23 annual cfo roundtable & tax director workshop …file/current-state-of...23rd annual cfo...
TRANSCRIPT
23rd Annual CFO Roundtable & Tax Director Workshop
Las Vegas, Nevada
September 24-26, 2017
2017 Credit Discussion Presented by:
Shahrokh Shah – MD/Group Head, Engineering & Construction – BMO Financial Group
Matthew Gibbons – MD/Group Head, Construction & Engineering – CIBC
Page 1 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Agenda
Loan Market Update
Interest Rate Market Update
Other Observations
BMO and CIBC
Page 2 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
A Leading Commercial & Investment Bank
BMO Financial Group
Organization
Key
Metrics1
A Leading Global Financial Institution
Global Banking Operations
Strong, Stable Partner
Moody’s
Institution Senior Debt Rating Credit Rating Outlook
Bank of Montreal A1 Negative
US Bank A1 Stable
Wells Fargo A2 Stable
JP Morgan Chase A3 Stable
PNC A3 Stable
Bank of America Baa1 Stable
Citigroup Inc. Baa1 Stable
Huntington Bank Baa1 Stable
Capital One Baa1 Stable
Fifth Third Bank Baa1 Stable
Key Bank Baa1 Stable
8th Largest North American Financial Institution
• Commercial, Retail and Private
Bank services
• Leveraging industry, business, and
wealth expertise
• Strong Midwest footprint with
offices in 25 states
• Leading full-service investment and
corporate bank
• Focused on large and mid-size
companies
• Deep industry knowledge across all
major sectors
• Canada's first bank established in 1817
• Offers broad range of retail banking, wealth management
and investment banking services
• One of the largest diversified financial services providers
in North America
Market Capitalization $49.2 billion
Total Assets $569.03 billion
LTM Revenue $16.9 billion
Employees 46,173
Tier 1 Capital Ratio 12.9%
1. Figures in $USD, 07/31/2017
BMO is a leading global investment & corporate bank backed by one of the world’s largest and most
well-capitalized diversified financial services firm
Page 3 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Organizational Footprint – North America
Premier North American financial institution with local, national & global reach
Saskatchewan Manitoba Alberta British
Columbia
Ontario
Quebec
Newfoundland
and
Labrador
PEI
New Brunswick
Nova Scotia
New York
Massachusetts
Wisconsin
Illinois
Missouri
Yukon
Nebraska Iowa
Minnesota
Georgia
Florida
Texas
Washington
Nevada
California
Arizona
Utah Colorado
Northwest Territories
Nunavut
Virginia
Kansas
Ohio
Montana
Michigan
Oregon
BMO Bank of Montreal (Canada) & BMO Harris Bank (U.S.)
BMO Private Bank
BMO Capital Markets
Beijing
Delhi
Dublin
Guangzhou
Hong Kong
London
Melbourne
Mexico City
Mumbai
Paris
Rio de
Janeiro
Shanghai
Taipei
Zurich
• 594 U.S. branches
• 942 Canadian branches
• Offices across five continents:
Beijing
Delhi
Dublin
Guangzhou
Hong Kong
London
Melbourne
Mexico City
Mumbai
Paris
Rio de Janeiro
Shanghai
Taipei
Zurich
Page 4 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Design / Construction Management / Architectural Clientele
Specialty Contractor Clientele
Engineering, Construction & Building Products Industry Expertise Industry Leading Coverage with Significant Expertise…
• Team of professionals dedicated solely to the Engineering, Construction and
Building Products industries
• In-depth industry knowledge developed from established relationships with
over 200 companies throughout all industry segments
• Over $6 billion in lending commitments to the industry in North America
Construction / Integrated Clientele
Leading Lender & Advisor within the Engineering, Construction and Building Products industries
Cross-Border and International Capabilities…
• Headquartered in Chicago, with additional offices in the U.S., Canada,
Europe, Asia and Australia
Superior Execution…
• Senior-level deal attention with a track-record of successful transaction
execution
Building Products Clientele
Page 5 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Engineering, Construction & Building Products Industry Expertise
• Team of professionals dedicated solely to the Engineering, Construction, and related industries
• In-depth industry knowledge developed from established relationships with over 200 companies throughout all industry segments
• Over $6 billion in lending commitments to the industry in North America
• Lead bank for over 70% of our portfolio
ENGINEERING AND CONSTRUCTION BANK LOAN INVESTOR UNIVERSE (SELECT PUBLIC PLAYERS)
Total
13
11
11
11
9
9
7
7
6
5
5
3
Page 6 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
BMO Capital Markets is a brand name under which Bank of Montreal, BMO Harris Bank N.A. and BMO Capital Markets Corp. operate in the U.S.
