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Young Drivers 2017
Disclaimer All reasonable endeavours are made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this report. However,
the information is provided without warranties of any kind including accuracy, completeness,
timeliness or fitness for any particular purpose.
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Additional information
Enquires relating to crash statistics may be directed to the Ministry of Transport, PO Box 3175,
Wellington, or by email on [email protected]. For more information about road safety, visit the
Ministry of Transport website at www.transport.govt.nz.
A selection of fact sheets is available via the research section of the Ministry of Transport website.
These include:
Crash fact sheets Alcohol and drugs
Cyclists
Diverted attention
Fatigue
Motorcyclists
Overseas drivers
Pedestrians
Speed
Trucks
Young drivers
Travel survey fact sheets Comparing travel modes
Cycling
Driver travel
Motorcycling
Public transport
Risk on the road
Introduction and mode comparison
Drivers and their passengers
Pedestrians, cyclists and motorcyclists
Walking
Contents
Contents ............................................................................................................................................... 3
Key facts ............................................................................................................................................... 4
Risk ....................................................................................................................................................... 4
Time series ........................................................................................................................................... 7
Vehicle type for young drivers involved in fatal crashes ....................................................................... 9
Who dies in crashes with young drivers? ........................................................................................... 10
When do young driver crashes occur? ............................................................................................... 10
Who was at fault? ............................................................................................................................... 11
Crash factors ...................................................................................................................................... 11
Types of crash .................................................................................................................................... 13
Licence status of young drivers in fatal crashes ................................................................................. 14
Terminology ........................................................................................................................................ 15
3
Key facts
In 2016 young drivers aged 15–24 were involved in 86 fatal traffic crashes, 665 serious injury crashes
and 2,653 minor injury crashes. Of these crashes, the 15–24 year-old drivers had the primary
responsibility1 in 67 of the fatal crashes, 510 of the serious injury crashes and 2,033 of the minor injury
crashes. These crashes resulted in 76 deaths, 627 serious injuries and 2,740 minor injuries.2
The total social cost of the crashes in which 15–24 year-old drivers had the primary responsibility was
$1.001 billion. This is 25 percent of the social cost associated with all injury crashes.
Risk
Figure 1 (from the New Zealand Household Travel Survey3) shows that male drivers in the 15–19 year
age group are approximately eight times more likely to crash (per 100 million kilometres driven) than
male drivers in the lowest risk age group of 55–59 years. Female drivers aged 15–19 are about six
times more likely to crash (per 100 million kilometres driven) than female drivers in the lowest risk
group of 45–49 year olds. Drivers in the 20–24 year old age group are approximately three to four
times more likely to crash than the lowest risk group of the same gender.
1 The determination of primary responsibility for a crash is based on the crash movements and crash cause
factors assigned in the Crash Analysis System. It is not based on legal liability or court conviction.
Fault/responsibility here only considers driver and rider factors contributing to the crash. There may also be road
or system factors that contributed to the crash.
2 Definitions for fatal, serious and minor injuries and social cost are given in Terminology at the end of the fact
sheet.
3 www.transport.govt.nz/research/TravelSurvey/
4
Figure 1: Number of drivers involved in fatal or injury crashes per 100 million km
driven (bars) and per 10,000 licence holders (lines), by age and gender (2009–2014)
0
20
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80
100
120
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Driv
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Age group (years)
Female Male
Female Male
As the graphs below illustrate, young drivers tend to be over-represented in all types of crash. Recent
figures show that 15–19 year-old drivers make up just 4.6 percent of all licensed car drivers4. Yet,
between 2014 and 2016, 15–19 year-old drivers accounted for 9 percent of all drivers involved in
minor injury crashes, 10 percent of drivers in serious injury crashes, and 7 percent of drivers involved
in fatal crashes (Figure 2).
