3q09 earnings management discussion · 2009-11-13 · this presentation contains certain statements...
TRANSCRIPT
3Q09 Earnings
Management Discussion
November 16, 2009
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Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results or other historical information. They are forward-looking statements.
Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond Rodobens’ ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market conditions, currency fluctuations, the behavior of other market participants, the actions of governmental regulators, the Company's ability to continue to obtain sufficient financing to meet its liquidity needs; and changes in the political, social and regulatory framework in which the Company operates or in economic or technological trends or conditions, inflation and consumer confidence, on a global, regional or national basis.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document. Rodobens does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
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Eduardo Gorayeb
CEO
Luciano Guagliardi
CFO and Investor Relations Officer
Speakers
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Agenda
• Business environment in the 3Q09
• Operating highlights
• Financial highlights
• Actions for 4Q09 and 2010
Business Environment in the 3Q09
Positive aspects
� Minha Casa Minha Vida Housing Plan
� 115k mortgages granted within the plan until the end of October
� Adjustment of maximum unit sales price benefited Rodobens in 16 cities
� Large volume of construction work delivered
Concerning aspects
� CEF – Transfer of clients’ balances and senior loan construction: still being
executed out of stipulated deadlines
� Banco Real - Credit assessment through payment “Behavior”: resuming at a
slow pace after interruption.
� SAP Go-live in July 1st
Strategic actions
�Cash management orientation
�Adjustment of the company’s operations to senior loan agreements
� Reduction of inventory levels
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Discussion on Strategic Actions
Decision of the Board of Directors executed by the Management
� Start the construction work of projects only after senior loan agreements
� Avoid the risk in our business: obligation to build without ensured funding
� Cash exposure: avoid unnecessary levels of indebtedness
�No impact on homebuyer/sales: adjustment on sales agreement contemplating delivery
date after 12 months of the senior loan closing
� Take advantage of the favorable market conditions: Operational records
3Q09 Operating Highlights
Launches
Record in units launched: 3,011 units
Total PSV 9M09 R$567MM
Reduction of the average unit sales price of launches:
R$73,000
Significant increase of MORADAS product (43% of
launched)
50.2% of the launched units were sold in the same
quarter
23 projects submitted to CEF under final analysis
resulting in 13,000 units with RNI PSV of ~ R$1 billion
Sales Contracts (agreements signed)
Record in units sold: 2,429 units net
Total PSV R$208MM
+48% vs. 3Q08 e +8% vs. 2Q09
Sales/launches: 84%
Sales over Supply (quarterly SOS): 24%
Sales of inventory/Total sales: 45%
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PSV Launched – Rodobens’ share (R$ MM)PSV Launched – Rodobens’ share (R$ MM)
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9134 37
153
10338
82
30
26
79
20
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Moradas Terra Nova Sistema Fácil
129 126
67
199182
Sales Contracts – Rodobens’ share (R$ MM)Sales Contracts – Rodobens’ share (R$ MM)
5 556
8246 50
115
862143 35
2110
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Moradas Terra Nova Sistema Fácil
10389 90
141152
77
Breakdown of 3Q09 Project Launches and Sales Contracts (Rodobens’ share)
Project Launches - by LOCATIONProject Launches - by LOCATION Project Launches – by PRICE and TYPEProject Launches – by PRICE and TYPE
Sales Contracts in Value - by LOCATIONSales Contracts in Value - by LOCATION Sales in Value - by PRICE and TYPESales in Value - by PRICE and TYPE
Other states
53%
São Paulo city1%
São Paulo suburb
7%
SP state ex-metro
39%
Up to R$ 80k37%
up to R$150k
Horizontal43%
up to R$150k Vertical
13%
>R$150k Vertical
4%
>R$150k Horizontal
3%
Other states
66%SP state ex-
metro34%
up to R$80k43%
up to R$150k
Horizontal57%
Completion of Construction Work
