ahmedabad real estate outlook report h1 2015
TRANSCRIPT
SALES ARE 26% LOWER THAN THE SAME PERIOD OF THE PRECEDING YEAR
H1 20
13
H2 20
13
H1 20
14
H2 20
14
H1 20
15 -
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000 9
,81
0
14
,06
0
9,0
20
4,9
90
8,0
60
13
,65
0
11
,94
0
10
,47
0
8,0
20
7,7
50
2,490 2,500 2,550
2,650 2,650
Launches Absorption Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
No
. o
f u
nit
s
Rs
/sq
ft
NARODA, VASTRAL, NIKOL AND KATHWADA ROAD IN EAST AHMEDABAD HAS WITNESSED MAXIMUM NUMBER OF NEW LAUNCHES DURING H1 2015
Central East North South West0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2%
29%
38%
18%
13%
5%
29%
19%
12%
35%
2%
33%
21%
26%
18%
H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015
NEW LAUNCHES IN WEST DROP AS DEVELOPERS STILL TRYING TO SELL THE PREVIOUSLY-LAUNCHED PROJECTS
210
270
170
2,6
60 1
,46
0 2,6
40 3,4
00 9
60
1,7
10 1,6
00 5
80
2,1
00 1,1
60 1
,72
0 1,4
40
WITH PRICES IN OTHER PARTS OF THE CITY BREACHING THE INR 3,000/SQ FT MARK, EAST AHMEDABAD HAS EMERGED AS THE MOST AFFORDABLE ZONE
86% OF THE NEW LAUNCHES DURING H1 2015 IN EAST WERE BELOW INR 2.5 MN
Central East North South West0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
<2.5 mn 2.5-5 mn 5-7.5 mn 7.5-10 mn 10-20 mn >20 mn
NORTH IS THE BEST PERFORMING MARKET
5 8 11 145
8
11
14
CentralEastNorthSouthWest
QTS
Ag
e o
f u
nso
ld in
ven
tory
in q
ua
rte
rs
WEST
SOUTH
CENTRAL
EAST
NORTH
DESPITE FALLING SALES VOLUME, PRICES IN PREMIUM MARKETS RISE
H1 20
13
H2 20
13
H1 20
14
H2 20
14
H1 20
15 -
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000 5
00
590
400
1,2
40
460
780
620
430
530
420
5,150 4,920 4,900
4,950 5,140
Launches Absorption Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
No
. o
f u
nit
s
Rs/
sq f
t
PREMIUM MARKETS
AHMEDABAD CITY
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
0
4
8
12
16
20
No.
of Q
uart
ers
HIGHER LAUNCHES INCREASES PRESSURE ON PREMIUM MARKETS
OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS
LAUNCHES
(UNITS)SALES(UNITS)
WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE (INR/SQ FT)
H2 20144,990 8,020 2,650
H2 2015E 6,790 8,890 2,730
GROWTH 36% 11% 3%
LAUNCHES - AHMEDABAD TO SURPASS
H1 2014 H2 2014
MUMBAI 35,512 26,833
NCR 35,500 37,643
BENGALURU 35,545 32,589
PUNE 16,883 16,700
CHENNAI 11,377 7,318
HYDERABAD 7,899 5,151
KOLKATA 8,444 11,891
AHMEDABAD 9,021 4,991
CHENNAI AND HYDERABADH2 2015
BENGALURU 21,400
MUMBAI 18,887
PUNE 12,762
NCR 11,360
CHENNAI 9,102
AHMEDABAD 8,062
KOLKATA 8,372
HYDERABAD 5,457
SALES - EVEN IN SALES, AHMEDABAD
H1 2014 H2 2014 H2 2015
MUMBAI 31,210 36,505 28,446
NCR 28,500 12,075 22,234
BENGALURU 27,256 28,445 15,524
PUNE 14,719 20,150 12,825
CHENNAI 10,315 10,643 9,091
AHMEDABAD 10,472 8,019 7,123
HYDERABAD 7,282 7,829 5,883
KOLKATA 6,390 6,245 7,751
WILL CONTINUE TO SURPASS HYDERABAD AND KOLKATA
AHMEDABAD PRICES STILL LOWEST IN INDIA
H1 2012
H2 2012
H1 2013
H2 2013
H1 2014
H2 2014
H1 2015
H2 2015E
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
MumbaiNCRBengaluruPuneChennaiHyderabadKolkataAhmedabad
Rs
/sq
ft
MUMBAI
PUNE
AHMEDABADHYDERABAD
KOLKATA
NCR
BENGALURU
CHENNAI
5 7 9 11 13 15 17 195
7
9
11
13
15
QTS
Age
of
unso
ld in
vent
ory
in q
uart
ers
MUMBAI
PUNE
AHMEDABAD
HYDERABAD
KOLKATA
NCR
BENGALURU
CHENNAI
PERFORMANCE OF AHMEDABAD RELATIVELY BETTER THAN MOST OTHER CITIES