amin kassam, m.d., yue-fang chang, ph.d., robert e. ferrell,...

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A Functional Polymorphism in the Endothelial Nitric Oxide Synthase Gene is a Risk Factor for Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Normotensive Patients with Intracranial Aneurysms Amin Kassam, M.D., Yue-Fang Chang, Ph.D., Robert E. Ferrell, Ph.D. and David G Peters, Ph.D. From the Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine (A.B.K., Y.C.) and Department of Human Genetics, Graduate School of Public Health (R.E.F., D.G.P.), University of Pittsburgh.

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  • A Functional Polymorphism in the Endothelial Nitric Oxide Synthase Gene is a Risk Factor for

    Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Normotensive Patients with Intracranial Aneurysms

    Amin Kassam, M.D., Yue-Fang Chang, Ph.D., Robert E. Ferrell, Ph.D. and David G Peters, Ph.D.

    From the Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine (A.B.K., Y.C.) and Department of Human Genetics, Graduate School of Public Health (R.E.F., D.G.P.), University of Pittsburgh.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    2

    Correspondence author:

    David G. Peters Ph.D.

    Department of Human Genetics

    A300 Crabtree Hall

    University of Pittsburgh

    130 DeSoto St

    Pittsburgh, PA 15213

    Tel No. 412-624 3018

    Fax. No. 412-624 3020

    Email: [email protected]

  • Amin B. Kassam

    3

    ACKNOWLEDGMENT

    This work was supported by the Copeland Foundation of Pittsburgh (ABK, DGP) and NASA (NCCI-1227)

    (DGP).

  • Amin B. Kassam

    4

    Abstract

    Background and Objective: Hypertension and smoking are considered to be important environmental factors

    associated with the formation and rupture of intracranial aneurysms (ICA). Recently, hemodynamic forces

    have also been implicated as critical intrinsic factors associated with the pathogenesis of ICAs. Nitric oxide

    is a potent vasodilator that has been shown to play an important role in vascular homeostasis, and the

    expression of endothelial nitric oxide synthase (NOS3) is regulated by hemodynamic shear stress. The

    purpose of this study was to determine whether two functional polymorphisms in the NOS3 gene are

    associated with presence and/or rupture of ICAs.

    Methods. Ninety-seven ICA cases and 187 control volunteers were genotyped for the T-786 C functional

    polymorphism in the NOS3 promoter and the conservative Glu298Asp polymorphism within exon 7.

    Comparison was made amongst ICA patients and these controls as well as internally within ICA patients

    following a series of sequential stratifications that were determined a priori.

    Results. The comparison among the ICAs patients and controls was limited by differences in the population,

    but not withstanding this no differences in frequency distribution of any of the NOS3 polymorphisms

    examined were found. The comparison within aneurysm patients only, without stratification for smoking

    and hypertension, showed no association between NOS3 genotype and incidence or rupture of ICA.

    However, after stratifying the analyses for hypertension, we found a significant association between exon7

    genotype and rupture status in normotensive patients OR=0.16, 95%CI=(0.04, 0.65). Specifically, among

    normotensive individuals, 80% of patients with an unruptured ICA were GG (Glu298) homozygotes as

    opposed to only 38.2% of patients with ruptured ICA. Similarly, a marginal association between rupture

    status and exon7 genotype was observed among smokers OR = 0.25, 95%CI = (0.06, 1.04). Specifically,

    among smokers, 81.3% of patients with an unruptured ICA were GG homozygotes as opposed to only 51.6%

    of patients with ruptured ICA.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    5

    Conclusions. This preliminary analysis suggests that a functional polymorphism in exon7 of the NOS3 gene

    is protective against ICA rupture in normotensive patients and smokers. These data raise the possibility that

    NOS3 genotype has potential as an independent predictive marker in diagnosis and management of

    aneurysmal disease.

    Running title: eNOS a Risk Factor of SAH

    Key words: aneurysms, genotype, modeling, NOS3, polymorphism, subarachnoid hemorrhage

  • Amin B. Kassam

    6

    Introduction

    Over the past decade significant effort has been invested in trying to gain a better understanding of

    the pathogenesis and natural history of intracranial cerebral aneurysms (ICAs). This has been partly a

    reflection of the dramatically different outcomes associated with the management of ruptured and unruptured

    aneurysms. In the case of unruptured aneurysms, the operative mortality has been reported to be as low as

    2.5% and morbidity less than 6% (13-16,30). However, once an aneurysm ruptures subarachnoid

    hemorrhage (SAH) (43) occurs and the impact becomes much more devastating (32). It would be of great

    value to identify risk factors that could predict growth and rupture of ICAs. To date much of the work has

    focused on the identification of environmental factors with cigarette smoking (1,17,22) and hypertension

    (19,34,44) showing the most consistent associations with aneurysm formation and rupture.

