
Project management:
PTS
FENWIS GmbH = flight controller
Core team:
Depiction of the entire paper value chain:
suppliers, producers, converters
and researchers/developers
Duration:
01/2014 to 03/2015
Joint future project: “Fibre & Paper 2030”
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What? – Project goals:Shape a future with “paper”Anticipate tomorrow‘s requirements todayIdentify new markets with high value added
02.05.2023
Retropolation: systematically looking ahead into the future
today 2030 2050
Future visions of tomorrow and beyond
Documented premises
The currentsetting
“Looking back at tomorrow”
?
Tomorrow's needs
• New applications?• New materials?• New properties?• New business opportunities?
Source: FENWIS GmbH
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02.05.2023
The map of the future: looking back from the future
Retropolation
Trends
Overall picture:
• People
• Customers
• Markets
• Economy
• Technologies
• Environment
• Politics
• Society
Areas of activity
Businessmodels
Business plans
Strategy
Manage-ment
culture
Portfolio
Infra-structure
Training
…
Communication
Business today
Influencing variables
• Future markets• Customer’s
requirements• Need for
innovation• Research
themes• Competence
requirements• Business
models• Laws and
regulations
Food
Health & hygiene
Mobility
ICTE*
Logistics
Future city & architecture
Living & workingGeneral
boundary conditions
Thematic areas
= Corporate tasks
* ICTE = Information, Communication, Training and Expertise
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Source: FENWIS GmbH
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Joint activities on the path to 2030
Source: http://www.bauwelt.ch/sites/default/files/22159_1_chinmegastadt.jpg
Future city & architecture(Sound and climate control in homes, emergency shelters, building material systems, cultivation areas, energy storage systems, …)
Mobility(fibre-based light-weight construction for tomorrow‘s mobility, fireproof equipment, …)
Health & hygiene(Filters, smart dressing materials, implants, prostheses, ...
Living & Working(modular and convertible living room-style elements, functionalised wall coverings and partitions, …)
Food(modular greenhouses, fibre fleece as plant substrate, paper covers for separating arable farming areas, …)
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02.05.2023
Premises 2050
Megacities are the most efficient living areas due to modern mobility concepts, energy efficiency and high land use
Buildings and infrastructure make a decisive contribution to local regenerative energy production (solar energy in photovoltaic systems on facades, wind energy, algae production in facades)
Self-cleaning and self-repairing materials prolong service life
Paper-related ideas• Fibre-based materials for thermal
insulation and soundproofing in houses and apartments
• Functionalised fibre-based exterior facades (e.g. with shielding properties, heating functions, …)
• Use of fibres as a building material in concrete, mortar, e.g. for weight reduction and enhanced insulation
Source: https://zukunft2050.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/smart-grid-zukunftsstadt-aus-film-pof_2_2009_34_still_megacity_turm.jpg
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Paper-related ideas in the thematic area Future city & architecture
02.05.2023
Paper as a building material? It works!
Bridge over the river Gardon, France (2007)
Cathedral, Christchurch, New Zealand (2013)
Emergency shelters,Kobe, Japan (1995)
Emergency shelters, Byumba Refugee Camp, Rwanda (1999)
Source: Shigeru Ban
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02.05.2023Source: Kevin Boyack, Dick Klavans, publ. 2006 W. Bradford Paley
Materials science as the interface between mathematics, applied physics, physical and organic chemistry, fluid mechanics and analysis
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Intersectoral networks dominate technological and scientific progress
02.05.2023
Networking activities aimed at implementing the results
Source: http://www.kilory.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/sharing.jpg
Functional & integration networks
Key technology networks
Future visions network
System/subsystem networks
Solutions networks
Application networks
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02.05.2023Source: Final Report Industrie 4.0, April 2013; Publ.. Promotor Group Communication of the Forschungsunion Wirtschaft – Wissenschaft e.V.
Industry 4.0
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02.05.2023
What lessons can we learn?
1. The large global themes provide ample opportunity for innovations with paper. Arguments supporting this view are the advantageous material properties of paper and similar products on the one hand. On the other hand, large market volumes can evolve that are adapted to our industry.
2. We have to expand our materials science expertise by improved vocational education and training and create appropriate networks. We must reflect on the vertical range of manufacture in order to participate more from the total value added.
3. Industry 4.0 is creating new prerequisites and regional opportunities, and it is essential that we equip ourselves properly.
4. Our lobbying activities, in particular on behalf of small and medium-sized enterprises, must be intensified especially in the EU Commission, in the national ministries, in funding organisations and in new economic sectors.
5. We, with our range of products and solutions, are welcome if only we wish to be.
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02.05.2023
Prof. Dr. Frank MiletzkyPapiertechnische StiftungHess-Str. 134, 80797 MunichPirnaer Str.37, 01809 HeidenauGermany
Tel: +49 89 12146 184frank.miletzky@ptspaper.de
Thank you for your attention!
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