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In the 9M09 the completion of construction
work totaled R$535MM in PSV and 4,614
units, which Rodobens’ share of the PSV is
R$414MM
Significant increase in delivery of construction
work in the 2H09
Completion of Construction work – Rodobens’ PSV (R$ MM)Completion of Construction work – Rodobens’ PSV (R$ MM)
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113
46
8
108
57
312
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09E
P roje ct n am eTo ta l P SV % R N I
R N I's PS V Typ e
N u m b er o f u n its
A vg . pr ice p e r u nit (R $ 00 0 )
G ard e n C lub - C am pin a s/S P (2n d P ha se ) 1 3 5 5% 7 Ap a r t. 6 8 24 0
Te rra N o va V árze a G ra n d e/ M T (1 st Ph a se ) 2 9 1 0 0% 29 H o use 3 4 8 8 3
G ua ra pira n ga P a rk - S ã o Pa u lo/ SP (2 n d Ph a se ) 2 5 1 0 0% 25 Ap a r t. 2 2 2 11 2
Te rra N o va S oro ca ba /S P (1 st Ph a se ) 3 5 1 0 0% 34 H o use 3 9 0 8 9
Te rra N o va M a rí lia/ SP (1 st Ph a se A ) 1 1 1 0 0% 11 H o use 1 2 2 8 8
Te rra N o va R o nd o nó p o lis /M T (1 st P ha se A ) 1 2 1 0 0% 12 H o use 1 4 4 8 1
Te rra N o va R o nd o nó p o lis /M T (1 st P ha se B ) 9 1 0 0% 9 H o use 1 1 2 8 1
Te rra N o va C a sca ve l/P R 3 7 1 0 0% 37 H o use 4 0 2 9 1
Te rra N o va P on ta G ros sa /P R (1 st Ph a se A ) 1 2 1 0 0% 12 H o use 1 4 0 8 3
Te rra N o va P arq ue d a L ib erd ad e 2 - S . J. R io P re to /S P (2 nd P h as e) 1 7 5 0% 8 H o use 2 2 8 7 3
Te rra N o va S oro ca ba /S P (2 nd P h as e) 3 3 1 0 0% 33 H o use 3 7 8 8 7
Te rra N o va P alh o ça /S C (VI L A I) 2 6 8 5% 22 H o use 3 2 6 8 0
Te rra N o va P at os d e M ina s/ M G (1 st P ha se ) 1 1 1 0 0% 11 H o use 1 3 6 8 3
G ree n F ie lds - S . J. R io Pre to (2 nd P h as e) 1 1 1 0 0% 11 Ap a r t. 2 8 37 9
G ua ra pira n ga P a rk - S ã o Pa u lo/ SP (3 rd Ph a se ) 2 1 1 0 0% 21 Ap a r t. 1 4 8 13 9
Te rra N o va S ão C a r lo s/S P (1s t P h as e) 1 8 1 0 0% 18 H o use 1 7 2 10 3
Te rra N o va S ão C a r lo s/S P (1s t P h as e B) 3 1 0 0% 3 C a sa 3 2 8 5
G ree n Ta m b oré - S a nt a na d o P arn a íb a/ SP (2 n d Ph a se ) 3 0 3 4% 10 Ap a r t. 1 2 6 23 6
To ta l 3T 09 R $ 35 0 8 9% R $ 3 1 2 3 ,5 2 2 R $ 9 9
Construction w ork completed in 3Q 09 (P ot ential S ale s Value (PS V) in m il l ions of Bra zi lia n Rea is (R$MM) )
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Selected Projects
Terra Nova Uberlândia - MG Terra Nova Uberlândia - MG
Moradas Itapetininga- SP Moradas Itapetininga- SP Terra Nova Santa Maria - RSTerra Nova Santa Maria - RS
Terra Nova Uberaba - MGTerra Nova Uberaba - MG
Net Earnings (R$MM) and Gross MarginNet Earnings (R$MM) and Gross Margin EBITDA (R$MM) and EBITDA MarginEBITDA (R$MM) and EBITDA Margin
Net Income (R$MM) and Net MarginNet Income (R$MM) and Net Margin
Financial Highlights*
*Audited results, presented according to the new accounting practices introduced by federal law 11,638 and CVM instruction #561 and adopted by the company since 4Q08.
143
86
28.5%26.3%
2Q09 3Q09
23
10
11.7%
16.1%
2Q09 3Q09
15
2 2.6%
10.3%
2Q09 3Q09
-40%
-85%
-56%
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Discussion on Net Revenues
Slower pace of construction work
Launched projects (sold, but construction work not initiated) waiting for senior loan
Large volume of construction work delivered
Less execution realized for reaching 100% of completion
Growth on sales cancelations due to banks’ inefficiency in the process of
client balance transference
TN Cascavel, TN Rondonópolis, TN Sorocaba and Bosque Vivendas
Accounting effect of R$14MM
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Revenues and Result to Be Appropriated
178 158188
439 417
517
40%
36%38%
3Q08 2Q09 3Q09
Result Revenues
Revenues, result and margins to be appropriated (R$ million) Revenues, result and margins to be appropriated (R$ million)
� The Company continues it’s strong operational expansion
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Income Statement
*3Q08 results, in conformity to new accounting practices introduced by Law 11,638 as of 12/28/2007 and Instruction CVM #561 (Recommendation O-CPC-01) as of 12/17/2008. The company has opted to present, as part of the 2Q09 audited financial statements, the 2Q08 results also adjusted to the new accounting practices in order to allow for comparability between the two quarterly periods in the same base.