    There is now considerable evidence suggesting that ICAs have a significant genetic component. For

    example, a ruptured ICA confers increased risk of ICA in first degree relatives (33) and a number of groups,

    including our own have reported association of ICAs with functional polymorphic sites at the DNA level

    (28,37). Based on these findings we sought to examine the possibility of identifying molecular markers that

    are associated with arterial homeostasis (arterial wall repair and tear mechanisms) that may serve as markers

    predictive of aneurysm growth and rupture. We believed that endothelial nitric oxide synthase (NOS3)

    would be a likely candidate based on the role it serves in vascular tone modulation. Endothelial nitric oxide

    synthase is a heme-containing enzyme that catalyzes the NADPH- and [O2]-dependent five-electron

    oxidation of L-arginine to nitric oxide (NO) and citrulline. (24) NO has a powerful vasodilatory action and

    plays a central role in the regulation of vascular resistance (4,21). Other functional consequences of its

    production include the suppression of the proliferation of vascular smooth muscle cells (12,31), and

    inhibition of the adherence of circulating blood cells (platelets and leukocytes) to the endothelium (29,36).

    It has recently been shown that the presence of a T-786 C base substitution/single nucleotide

    polymorphism (SNP) in the promoter of the NOS3 gene, results in reduced transcription of NOS3 mRNA

    (25). It has also been reported that a Glu298Asp polymorphism in exon 7 results in a reduction in functional

  • Amin B. Kassam

    7

    NOS protein in individuals who are either homozygous or heterozygous for the T allele at this locus (38).

    Furthermore both polymorphisms have been shown to be associated with coronary vasospasm (25,45).

    We hypothesized that there exists a continuous balance between arterial wall disruption secondary to

    the pulsatile effects of hemodynamic forces within the Circle of Willis and the repair of resulting

    microinjuries. This natural state of damage and repair (arterial homeostasis) may be disrupted in some

    individuals thus predisposing them to intracranial cerebral aneurysms. We further hypothesized that a

    genetically programmed reduction in cerebrovascular NO would result in an altered homeostatic response to

    the effects of hemodynamic stress. This could exacerbate the disruptive effects of stress on the arterial wall

    at bifurcations within the Circle of Willis, thereby increasing the likelihood of arterial injury. Furthermore,

    an inappropriate response to arterial injury through increased smooth muscle dedifferentiation, proliferation

    and migration and increased leukocyte adherence could result in altered reparative processes resulting in

    inappropriate tissue remodeling process and the eventual loss of arterial wall integrity. These processes

    might also be deregulated by a reduction in functional cerebrovascular NO. Based on these premises we

    sought to determine whether the NOS3 T-786 C or Glu298Asp polymorphisms were associated with either

    the incidence of ICA, propensity for ICA rupture, or incidence of multiple aneurysms.

    Materials and Methods

    Study Population and Data Collection

    This research was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Pittsburgh

    (#951220) and all participants gave written informed consent. The Study group consisted of ninety-seven

    unrelated patients undergoing repair of an intracranial aneurysm at the University of Pittsburgh Medical

    Center, Pittsburgh, PA. Initially, baseline demographics, medical and family histories were ascertained

    followed by collection of peripheral blood specimens for subsequent DNA extraction (see below) and NOS3

    genotyping. The control group was sampled from a series of unrelated individuals recruited and genotyped

    for NOS3 in a population-based study of coronary artery disease risk-factors. Geneotype data for NOS3

  • Amin B. Kassam

    8

    were available in 184 and 187 control patients for the T-786 C and the Glu298Asp polymorphisms

    respectively. All of the control subjects reside in Western Pennsylvania and are drawn from the same

    population base as the study subjects with ICAs. In order to further minimize the potential confounders the

    following additional exclusion criteria: prior history of psychiatric illness, hypertension, diabetes or

    symptomatic coronary artery disease, elevated cholesterol levels (LDLc > 160 md/dL), extreme leaness or

    obesity (BMI < 20 or >34 Kg/m2), excess alcohol consumption (> 5 drinks/day), and in women, hormone

    replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy or bilateral oophorectomy.