Select Engineering, Construction and Building Products Transactions
Debt
Cash
Mgmt
Equip
Finance
Sole Provider Sole Provider Sole Provider Sole Provider Sole Provider Sole Provider
Equipment Line of Credit Equipment Line of Credit Equipment Line of Credit Equipment Line of Credit Equipment Line of Credit
$16 million
Equipment Lease Equipment Term Loan
Lead Arranger &
Administrative Agent
$38.4 million $5 million $5 million $5 million $5 million $1.3 million
Sole Provider
Co-Documentation
Agent Lender
Sole Lead Arranger &
Administrative Agent
Joint Lead Arranger &
Administrative Agent
Sole Lead Arranger &
Administrative Agent
Syndication Agent
September 2016
June 2017
June 2016 June 2016
May 2017 January 2017
September 2016
$5 million
$130 million $60 million $250 million $1.3 billion
$90 Million $1.5 billion
Senior Credit Facility
Senior Credit Facility Senior Credit Facility Senior Credit Facilities
Senior Credit Facilities Senior Credit Facility
Senior Credit Facility
Senior Credit Facility
Sole Bank
$35 million
Senior Credit Facility
$300 million
Senior Credit Facility
Co-Syndication Agent
February 2017
$32.4 million
Senior Credit Facilities
Sole Bank
August 2016 January 2017
$250 million
February 2017
Joint Lead Arranger
$350 million
Senior Credit Facility
Joint Lead Arranger
April 2017
Senior Credit Facilities
Co-Agent
$2.99 billion
December 2016
$65 million
Sole Lead Arranger &
Administrative Agent
June 2017
Senior Credit Facility
Page 7 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
CIBC is a Toronto-based, global financial institution with a 150 year
history. CIBC acquired The PrivateBank in June 2017 to build its
U.S. Region, providing tailored commercial, wealth management,
personal, and small business financial solutions through 46 offices in
18 states, as well as cross-border banking services to clients with
North American operations.
CIBC Corporate Highlights:
• 11 million individual, small business, commercial, corporate and institutional clients
in Canada, the U.S. and around the world.
• Market capitalization of $36.9 billion (CM: TSX, NYSE) and Basel III Common
Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 10.4% at 7/31/17.
• $440.5 billion in assets, 1,100 banking centers and offices on four continents...
Who We Are
Page 8 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
U.S. Region Commercial Banking
Construction & Engineering
Specialty banking practice that caters to engineers, architects and contractors, including
general, prime and specialty, coast-to-coast.
Team of 10 professionals with collective industry experience of over 150 years.
Institutional knowledge and proven track record in supporting the industry.
80+ C&E credit clients with approximately $900mln in commitments.