Similarly, 20–24 year-old drivers make up 8.6 percent of licensed car drivers but, between 2014 and
2016, they accounted for 15 percent of drivers involved in minor injury crashes, 14 percent of drivers in
serious injury crashes, and 12 percent of drivers involved in fatal crashes (Figure 2).
Of all young drivers (15–24 years old) involved in fatal crashes between 2014 and 2016, 80 percent
were male. Males accounted for 70 percent of young drivers involved in serious injury crashes and 62
percent of those involved in minor injury crashes over the same period.
4 The car licence population consists of drivers with full, restricted or learner car licences. (Motor Vehicle
Crashes in New Zealand, 2016)
5
Figure 2: Young drivers as a proportion of all crash involved drivers (2014–2016)
A high proportion (over 75 percent) of fatal crashes involving young drivers (15–24 years old) occur on
the open road (speed limits over 70km/h). This is due to the typically high speeds on these roads,
which results in a higher impact speed if a crash occurs.
Figure 3: Percentage of all fatal crashes that involve young drivers (2014–2016)
Note: This graph includes drivers of all types of motorised vehicle, including motorcycles.
Twenty-eight percent of all fatal crashes involve a driver between the ages of 15 and 24 (Figure 3).
6
Time series
Table 1: Drivers involved in fatal and injury crashes
15–19 year old drivers 20–24 year old drivers Fatal Injury Fatal Injury
Year Number % of all drivers in fatal
crashes
Number % of all drivers in injury crashes
Number % of all drivers in fatal
crashes
Number % of all drivers in injury crashes
1990 128 13.8% 3,157 16.6% 207 22.3% 3,641 19.2%
1991 115 13.9% 2,947 16.2% 174 21.1% 3,382 18.5%
1992 97 12.0% 2,667 15.3% 160 19.8% 3,381 19.3%
1993 95 12.5% 2,501 15.1% 143 18.8% 3,010 18.2%
1994 76 10.3% 2,786 15.4% 135 18.3% 3,287 18.2%
1995 86 11.0% 2,768 14.9% 130 16.6% 3,466 18.6%
1996 94 14.0% 2,302 14.5% 100 14.9% 2,693 17.0%
1997 81 11.3% 2,149 14.9% 95 13.3% 2,229 15.5%
1998 75 10.9% 1,922 14.5% 105 15.2% 1,979 15.0%
1999 74 10.6% 1,776 13.8% 99 14.2% 1,767 13.8%
2000 60 10.0% 1,541 13.4% 73 12.2% 1,669 14.5%
2001 68 11.4% 1,814 13.8% 75 12.6% 1,814 13.8%
2002 50 9.1% 2,299 14.8% 64 11.6% 2,095 13.5%
2003 77 12.4% 2,301 14.2% 75 12.1% 2,316 14.2%
2004 81 13.8% 2,345 14.7% 71 12.1% 2,209 13.9%
2005 84 15.7% 2,490 14.9% 70 13.1% 2,372 14.2%
2006 64 11.7% 2,630 15.2% 65 11.9% 2,468 14.3%
2007 65 11.6% 2,837 15.2% 74 13.2% 2,630 14.1%
2008 67 14.2% 2,549 14.2% 70 14.8% 2,535 14.2%
2009 59 11.6% 2,366 13.9% 66 13.0% 2,487 14.6%
2010 61 12.1% 2,091 12.8% 68 13.5% 2,370 14.5%
2011 32 8.3% 1,574 10.6% 54 14.0% 2,136 14.4%
2012 23 5.7% 1,358 9.5% 53 13.2% 2,092 14.6%
2013 29 7.8% 1,273 9.0% 47 12.6% 2,079 14.6%
2014 23 5.8% 1,135 8.6% 41 10.4% 1,933 14.6%
2015 36 8.1% 1,360 9.1% 58 13.1% 2,140 14.3%
2016 37 8.0% 1,456 9.7% 56 12.1% 2,129 14.2%
Note: This table includes drivers of all types of motorised vehicle, including motorcycles.