    Based on the existing literature surrounding the environmental risk factors associated with aneurysm

    formation and rupture an a priori decision had been made to stratify based on the exposure to cigarette

    smoking and chronic hypertension. Specifically, the patients were asked if they currently engage in cigarette

    smoking or not. Similarly we considered hypertension as a dichotomous variable. A patient was considered

    as hypertensive if they required antihypertensive medication on a chronic basis prior to this hospitalization.

    NOS3 Genotyping

    High molecular weight genomic DNA for genotyping was prepared by standard methods (23). For

    the T-786 C and Glu298Asp SNPs, either a 512 bp or 517 bp segment of the NOS3 gene, respectively, was

    amplified by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using a final concentration of 1 µM each of the following

    primers:

    5’-CAGATGCCCAGCTAGTG (T-786 C forward)

    5’-GGACCTCTAGGGTCATGC (T-786 C reverse)

    5'-GACCCTGGAGATGAAGGCAGGAGA (G894 T forward)

    5'-ACCACCAGGATGTTGTAGCGG-TGA (G894 T reverse).

    PCR was carried out in a total volume of 15 µl using 30 ng genomic DNA in 20 mM Tris-HCl (pH

    8.4), 500 mM KCl, 1.5 mM MgCl-2- using 1 unit of Taq polymerase (Life Technologies) and 200 µM each

    dNTP. Reactions parameters were as follows: initial denaturation at 95 oC for 4 min, then 30 cycles of

    denaturation at 95 oC for 30 s, annealing at 60 oC for 30 s and extension at 72 oC for 30 s. A 5 min chase

  • Amin B. Kassam

    9

    reaction was then carried out at 72 oC. Whole 15 µl reactions were digested by adding 2.75 µl of distilled

    water, 2.0 µl of 10 X reaction buffer (50 mM NaCl, 10 mM Tris-HCl, 10 mM MgCl2, 1 mM dithiothreitol

    [pH 7.9]) and 0.25 µl (5 units) of MspI (NEB). Restriction digestion products were then separated on a 2 %

    agarose gel and stained with ethidium bromide and visualized under ultraviolet illumination.

    For the T-786 C SNP, Msp-1 digestion of amplified DNA derived from individuals who are

    homozygous for the T allele resulted in two DNA fragments of 285 and 221 bp. DNA from heterozygous

    individuals yielded four fragments of 285, 221, 177 and 44 bp and individuals homozygous for the C allele

    yielded three fragments of 285, 177 and 44 bp. For the Glu298Asp polymorphism, Ban-II digestion of

    amplified DNA derived from individuals who are homozygous for the G allele resulted in no cleavage.

    DNA from heterozygous individuals yielded three fragments of 517 bp, 346 bp and 171 bp and individuals

    homozygous for the T allele yielded two fragments of 346 bp and 171 bp.

    Statistical Analyses

    Genotype and allele frequencies were estimated by gene counting. The frequencies in all study

    groups were compared by standard Chi-square analysis and odds ratio were calculated using SPSS software.

    The analysis plan took into consideration the key stratification variables relating to features inherent to the

    aneurysm (rupture status and multiplicity) and environmental factors (smoking and hypertension). First an

    analysis comparing the entire aneurysm cohort against the controls was performed to assess the association

    of ICA propensity based on NOS3 genotype. Then a comparison of just ICA patients was undertaken to

    address the association of rupture versus NOS3 genotype.

    A baseline analysis was undertaken comparing the aneurysm subjects describing key demographic

    and environmental features amongst the ruptured and unruptured patients. Each of the two NOS3 genotypes

    was compared by rupture status and then separately by multiplicity of aneurysms at presentation. Once the

    aneurysm features were considered the interaction with environmental factors was addressed. In this

    analysis the rupture status for each genotype was now stratified by the exposure to each critical

  • Amin B. Kassam

    10

    environmental risk factor (smoking and then hypertension). This was done separately for each genotype and

    respective odds ratios were calculated.