Recent highlighted relationships:
Matt Gibbons Managing Director & Group Head
312 564-1233 | [email protected]
Page 9 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Agenda
Loan Market Update
Interest Rate Market Update
Other Observations
BMO and CIBC
Page 10 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Leveraged loan activity remains extremely active, reaching record volumes in 1H’17
U.S. Loan Market
Source: Thomson Reuters / Loan
Pricing Corporation
SYNDICATED LOAN VOLUME BY RATING
SYNDICATED LOAN VOLUME
($ in billions)
($ in billions)
SYNDICATED LOAN VOLUME BY TRANSACTION TYPE
($ in billions)
Technology9%
Healthcare9%
Financial Services9%
Utilities8%
REITs5%
Manufacturing5%
Auto5%
Oil & Gas5%
Business Services5%
Retail5%
Other35%
SYNDICATED LOAN VOLUME BY INDUSTRY 1H2017
$275
$475 $343
$352
$255
$473
$335
$448
$466
$504
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
Non-M&A M&A Non-Leveraged M&A Leveraged (excluding LBOs) LBOs
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H16 1H17
Leveraged Investment Grade Other
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Page 11 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Investment Grade Loan Activity
INVESTMENT GRADE MATURITIES
($ in billions)
ALL-IN DRAWN BBB PRICING
$319
$230
$386
$845
$610
$749
$838$873 $861
$452
$372
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H16 1H17
Refi M&A Other New Money
28.1%
5.6%
5.0%
56.4%
4.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2Q09 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17
% o
f T
ota
l IG
Volu
me
364-Day 3-Year 4-Year 5-Year Other
163
188
203
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2Q09 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17
LIB
OR
Spre
ad (
bps)
BBB+ BBB BBB-
63
94
118
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17
LIB
OR
Sp
rea
d (
bp
s)
AA A BBB
INVESTMENT GRADE VOLUME ALL-IN DRAWN INVESTMENT GRADE PRICING (364-DAY TENOR)
Investment grade issuers moved forward cautiously, awaiting guidance on government policy changes
Source: Thomson Reuters / Loan Pricing
Corporation
Page 12 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Middle Market Conditions
Volume of middle market deals hit $9 billion in 2Q17, which was the highest level since 2Q15
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H16 1H17
Large MM Traditional MM
MIDDLE MARKET NON-SPONSORED LIBOR SPREADS (NON-M&A RELATED)
MIDDLE MARKET VOLUME BY SEGMENT MIDDLE MARKET ANNUAL VOLUME
MIDDLE MARKET VS LARGE CORPORATE TERM LOAN YIELDS
6.1%
5.1%
6.3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17
All-
in Y
ield
(3
-ye
ar)
MM B-rated Large Corp. B-rated MM NR
219
188
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
2Q09 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17
LIB
OR
Sp
rea
d (
bp
s)
Large MM Traditional MM
($ in billions) ($ in billions) (1) (1)
(1) (1)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H16 1H17
Sponsor Non-Sponsor
Source: Thomson Reuters / Loan Pricing Corporation
1. Large Middle Market includes deals between
$100 million and $500 million, while Traditional
Middle Market includes deals less than $100
million.
Page 13 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Recent Engineering and Construction Loan Comparables
Many companies within the Engineering & Construction industry continue to take advantage of
current market conditions to increase facility sizes, reset maturities, and lower pricing
Page 14 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
By Deal Value
($ in billions)
Dividend Recapitalization Activity
Given current “red-hot” state of the leveraged loan
market, dividend recapitalization financings are
clearing at historically favorable terms
1H17 dividend recap volume was well above the value
generated during the 1H16 period, which only saw
$14MM due to weak market conditions
Average post-dividend recap leverage levels remain at
~5.4x, consistent with levels observed since the
beginning of 2014
DIVIDEND RECAPITALIZATION ACTIVITY BY RATING (2015-2017 YTD)
ANNUAL DIVIDEND RECAPITALIZATION LOAN VOLUME PRE- AND POST-DIVIDEND RECAPITALIZATION LEVERAGE LEVELS
Issuer-friendly conditions resulted in significant year-over-year increases in dividend recap activity
Single-B issuance continues
to represent the majority of
dividend recapitalization
issuance
BB10%
BB-16%
BB+7%
B36%
B-7%
B+17%
CCC+6%
CCC1%
Double-B: 33.0%
Single-B: 60.0%
CCC & NR: 7.0%
3.1x
2.4x2.7x
2.9x3.1x
3.4x 3.4x 3.6x
4.1x3.8x 4.0x
4.4x 4.3x4.7x
5.1x4.7x
5.1x 5.2x
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017
Pre-Dividend Leverage Post-Dividend Leverage
$6 $5 $7 $4 $6 $6 $5 $3 $2
$29 $22
$43 $52 $44
$26
$43
$12
$25
$1
$35
$28
$50 $56 $50
$31
$48
$14
$27
1%
15% 7% 11% 9% 9% 7% 10% 7% 8%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
Institutional Pro Rata Dividend Recap Volume (% of Total Loan Volume)
Page 15 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
