all oscillators powerpoint

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O scillators : 1- extremely usefulin non-trending m arkets w here prices fluctuate in a horizontal price band ortrading range 2- O scillators alertthe traderto shortterm marketextrem es (overbought oroversold ) 3- Oscillators w arn traderthata trend is losing m omentum 4- O scillators can signal thata trend m ay be nearing com pletion by displaying divergences 5- The crossing ofthe m idpointline can give trading signals 6- VER Y IM PORTANT :the basic trend analysis is still the overriding consideration ,oscillatoranalysis should NO T be used as an excuse to trade againstthe prevailing m arkettrend

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All Oscillators Powerpoint

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Page 1: All Oscillators Powerpoint

Oscillators :

1- extremely useful in non-trending markets where prices fluctuate in a horizontal price band or trading range

2- Oscillators alert the trader to short term market extremes ( overbought or oversold )

3- Oscillators warn trader that a trend is losing momentum 4- Oscillators can signal that a trend may be nearing completion by

displaying divergences 5- The crossing of the midpoint line can give trading signals 6- VERY IMPORTANT : the basic trend analysis is still the overriding

consideration , oscillator analysis should NOT be used as an excuse to trade against the prevailing market trend

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Momentum :

1- measures the velocity of price changes ( rocket example ) 2- formula of momentum is : M = V - V^x where V is the latest closing

price & V^x is the closing price of x days ago 3- momentum oscillator fluctuates around a zero line , reading too far

above the zero line are overbought while values too far below the line are oversold

4- a momentum shorter time period produces more sensitive line with more oscillations & vice versa

5- the Momentum line leads the price action , LEADING indicator 6- the momentum chart has a zero line , a crossing above the zero line

would be a buy signal , crossing below is a sell signal 7- VERY IMPORTANT : the basic trend analysis is still the overriding

consideration , oscillator analysis should NOT be used as an excuse to trade against the prevailing market trend

8- one problem with the momentum line , the absence of a fixed upper & lower boundary

Note: In case of a 10 days Momentum, if the gains that achieved by the latest closes are the same as the gains 10 days earlier , while prices may still advancing, the rate of ascent or the velocity has leveled off , so the momentum line is going to flatten out, BUT when momentum line begins to drop toward the zero line , the uptrend prices is still in force but in decelerating rate .. the uptrend is losing momentum . Price 120 127 132 134 134 131 126 120 122 128

MI 7 5 2 0 -3 -4 -6 2 6

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Rate of change ( ROC ) :

1- to measure the rate of change , a ratio is constructed of the most recent closing price to a price a certain number of days in the past ( divided by )

ROC = 100 ( V / Vx ) Where V = the latest closing price Vx = closing price of x days ago 2- ROC is from the momentum family and it’s providing the same

information

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Commodity channel index ( CCI ) : Developed by Donald Lambert

the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) was designed to trade in commodities CCI compares the current price with a moving average over a selected time

span ( usually 20 )

CCI can be used to identify overbought and oversold levels. A security would be deemed oversold when the CCI dips below -100 and overbought when it exceeds +100. From oversold levels, a buy signal might be given when the CCI moves back above -100. From overbought levels, a sell signal might be given when the CCI moved back below +100.

As with most oscillators, divergences can also be applied to increase signals

Trend line breaks can be used to generate signals. Trend lines can be drawn connecting the peaks and troughs.

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Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) :

1- Developed by Welles Wilder 2- Provide a constant range ( boundaries ) that tell the trader when the

prices are overbought or oversold 3- Wilder originally employed 14 days period for RSI, 14 weeks for weekly

charts ( but also 9 , 7 , 5 days are well known ) 4- The shorter time period the more sensitive the oscillator becomes & the

wider its amplitude 5- RSI is plotted on a vertical scale from 0 to 100 , movement above 70 is

considered overbought , under 30 is considered oversold 6- A top/bottom failure swing occurs when RSI line reach a top/bottom &

fails to exceed the previous top/bottom 7- RSI divergence gives trader an early warning of a reversal move

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Stochastic ( K%D ):

1- Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s 2- the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the

location of the current close relative to the high/low range over a set number of periods.

3- Closing levels that are consistently near the top of the range indicate accumulation (buying pressure) and those near the bottom of the range indicate distribution (selling pressure).

4- Calculation :

%K tells us that the close (115.38) was in the 57th percentile of the high/low range, or just above the mid-point. Because %K is a percentage or ratio, it will fluctuate between 0 and 100. A 3-day simple moving average of %K is usually plotted alongside to act as a signal or trigger line, called %D.

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Larry Williams %R :

1- Developed by Larry Williams, Williams %R is a momentum indicator that works much like the Stochastic Oscillator. It is especially popular for measuring overbought and oversold levels.

2- The scale ranges from 0 to -100 with readings from 0 to -20 considered overbought, and readings from -80 to -100 considered oversold.

3- shows the relationship of the close relative to the high-low range over a

set period of time

4- gives all signals as same as stochastic

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Moving Average Convergence / Divergence ( MACD ) :

1- Developed by Gerald Appel 2- Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is one of the

simplest and most reliable indicators available. MACD uses moving averages, which are lagging indicators, to include some trend-following characteristics.

3- These lagging indicators are turned into a momentum oscillator by subtracting the longer moving average from the shorter moving average. The resulting plot forms a line that oscillates above and below zero, without any upper or lower limits.

4- The faster line ( called the MACD line ) is the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages of closing prices ( usually 12 & 26 days or weeks )

5- The slower line ( called the signal line ) is usually a 9 period exponential average of MACD line

6- Note : you’ll see two lines on your computer screen although three lines are actually used in its calculation

7- Buy / Sell signals when the two line cross : A- Buy signal : when MACD line cross above the slower signal line B- Sell signal : when MACD line cross below the slower signal line 8- An overbought condition is present when the lines are too far above the

zero line, oversold condition is present when the lines are far below the zero line

9- Divergence : A- Bearish divergence : when the MACD line are well above the zero

line ( overbought area ) and start to weaken while prices continue to move higher

B- Bullish divergence : when the MACD line are well below the zero line ( oversold area ) and start to move up ahead the price line, that’s often an early sign of market bottom

10- MACD Histogram : Plots the difference between the two MACD lines, Signals are given on the zero line crossing

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