    Results

    Analysis of aneurysm patients vs. controls

    Genotype data for the T-786 C polymorphisms were available for 82 subjects with an aneurysm and

    for 185 controls. Similarly, the genotype data for the Glu298Asp polymorphisms were available in 96

    subjects with an aneurysm and 187 controls. The initial analysis consisted of simply comparing the entire

    cohort of aneurysms patients against the entire control group for the frequency of alleles at each polymorphic

    site: (1) NOS3 T-786 C (table 1a) and (2) Glu298Asp (table 1b). In this initial analysis the genotype

    frequencies did not differ significantly from the expectation of Hardy Weinberg equilibrium. Genotype

    frequencies between the aneurysms cases and controls were not significantly different for either the T-786 C

    or Glu298Asp polymorphism (P=0.69 and p=0.56 respectively, table 1).

    The control group available for comparison significantly limits this analysis. Specifically, while the

    demographics of both the study and control groups are similar once restricting for ethnicity, the

    environmental factors are more difficult to address. For example, the incidence of smoking was only 9.9%

    in the study group when compared to 50.5% in the aneurysm patient group. Similarly hypertension, a key

    environmental variable was one of the exclusion criteria in the control group.

    Analysis among aneurysm patients

    Because of the limitations stated above and an a priori decision to consider stratification by rupture

    status an analysis of the aneurysm patients was made. Therefore, the remainder of the analysis was restricted

    to this comparison within aneurysm among cases. First, the baseline demographic and environmental risk

    factor profiles of the 97 aneurysm subjects were considered and are summarized in table 2. Among these 97

    aneurysmal patients we genotyped, 20.6 % were male and 79.4 % were female with an age range of 19-65

    (mean 46.6, SD 12.3) and 20-75 (mean 50.7, SD 11.7) respectively. Sixty-three (65.6 %) of the individuals

  • Amin B. Kassam

    11

    presented with SAH due to a ruptured ICA, whereas 33 (34.4 %) underwent elective craniotomy to repair an

    unruptured ICA. In one case, the rupture status could not be definitively determined and this patient was

    excluded. Fifty-one percent were diagnosed with a single ICA whereas 49 % presented with multiple ICAs.

    Twelve percent reported a history of symptomatic ICA among a first or second-degree relative. None had a

    personal or family history of connective tissue disorders or autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

    Hypertension (defined a baseline chronic blood pressure elevation where the patient required medication at

    home for control) was noted in 44.3% of the patients. Smoking status (defined as currently smoking

    immediately preceding hospitalization) was available on 89 (92%) of the patients with 50.5% of the total

    subjects admitting to smoking cigarettes regularly just prior to their current hospitalization. There were no

    statistically significant differences found in the prevalence of medically treated chronic hypertension or

    smoking between the ruptured or unruptured patients (Table 2).

    Comparison of ruptured and unruptured patients:

    The cohort of aneurysms subjects was segregated based on whether the aneurysm was ruptured or

    unruptured at the time of presentation and a comparison of the frequency of each NOS3 genotype was made.

    There were no statistically significant associations noted between rupture and the presence of the T-786 C

    (p=0.62) or Glu298Asp (p=0.22) genotypes (tables 3a and 3b respectively).

    Comparison of single or multiple aneurysms at presentation:

    Next we compared the aneurysm cohort based on the presence of single versus multiple aneurysms

    identified at the time of presentation (Table 4a and 4b). Again we found no difference between subjects

    harboring a single aneurysm when compared to those presenting with multiple aneurysms (tables 4a and 4b).

    These data indicate that neither the T-786 C nor the Glu298Asp polymorphism in the NOS3 gene is

    associated with incidence of ICA, propensity for ICA rupture (not adjusted for smoking or hypertension), or

    number of aneurysms.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    12

    Stratification Based on Environmental Factors:

    We undertook further stratification analysis in order to take into consideration the potential effect of

    each key variable: (1) aneurysm features, i.e., rupture status and (2) environmental factors, i.e., smoking and

    then hypertension separately.

    Comparison of ruptured vs. unruptured patients by smoking status:

    In this analysis the ICA subjects were simultaneously segregated based on rupture status and the

    exposure to smoking and then sequentially examined for the frequency distribution of each polymorphism T-

    786 C (table 5a) and Glu298Asp (table 5b). This analysis revealed that T-786 C genotype frequencies

    between ruptured ICA patients and unruptured ICA patients were not significantly different among smokers

    (OR=4.1, 95% C.I.=(0.1,1.5)) and non-smokers (OR=0.7, 95% C.I.=(0.2,3.5)). When the Glu298Asp

    genotypes were next examined a marginal significance amongst smokers was noted. Specifically, table 5b

    illustrates that when examining the relationship between rupture and Glu298Asp polymorphisms the

    genotype GG was identified in 81.3% of unruptured patients in comparison to only 51.6% of ruptured

    patients (OR=0.25, 95% C.I.=(0.06,1.04)).