$5.3
$35.5
$51.9 $50.6
$81.7$85.3
$68.5
$80.3
$37.0
$58.9
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H16 1H17
Institutional Pro Rata
Leveraged Buy-Out Activity
Source: Mergerstat and Thomson Financial, Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
LEVERAGED LOAN LBO VOLUME
LBO TOTAL DEBT MULTIPLE AND AVERAGE EQUITY CONTRIBUTION AVERAGE PRO RATA AND INSTITUTIONAL LBO SPREADS
($ in billions)
Private Equity firms are contributing ~41% of equity this year, marking the highest average equity check in any full year since 2009
3.8x
4.6x
4.9x 5.1x
5.3x
5.7x 5.6x
5.4x 5.8x
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H17
Total Debt Multiple Equity Contribution
475
419
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017
LIB
OR
Sp
rea
d (
bp
s)
Pro Rata Institutional
NEW ISSUE LBO LOAN VOLUME BY INDUSTRY
Computers & Electronics, 28%
Services & Leasing, 20%
Healthcare, 7%Chemicals, 7%
Telecom, 6%
Manufacturing & Machinery, 5%
Home Furnishings, 4%
Entertainment & Leisure, 4%
Insurance, 4%
Oil & Gas, 3%
Other, 12%
Page 16 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Agenda
Loan Market Update
Interest Rate Market Update
Other Observations
BMO and CIBC
Page 17 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
U.S. Interest Rate Themes
Business & Consumer expectations remain elevated. Consumer and business sentiment have
risen sharply in the aftermath of last fall’s presidential election. Record confidence readings
translated into stronger spending by businesses and consumers during Q2.
Rates retrench. After surging to three year highs in early March, U.S. interest rates have declined
amid mixed economic data and growing skepticism about President Trump’s ability to push through
his ambitious fiscal agenda.
Flattening yield curve creates opportunities for borrowers. The narrowing of the gap
between the short-term and long-term rates has reduced the opportunity cost for borrowers to
switch from floating to fixed rate debt.
Fed sticks to the script. Fed officials have signaled that the recent patch of mixed economic data
won’t deter them from raising rates. The Fed’s median interest rate projections call for six 25bp rate
hikes through 2019, lifting the federal funds rate to 2.75% by 2019. Policymakers also expect to
begin shrinking the Fed’s record $4.5 trillion balance sheet beginning in October.
Page 18 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Consumer & Business Expectations are Running High
► Consumers and equity investors remain upbeat about the economy’s longer-
term prospects, buoyed by a strong stock market, increasing home prices and
renewed gains in income as employment continues to rise.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index S&P 500 Index
Source: Bloomberg
Page 19 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Bond Market Shows Signs of Skepticism (in the form of a flattening yield curve)
► While short-term rates have climbed in response to Fed rate hikes, longer-term rates
have declined over the past six months.
0.0
1.5
3.0
4.5
6.0
7.5
9.0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Rate
(%
)
1-month LIBOR and 5 Year Swap Rate (last 20 years)
5 year swap rate
1m LIBOR
Source: Bloomberg
Page 20 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Volatility (Normalization) Shows Signs of Returning
► Historically, short-term index rates, such as LIBOR, change frequently. From 1991 to 2011, the
average change in 1-month LIBOR during a 3 year period was 365 bps.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
7002
01
7
20
16
20
15
20
14
20
13
20
12
20
11
20
10
20
09
20
08
20
07
20
06
20
05
20
04
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
19
92
Average Change in 1-month LIBOR During 3 Year Period
3y Range of 1m LIBOR
Avg Range from 1990-2011
Source: Bloomberg
Page 21 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
LIBOR Hits Highest Level Since 2008
► Money market rates have climbed to the highest level since the financial crisis
in response to recent rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
1.23%
1.32%
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ra
te (
%)
1-month & 3-month LIBOR
1-month LIBOR
3-month LIBOR
Source: Bloomberg
Page 22 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Fed has Nearly Achieved its Dual Mandate
► Eight years after emerging from the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve has
nearly achieved its dual mandate of full employment and stable inflation
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
400.0
2012 2013 2014 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017
Un
em
plo
yme
nt
Ra
te
Ne
w J
obs A
dde
d
Labor Market Below “Full Employment” Inflation Near Target
Source: Bloomberg
Page 23 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
FOMC Projections
► Federal Reserve forecasts continue to show a gradual pace of rate hikes.