Consolidated, in R$000 3Q09 2Q09 %Chg 3Q08* %Chg 9M09 9M08 * %Chg
Net Operating Revenue 86,325 142,872 -40% 113,064 -24% 333,356 289,463 15%Gross M argin 28.5% 26.3% 2.2 p.p. 39.3% -10.8 p.p. 28.2% 36.2% -8 p.p.
Commercial Expenses (6,258) (10,764) -42% (8,454) -26% (26,621) (26,453) 1%
-7.2% -7.5% 0.3 p.p. -7.5% 0.2 p.p. -8.0% -9.1% 1.2 p.p.
General and Administrative Expenses (14,765) (10,823) 36% (11,494) 28% (36,488) (27,769) 31%
-17.1% -7.6% -9.5 p.p. -10.2% -6.9 p.p. -10.9% -9.6% -1.4 p.p.
Other Operating Revenue 1,075 1,348 -20% 2,525 -57% 3,844 5,886 -35%
1.2% 0.9% 0.3 p.p. 2.2% -1 p.p. 1.2% 2.0% -0.9 p.p.
Equity Pick-Up from Investments 744 545 37% 696 7% 1,956 2,052 -5%
EBITDA 10,078 23,025 -56% 30,757 -67% 51,040 65,541 -22%EBITDA M argin 11.7% 16.1% -4 .4 p.p. 27.2% -15.5 p.p. 15.3% 22.6% -7 .3 p.p.
Net Financial Income (Expenses) 544 1,690 -68% 5,066 -89% 2,986 18,146 -84%
Income Taxes (3,627) (4,834) -25% (4,264) -15% (12,069) (12,517) -4%
Minority Interest 3 (3) (21) (7) (45)
Net Income 2,277 14,768 -85% 28,509 -92% 27,482 64,229 -57%Net M argin 2.6% 10.3% -7 .7 p.p. 25.2% -22.6 p.p. 8.2% 22.2% -13.9 p.p.
Earnings per Share (in R$) 0.05 0.30 0.59 0.57 1.32
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Balance Sheet (in R$ million)
September 30, 2009
Others 222
Shrholders'
Equity 629 Land 137
Inventory 270
Clients in
progress 425Others 179
Clients perform
237
Banks SFH 256
Leasing 18
Cash 48
Assets Liabilities
Intercompany loan 94
Land Payables 91
Working capital 72
Cash
Transfer of client balances to banks: R$26MM sold
to CEF and Real
Maintenance of intercompany loan with controlling
shareholder: R$94MM
Working capital credit line with HSBC, Banco do
Brasil and CEF outstanding: R$72MM
Client receivables
R$237MM from completed units, mostly under
process of transfer of balances to banks
R$425MM of work-in-progress
And more R$517MM pending recognition by the PoC
method
Total receivables R$1,180MM
Inventory
Estimated value of inventory priced to market
R$472MM
R$137MM undeveloped land booked at historical
acquisition cost
1515
Bank Debt
Outstanding Balance SFH (R$MM) and weighted avg interest rate (% p.a. + TR)Outstanding Balance SFH (R$MM) and weighted avg interest rate (% p.a. + TR)
189220 233
256
144
10.7%10.5%
10.3% 10.3% 10.3%
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Senior loan (SFH) – Total contract amount: R$935MM (Rodobens’ share
R$617MM)
Future disbursements: R$368MM (Rodobens’ share R$228MM)
Leasing: R$18MM
Working capital credit line: R$72MM
Net Debt: R$297MM (47% of Shareholder’s equity)
Considering intercompany loan with controlling shareholder: R$392MM
(62% of Sharehoder’s equity)
No exposure to derivatives or FX.
Actions for 4Q09 and 2010
�Cash management orientation
�Ensure senior loan finance (Plano Empresário)
�Reduction of construction work period (cycle) from 12 to 7 months
�Reduction of inventory levels
�Transfer of client balances to banks
�Less capital needs in the future
� Less cash exposure of projects
� Decrease of debt
�Support for growth in 2010
� Equalize the current situation
� Preserve shareholders
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Investor Relations Contact
Luciano Guagliardi
CFO and Investor Relations Officer
Tel.: +55 17 2137-1752/4
Investor Relations website:
www.rodobens.com/negociosimobiliarios/ir