    Comparison of ruptured vs. unruptured subjects by hypertension status:

    A similar analysis was undertaken for each genotype stratified by hypertension (tables 6a and 6b).

    We first considered the T-786 C genotype and again no statistically significant difference was observed in

    either the hypertensive (OR=1.21, 95% C.I. (0.3,4.7)) or normotensive patients (OR=0.35, 95% C.I.

    (0.1,1.3)). We then examined the distribution of Glu298Asp genotypes in the group stratified by

    hypertension and rupture status. As demonstrated in table 6a, hypertensive patients with a ruptured

    aneurysm did not have a statistically significant difference in their Glu298Asp genotypes when compared to

    unruptured patients (OR=1.02, 95% C.I. (0.3,3.7)). However, when we examined normotensive patients it

  • Amin B. Kassam

    13

    was noted that 80% of the ICA subjects with unruptured aneurysms were of a homozygous GG (Glu298)

    geneotype for Glu298Asp; whereas, in comparison only 38.2% of the ruptured aneurysm normotensive

    patients were homozygous GG. This difference was statistically significant with an OR=0.16, 95% C.I.

    (0.04,0.65) (table 6a and b). Furthermore, the hypertension adjusted odds ratio also reached marginal

    significance OR = 0.42, 95%C.I. (0.17, 1.05) with the upper limit just overlapping 1.

    Analysis of Allele Frequency

    In addition to the above analyses comparing genotype frequencies, we also examined the allele frequency

    between the groups. Differences in allele frequency at both loci between the cases and controls were not

    significant. Among the cases, the T-786 C allele frequency was also similar regardless of whether the

    patient had a ruptured or an unruptured aneurysm. However, among the normotensive aneurysm patients,

    the Glu298Asp G allele was less common in the patients with a ruptured aneurysm when compared to the

    patients with an unruptured aneurysm (G allele frequency 63.2% vs. 86.7%, p=0.02). This is in keeping with

    our analyses of NOS3 genotype.

    Discussion

    Considerations in Generating a Predictive Model:

    It would be of immense value to identify risk factors that are associated with the development and

    subsequent rupture of intracranial aneurysms. Clearly the generation of a predictive model will require

    multifactorial input variables, likely with differential weighting. Much of the work to date has focused on

    environmental variables with smoking and hypertension emerging as the most commonly cited risk factors.

    However, there is now considerable evidence suggesting the importance of molecular and genetic variables

    that will have to be factored into any biological model developed to predict the natural history of ICAs.

    Schievink (33) observed an increased frequency of ICAs among the first degree relatives of ICA

    probands and a number of groups have reported genetic association between single candidate genes and the

  • Amin B. Kassam

    14

    occurrence of ICA among populations of unrelated individuals suffering from a seemingly sporadic form of

    the disease (28,37). However, apart from a clear association between rare single gene defects that segregate

    in a Mendelian fashion in a number of well characterized disorders, such as autosomal dominant polycystic

    kidney disease and Ehler’s Danlos Syndrome in which individuals often develop ICA (20,27), there is no

    clear pattern of inheritance associated with ICAs. Significant work focusing on linkage analysis is currently

    underway to identify the location of genes that contribute to the risk of ICA (The International Familial

    Intracranial Aneurysm Study).

    To date candidate gene studies to identify genetic risk factors for ICA have focused on genes

    involved in extracellular matrix integrity and remodeling. There is good reason for this. Kim et al. (18) and

    Bruno et al.(3) studied the biochemistry of ICA domes harvested during elective craniotomy and found

    elevated levels of matrix metalloproteases (MMPs) relative to samples of cerebrovasculature from unaffected

    controls. The MMPs are critical molecules in the turnover of the extracellular matrix of the arterial wall

    responsible for structural stability. Similar studies noted that levels of such enzymes were higher in the

    serum of ICA patients than unaffected individuals (40). Furthermore, it has been shown that ICA patients

    have lower levels of circulating anti-proteases (11). Accordingly, we have recently shown that genetically

    determined differences in levels of proteolytic enzymes and their inhibitors may contribute to the risk of ICA

    and have also exluded variation in a number of structural proteins as being associated with ICA (28,35).