In August 2011 the age for obtaining a driver licence increased from 15 to 16.
7
Table 2: Vehicle type and gender of young drivers involved in fatal crashes
15–19 year-old drivers 20–24 year-old drivers Car/van Motorcycle Car/van Motorcycle
Year Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total
2000 38 17 55 3 0 3 55 11 66 4 0 4
2001 50 11 61 7 0 7 57 11 68 5 0 5
2002 32 12 44 5 0 5 41 16 57 3 0 3
2003 58 14 72 3 0 3 52 18 70 2 0 2
2004 58 18 76 3 1 4 45 16 61 5 0 5
2005 56 17 73 8 0 8 48 12 60 2 0 2
2006 39 20 59 3 0 3 38 18 56 6 0 6
2007 40 21 61 4 0 4 45 18 63 6 0 6
2008 42 15 57 7 0 7 44 14 58 5 4 9
2009 39 16 55 3 0 3 40 19 59 3 0 3
2010 44 12 56 3 0 3 36 21 57 9 0 9
2011 27 5 32 0 0 0 38 10 48 4 0 4
2012 17 4 21 1 0 1 34 11 45 5 0 5
2013 22 5 27 1 0 1 25 13 38 7 0 7
2014 16 5 21 2 0 2 25 8 33 5 0 5
2015 26 5 31 3 1 4 39 11 50 7 0 7
2016 24 11 35 0 1 1 37 7 44 7 0 7
Note: In August 2011 the age for obtaining a driver licence increased from 15 to 16.
8
Vehicle type for young drivers involved in fatal crashes
Figure 4: 15-19 year old drivers involved in fatal crashes by vehicle type (1985–2016)
Note: In August 2011 the age for obtaining a driver licence increased from 15 to 16.
Since 1985 there has been an 71 percent reduction in the number of 15–19 year old car drivers
involved in fatal crashes, and a 97 percent reduction in the number of motorcycle riders in the same
age group.
Figure 5: 20-24 year old drivers involved in fatal crashes by vehicle type (1985–2016)
Since 1985 there has been a 69 percent reduction in the number of 20–24 year old car drivers
involved in fatal crashes, and an 85 percent reduction in the number of motorcycle riders in the same
age group involved in fatal crashes.
9
Who dies in crashes with young drivers?
People in the 15–24 year old age group are most likely to die in fatal crashes in which young drivers of
a similar age have the primary responsibility. Between 2014 and 2016, 68 percent of the passengers
who died in vehicles driven by young at-fault drivers were in the 15–24 year old age group.
Table 3: Deaths in crashes where 15-24 year old drivers were at fault (2014–2016)
Age At-fault drivers At-fault drivers’ passengers Other road users 0–14 0 7 0 15–19 47 23 0 20–24 71 20 3 25–29 0 5 3 30–34 0 0 2 35–39 0 1 1 40–44 0 0 3 45–49 0 1 4 50–54 0 0 5 55–59 0 1 2 60+ 0 0 10
Unknown 0 5 0 Total 118 63 33
Note: The table includes drivers of all types of motorised vehicle, including motorcycles.
When do young driver crashes occur?
Table 4: Fatal crashes involving 15-24 year old drivers by time of day and day of week
(2014–2016)
Day (0600–1759) Evening (1800–2159) Night (2200–0559) Day Fatal crashes
involving young drivers
% all fatal crashes
Fatal crashes involving
young drivers
% all fatal crashes
Fatal crashes involving
young drivers
% all fatal crashes
Monday 15 19% 1 8% 5 36%
Tuesday 17 23% 4 36% 2 17%
Wednesday 13 19% 9 45% 11 42%
Thursday 16 20% 7 33% 10 40%
Friday 16 24% 16 42% 19 46%
Saturday 17 26% 9 45% 22 39%
Sunday 14 20% 5 31% 10 50%
Total 108 21% 51 37% 79 41%
Note: On the day shown, ‘night’ begins at 2200 and finishes the following day at 0559.