Source: Economic Projections of Federal Reserve Board, Sep 20, 2017
3 year path to normal “normal” rates
around 3%
Page 24 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Market Now Supports an Additional Hike in 2017
► The futures market currently implies a 71.4% probability of a third rate hike this year.
Current Target Rate Probabilities (Dec 13 2017 Fed Meeting)
Source: CME Fed Watch
Page 25 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
The Future of LIBOR
► Primary benchmark for short-term interest rates around the world -
tied to $350 trillion worth of financial derivative contracts, mortgages,
bonds and retail and commercial loans.
► Post financial crisis regulation has resulted in a lower volume of
transactions for banks to base LIBOR submissions.
► Expert judgement versus real transactions now make up a majority of
LIBOR submissions.
► Increased liability resulting from this approach has led the regulatory
agency that oversees LIBOR to recommended an expiration date for
LIBOR at the end of 2021.
Page 26 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
The Future of LIBOR
► The Federal Reserve has assigned the Alternative Reference Rate
Committee (ARRC) to manage the transition from U.S. Dollar LIBOR
to a new benchmark rate.
► Leading replacement rate is an index called the Broad Treasury
Financing Rate (BTFR). The BTFR rate contains a broad set of U.S.
treasury market based financing transactions.
► BTFR index rates are expected to be published by The Fed starting in
2018.
► The new benchmark will gradually be transitioned into credit
documents. In the event LIBOR becomes unavailable prior to this
happening credit documents will generally default to the Prime rate.
Page 27 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Agenda
Loan Market Update
Interest Rate Market Update
Other Observations
BMO and CIBC
Page 28 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Ideal Client
Character Market Position
Bonding
Quality of Cash Flow
Leverage / Capital Position
Reputation
Backlog / Margin
Liquidity
Revenue Diversity
Quality Mgmt
Team & Culture
Systems & Controls
Claims Mgmt
Return & Ancillary Business
Project Selection Criteria
What Does a Bank Look for in a Contractor?
Page 29 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Client Underwriting Keys
Area of Focus Credit Underwriting
• Ensuring that covenants are appropriate, and structures are
appropriately tight, to adequately monitor financial
performance, without hindering growth
• Detailed Review of surety agreements and terms
• Bonded work as a percentage of total revenue/backlog also
considered when evaluating risk and collateral
• Focus on bidding procedures to determine if appropriate
oversight is applied / proper approval systems are in place
• Analysis of historical and current work in progress reports to
asses profit fade and project execution risk
• Review of dependencies on major contracts/customers to
identify potential catalysts for financial performance
degradation without impacting potential areas of growth
• Monitor percentage of revenue associated with government
contracts, which are vulnerable to changes in policy and can
carry low margins
Capital Structure
Industry Outlook &
Customer Concentration
Bonded Work / Surety
Agreements
Bidding Procedures/Project
Execution
Page 30 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
General Observations
Theme Drivers
• Significant capital on the sidelines
• Multiples seem reasonable when compared to other
industries
• Recent history of growth in revenue and earnings and
improved margin profile are intriguing
• “Visibility” and perception there is longer term demand
• Balance sheets continue to carry the burden of projects
substantially completed
• Multi-year resolution processes ahead
• Stress on capital and liquidity positions
• Balance sheets improved and businesses well positioned
• Aging ownership demographic
• Visibility in backlog
• Favorable financing conditions
• Beneficiary of improved market conditions
• Strategic advantages within given markets
• Less burdened by problematic multi-year contracts
Increased Sponsor Interest
Formidable Regional Contractor
Continued Exit Strategy Evaluation
Hangover Continues
Reliance on Unproven Subs
• Strong market has created opportunity, particularly amongst
the trade.