    Based on the above findings, it is reasonable to assume that the formation and eventual rupture of an

    ICA may be the result of a dynamic process of tissue remodeling that is impacted upon by physical and

    environmental factors and a genetically predetermined response to these factors at a molecular level. One

    such factor is hemodynamic stress. Even under normal circumstances, the arteries in the Circle of Willis

    undergo continuous biomechanical insult (8). The ability of the vascular endothelium to perceive the

    magnitude of these forces and to respond appropriately is critical to the maintenance of arterial wall integrity

    (arterial homeostasis). One attractive hypothesis relating to aneurysm development is, therefore, that at-risk

    individuals have an altered/inappropriate homeostatic response to hemodynamic stress, which triggers

  • Amin B. Kassam

    15

    chronic destructive biochemical alterations in the process of extracellular matrix remodeling. When this

    process is disrupted the resulting extracellular matrix that provides structural integrity is compromised. This

    can create an impaired ability to deal with hemodynamic forces, which if accentuated, may further accelerate

    the arterial wall failure. This failure may be progressive along a continuum, initially beginning with altered

    ability to maintain vascular tone and the development of a saccular dilatation and then if allowed to progress

    culminating in complete homeostatic structural failure with a consequent catastrophic rupture. It is likely

    that subtle variation in the ability to respond to these hemodynamic forces is genetically programmed and it

    is, therefore, plausible that non-random variation at the DNA level predisposes individuals not only to more

    frequent breakdown in the structural integrity of the cerebrovasculature but also to an inefficient and/or

    inappropriate response to this vascular injury which may itself be pathogenic, i.e., impaired arterial

    homeostasis.

    Discussion of Current Study Results:

    Based on the discussion above we selected NOS3 as an ideal initial gene to examine for

    polymorphisms that may be associated with ICA pathogenesis and rupture as a preliminary step in

    developing a predictive model. Specifically, we investigated the association between a T-786 C

    polymorphism in the NOS3 promoter and a Glu298Asp polymorphism in exon 7. The selection of these

    polymorphisms was based on recent studies demonstrating that the T-786 C SNP modulates the expression

    of NOS3 at the level of transcription, the C allele conferring lower levels of promoter activity (25)

    Furthermore, it has also been reported that the Glu298Asp polymorphism in exon 7 results in a mature NOS

    protein that is susceptible to intracellular cleavage resulting in the generation of N-terminal 35-kDa and C-

    terminal 100-kDa fragments (38). As discussed previously, this results in a reduction in functional NOS3

    protein in individuals who are either homozygous TT (Asp298) or heterozygous GT (Glu298Asp) at this

    locus. We therefore postulated that such a functional impairment associated with the TT homozygous or GT

  • Amin B. Kassam

    16

    heterozygous state would result in impaired homeostasis and predispose patients to the development and

    subsequent rupture of ICAs.

    In order to assess this vulnerability and subsequent increased frequency of ICA formation based on

    NOS3 genotype variations we needed to first consider a non-aneurysmal control group for comparison. The

    control group that had NOS3 genotype data available was a part of a population-based study of coronary

    artery disease risk factors. While demographically the control group was comparable the key environmental

    factors (smoking and hypertension) were distinctly different. As a result this study is limited in being able to

    address this first question of increased propensity of ICA formation based on NOS3 genotype variations.

    However, this study does have some preliminary value in addressing the next question: what is the potential

    effect of NOS3 polymorphisms on the likelihood of rupture? In keeping with the concept of a multifactorial

    model the environmental factors need to be considered when trying to answer this question. In examining

    the aneurysm study population no difference between exposure to hypertension and smoking amongst

    ruptured and unruptured patients was noted (table 2). This is an unexpected finding based on the literature

    and may be a reflection of the way in which these two variables were defined. Specifically, no effort was

    made to quantitate these variables, but rather, they were considered as dichotomous. It is plausible that

    differences may emerge if these were considered as continuous variables. We chose not to do this because

    we felt it is unreliable to retrospectively quantify these exposures. This is better addressed in a prospective

    study design.

