a century of war 9107
TRANSCRIPT
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Title: A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics andthe New World Order Author: William Engdahl
Publisher: London: Pluto Press, 2004
Reviewed by: Dr. Klejda Mulaj Senior Researcher
Gulf Research Center
n the words of its author, this book ‘seeks to shed light on some lesser known aspects of our history, in
an effort to encourage ordinary citizens to reflect on longer-term consequences of what our governments
do with our mandate.’ The book suggests that the US agenda in Iraq was about oil, but not about oil in
the simple sense many believed. This war (2003) was not an issue of corporate greed but about geopolitical
power above all. Engdahl’s book seeks to provide an analysis of power politics centred on the politics of oil.
The last century was the American Century which rested on two pillars: the uncontested roles of US military
power, and of the dollar as world reserve currency. The power of the dollar and the power of the US military
had been uniquely intertwined with one commodity: petroleum. As Henry Kissinger once said: ‘Control energy
and you control the nations.’
The British geopolitical domination, on the other hand, rested on three pillars: control of the seas, domination
of international banks, and domination of the world’s raw materials. In the beginning of the last quarter of the
nineteenth century, Britain embarked on a sophisticated strategy for maintaining its dominant world role
through what came to be called ‘informal empire’. The notion of special economic relationships with ‘client
states’, the concept of ‘spheres of influence’ and ‘balance-of-power diplomacy,’ all emerged from the complex
weave of British ‘informal empire’ towards the end of the last century.
By the early 1870s, a deep economic depression had begun in Britain following a financial panic. The GreatDepression of 1873 followed, and by the 1890s, the period of Britain’s easy leadership among the world’s
industrial nations was clearly over. This set the stage for both the introduction of the geopolitics of petroleum in
1882 and how Britain was to maintain its naval supremacy.
In September 1882, Britain’s Admiral Lord Fisher argued that Britain must convert its naval fleet from bulky
coal-fired propulsion to oil, as a diesel motor issued no tell-tale smoke. It reached full power in a mere 30
minutes and peak power within five minutes, required very little men and time to provide oil fuel to a battleshipand required one third the engine weight and one-quarter the daily tonnage of fuel when compared to a coal
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fired battleship. In 1911, Fisher was succeeded by Winston Churchill who began a campaign for an oil-fired
navy. British presence in the Persian Gulf was essential to its national interest and majority share ownership of
Anglo-Persian Oil (today British Petroleum) was bought up by Britain. Oil became the core of British strategic
interest.
During the Great War, petroleum had emerged as the recognised key to success of a revolution in military
strategy. In the age of mobile tank warfare and swifter naval warfare, abundant and secure supplies of the newfuel were becoming increasingly essential.
Britain had gained the invaluable military assistance of Arab forces under Sherif Husain ibn Ali, the Hashemiteemir of Mecca, and guardian of the Muslim holy places of Mecca and Medina. Britain had assured the Arab
forces that the reward for their help in defeating the Turks would be British assurance of full post-war Arab
sovereignty and independence. Engdahl, however, argues that Britain quickly betrayed her promises to secure
for herself the vast oil and political riches of the Arab Middle East, and established its military supremacy over
the French area of the Middle East as well. By 1920, Britain had succeeded in gaining firm control over all of southern Africa, including former German South West Africa, as well as the vast newly discovered petroleum
wealth of the former Ottoman Empire, by means of her military presence, conflicting promises, and the
establishment of a British protectorate over Palestine as a new Jewish homeland.
By the early 1920s, the British government controlled a formidable arsenal of apparently private companies
which served the direct interest of Britain to dominate and control all the identified major regions believed to
contain significant petroleum deposits. Although in 1912 Britain commanded no more than 12 per cent of
world oil production through British companies, by 1925 she controlled the major part of the world’s future
supplies of petroleum.
Following the Second World War, however, Britain was utterly dependent on the US with the latter gaining the
upper hand in world politics. Bretton Woods created a gold exchange system whereby each member nation’s
currency was pegged to the US dollar which had emerged from the ravages of the war as the world’s strongest
currency, backed by what was unquestionably the world’s strongest economy. In 1947, the US adopted the
European Recovery Program (the Marshall Plan). Recipient countries used 10 percent of all Marshall Plan aid
to purchase oil, which was supplied by American oil companies. By 1947, half of all western Europe’s oil wasbeing supplied by five American companies. Oil had then become the most important commodity to fuel the
economy.
The author suggests that by early 1971 the dominant US policy was to control, not develop, economies
throughout the world. President Nixon announced formal suspension of dollar convertibility into gold,
effectively putting the world fully onto a dollar standard with no gold backing. No longer could foreign holders
of US dollars redeem their money for gold reserves. In order to tilt the balance of power back to the advantage
of Anglo-American financial interests and the dollar, a colossal assault against industrial growth in the world
was launched. This was done through control of the world’s oil flows. A global oil embargo was triggered toforce a dramatic increase in world oil prices which, in turn, brought with it an equally dramatic increase in
world demand for US dollars, the currency used to pay for that oil.
By October 1973, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had raised their price by a
staggering 70 per cent. The increase in oil price had an enormous benefit for the major New York and London
banks, and British and American oil multinationals.
In June 1978, the European Economic Community took steps to create the first phase of a European currency
zone. In 1979, the European Monetary System (EMS) became operational and stabilized European currencies,
thereby worrying certain circles in London and Washington as it could threaten the existing hegemony of the
‘petrodollar monetary system’. France and Germany, to the opposition of London, agreed to purchase their oil
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directly from OPEC countries, depositing their financial surpluses into Continental European banks and,
ultimately, into the EMS.
According to the Engdahl analysis, following the fall of the Shah and Khomeini’s rise to power with American
help in 1979, Iran singled out the country’s nuclear power development plans drawn up under the Shah and
cancelled the entire program for French and German nuclear reactor construction. Iran’s oil exports were cut
off by 3 million barrels per day with Saudi Arabia following suit. The ensuing energy crisis, nevertheless, wasover by the end of 1979.
In 1985, oil came to the rescue of the American economy: Saudi Arabia was persuaded to run a ‘reverse oilshock’ and flood the depressed world oil market with its abundant oil. This was intended to offset inflation but,
in the end, it did not do the trick. Both Britain and America were facing a financial crisis during the early
1990s. Saddam invaded Kuwait after Iraq had emerged from its costly war with Iran. Operation Desert Storm
followed. Moreover, the 1990s saw the hopes for a new era of peace and prosperity dashed.
In 2001, George W. Bush came to power surrounded by several members of his cabinet hailing from the oil
industry. William Engdahl argues that oil and geopolitics were back on centre stage in Washington. Iraq was to
become the focus of the new administration and Saddam Hussein targeted for removal. It was suggested that
US policy was to be shaped to take direct military control of the Arabian Gulf – attacks on Afghanistan andIraq being the first step towards achieving this policy.
The author wonders whether we have arrived at the last days of oil. Perhaps the answer is ‘No’ given that new
sources of oil have been already identified in Libya, Sudan, Colombia, and Venezuela in addition to Iraq.
This is a book abundant with detail, written in journalistic jargon. The link between whatever has happened in
world politics from 1815 to date on the one hand, and the Anglo-American quest for domination of oil on the
other, may have been intended to benefit Engdahl’s analysis. As a single-factor explanation, however, it may be
deficient. Concentrating on the politics of oil may provide some understanding of world politics. A fuller
appreciation of realpolitik , nonetheless, demands that other variables be incorporated in the equation.