• Aggressive expansion and quickly going up market
• Adequacy of capital position, supervision, controls, systems
Page 31 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Scarcity in Skilled Labor Force
An increase in construction projects around the
world has increased demand for skilled
laborers since the 2008 recession
Companies that are unable to secure laborers
face significant opportunity costs and
decreased growth prospects
As labor becomes more scarce, filling positions
becomes more expensive
Contributing Factors Mitigants
► Growth in construction projects
► Decreased unemployment rate
► Aging workforce
► Hours of training required for new labor force members
► Immigration costs
► Investment in internal training and promotion programs, as well as local training programs
► Increases in pay and benefits to retain current laborers
► Use of technology to replace positions
► Recruiting efforts outside of immediate construction area
Source: Navigant “Skilled-Labor Shortage: Myth or Reality?” 2017
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics - Job openings - Workforce Statistics for NAICS: 236,237,238
The risk and expense associated with labor shortages can be mitigated through effective planning and
investment in both internal and external labor development
Page 32 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Interest Rate Increases Rate Risk Management – Best Practices Within the context of a broader risk management policy, managing interest rate risk usually involves the examination of
three key areas:
What is the ‘optimal’ mix of fixed and floating rate debt for our company?
Every company faces a unique mix of internal and external factors that influence the decision on ‘optimal’ debt
capital structure
Key quantitative objectives: lowest average cost of debt, lowest volatility of funding, and duration matching
– For intermediate tenors, a roughly balanced liability profile is the mathematically optimal blend
Any framework developed to analyze a company’s debt capital structure must consider historical data as well as
forward looking factors and their inter-relationships
Our observations indicate that most N. American corporations maintain fixed rate debt between 50% and 75% of
total debt
What are the potential risks/rewards of various hedging strategies?
Understand the quantum of risk and how a properly structured hedging program will perform under a variety of future
scenarios
Many companies will ladder the maturities of hedges and/or stagger the execution in order to reduce near-term and
longer-term pricing (repricing) risk
How do current market conditions help or hinder our objectives?
Current term rates remain near historical lows, favoring an increase in fixed rate liabilities (either via swapped bank
debt or bond issuance)
The yield curve is historically flat, reducing the cost to extend duration as well as the cost to hedge on a forward
basis
Interest rate risk management is a dynamic process that incorporates market conditions,
company specific factors and hedge performance as drivers of the decision
Page 33 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Interest Rate Increases (Cont.) Hedging Product Overview Interest rate derivatives are widely used by many different types of institutions as a part of regular prudent risk
management programs
Corporate entities use interest rate derivatives to manage fixed / float mix, hedge anticipated debt issuance and / or manage the currency mismatches between revenue streams and debt service
Other entities (e.g. hedge funds, pension funds, asset managers) use OTC derivatives both to hedge risk and / or take a position on the market
Although both exchange traded and OTC derivatives can be used for the same purposes, OTC derivatives provide a higher degree of customization, allowing for protection more closely tailored to a hedger’s specific risk profile
These are common contract features that can be customized:
Tenor The time between the start date and the maturity date of the instrument
Notional size /
amortization The amount of notional outstanding can remain flat, amortize or accrete
Forward start A contract entered into today that has an effective date that is weeks, months or years in the future
Floating rate index Specify both the index type (e.g. LIBOR, SIFMA , Prime) and the tenor (e.g. 1-month, 3-month, 6-month)
Payment frequency The frequency of settlements under the contract (e.g. monthly, quarterly). Can be the same or different for
fixed and floating legs
Swaps are flexible instruments that can be tailored to your specific situation
Page 34 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Interest Rate Hedging Strategies
Strategy Description Upfront Fee
Protects Against