    Interestingly, when a more detailed analysis was undertaken adjusting for the effects of smoking and

    hypertension in considering the association of rupture and NOS3 genotyping several findings emerged.

    A marginal association among smokers, rupture status and Glu298Asp genotype was observed. Specifically,

    48.4 % of the smokers that ruptured were found to be either hetereozygous (GT) or homozygous (TT) for the

    T allele, whereas, only 18.8% of the unruptured smokers displayed these genotypes. This correlated with an

    odds ratio of OR = 0.25, 95%CI = (0.06, 1.04) which just overlaps with 1.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    17

    In order to further understand the interaction of environmental factors and rupture we then considered

    the effect of hypertension. The majority of patients who were normotensive and had a ruptured ICA were

    found to be homo/hetereozygous for the Glu298Asp T allele. Specifically, 61.8% of the ruptured patients

    that were normotensive (not being treated chronically for hypertension) versus 20% of those that were

    hypertensive were either Glu298Asp GT or TT (table 6b). The odds ratio proved to be very significant

    OR=0.16, 95%CI=(0.04, 0.65). This suggests that there is a protective effect of being homozygous (GG) for

    Glu298Asp that is lost in individuals who are hypertensive. Presumably the biological effect of NOS3

    variation is outweighed by elevated hemodynamic stress and vascular remodeling secondary to chronic

    hypertension. In contrast, there is almost and even distribution of T homo- and heterozygotes at the

    Glu298Asp locus between ruptured and unruptured hypertensive patients. This suggests that the profound

    effect of hypertension is significant enough that the geneotype is of less importance in determining the

    propensity to rupture. Table 6 illustrates that 63% of the hypertensive patients had the optimal genotype

    (GG) for Glu298Asp and still went on to rupture, whereas, only 38.2% of the normotensive patients that

    ruptured had this preferred geneotype.

    Conclusion:

    It is unlikely that each of these factors; smoking, hypertension and NOS3 genotype function

    independently. The current study has attempted to consider the confounding effect of each factor. It would

    be useful in future studies to further consider the interaction of each of these factors in developing any

    predictive model. This study is a preliminary effort only and is valuable in establishing that the T-786 C

    genotype for NOS3 is not independently associated with any increased risk of rupture when adjusting for

    hypertension and smoking. On the contrary Glu298Asp NOS3 genotype is an independent factor associated

    with rupture after considering for hypertension and to a lesser extent smoking. This study was ineffective in

    addressing the question of increased propensity of aneurysm formation based on the limitations of the control

    group.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    18

    In summary, we would suggest that additional studies attempting to provide independent

    quantification of the key risk factors associated with aneurysm formation and rupture are needed. Obviously

    each risk factor that is studied needs to have a biological or epidemiological basis that can be linked

    mechanistically to pathogenesis of aneurysms. These studies will then form the foundation of for a larger

    concerted and resource intensive population based prospective study examining the interactive effects of

    each of these independent factors and then only can a multifactorial predictive model be developed. It may

    prove that the number of factors to be considered is so numerous and that the interactions so complex

    making the model illusive. However, we believe that pursuing this will certainly be of more value than our

    current efforts that estimate risk of rupture based on a static angiographic image using size as the driving

    predictor.

  • Amin B. Kassam

    19

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    Table 1. eNOS Genotype Frequencies in Aneurysm Patients and Controls Table 1a Table 1b

    eNOS T –786 → C Glu298Asp

    Group TT TC CC Total GG GT TT Total Aneurysm (%) 31 (37.8%) 37 (45.1%) 14 (17.1%) 82 53 (55.2%) 34 (35.4%) 9 (9.4%) 96 Controls (%) 73 (39.7%) 87 (47.3%) 24 (13.0%) 184 91 (48.7%) 78 (41.7%) 18 (9.6%) 187

    p = 0.69 p = 0.56

    Table 2. Baseline Characteristics of the Aneurysm Patients Stratified by Rupture Status.

    All Aneurysm Patients

    N = 97

    Ruptured

    Patients

    N = 63

    Unruptured

    Patients

    N = 33

    Age* 50.7 ± 11.7 48.7 ± 11.2 55.0 ± 11.7

    Race (White) 86.6% 87.1% 87.9%

    Sex (Female) 79.4% 77.8% 81.8%

    Smoker 50.5% 57.1% 50.0%

    Hypertensive 44.3% 43.5% 50.0%

    Diabetes 2.1% 1.7% 3.1%

    Hypercholesterol 4.1% 1.7% 9.4%

    CAD 12.4% 10.3% 18.8%

    Family History ICH 11.3% 8.6% 18.2%

    Age was presented as mean ± SD.