Percentages are the percentage of all fatal crashes in that time period that involve a young driver.
10
Young drivers tend to be disproportionately represented in fatal crashes at night. For example,
between 2014 and 2016, 41 percent of night-time crashes involved a young driver, whereas only 21
percent of daytime fatal crashes involved a young driver.
Who was at fault?
Figure 6: Young driver fault in crashes (2012–2016)
A young driver has the primary responsibility5 for about three-quarters (74%) of all the crashes
involving young drivers. A young driver has the primary responsibility for about two-thirds (65%) of the
crashes that also involve other road users.
Crash factors
Alcohol/drugs, losing control and speed are the major contributing factors for young drivers involved in
fatal crashes. About half (49%) the young drivers involved in fatal crashes had alcohol/drugs and/or
speed identified as factors contributing to the crash. Young drivers are over twice as likely to have
speed or alcohol as a factor than drivers over the age of 25.
5 Primary responsibility (fault) for a crash is based on the crash movements and crash cause factors assigned in
the Crash Analysis System. It is not based on legal liability or court conviction. Fault/responsibility here only
considers driver and rider factors contributing to the crash. There may also be road or system factors that
contributed to the crash.
11
Figure 7: Young driver alcohol/drugs and speed involvement in fatal crashes (2012–
2016)
Alcohol/drugs, 14%
Alcohol/drugs and Speed,
21%
Speed, 14%
Neither, 51%
Figure 8: Driver contribution to fatal crashes by age group (2012–2016)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Lost control
Too fast for conditions
Alcohol
Failed to keep lef t
Driver tired or fell asleep
Inexperience
Inattention or attention diverted
Too far lef t
Failed to give way
Racing/showing of f
Did not see other party
Overtaking
Suddenly braked or turned
Illness/Disability
Forbidden movement
Percentage of drivers
15–24 year olds 25 + years old
12
Types of crash
Crashes which involve drivers losing control of their vehicles (see lost control/off road on the graph
below) are a major feature in crashes involving young drivers. Thirty-nine percent of 15–24 year-old
drivers involved in fatal crashes were in single-vehicle loss of control or run off road crashes,
compared with 20 percent for older drivers. In addition, many of the head-on crashes also involve
drivers losing control of their vehicles.
Figure 9: Percentage of drivers involved in fatal crashes by crash movement (2014–
2016)
13
Licence status of young drivers in fatal crashes
The following graphs show the licence status of 15–24 year-old drivers involved in fatal crashes.
Restricted and learner licence holders make up a large proportion of these drivers; 48 percent for 15–
19 year olds and 32 percent for 20–24 year olds. A similar pattern occurs for 15–24 year-old drivers
involved in injury crashes. This reflects the high number of learner and restricted licence holders in this
age group.
Figure 10: Licence status of 15-19 year old drivers involved in fatal crashes (2014–
2016)
Note: Unknown/other includes drivers with an expired, unknown or incorrect licence class.
Figure 11: Licence status of 20-24 year old drivers involved in fatal crashes (2014–
2016)
Note: Unknown/other includes drivers with an expired, unknown or incorrect licence class.
14
Terminology
Fatal injuries: injuries that result in death within 30 days of the crash.
Serious injuries: fractures, concussions, internal injuries, crushings, severe cuts and lacerations,
several general shock necessitating medical treatment and any other injury involving removal to and
detention in hospital.
Minor injuries: injuries of a minor nature such as sprains and bruises.
Social cost: a measure of the total cost of road crashes to the nation. It includes: loss of life and life
quality; loss of productivity; and medical, legal, court, and property damage costs.
Crash fault/responsibility: Primary responsibility (at-fault) for a crash is based on the crash
movements and crash cause factors assigned in the Crash Analysis System. It is not based on legal
liability or court conviction. Fault/responsibility here only considers driver and rider factors contributing
to the crash. There may also be road or system factors that contributed to the crash.
15