Rising Rates
Benefits from
Falling Rates
Potential Early
Termination Values
Rate
Compared
to Swap
Plain
Vanilla
Swap
Fixed rate No Yes No Positive, flat or
negative N/A
Forward
Starting
Swap
Floating rate
initially, followed
by fixed rate
No Yes – after initial
floating period
Yes – during
initial floating
period
Positive, flat or
negative Higher
Cancellable
Swap
Fixed rate with
option to cancel
trade before
maturity
No Yes Yes – after call
period
Before call period:
Positive, flat or
negative
After call period:
Positive or flat
Higher
Swaption
Option to enter
into a swap
agreement at
future date
Yes Yes Yes
Before call period:
Positive or flat
After call period:
Positive or flat
Higher
Page 35 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Ownership/Liquidity Transition
Status
Quo
Debt
Recapitalization
Minority
Recapitalization ESOP
Majority
Recapitalization
Strategic
Sale
Liquidity
Ownership
Be
ne
fits
C
on
sid
era
tio
ns
• Grow revenue and
earnings in an effort to
increase future
valuation
• Maintain control and
maximize upside
• Provides rapid access
to capital and
opportunity for
Shareholder liquidity
• Enables Shareholders
to maintain economic
control
• Establishes lending
relationship that
Shareholders can
utilize for additional
capital requirements in
near-term
• Provides rapid access
to capital and
opportunity for
Shareholder liquidity
• Enables Shareholders
to maintain economic
control
• Establishes lending
relationship that
Shareholders can
utilize for additional
capital requirements in
near-term
• Creates liquidity and asset
diversification
• Competitive valuation to
majority recap
• Shareholders determine
process and criteria
• Ownership incentives for
employees
• Limited organizational
change – stocks stay in
friendly hands
• Lower valuation typical
• Creates liquidity and
source of future
growth capital
• Opportunity to benefit
from prevailing
industry trends
• Minimizes future
business risk
• Can be pursued in
conjunction with
acquisition growth
strategy
• Maximizes current
payout
• Eliminates business
risk
• Capitalizes on
potential synergies
and product
expansion
opportunities
• Valuation not solely a
result of capital
markets environment
• Risk associated with
execution of growth
strategy
• No near-term liquidity
or capital for growth
• Tighter leverage
standards and overall
lending criteria
• Liquidity will be limited
in an “un-sponsored”
transaction
• Debt service
requirements
• May reduce
Shareholders’
potential to realize
upside
• Expectation that
senior management
remains with the
Company
• Potential valuation
discount for
investment
• Tighter leverage standards
and overall lending criteria
• ESOP administration costs
• Potentially greater risk for
employee retirement funds
• Corporate obligation to
repurchase shares
• May reduce Shareholders’
upside
• Tighter leverage
standards and overall
lending criteria
• Optimal timing
• May reduce
Shareholders’ potential
to realize upside
• Ability to facilitate due
diligence
• Expectation that senior
management remains
with the Company
• Industry performance
and timing
• Company positioning
• Uncertainty of
Shareholders’ and
management’s future
roles
• Integration and
cultural issues
A desired balance of liquidity and ownership can be reached through a number of different actions
Page 36 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Increased Project Size and Complexity
• Large projects likely to be more capital intensive
• Multi-year construction timeline increases likelihood of unexpected events occurring
• Cost overruns and change orders are amplified by the scale of a given project
• New building designs call for a wider array of building techniques and building materials
• Industry importance of safety vs. customer request for rapid completion
Size Complexity
Ch
all
en
ge
s
So
luti
on
s
• Capital risk can be mitigated by entering into joint ventures or private-public partnerships
• Modern machines can speed up project completion by accelerating data collection and analysis
• Investment in project modeling and bidding software can help reduce errors and improve cost estimates
• Availability of high-grade materials (ex: glass/concrete-based products), and Building Information Modeling (“BIM”) software allows for more complex structure construction
• Use of prefabricated structures or modular building materials can shorten project completion time without increasing risk of injury
Source: IBISWorld Industry Report – Commercial Building Construction in the U.S. (December 2016)
Project size and complexity can be managed through a combination of proper structure,
and adoption of modern technology/building techniques
Page 37 23rd Annual CFO Roundtable and Tax Director Workshop
September 24-26, 2017
Q&A