    One patient’s aneurysm rupture status was missing.

    * p-value = 0.01 for the comparison of ruptured and unruptured patients.

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    Table 3. eNOS genotype frequencies in aneurysm patients by rupture status Table 3a Table 3b

    eNOS T –786 → C Glu298Asp

    Group TT TC CC Total GG GT TT Total Ruptured ICA (%) 16 (34.0%) 22 (46.8%) 9 (19.1%) 47 31 (50.0%) 25 (40.3%) 6 (9.7%) 62

    Unruptured ICA (%) 14 (42.4%) 15 (45.5%) 4 (12.1%) 33 22 (68.8%) 8 (25.0%) 2 (6.3%) 32

    p = 0.62 p = 0.22

    *no adjustment is made for smokers or hypertension Table 4. eNOS genotype frequencies in aneurysm patients stratified by single or multiple aneurysms at presentation. Table 4a Table 4b

    eNOS T –786 → C Glu298Asp

    Group TT TC CC Total GG GT TT Total 1 aneurysm (%) 12 (32.4%) 19 (51.4%) 6 (16.2%) 37 26 (54.2%) 16 (33.3%) 6 (12.5%) 48

    >1 aneurysm (%) 18 (41.9%) 18 (41.9%) 7 (16.2%) 43 26 (56.5%) 18 (39.1%) 2 (4.3%) 46

    p = 0.65 p = 0.42

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    Table 5. Comparison of eNOS genotype frequencies by rupture status among smokers and non-smokers:

    Table 5a: eNOS T –786 → C

    Smokers: Non-smokers:

    eNOS T –786 → C eNOS T –786 → C Group TT TC, CC Total TT TC, CC Total

    Ruptured ICA (%) 9 (34.6%) 17 (65.4%) 26 4 (25.0%) 12 (75.0%) 16 Unruptured ICA (%) 9 (56.3%) 7 (43.8%) 16 5 (31.3%) 11 (68.8%) 16

    OR = 4.1, 95%CI = (0.1, 1.5) OR = 0.7, 95%CI = (0.2, 3.5)

    Table 5b: Glu298Asp

    Smokers: Non-smokers:

    Glu298Asp Glu298Asp Group GG GT, TT Total GG GT, TT Total

    Ruptured ICA (%) 16 (51.6%) 15 (48.4%) 31 9 (37.5%) 15 (62.5%) 24 Unruptured ICA (%) 13 (81.3%) 3 (18.8%) 16 9 (60.0%) 6 (40.0%) 15

    OR = 0.25, 95%CI = (0.06, 1.04) OR = 0.4, 95%CI = (0.1, 1.5)

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    27

    Table 6. Comparison of eNOS genotype frequencies by rupture status among hypertensive aneurysm patients and normotensive aneurysm patients:

    Table 6a: eNOS T –786 → C

    Hypertensive patients: Normotensive patients:

    eNOS T –786 → C eNOS T –786 → C Group TT TC, CC Total TT TC, CC Total

    Ruptured ICA (%) 8 (42.1%) 11 (57.9%) 19 7 (25.9%) 20 (74.1%) 27 Unruptured ICA (%) 6 (37.5%) 10 (62.5) 16 8 (50%) 8 (50%) 16

    OR=1.21, 95%CI=(0.3, 4.7) OR=0.35, 95%CI=(0.1,1.3)

    Hypertension adjusted OR = 0.64, 95%CI = (0.25, 1.61)

    Table 6b: Glu298Asp

    Hypertensive patients: Normotensive patients:

    Glu298Asp Glu298Asp Group GG GT, TT Total GG GT, TT Total

    Ruptured ICA (%) 17 (63.0%) 10 (37.0%) 27 13 (38.2%) 21 (61.8%) 34 Unruptured ICA (%) 10 (62.5%) 6 (37.5%) 16 12 (80.0%) 3 (20.0%) 15

    OR=1.02, 95%CI=(0.3, 3.7) OR=0.16, 95%CI=(0.04, 0.65)

    Hypertension adjusted OR = 0.42, 95%CI = (0.17, 1.05)